Fatal-Decoder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$62

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.2%

Resolved

167

Trades

343

lifetime

Volume

$1.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-19 22:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

77% 51% -$57

Sports

8% 86% +$21

Crypto

8% 57% -$13

Politics

7% 57% -$12

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	3	$39	35	35	+0	No	-$11	05-18 17:35
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5	2	$39	24	24	+0	Over	+$9	05-18 02:49
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	3	$21	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	05-18 07:58
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5	2	$21	14	14	+0	Over	+$8	05-18 02:49
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	4	$21	22	22	+0	FURIA	-$4	05-15 16:14
Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-16?	2	$21	12	12	+0	Yes	+$3	05-16 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	4	$20	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 20:12
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12?	4	$19	13	13	+0	Yes	+$4	05-12 19:51
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	2	$18	10	10	+0	TDK	+$2	05-13 15:33
Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5	4	$18	13	12	+0	Over	+$0	05-15 11:27
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-05-15?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	05-15 17:40
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	3	$15	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	05-15 08:55
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?	2	$15	11	11	+0	Yes	+$7	05-12 12:34
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-15?	3	$15	11	11	+0	Yes	+$6	05-15 13:30
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-05-16?	3	$15	9	9	+0	Yes	+$3	05-16 12:24
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5	2	$15	9	9	+0	Over	+$3	05-14 03:30
Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group B	2	$14	9	9	+0	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	+$4	05-12 14:35
SSC Bari vs. FC Südtirol: O/U 2.5	2	$13	8	8	+0	Under	+$3	05-15 20:05
Map Handicap: SASHI (-1.5) vs Oxuji Esports (+1.5)	2	$13	8	8	+0	Sashi Esport	+$4	05-15 09:59
Henan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 1.5	5	$12	10	10	+0	Under	+$1	05-15 13:35
Dota 2: PlayTime vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	3	$12	9	9	+0	BetBoom Team	$0	05-15 16:14
Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 1.5	2	$12	7	7	+0	Over	+$1	05-17 06:26
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)	2	$12	7	7	+0	Natus Vincere	+$3	05-17 21:42
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	2	$12	7	7	+0	B8	+$2	05-12 17:09
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5	5	$11	11	11	+0	Over	-$4	05-13 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$11	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 20:08
Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?	2	$11	10	10	+0	No	+$1	05-13 07:00
Will Falcons win PGL Astana 2026?	2	$11	23	23	+0	No	-$9	05-17 13:34
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5	1	$11	14	0	+14	Over	+$3	05-18 21:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 22:02:03	Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)	Fluminense FC	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x715649…
05-19 21:06:26	AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x5afeaf…
05-19 16:25:18	AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xe20fd2…
05-19 16:05:35	Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winner	100 Thieves	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0x47d1a2…
05-19 14:16:12	Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winner	100 Thieves	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x110712…
05-19 14:15:23	Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 Winner	Nuclear TigeRES	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x7ee098…
05-19 13:51:21	Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x9d1267…
05-19 13:24:31	Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x0c9c44…
05-19 09:50:47	Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x18b2ad…
05-19 09:48:50	Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x87833b…
05-19 09:46:04	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	Nemiga	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x338191…
05-19 09:39:26	Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series#3 Group A	Hashiras	SELL	6	59¢	$4	0x6251d0…
05-19 09:39:09	Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	GenOne	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x70bc5b…
05-19 09:21:23	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	Nemiga	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0x9fdf19…
05-19 09:19:14	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xc8f890…
05-19 09:05:50	Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)	Eternal Fire	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x77fbd4…
05-19 07:22:16	cs2 ruby1 g1 2026 05 19 map handicap away 1pt5	GenOne	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x5b74d6…
05-19 07:19:46	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	47¢	$3	0xb9f437…
05-19 07:19:07	Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series#3 Group A	Hashiras	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x601d35…
05-19 07:18:34	Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)	Eternal Fire	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x6ba3ae…
05-19 07:17:45	Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	GenOne	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x966a6d…
05-18 21:55:42	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5	Over	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0xff41f6…
05-18 20:30:38	Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x2f0ab0…
05-18 20:18:59	Partizan vs. KK Crvena Zvezda	Partizan	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb89f5a…
05-18 19:31:08	Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x7e6e3f…
05-18 19:23:36	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x549e1d…
05-18 17:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0x18ed11…
05-18 17:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x3d72ce…
05-18 17:42:18	Partizan vs. KK Crvena Zvezda	Partizan	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xcb3b88…
05-18 17:35:45	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	35	41¢	$14	0xd68659…
05-18 11:39:18	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xc6ac6a…
05-18 07:58:04	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0x9447ce…
05-18 03:21:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	5¢	$2	0xc5fa8a…
05-18 03:20:52	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0xb7748a…
05-18 03:13:38	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	88¢	$10	0xea7c69…
05-18 03:12:40	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	7¢	$3	0x18174e…
05-18 03:06:00	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xa125ad…
05-18 03:05:16	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x858358…
05-18 02:49:57	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5	Over	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x5e2ed8…
05-18 02:49:54	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5	Over	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x7b3024…
05-17 21:44:21	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5	Over	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0xdab248…
05-17 21:43:30	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5	Over	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0xf69902…
05-17 21:42:15	Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x32b08d…
05-17 21:41:40	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winner	Natus Vincere	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc6ef34…
05-17 20:59:20	OGC Nice vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x228f57…
05-17 20:43:41	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x8c42db…
05-17 20:42:20	Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0x195725…
05-17 20:01:53	OGC Nice vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	71¢	$3	0x370b98…
05-17 20:01:23	Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xa15762…
05-17 18:49:52	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x39305b…
05-17 18:49:47	Athletic Club vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdd0e9f…
05-17 18:49:43	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xfd7a41…
05-17 16:46:59	Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x6e0748…
05-17 15:44:50	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xbfe541…
05-17 15:42:16	Atalanta BC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x56a97b…
05-17 15:41:57	Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x17011a…
05-17 15:41:36	Athletic Club vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xb26ef9…
05-17 15:31:30	Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x82d2bc…
05-17 15:20:32	1. FC Magdeburg vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x010f51…
05-17 14:53:23	Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0xb4cd2f…
05-17 14:45:39	1. FC Magdeburg vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x1b9241…
05-17 13:59:13	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x359f0b…
05-17 13:35:43	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xb4df55…
05-17 13:35:01	Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision - Map 4 Winner	Lynn Vision	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x6835d2…
05-17 13:34:38	Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision (BO5) - Asian Champions League Playoffs	Lynn Vision	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xcf6c37…
05-17 13:34:07	Will Falcons win PGL Astana 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0x90c382…
05-17 13:31:55	Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision - Map 4 Winner	Lynn Vision	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xf87251…
05-17 13:31:22	Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x63e3ef…
05-17 13:31:03	Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x27765c…
05-17 12:52:05	Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x69d37e…
05-17 12:02:53	Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x93a7d7…
05-17 12:01:06	Kawasaki Frontale vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5be58d…
05-17 11:43:24	Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x2e344f…
05-17 11:22:29	Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x362454…
05-17 11:18:45	Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x76f55a…
05-17 11:18:33	Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner	Lynn Vision	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1749e2…
05-17 11:15:08	Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xd1d1b3…
05-17 10:27:35	Kawasaki Frontale vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x70a2a8…
05-17 10:26:53	Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb3d51d…
05-17 10:26:08	Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x257953…
05-17 10:25:01	Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xf48802…
05-17 10:11:56	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)	MOUZ	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd22f89…
05-17 09:28:42	Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xf1ba61…
05-17 09:28:40	Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x6b64ed…
05-17 09:21:04	Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xd41904…
05-17 09:08:45	Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x36166d…
05-17 08:52:53	Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner	Lynn Vision	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5d30b3…
05-17 08:48:24	Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0xdf2c38…
05-17 07:47:47	Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6d7de3…
05-17 07:41:54	Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xd803ad…
05-17 07:41:08	Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision (BO5) - Asian Champions League Playoffs	Lynn Vision	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x198407…
05-17 07:36:05	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)	MOUZ	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x142524…
05-17 07:34:13	Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x7ff969…
05-17 07:01:56	Fagiano Okayama vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xfe9677…
05-17 07:01:53	Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x542bac…
05-17 07:00:13	JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6450e2…
05-17 06:29:28	Fagiano Okayama vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x1984d4…
05-17 06:29:09	JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xab2ab5…
05-17 06:27:21	Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x720f23…
05-17 06:26:47	Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x1fbec9…