Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$50

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.9%

Resolved

332

Trades

378

lifetime

Volume

$930

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-25

last 10-15 20:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 48% +$53

Other

16% 23% -$6

Politics

2% 100% +$3

Sports

2% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 179 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	4	$54	200	200	+0	Yes	-$4	09-30 20:14
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	2	$28	20	20	+0	No	+$0	09-30 02:28
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	6	$28	80	80	+0	Yes	-$4	09-30 20:15
us iran hormuz agreement by december 31	3	$18	20	20	+0	open	—	09-30 01:14
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5	5	$13	10	10	+0	Over	-$1	09-30 03:01
Will St. Vincent and the Grenadines win on 2026-09-29?	2	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	09-30 03:11
Porto 2: Otto Virtanen vs Tiago Pereira	2	$7	5	5	+0	Tiago Pereira	$0	09-30 02:49
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-27 16:00 UTC	2	$7	11	11	+0	Up	-$1	09-27 17:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:10 UTC	5	$6	17	9	+8	Up	-$2	09-25 22:11
BNB Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-27 20:00 UTC	2	$5	10	0	+10	Up	-$5	09-27 20:14
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 19:40 UTC	3	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	09-27 19:42
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-27 20:00 UTC	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	09-27 20:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 18:05 UTC	1	$5	14	0	+14	Up	-$5	09-27 18:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:35 UTC	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	-$5	09-29 16:32
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:05 UTC	2	$5	10	0	+10	Up	-$5	09-27 20:09
solana up or down september 27 2026 4pm et	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	09-27 20:04
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:00 UTC	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	09-27 20:03
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 19:40 UTC	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	09-27 19:41
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-27 20:00 UTC	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	09-27 20:11
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-27 20:00 UTC	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	09-27 20:08
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 20:00 UTC	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	-$5	09-27 20:03
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:05 UTC	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	-$5	09-27 20:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:30 UTC	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	09-29 16:31
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)	2	$5	10	0	+10	Canucks	+$0	09-30 03:07
will trump be said 10 times during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260930	2	$5	5	5	+0	No	+$3	09-30 19:53
DOGE Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-27 20:00 UTC	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	09-27 20:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 22:35 UTC	3	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	09-25 22:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	09-29 19:52
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 19:55 UTC	1	$4	10	0	+10	Down	+$6	09-27 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	-$4	09-29 19:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 20:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x757697…
10-15 20:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x672c2b…
10-15 19:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc1496e…
10-15 19:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5f9695…
10-15 19:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x11e7ff…
10-15 19:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x54a842…
10-15 19:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8dfffb…
10-15 19:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3b2fc3…
10-01 04:39:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xef0c7f…
10-01 04:34:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xe28de9…
10-01 04:34:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x1472a9…
10-01 04:29:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0ff7e6…
10-01 04:24:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x380106…
10-01 04:19:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x41bf42…
10-01 04:09:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb3bf10…
10-01 04:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x096eee…
10-01 03:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x444dfb…
10-01 03:49:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xcb2e32…
10-01 03:44:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xdc9731…
10-01 03:39:17	XRP Up or Down - September 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc0e1ae…
10-01 03:34:35	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x231a06…
10-01 03:30:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe6925c…
10-01 03:20:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xde4c7f…
10-01 03:19:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x8230e9…
10-01 03:15:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x65c43e…
09-30 22:49:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcb8401…
09-30 22:44:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x97ebd5…
09-30 22:39:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdc6417…
09-30 22:29:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa87440…
09-30 22:25:03	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbd9acc…
09-30 22:24:47	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xada53b…
09-30 22:24:45	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xbc4dad…
09-30 22:24:41	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4c59fd…
09-30 22:23:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7c34a9…
09-30 21:54:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6466d4…
09-30 21:52:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xceb93f…
09-30 20:44:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd66b48…
09-30 20:15:27	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	15¢	$12	0xcf2586…
09-30 20:14:29	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x3cce25…
09-30 20:11:38	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x41a450…
09-30 20:11:38	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x2b26f8…
09-30 20:11:26	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x166da5…
09-30 20:11:23	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xc3e4cd…
09-30 20:11:23	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	20¢	$6	0x0fd6cf…
09-30 20:08:38	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x6f7b12…
09-30 20:04:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb13a99…
09-30 20:04:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x785dc7…
09-30 20:03:53	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0xbf0db7…
09-30 20:00:42	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x9ab76b…
09-30 19:53:12	will trump be said 10 times during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260930	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x5dc0e4…
09-30 18:54:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf217d1…
09-30 14:37:39	will trump be said 10 times during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260930	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7b88f5…
09-30 03:13:56	Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x6fcac4…
09-30 03:11:59	Will St. Vincent and the Grenadines win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x3dd131…
09-30 03:11:50	Will St. Vincent and the Grenadines win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x7e7674…
09-30 03:11:44	Curitiba: Lucas Da Silva vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri	Lucas Da Silva	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x34a4c4…
09-30 03:08:03	cs2 lag mars 2026 09 29	LAG Gaming	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x63a801…
09-30 03:07:59	Spread: Oilers (-1.5)	Oilers	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x542c0f…
09-30 03:07:14	Spread: Oilers (-1.5)	Canucks	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x330f55…
09-30 03:01:36	Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xccf2e3…
09-30 03:01:11	Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xb57299…
09-30 03:01:11	Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0x70d3ad…
09-30 02:59:02	cs2 lag mars 2026 09 29	LAG Gaming	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xcd516e…
09-30 02:56:35	mlb bos nyy 2026 09 29 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x223529…
09-30 02:53:59	Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x610b97…
09-30 02:53:50	Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x16c88c…
09-30 02:53:30	mlb bos nyy 2026 09 29 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x0832d5…
09-30 02:49:53	Porto 2: Otto Virtanen vs Tiago Pereira	Otto Virtanen	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xd7a679…
09-30 02:47:24	atp virtane pereira 2026 09 28	Otto Virtanen	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xbe117e…
09-30 02:28:11	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x0f5ab3…
09-30 02:27:59	will the next gpt sol model 6pt1 debut with a humanitys last exam score of 45 or higher	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xd77bb9…
09-30 01:14:24	us iran hormuz agreement by december 31	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xf02e4d…
09-30 00:58:29	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x251ca8…
09-30 00:34:33	will the next gpt sol model 6pt1 debut with a humanitys last exam score of 45 or higher	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xb44a52…
09-30 00:14:11	us iran hormuz agreement by december 31	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xcb2784…
09-30 00:14:05	us iran hormuz agreement by december 31	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x5dc94a…
09-29 19:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5edfd3…
09-29 19:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x61bec1…
09-29 19:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xd55880…
09-29 19:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xdba18e…
09-29 19:32:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$4	0xfccc8a…
09-29 16:32:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa059b1…
09-29 16:31:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x3786c3…
09-27 20:14:06	BNB Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-27 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa27b5c…
09-27 20:11:57	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x72a11e…
09-27 20:11:41	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x31b226…
09-27 20:11:29	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xbc32b1…
09-27 20:11:20	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-27 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe9aa34…
09-27 20:09:09	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x423361…
09-27 20:09:08	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2bdae3…
09-27 20:08:09	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x88e1e6…
09-27 20:08:09	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-27 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5fb81f…
09-27 20:08:09	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-27 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x23f72f…
09-27 20:07:48	BNB Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-27 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe75253…
09-27 20:07:36	DOGE Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-27 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x1fe3f0…
09-27 20:04:45	solana up or down september 27 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2b647d…
09-27 20:04:41	bnb up or down september 27 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x641778…
09-27 20:03:56	solana up or down september 27 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x86772e…
09-27 20:03:33	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xee0265…
09-27 20:03:33	bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x827208…