Happy-Go-Lucky-Hurdle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$85

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.3%

Resolved

Trades

321

lifetime

Volume

$57.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$178

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 06-05 02:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

55% 67% +$85

Politics

45% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ldp win a majority in the 2026 japanese snap election	34	$7.8K	4,729	4,478	+251	open	—	02-08 21:50
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	3	$7.0K	3,624	3,624	+0	open	—	05-23 18:52
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	20	$6.7K	4,060	4,031	+29	open	—	06-02 12:55
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	1	$6.3K	6,349	0	+6,349	open	—	05-14 19:58
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?	13	$5.7K	6,050	6,050	+0	open	—	04-29 13:28
will the liberal democratic party win 250 or more seats in the 2026 japanese snap general election	25	$3.4K	1,935	1,935	+0	open	—	02-08 21:07
will the centrist reform alliance win fewer than 50 seats in the 2026 japanese general election	15	$3.1K	3,220	0	+3,220	open	—	02-08 21:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	5	$2.0K	2,548	0	+2,548	open	—	04-28 09:50
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	8	$2.0K	2,933	0	+2,933	open	—	05-28 18:10
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 14?	2	$1.8K	889	889	+0	open	—	05-14 20:44
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	12	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-26 03:17
will the conservative party of japan loose any seats in japanese snap election	7	$825	1,262	458	+804	open	—	02-08 21:50
will ewy reach 183 by may 18 2026	3	$806	405	405	+0	open	—	05-21 13:30
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 19?	8	$659	813	3	+811	open	—	05-19 19:54
will the centrist reform alliance win between 50 and 74 seats in the 2026 japanese general election	7	$629	642	191	+451	open	—	02-08 20:20
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	5	$600	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	04-29 11:16
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 28?	9	$598	796	796	+0	open	—	05-28 20:27
will turnout in the 2026 japanese snap election be between 56 and 58	4	$556	486	80	+406	open	—	02-10 07:26
will the japan innovation party win between 35 and 39 seats in the 2026 japanese snap general election	3	$523	552	0	+552	open	—	02-08 18:18
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	7	$505	698	698	+0	open	—	05-13 18:51
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 18 2026?	6	$453	650	150	+500	open	—	05-22 14:37
will the japan innovation party win 45 or more seats in the 2026 japanese snap general election	2	$387	253	170	+83	open	—	02-08 07:57
will silver si hit low 65 by end of february 598 917 186 187 154 235 433 943	9	$346	415	415	+0	open	—	02-02 20:22
will the japan innovation party loose any seats in japanese snap election	5	$314	331	228	+103	open	—	02-08 17:48
will the centrist reform alliance win fewer than 150 seats in the 2026 japanese snap general election	4	$305	187	187	+0	open	—	02-04 20:11
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?	4	$301	309	309	+0	open	—	04-30 12:00
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	16	$297	185	185	+0	Down	+$72	05-11 18:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$224	379	379	+0	open	—	05-06 17:44
will turnout in the 2026 japanese snap election be between 52 and 54	16	$208	146	140	+6	open	—	02-03 02:53
will silver si hit low 70 by end of february 712 779 958 335 231 549 229 331	8	$190	235	235	+0	open	—	01-31 21:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 02:46:30	ewy up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	145	88¢	$128	0xfc1686…
06-02 12:55:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	985	90¢	$886	0x83a4b0…
06-02 12:53:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	940	90¢	$846	0x416ebc…
06-02 12:45:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x3a29b9…
06-02 12:43:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x6c77ca…
06-02 11:57:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	24	83¢	$20	0x70f44c…
06-02 11:46:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0x2bde22…
06-02 11:04:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	800	83¢	$664	0xb21643…
06-02 11:04:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xb6840f…
06-02 11:03:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	53	83¢	$44	0x1c9579…
06-02 11:03:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	49	83¢	$41	0x7b4e81…
06-02 11:02:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	51	83¢	$43	0xd03492…
06-02 11:02:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	788	83¢	$654	0x318944…
06-02 10:41:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	272	81¢	$220	0xfc5ae0…
06-02 04:29:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	275	80¢	$220	0x98587a…
06-02 02:51:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd442bd…
06-02 02:40:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x0d7c1c…
06-02 02:18:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	1,039	80¢	$831	0x0a9b8d…
06-02 02:14:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	1,500	80¢	$1,200	0xda97c8…
06-02 02:13:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	893	80¢	$715	0xcb8b5c…
06-02 00:31:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	342	74¢	$253	0x86abc0…
06-01 00:07:50	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	173	52¢	$90	0xccdfc5…
05-28 20:27:20	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0x06554d…
05-28 20:12:05	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x346067…
05-28 20:06:39	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	SELL	330	0¢	$0	0x4293d0…
05-28 19:54:33	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	SELL	281	0¢	$0	0xc9dfb9…
05-28 19:51:17	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0xd36174…
05-28 18:10:40	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x39c022…
05-28 18:10:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	150	69¢	$103	0xf4c275…
05-28 18:10:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	150	69¢	$103	0x8367d8…
05-28 18:06:17	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x59316b…
05-28 18:01:09	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	150	69¢	$103	0xfb3371…
05-28 17:51:40	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	2,034	69¢	$1,403	0x0ea68b…
05-28 17:51:11	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	294	66¢	$193	0xc67100…
05-28 17:40:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x0904e3…
05-28 05:58:56	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	35	66¢	$23	0x9483a7…
05-28 04:21:39	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	138	82¢	$113	0x2bdec8…
05-28 04:21:22	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	407	82¢	$334	0x256510…
05-28 00:15:56	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	216	59¢	$127	0xfe40a2…
05-27 12:19:23	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	SELL	57	63¢	$36	0xe92d84…
05-27 12:18:59	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x1a9ce4…
05-27 11:44:20	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	SELL	47	63¢	$29	0x5d6f2b…
05-27 03:57:24	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	108	62¢	$67	0x9a2f8d…
05-26 03:17:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	76	44¢	$33	0x73f97e…
05-26 03:17:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	100	44¢	$44	0x2690f9…
05-26 03:17:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	100	44¢	$44	0x030947…
05-26 03:17:28	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	105	44¢	$46	0xe3afdd…
05-26 03:17:28	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	10	44¢	$5	0xce28ad…
05-26 03:17:28	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	105	44¢	$46	0x623c68…
05-26 03:17:28	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	105	44¢	$46	0x51b17e…
05-26 03:17:28	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	100	44¢	$44	0x1b1bb9…
05-26 03:17:27	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	100	44¢	$44	0xc530c6…
05-26 03:17:27	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	100	44¢	$44	0x4e3fa8…
05-26 03:17:27	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	100	44¢	$44	0x0f89ec…
05-25 23:50:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	1,000	58¢	$580	0x44b025…
05-25 23:38:33	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	SELL	72	6¢	$4	0xcf2f87…
05-25 23:36:37	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 26?	Down	BUY	72	33¢	$24	0xf0d5f1…
05-23 18:52:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	3,594	98¢	$3,526	0xa07f9c…
05-23 16:50:16	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x5c62cb…
05-23 14:42:01	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	3,624	94¢	$3,400	0xd1a9b1…
05-22 14:37:29	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	313	75¢	$235	0x5effea…
05-22 14:37:19	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	37	75¢	$28	0x92921b…
05-22 14:24:09	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	20¢	$30	0x4de492…
05-22 13:21:23	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	30¢	$12	0xe5e904…
05-22 13:19:05	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	30¢	$33	0xa940a1…
05-22 11:01:18	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	150	77¢	$116	0x291152…
05-21 13:30:09	will ewy reach 183 by may 18 2026	Yes	SELL	405	100¢	$405	0xed8045…
05-21 01:14:52	will ewy reach 183 by may 18 2026	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xf57d41…
05-21 01:12:46	will ewy reach 183 by may 18 2026	Yes	BUY	205	99¢	$203	0x97a251…
05-20 23:27:11	will ewy reach 184 by may 18 2026	No	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xb2793b…
05-20 19:57:54	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xc09af2…
05-19 19:54:09	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcca5fb…
05-19 19:47:02	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe01c9e…
05-19 19:45:37	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x200b5a…
05-19 13:44:46	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xf89b2a…
05-19 02:45:41	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	300	80¢	$240	0xa6e30e…
05-19 02:27:06	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	150	81¢	$122	0x92d10f…
05-19 02:26:50	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	163	80¢	$130	0x2af8ee…
05-19 02:16:15	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	195	82¢	$160	0xcff06e…
05-14 20:44:56	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	889	100¢	$888	0xcfa020…
05-14 20:04:22	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	889	99¢	$880	0x91cfca…
05-14 19:58:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	6,349	100¢	$6,342	0x048313…
05-13 20:07:35	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0xa6740c…
05-13 20:06:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 13?	No	SELL	38	34¢	$13	0x869938…
05-13 18:54:26	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 13?	No	BUY	38	50¢	$19	0xc0be39…
05-13 18:51:38	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	461	4¢	$17	0x87a07d…
05-11 21:14:28	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	414	32¢	$135	0x92e284…
05-11 21:14:09	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x136dba…
05-11 21:13:23	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	237	65¢	$154	0x6f2f96…
05-11 18:31:24	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	74	78¢	$58	0x0656b4…
05-11 18:25:16	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	94	78¢	$74	0x623209…
05-11 18:24:45	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	68	78¢	$53	0x30dc84…
05-11 18:22:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	185	100¢	$185	0xbbe2d7…
05-11 02:00:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xe0a677…
05-11 02:00:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x85b274…
05-11 02:00:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x2ed040…
05-11 02:00:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x0653e2…
05-11 02:00:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xc7f980…
05-11 02:00:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xa07162…
05-11 02:00:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x6f568e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	27	$6.54K	722	05-29 22:06
Tense-Break 0x6291…cc47	23	$27.1K	315	05-24 18:06
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	22	$4.41M	8,354	06-02 12:39
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	22	$1.90K	339	06-02 12:13
(anonymous) 0xf2eb…6eb5	20	$2.32K	130	02-09 03:49
Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf	19	$621	61	02-08 14:18
Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43	17	$47.2K	629	06-05 14:58
Funny-Cricketer 0xf4bf…23f6	15	$16.9K	311	06-05 17:20