Stark-Till — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.40K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.5%

Resolved

33,807

Trades

66,350

lifetime

Volume

$3.62M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-28 15:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 210 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 89% +$4,112

Other

1% 99% +$288

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 1235 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 11:15 UTC	60	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	Down	+$44	02-05 11:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 11:30 UTC	27	$2.4K	2,400	0	+2,400	Up	+$30	02-05 11:42
atp safiull djokovi 2026 07 05	2	$2.0K	1,002	1,002	+0	Novak Djokovic	+$49	07-05 16:07
bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 12pm et	15	$1.3K	1,441	300	+1,141	Up	-$194	07-28 16:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 16:30 UTC	3	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	Down	+$38	02-04 16:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 14:00 UTC	11	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Up	+$13	01-30 14:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:00 UTC	16	$792	800	0	+800	Down	+$8	02-06 00:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 16:45 UTC	18	$784	800	0	+800	Up	+$16	02-04 16:56
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner	11	$685	400	500	-100	BetBoom Team	+$15	04-26 12:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 12:15 UTC	4	$618	1,200	0	+1,200	Up	-$18	03-17 12:19
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 12:15 UTC	3	$598	600	0	+600	Up	-$198	04-10 12:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 04:30 UTC	3	$594	600	0	+600	Down	+$6	03-20 04:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 21:35 UTC	3	$592	600	0	+600	Down	+$8	03-10 21:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 19:45 UTC	5	$592	600	0	+600	Down	+$8	03-17 19:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 18:00 UTC	13	$584	589	0	+589	Up	+$6	03-17 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	3	$535	550	0	+550	Down	+$15	05-24 05:05
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner	4	$519	550	0	+550	Aurora	+$31	04-26 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$495	500	0	+500	Down	+$5	05-24 06:59
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 00:00 UTC	2	$495	500	0	+500	Down	-$245	02-22 00:15
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 22:15 UTC	6	$475	500	0	+500	Down	-$225	02-24 22:28
bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 9am et	26	$470	856	0	+856	Up	-$142	07-30 13:39
bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 10am et	18	$467	700	0	+700	Down	+$33	07-30 14:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 23:30 UTC	8	$463	600	0	+600	Down	-$63	03-28 23:44
bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 12am et	30	$457	753	0	+753	Down	+$26	07-30 04:55
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:45 UTC	8	$441	568	0	+568	Up	-$241	03-08 18:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 03:40 UTC	9	$428	609	0	+609	Down	-$228	04-03 03:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 16:00 UTC	3	$408	600	0	+600	Up	-$8	03-28 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 00:05 UTC	5	$404	1,600	0	+1,600	Up	-$4	03-17 00:09
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 12:15 UTC	2	$398	400	0	+400	Up	-$198	04-10 12:30
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 13:35 UTC	12	$398	600	0	+600	Down	+$2	02-27 13:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 15:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x2849f6…
10-28 14:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x10b304…
10-28 14:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x504c8e…
10-28 14:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x86c750…
10-28 14:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x3c47fb…
10-28 14:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x0c07d2…
10-28 14:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x0c600e…
10-28 14:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xb542a6…
10-28 14:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xf9aa9f…
10-28 14:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xd5f280…
10-28 14:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x4962af…
10-28 14:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xd1dae9…
10-28 14:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x4b28da…
10-28 14:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x12ac31…
10-28 14:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x10a64d…
10-28 14:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x12c490…
10-28 14:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x0c6090…
10-28 14:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xb56d74…
10-28 14:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xa8ff93…
10-28 14:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xcf93e7…
10-28 13:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x260456…
10-28 13:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x358103…
10-28 13:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xb70571…
10-28 13:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0x093d28…
10-28 13:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xb7b67f…
10-28 13:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xe6fb3b…
10-28 13:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x2702c4…
10-28 13:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xdcf81d…
10-28 13:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x42c8e8…
10-28 13:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xebd698…
10-28 13:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x90ff95…
10-28 13:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x633f38…
10-28 13:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x6acc82…
10-28 13:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x33eda4…
10-28 13:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x03c99c…
10-28 13:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x4b6a6a…
10-28 13:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x6c2544…
10-28 13:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xb40626…
10-28 13:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x5640e4…
10-28 13:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	32	85¢	$27	0xeb3f7e…
10-28 13:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0xca51f0…
10-28 13:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x248028…
10-28 13:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x7c2c06…
10-28 13:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xd75e29…
10-28 13:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x864eb7…
10-28 13:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x41b7fe…
10-28 13:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xb7b23d…
10-28 13:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x29f327…
10-28 12:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xb0b6a8…
10-28 12:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x7e232f…
10-28 12:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xa94398…
10-28 12:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x305f53…
10-28 12:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x1dc64c…
10-28 12:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x7b9ca9…
10-28 12:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x1830fa…
10-28 12:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xccc45d…
10-28 12:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x7b46ff…
10-28 12:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x527b9d…
10-28 12:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	26	56¢	$15	0x7ebf4c…
10-28 12:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	24	57¢	$14	0x4f3f2c…
10-28 12:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x00e080…
10-28 12:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x21ded2…
10-28 12:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x8927bc…
10-28 11:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x91e610…
10-28 11:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x8d03fe…
10-28 11:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x8e7cd2…
10-28 11:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xf1cd5c…
10-28 11:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x855930…
10-28 11:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x134972…
10-28 11:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xa63f39…
10-28 11:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xd202b3…
10-28 10:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xd502dc…
10-28 10:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xb2c2ba…
10-28 10:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xa0a0df…
10-28 10:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x80f797…
10-28 10:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xe6e35b…
10-28 10:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xdff496…
10-28 10:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xf60160…
10-28 10:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xf3736f…
10-28 10:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x932bd9…
10-28 10:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x4ce420…
10-28 10:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x282feb…
10-28 10:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x370f2d…
10-28 10:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xa8d418…
10-28 10:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xbbaa3b…
10-28 10:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xd764ee…
10-28 10:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x212c75…
10-28 09:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x9c9d0a…
10-28 09:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xaac547…
10-28 09:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x0390b9…
10-28 09:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x098798…
10-28 09:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x96bca5…
10-28 09:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xa4a165…
10-28 09:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x42bac9…
10-28 09:23:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x73e336…
10-28 09:23:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x3d5975…
10-28 09:23:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x61f8e6…
10-28 09:23:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x18c8b8…
10-28 09:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x851815…
10-28 09:09:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x309249…