Novel-Elimination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$840

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

307

Trades

1,700

lifetime

Volume

$140.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$83

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 06-03 15:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% +$839

Other

0% 50% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	78	$6.1K	3,430	3,430	+0	Up	+$671	05-27 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	64	$5.1K	2,652	2,652	+0	Down	+$126	05-27 14:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 11:00 UTC	177	$3.7K	8,670	8,618	+52	Up	+$305	02-03 11:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 08:45 UTC	14	$3.6K	2,235	2,224	+11	Up	-$7	02-04 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	58	$3.5K	2,045	2,045	+0	Down	+$524	05-27 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	70	$3.4K	2,094	2,094	+0	Down	+$61	05-27 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	3	$2.6K	2,075	1,608	+467	Down	+$412	05-28 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$2.4K	1,411	1,411	+0	Down	+$379	05-28 13:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 09:30 UTC	2	$2.3K	1,954	1,926	+28	Down	+$723	01-29 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	4	$2.2K	1,376	1,376	+0	Down	+$207	05-27 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	5	$2.0K	1,480	1,480	+0	Down	+$380	05-28 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$1.9K	1,335	1,335	+0	Down	-$75	05-28 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	13	$1.8K	5,651	5,651	+0	Up	-$352	05-24 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	3	$1.8K	1,059	1,059	+0	Down	+$266	05-27 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	23	$1.8K	1,192	1,192	+0	Down	+$450	05-28 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$1.8K	1,798	1,798	+0	Down	-$234	05-28 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	5	$1.6K	1,015	1,015	+0	Down	+$405	05-22 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	34	$1.5K	1,006	1,005	+0	Up	+$385	05-30 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	5	$1.5K	1,012	1,012	+0	Down	+$334	05-28 00:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	7	$1.5K	1,101	1,101	+0	Up	+$179	05-28 09:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 10:00 UTC	1	$1.5K	1,616	0	+1,616	Down	+$129	01-30 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	5	$1.5K	2,423	0	+2,423	Down	+$968	05-24 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	7	$1.4K	819	819	+0	Down	+$211	05-28 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$1.4K	1,606	1,606	+0	Up	-$596	05-28 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	5	$1.3K	773	773	+0	Down	+$108	05-28 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	3	$1.3K	852	852	+0	Down	+$67	05-28 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	6	$1.2K	1,208	773	+436	Down	+$276	05-28 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	11	$1.2K	704	704	+0	Down	+$238	05-27 23:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	4	$1.1K	981	897	+84	Down	+$159	05-27 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	5	$1.1K	570	570	+0	Up	+$27	05-22 15:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 15:56:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,308	0¢	$37	0x43933a…
06-03 15:52:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,056	0¢	$28	0xf5030f…
06-03 15:47:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x0adee0…
06-03 15:46:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,169	0¢	$10	0x82e8a2…
05-30 13:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x0ad966…
05-30 13:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	167	45¢	$75	0x8ead81…
05-30 13:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	146	51¢	$75	0x0b0e3f…
05-30 13:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	149	6¢	$9	0x7851e9…
05-30 13:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	149	50¢	$75	0x2cf57b…
05-30 13:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	248	49¢	$122	0x20afc6…
05-30 13:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	248	30¢	$75	0x2fc328…
05-30 13:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	250	1¢	$2	0x0cb5f3…
05-30 13:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	250	6¢	$15	0xfe0246…
05-30 13:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	312	71¢	$221	0x629b33…
05-30 13:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	170	44¢	$75	0x966f98…
05-30 13:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	142	53¢	$75	0x8d9226…
05-30 13:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	183	8¢	$15	0x63c380…
05-30 13:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	223	17¢	$37	0x75ad13…
05-30 13:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	321	21¢	$67	0xd479d8…
05-30 13:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	112	13¢	$15	0xba419f…
05-30 13:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0xff386f…
05-30 13:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	37	63¢	$24	0xb757f0…
05-30 13:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x742e01…
05-30 12:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	816	26¢	$212	0xbf4fcb…
05-30 12:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	132	29¢	$38	0x8d4013…
05-30 12:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	563	44¢	$250	0x84f00d…
05-30 12:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	85	27¢	$23	0x283d78…
05-30 12:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	277	9¢	$25	0xa1eb20…
05-30 11:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	417	6¢	$25	0x3964f7…
05-30 10:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	168	45¢	$75	0x37383b…
05-30 10:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	157	48¢	$75	0x757599…
05-30 10:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	160	76¢	$122	0x3f8f13…
05-30 10:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	160	47¢	$75	0xe4b40e…
05-30 10:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	564	44¢	$250	0xdad385…
05-30 10:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	500	50¢	$250	0x1ce610…
05-30 10:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	492	53¢	$258	0x4713c2…
05-30 10:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	492	51¢	$250	0xb3e80f…
05-30 10:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	355	4¢	$14	0x1ea233…
05-30 10:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	355	18¢	$65	0x56b9ad…
05-30 10:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	545	46¢	$250	0x7b3824…
05-30 10:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	303	83¢	$250	0x658916…
05-30 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf0c1d3…
05-30 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe4982e…
05-30 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xdad731…
05-30 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xcd44d9…
05-30 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xc67651…
05-30 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0xc1e343…
05-30 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc079b4…
05-30 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xb90d43…
05-30 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb7e60c…
05-30 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb50f47…
05-30 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xa367c7…
05-30 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x912b47…
05-30 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7b2679…
05-30 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6d1caa…
05-30 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x69b3c4…
05-30 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0x666094…
05-30 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5fef73…
05-30 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x483fb8…
05-30 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x405ed9…
05-30 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0x3ccdfe…
05-30 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3aba0c…
05-30 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x34daa7…
05-30 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2f28ca…
05-30 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$24	0x1c8c4c…
05-30 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x1ab6a1…
05-30 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x117512…
05-30 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	300	99¢	$297	0x10a8c9…
05-30 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x0c8320…
05-30 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0b573c…
05-30 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x043145…
05-30 10:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	455	55¢	$250	0xca6d99…
05-30 10:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	442	57¢	$250	0xab3bee…
05-30 10:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	109	66¢	$72	0x5d8f90…
05-30 10:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	109	69¢	$75	0x0706ce…
05-30 10:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	312	61¢	$191	0xe5e9ee…
05-30 10:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	312	24¢	$75	0xc2edca…
05-30 10:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	153	43¢	$66	0x9f9048…
05-30 10:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	163	46¢	$75	0xf168bb…
05-30 10:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	194	39¢	$75	0x98b691…
05-30 10:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8fb5ed…
05-30 10:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	67	71¢	$48	0x2d7a86…
05-30 10:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	67	37¢	$25	0x3a287f…
05-30 09:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	65	38¢	$25	0xbe7ce4…
05-30 09:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	153	49¢	$75	0xf6a617…
05-30 09:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	127	59¢	$75	0x5d0966…
05-30 09:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	136	55¢	$75	0x5373e5…
05-30 09:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	139	54¢	$75	0xe3d8c5…
05-28 14:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x71fa28…
05-28 14:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xc6dc02…
05-28 14:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	109	69¢	$75	0x8ad73b…
05-28 14:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0x98517a…
05-28 14:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x7c6c88…
05-28 14:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	82	92¢	$75	0x3747f3…
05-28 14:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	25	14¢	$4	0x3eac2f…
05-28 14:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	292	18¢	$52	0xb56a27…
05-28 14:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	167	45¢	$75	0x73478e…
05-28 14:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	150	50¢	$75	0x0dc15b…
05-28 14:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	183	3¢	$5	0x8bbeca…
05-28 14:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	136	14¢	$19	0x5a75b8…