Lustrous-Learning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

96.6%

Resolved

4,260

Trades

4,257

lifetime

Volume

$6.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-14

last 11-14 12:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 149 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 95% +$25

Other

3% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 248 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	—	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	11-14 14:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-20 16:28
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:00 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-21 13:02
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 14:10 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-21 14:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 21:45 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-19 21:57
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 14:25 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-21 14:27
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:20 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-20 19:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 15:30 UTC	1	$3	4	+4	Down	+$1	08-20 15:43
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:15 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-21 13:18
bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 2am et	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	07-23 06:59
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:35 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-20 19:37
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 15:20 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-21 15:22
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 15:00 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-21 15:03
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 17:40 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-20 17:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 21:30 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-19 21:44
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:15 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-21 09:18
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 19:30 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-20 19:43
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:25 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-20 19:27
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:15 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-21 09:17
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 15:25 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-21 15:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 01:20 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-21 01:22
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 11:45 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-21 11:47
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 14:45 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-21 14:47
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 03:30 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-21 03:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 16:00 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-20 16:13
HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 14:45 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-21 14:58
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 15:15 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	-$3	08-21 15:28
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 15:30 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-21 15:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:15 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-20 15:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:55 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-21 08:57
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 15:45 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-19 15:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 14:01:38	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8b7abe…
11-14 13:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xad8d0b…
11-14 13:46:05	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4281df…
11-14 13:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc3ef30…
11-14 13:42:02	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb456d6…
11-14 13:41:29	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x5abdee…
11-14 13:31:53	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x8722b4…
11-14 13:26:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xf54de0…
11-14 13:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe80fb2…
11-14 13:21:56	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x09d0c8…
11-14 13:16:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2127a9…
11-14 12:51:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6a73b1…
11-14 12:31:44	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf1d867…
11-14 12:17:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xbad1b8…
11-14 12:12:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x31f918…
11-14 11:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1a0fa1…
11-14 11:30:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x40529c…
11-14 11:18:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa6df39…
11-14 11:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4c86c5…
11-14 11:07:02	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x453a1f…
11-14 10:45:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x745a98…
11-14 10:36:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9d56e4…
11-14 10:32:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc19644…
11-14 10:22:05	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x438ba7…
11-14 10:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2ac6bc…
11-14 10:06:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x386371…
11-14 09:31:41	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x69fe23…
11-14 09:22:59	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6efe6d…
11-14 09:02:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc2d684…
11-14 08:52:41	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3f6eb2…
11-14 08:31:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xab31a2…
11-14 08:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8250a9…
11-14 08:28:20	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x754f52…
11-14 08:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2d3d76…
11-14 08:08:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x97f9ec…
11-14 07:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa586f4…
11-14 07:55:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xca1a0f…
11-14 07:38:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc114b4…
11-14 07:32:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdbfc7e…
11-14 07:27:11	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xec58d1…
11-14 07:20:53	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x71c0ce…
11-14 07:17:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0582db…
11-14 07:07:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x349a80…
11-14 06:52:50	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x815bba…
11-14 06:46:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf8525b…
11-14 06:21:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x496b61…
11-14 06:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x044cae…
11-14 06:01:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x2752dd…
11-14 05:56:53	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xaf83fc…
11-14 05:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8254cd…
11-14 05:11:47	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x230379…
11-14 05:06:56	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xde8a42…
11-14 05:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa0f84f…
11-14 05:01:53	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xaaa312…
11-14 04:16:56	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe0f3c9…
11-14 04:01:38	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc79a52…
11-14 03:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6e8cd4…
11-14 03:56:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9504af…
11-14 03:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdc945a…
11-14 03:36:17	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe3c7b2…
11-14 03:31:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x995708…
11-14 03:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1c2cef…
11-14 03:16:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x63abc3…
11-14 03:11:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x648b11…
11-14 02:37:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x617260…
11-14 02:32:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x678ffc…
11-14 02:21:08	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x78ad27…
11-14 02:07:35	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa3e014…
11-14 02:02:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb0cb8a…
11-14 01:48:20	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x90123d…
11-14 01:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7cff05…
11-14 01:25:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xad096d…
11-14 01:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1405cb…
11-14 01:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xcd8ab8…
11-14 01:00:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x51bffb…
11-14 00:31:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x164a8e…
11-14 00:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb5553c…
11-14 00:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x22a0bb…
11-14 00:00:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xff1038…
11-13 23:52:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe5598a…
11-13 23:31:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb9230f…
11-13 23:22:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x75b4c5…
11-13 23:00:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5a4113…
11-13 22:53:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x92e4f0…
11-13 22:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf42ee5…
11-13 22:16:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x14e939…
11-13 22:13:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xfd7fff…
11-13 22:06:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb62bcd…
11-13 21:46:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1f271a…
11-13 21:42:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfb4d10…
11-13 21:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb41aef…
11-13 21:36:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x32a721…
11-13 21:32:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2e9a55…
11-13 21:20:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf8cf37…
11-13 20:50:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0bd97a…
11-13 20:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb8d311…
11-13 20:47:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7e231a…
11-13 20:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x09dd6f…
11-13 19:56:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcf1426…
11-13 19:45:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xea7760…