Lustrous-Learning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$28

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

96.7%

Resolved

4,164

Trades

4,170

lifetime

Volume

$6.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 11-13 19:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 148 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 95% +$26

Other

3% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 248 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	—	+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	11-13 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	—	+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	11-13 20:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-20 16:28
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:00 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-21 13:02
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 14:10 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-21 14:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 21:45 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-19 21:57
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 14:25 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-21 14:27
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:20 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-20 19:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 15:30 UTC	1	$3	4	+4	Down	+$1	08-20 15:43
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:15 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-21 13:18
bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 2am et	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	07-23 06:59
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:35 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-20 19:37
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 15:20 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-21 15:22
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 15:00 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-21 15:03
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 17:40 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-20 17:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 21:30 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-19 21:44
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:15 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-21 09:18
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 19:30 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-20 19:43
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:25 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-20 19:27
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:15 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-21 09:17
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 15:25 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-21 15:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 01:20 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-21 01:22
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 11:45 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-21 11:47
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 14:45 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-21 14:47
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 03:30 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-21 03:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 16:00 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-20 16:13
HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 14:45 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-21 14:58
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 15:15 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	-$3	08-21 15:28
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 15:30 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-21 15:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:15 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Down	+$0	08-20 15:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:55 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-21 08:57
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 15:45 UTC	1	$3	3	+3	Up	+$0	08-19 15:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 20:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb8d311…
11-13 20:47:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7e231a…
11-13 20:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x09dd6f…
11-13 19:56:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcf1426…
11-13 19:45:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xea7760…
11-13 19:42:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd9fbac…
11-13 19:41:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc112c0…
11-13 19:33:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc77d0f…
11-13 19:27:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6acc28…
11-13 19:07:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x180bd4…
11-13 19:00:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd81cf2…
11-13 18:57:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8c5427…
11-13 18:53:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9acd46…
11-13 18:26:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xea914a…
11-13 18:12:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x98dd0b…
11-13 18:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbc3503…
11-13 18:02:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0eb2ac…
11-13 17:41:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x63dd5a…
11-13 17:37:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x23a42c…
11-13 17:27:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1a1e61…
11-13 17:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xda79ea…
11-13 17:05:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x0a2ace…
11-13 17:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x04688d…
11-13 17:00:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x625247…
11-13 16:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5329d7…
11-13 16:43:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4effd1…
11-13 16:16:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xfc2a1d…
11-13 16:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc2d677…
11-13 16:07:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x894625…
11-13 16:01:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb048c9…
11-13 15:50:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x7bc8d5…
11-13 15:46:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xea1e38…
11-13 15:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7be2dd…
11-13 15:36:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x255ee9…
11-13 15:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xbec6a6…
11-13 15:31:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1e05a4…
11-13 15:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x47c74b…
11-13 15:21:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x587c4e…
11-13 15:10:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x0e088d…
11-13 15:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3ac3ea…
11-13 15:06:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x7ecd92…
11-13 15:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc06100…
11-13 15:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xcb66c7…
11-13 15:01:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd3c1fc…
11-13 14:56:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x18da16…
11-13 14:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd1add8…
11-13 14:51:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x86d055…
11-13 14:48:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3287a7…
11-13 14:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf06d5d…
11-13 14:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8db4eb…
11-13 14:40:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x389d75…
11-13 14:40:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x69c9fc…
11-13 14:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x8b923e…
11-13 14:35:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x856c9f…
11-13 14:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x216a78…
11-13 14:31:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x493e8f…
11-13 14:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe6eaf6…
11-13 14:27:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x873ef9…
11-13 14:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6d910a…
11-13 14:25:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd3f854…
11-13 14:11:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xde8dda…
11-13 14:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x95874d…
11-13 14:10:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x867911…
11-13 14:08:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe5cb52…
11-13 14:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd83f04…
11-13 14:02:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xcafdcc…
11-13 13:53:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6b94cd…
11-13 13:30:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb28703…
11-13 13:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd78c82…
11-13 13:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xfa2668…
11-13 13:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0ee627…
11-13 13:26:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd35518…
11-13 13:26:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xbe5b64…
11-13 13:07:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9812ee…
11-13 13:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x74c56b…
11-13 13:00:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xbf8913…
11-13 12:52:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x81913c…
11-13 12:31:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x743e28…
11-13 12:22:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xeec3d1…
11-13 12:01:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd8a906…
11-13 11:55:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0ee952…
11-13 11:52:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd66085…
11-13 11:22:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb71230…
11-13 11:16:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1bcb0b…
11-13 11:12:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0ae896…
11-13 11:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x715f59…
11-13 11:07:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x214863…
11-13 10:56:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf39de3…
11-13 10:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x35bae5…
11-13 10:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x91f007…
11-13 10:00:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x38716e…
11-13 09:42:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x08e673…
11-13 09:32:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1e9ea4…
11-13 09:01:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-13 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x83e9cd…
11-13 08:47:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe686f3…
11-13 08:36:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0a771e…
11-13 08:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcc6ab5…
11-13 08:15:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd38ddf…
11-13 08:12:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3f2882…
11-13 08:07:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xdd7ae5…