Fancy-Quartet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

4.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$901

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$73

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 19:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 17% $-23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	+18	$14	96¢	$17	+$3	05-05 19:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	+17	$14	100¢	$17	+$3	05-05 19:43
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	+18	$14	77¢	$14	$-0	05-05 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	+23	$14	58¢	$13	$-1	05-05 19:28
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	+18	$15	62¢	$11	$-3	05-05 19:23
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	+21	$14	1¢	$0	$-14	05-05 19:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 19:43:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0x22c22a…
05-05 19:43:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	66¢	$14	0xe0ab63…
05-05 19:33:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	80¢	$14	0xc7fb87…
05-05 19:33:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0xa8dc94…
05-05 19:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	62¢	$14	0x6f6a32…
05-05 19:23:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	81¢	$15	0x78e9ae…
05-05 19:13:06	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	58¢	$13	0x788cb1…
05-05 19:13:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	81¢	$14	0x83b92b…
05-05 19:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0xb82438…
05-05 18:58:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0x223201…
05-05 18:58:06	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x6e4b83…
05-05 18:53:08	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	66¢	$14	0x3d74cb…
05-05 18:48:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0x3f001e…
05-05 18:38:06	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	76¢	$14	0x312933…
05-05 18:33:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xe6088e…
05-05 18:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	66¢	$14	0xc9a8a5…
05-05 18:23:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x9698de…
05-05 18:23:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	75¢	$14	0x3646ad…
05-05 18:18:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	25	58¢	$15	0x069ef4…
05-05 18:14:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	76¢	$14	0x731533…
05-05 17:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	79¢	$14	0x25215a…
05-05 17:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0xf0861e…
05-05 14:54:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	63	78¢	$49	0x122c82…
05-05 11:21:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xe8ce6b…
05-05 10:11:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x2334f8…
05-05 10:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xba11b5…
05-05 10:11:08	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xc265d6…
05-05 09:56:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x759ac2…
05-05 09:56:20	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xaa9599…
05-05 09:51:24	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x048ecc…
05-05 09:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x6dd0b1…
05-05 08:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	51	76¢	$39	0xd2a2bf…
05-05 08:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	700	1¢	$7	0x324b39…
05-05 08:11:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	45	84¢	$38	0xa5d918…
05-05 06:55:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0xc4bf2f…
05-05 05:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	228	99¢	$226	0x0753fc…
05-05 04:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0xb4a8d0…
05-05 03:39:54	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x460ebc…
05-05 02:19:58	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	83	17¢	$14	0x073fa9…
05-04 23:14:58	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	50¢	$14	0x4f7eeb…
05-04 23:00:00	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xfb791a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	20	$2.14K	100	05-05 19:43
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	19	$1.57K	60	05-05 19:43
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	18	$7.27K	122	05-05 19:33
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	15	$2.20K	65	05-05 19:31
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	10	$678	62	05-05 19:27
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	10	$666	23	05-05 19:03
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	10	$602	32	05-05 19:26
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	10	$580	30	05-05 19:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$226	0	228	-228	Up	$-2	05-05 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$108	0	109	-109	open	—	05-05 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$55	0	56	-56	Up	$-1	05-05 04:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	1	$49	63	0	+63	open	—	05-05 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	1	$39	51	0	+51	open	—	05-05 08:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	1	$38	45	0	+45	open	—	05-05 08:11
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$15	25	0	+25	Up	+$10	05-04 23:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$15	25	0	+25	open	—	05-05 18:18
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$15	18	0	+18	open	—	05-05 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$14	22	0	+22	open	—	05-05 18:28
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$14	22	0	+22	open	—	05-05 18:53
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$14	83	0	+83	Down	$-14	05-05 02:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$14	18	0	+18	open	—	05-05 19:33
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$14	19	0	+19	open	—	05-05 18:23
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$14	21	0	+21	open	—	05-05 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$14	18	0	+18	open	—	05-05 17:58
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$14	20	0	+20	open	—	05-05 18:33
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$14	20	0	+20	open	—	05-05 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$14	23	0	+23	open	—	05-05 19:28
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$14	18	0	+18	open	—	05-05 19:33
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$14	18	0	+18	open	—	05-05 18:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$14	20	0	+20	open	—	05-05 18:23
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$14	21	0	+21	open	—	05-05 19:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$14	17	0	+17	open	—	05-05 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$14	19	0	+19	open	—	05-05 19:03
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$14	17	0	+17	open	—	05-05 19:13
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$14	18	0	+18	open	—	05-05 18:14
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$14	18	0	+18	open	—	05-05 18:38
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$14	27	0	+27	Up	$-14	05-04 23:14
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$13	23	0	+23	open	—	05-05 19:13