Lustrous-Learning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

96.5%

Resolved

4,303

Trades

4,310

lifetime

Volume

$6.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-14

last 11-14 16:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 149 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 95% +$18

Other

3% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 248 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	—	+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	11-14 17:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-20 16:28
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:00 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-21 13:02
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 14:10 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-21 14:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 21:45 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-19 21:57
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 14:25 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-21 14:27
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:20 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-20 19:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 15:30 UTC	1	$3	4	+4	Down	+$1	08-20 15:43
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:15 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-21 13:18
bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 2am et	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	07-23 06:59
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:35 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-20 19:37
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 15:20 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-21 15:22
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 15:00 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-21 15:03
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 17:40 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-20 17:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 21:30 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-19 21:44
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:15 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-21 09:18
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 19:30 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-20 19:43
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:25 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-20 19:27
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:15 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-21 09:17
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 15:25 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-21 15:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 01:20 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-21 01:22
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 11:45 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-21 11:47
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 14:45 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-21 14:47
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 03:30 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-21 03:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 16:00 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-20 16:13
HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 14:45 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-21 14:58
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 15:15 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	-$3	08-21 15:28
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 15:30 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-21 15:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:15 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-20 15:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:55 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-21 08:57
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 15:45 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-19 15:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 17:40:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x29b1ea…
11-14 17:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2c3b89…
11-14 17:21:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf3b7d8…
11-14 17:17:50	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x08fc38…
11-14 17:12:20	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x928eab…
11-14 17:07:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xafe9ff…
11-14 17:01:02	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4bdb41…
11-14 16:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x4af856…
11-14 16:50:59	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x020e41…
11-14 16:45:47	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe8df6c…
11-14 16:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x5ed775…
11-14 16:42:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdae49c…
11-14 16:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x91d80e…
11-14 16:36:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf27a2e…
11-14 16:28:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xde16f4…
11-14 16:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x056830…
11-14 16:21:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0e474c…
11-14 16:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xab162a…
11-14 16:11:17	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb7185c…
11-14 16:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9eaab9…
11-14 16:06:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x430450…
11-14 16:03:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xbd8745…
11-14 15:52:29	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x7a76bc…
11-14 15:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xeaf78b…
11-14 15:41:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa7c6fd…
11-14 15:41:08	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xfa791c…
11-14 15:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa9e35e…
11-14 15:37:20	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xab13c5…
11-14 15:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb7132d…
11-14 15:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xe1debd…
11-14 15:32:08	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x845b14…
11-14 15:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf5f720…
11-14 15:22:08	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb54ffe…
11-14 15:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x8ef0ef…
11-14 15:16:41	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x21782c…
11-14 15:11:53	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2611dc…
11-14 15:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0bd87b…
11-14 15:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xbd2a09…
11-14 15:01:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xaca937…
11-14 14:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd1bef8…
11-14 14:51:44	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x96a472…
11-14 14:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd54294…
11-14 14:45:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x6068f3…
11-14 14:42:17	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x69764f…
11-14 14:41:29	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x67204c…
11-14 14:38:02	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd2213f…
11-14 14:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe00c48…
11-14 14:26:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x0efb30…
11-14 14:23:47	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x059751…
11-14 14:01:38	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8b7abe…
11-14 13:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xad8d0b…
11-14 13:46:05	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4281df…
11-14 13:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc3ef30…
11-14 13:42:02	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb456d6…
11-14 13:41:29	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x5abdee…
11-14 13:31:53	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x8722b4…
11-14 13:26:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xf54de0…
11-14 13:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe80fb2…
11-14 13:21:56	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x09d0c8…
11-14 13:16:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2127a9…
11-14 12:51:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6a73b1…
11-14 12:31:44	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf1d867…
11-14 12:17:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xbad1b8…
11-14 12:12:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x31f918…
11-14 11:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1a0fa1…
11-14 11:30:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x40529c…
11-14 11:18:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa6df39…
11-14 11:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4c86c5…
11-14 11:07:02	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x453a1f…
11-14 10:45:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x745a98…
11-14 10:36:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9d56e4…
11-14 10:32:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc19644…
11-14 10:22:05	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x438ba7…
11-14 10:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2ac6bc…
11-14 10:06:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x386371…
11-14 09:31:41	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x69fe23…
11-14 09:22:59	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6efe6d…
11-14 09:02:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc2d684…
11-14 08:52:41	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3f6eb2…
11-14 08:31:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xab31a2…
11-14 08:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8250a9…
11-14 08:28:20	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x754f52…
11-14 08:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2d3d76…
11-14 08:08:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x97f9ec…
11-14 07:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa586f4…
11-14 07:55:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xca1a0f…
11-14 07:38:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc114b4…
11-14 07:32:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdbfc7e…
11-14 07:27:11	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xec58d1…
11-14 07:20:53	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x71c0ce…
11-14 07:17:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0582db…
11-14 07:07:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x349a80…
11-14 06:52:50	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x815bba…
11-14 06:46:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf8525b…
11-14 06:21:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x496b61…
11-14 06:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x044cae…
11-14 06:01:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x2752dd…
11-14 05:56:53	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xaf83fc…
11-14 05:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8254cd…
11-14 05:11:47	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x230379…