Visible-Twist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

295

Trades

295

lifetime

Volume

$3.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-05 00:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 227 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$6

Politics

5% 89% -$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 14?	1	$27	27	+27	Yes	+$0	05-14 15:02
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$27	27	+27	No	-$27	05-15 04:59
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 2?	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	05-02 14:16
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	04-30 08:49
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$26	27	+27	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:33
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$26	26	+26	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:41
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C on April 28?	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	04-28 10:46
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 27?	1	$26	26	+26	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:41
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	04-27 10:29
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 26?	1	$26	26	+26	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:31
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 26?	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	04-26 09:13
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on April 25?	1	$26	26	+26	Yes	+$0	04-25 12:10
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$25	26	+26	No	+$0	04-24 09:04
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:19
highest temperature in jakarta on april 22 2026 35c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:16
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$1	04-21 15:51
highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 15corhigher	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-21 06:25
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 20 2026 20c	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-21 01:22
highest temperature in karachi on april 20 2026 34c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-20 16:46
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 15c	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-20 06:09
highest temperature in lucknow on april 19 2026 42c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:08
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 18c	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$0	04-19 05:40
highest temperature in moscow on april 18 2026 10c	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:19
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 08:06
highest temperature in manila on april 17 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 10:19
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 54 55f	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 03:47
highest temperature in busan on april 16 2026 21c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:01
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 05:53
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-15 14:47
highest temperature in wellington on april 15 2026 19c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-15 06:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 00:30:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe1832c…
11-03 17:55:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcac0ca…
11-03 09:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf4c61f…
11-02 10:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1d9862…
11-01 09:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x226856…
10-31 07:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x70df4f…
10-30 09:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb269b3…
10-29 07:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa8255e…
10-28 04:57:44	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbdcfdb…
10-27 07:56:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0bbfd9…
10-26 05:31:11	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x76c9ef…
10-24 06:50:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb77725…
10-22 09:52:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xc9966a…
10-20 04:37:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x28d558…
10-19 06:27:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdface0…
10-18 07:28:20	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b397f…
10-17 07:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcdc33b…
10-16 05:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0edac2…
10-15 06:37:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6521a…
10-14 07:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae32f1…
10-13 14:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x263792…
10-13 04:19:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb2b6e9…
10-12 04:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c4faa…
10-11 03:12:47	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b06d8…
10-08 05:15:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbeb8e6…
10-07 08:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea7ae8…
10-06 07:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51e2b2…
10-04 08:26:11	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc06931…
10-03 03:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd446dc…
10-02 07:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x502a32…
10-02 03:12:53	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x03c230…
10-01 07:35:38	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b9f11…
09-30 07:38:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a27f5…
09-29 07:13:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8a8c9…
09-28 08:14:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc6ebc8…
09-27 02:28:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f25a3…
09-25 07:53:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d38b7…
09-24 06:41:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x561aa3…
09-23 05:14:53	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe0e22d…
09-22 06:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8fd76…
09-21 08:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x624bf1…
09-20 03:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63ceec…
09-19 06:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4fd14f…
09-18 01:10:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x991879…
09-17 03:31:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb81fb7…
09-16 08:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6ede62…
09-15 23:34:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x728bb0…
09-15 02:27:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x592d3d…
09-14 02:44:01	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x28cb82…
09-13 12:50:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e2109…
09-12 07:28:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1a062…
09-11 06:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa44979…
09-10 01:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe5d97a…
09-09 01:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe047ce…
09-08 01:07:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d8cb1…
09-07 01:50:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xecbd78…
09-06 01:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0a0e9e…
09-05 09:20:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4be1e8…
09-04 08:19:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd264e0…
09-03 01:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2cb62f…
09-01 01:23:52	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa26108…
08-30 00:14:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe3f65…
08-29 05:50:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec58de…
08-28 01:29:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19e0c0…
08-27 01:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x48aa7e…
08-26 02:01:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5255ba…
08-25 06:42:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd762da…
08-24 07:17:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x603178…
08-23 07:11:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x630548…
08-22 06:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x346413…
08-21 01:27:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x854dc2…
08-20 05:33:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x729c7e…
08-19 07:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x318296…
08-18 00:19:15	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa87344…
08-17 06:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc58513…
08-16 01:52:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xffa373…
08-15 02:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d6a73…
08-14 01:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99957f…
08-13 00:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0b104…
08-12 06:47:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x290218…
08-11 00:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8714e7…
08-10 00:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38e7b2…
08-09 07:45:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ffca6…
08-09 00:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x307d69…
08-08 00:19:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99736a…
08-07 00:26:29	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xefbb4b…
08-06 00:23:50	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17ecbe…
08-05 00:34:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b0961…
08-04 03:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x190c56…
08-03 00:18:35	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34a633…
08-02 00:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8b0adb…
08-01 00:16:33	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6470f6…
07-31 07:10:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf967ec…
07-30 00:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x248647…
07-29 00:17:47	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20e6f5…
07-28 00:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72d73a…
07-27 06:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb99351…
07-26 01:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc42443…
07-25 00:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac2748…
07-24 01:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7083ed…