Normal-Relation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

186

lifetime

Volume

$811

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-21

last 07-01 13:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

43% — —

Crypto

26% — —

Other

23% 0% $-0

Sports

4% 0% $-0

Pop-Culture

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No		+30	$15	12¢	$4	$-11	06-13 06:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the peoples party pple win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	7	$204	250	250	+0	open	—	03-04 08:27
will the peoples party pple win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	5	$102	96	96	+0	open	—	03-04 08:26
will bitcoin reach 76k march 2 8	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	03-07 15:18
will ryan gosling attend the oscars	2	$32	28	28	+0	open	—	03-13 15:09
Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?	16	$29	881	881	+0	open	—	07-01 13:30
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	1	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	02-07 16:39
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	03-27 13:56
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	03-15 07:40
bkarg ind uni 2026 02 16	1	$18	19	0	+19	open	—	02-13 15:04
2026 winter olympics snowboard halfpipe womens maddie mastro usa	1	$16	28	0	+28	open	—	02-08 12:06
val 2game ec1 2026 02 23 map handicap away 1pt5	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	02-22 05:37
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	06-13 06:46
ethereum above 2500 on february 10	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	02-10 03:24
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	3	$11	0	36	-36	open	—	02-24 16:39
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?	2	$10	31	31	+0	open	—	03-13 15:09
ethereum above 1600 on february 24	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	02-24 14:14
googl close above 310 on march 2 2026	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	02-27 14:07
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 8	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	02-08 12:12
bitcoin above 76k on february 10	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	02-10 03:24
ethereum above 2100 on february 11	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	02-11 15:32
solana above 90 on february 27	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	02-27 14:29
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 27?	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	04-26 09:54
solana above 100 on february 8	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	02-08 12:11
will ethereum reach 2800 february 9 15	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	02-14 02:01
lal lev vil 2025 12 14 total 2pt5	1	$5	0	10	-10	open	—	01-21 03:42
bitcoin above 72k on february 11	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	02-11 15:25
will bitcoin reach 75k on march 9	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	03-09 13:59
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 9	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	03-09 14:05
will world liberty financial be accused of insider trading	1	$4	100	0	+100	open	—	02-24 10:39
bitcoin above 76k on february 8	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	02-08 12:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 13:30:04	Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	881	2¢	$16	0x2212e1…
07-01 02:45:25	Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	670	1¢	$9	0xf973b2…
07-01 01:04:52	Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xa58154…
07-01 01:04:43	Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x98aeec…
07-01 01:04:41	Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe2762b…
07-01 01:04:35	Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xfcb97a…
07-01 01:04:35	Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x8f3386…
07-01 01:04:35	Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x4c5ead…
07-01 01:04:34	Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf945d5…
07-01 01:04:34	Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x7bc8bb…
07-01 01:04:34	Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x439952…
07-01 01:04:34	Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x093bc9…
06-30 21:58:47	Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x8dbd97…
06-30 03:04:53	Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0xbb6898…
06-29 16:44:38	Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x671f69…
06-29 16:37:44	Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x05a30a…
06-13 06:46:03	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe9fe49…
06-13 06:15:39	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4c0c70…
06-07 00:30:24	will ethereum dip to 1500 on june 6	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x2b25c7…
06-07 00:27:40	will ethereum dip to 1500 on june 6	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x2a1f6a…
06-07 00:20:27	will ethereum dip to 1500 on june 6	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x8e1731…
06-07 00:17:21	will ethereum dip to 1500 on june 6	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x29296a…
06-07 00:10:54	will ethereum dip to 1450 on june 6	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x48b5b9…
06-07 00:00:36	will ethereum dip to 1500 on june 6	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xb390d9…
06-06 17:40:33	will ethereum reach 1650 on june 6	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x0dc7c4…
06-05 21:27:48	will ethereum dip to 1400 on june 5	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x0ad9b4…
06-05 05:33:39	will ethereum reach 1850 on june 5	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd10cab…
06-05 05:15:34	will ethereum reach 2000 on june 5	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x589f2f…
06-05 05:02:18	will ethereum reach 1900 on june 5	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x73fd0e…
06-05 05:02:15	will ethereum reach 2000 on june 5	Yes	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0x32adae…
06-05 04:33:04	will ethereum reach 2000 on june 5	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x5c81e5…
06-05 04:32:19	will ethereum reach 2000 on june 5	Yes	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0xcc7f31…
04-26 09:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 27?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$6	0xee23b6…
03-27 13:56:09	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xf40e65…
03-15 07:40:05	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x9ff665…
03-13 15:09:55	Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?	Yes	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0xa0510f…
03-13 15:09:55	will ryan gosling attend the oscars	Yes	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0x6cd265…
03-13 15:09:53	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	55	2¢	$1	0xf33203…
03-13 15:09:53	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x162d3b…
03-13 15:09:51	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	61	2¢	$1	0x076e65…
03-13 15:09:49	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0xfc9443…
03-13 15:09:47	will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	69	1¢	$1	0xd3378a…
03-13 15:09:47	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	Yes	SELL	275	0¢	$1	0xba5860…
03-13 15:09:47	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	275	0¢	$1	0x319b97…
03-13 15:09:47	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	220	0¢	$1	0x236b07…
03-13 15:09:47	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	153	0¢	$1	0x22c633…
03-13 15:09:47	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	79	1¢	$1	0x1e5b74…
03-13 15:09:47	Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	157	0¢	$1	0x032a2b…
03-13 15:09:45	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xfcdea1…
03-13 15:09:45	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	92	0¢	$0	0x7eac6b…
03-13 15:09:45	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	195	0¢	$1	0x7ce524…
03-13 15:09:43	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	183	0¢	$1	0xdc8f22…
03-13 15:09:15	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	367	0¢	$0	0xfa81eb…
03-10 21:01:47	ucl ata1 bay1 2026 03 10 bay1	No	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0x47ce8e…
03-10 08:08:41	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x2a9f6a…
03-10 07:18:59	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 300 319	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x98ffc3…
03-10 04:13:35	will iran strike israel on march 4	No	BUY	1,100	0¢	$1	0x35d203…
03-10 04:11:21	wbc jap cze 2026 03 10	Czechia	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0x9db663…
03-10 02:01:13	nba den okc 2026 03 09	Nuggets	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x912337…
03-10 01:04:23	nba phi cle 2026 03 09	76ers	BUY	1,100	0¢	$1	0x30ac89…
03-09 22:47:47	atp bublik hijikat 2026 03 09	Alexander Bublik	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x47e021…
03-09 22:14:53	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x439ef9…
03-09 22:10:09	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0xc11a92…
03-09 21:48:53	wta mertens bencic 2026 03 09	Elise Mertens	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xeee144…
03-09 20:11:45	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe1577e…
03-09 19:59:13	cs2 g2 aur1 2026 03 09 game1	G2	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xaa8deb…
03-09 19:05:33	cs2 am 100t 2026 03 09	100 Thieves	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4bca61…
03-09 17:53:59	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	79	1¢	$1	0x1c06b7…
03-09 16:16:37	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 280 299	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x8c7936…
03-09 15:13:05	bitcoin above 68k on march 9	No	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x383481…
03-09 14:52:31	elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 115 139	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xbffb1c…
03-09 14:05:23	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 9	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8768ea…
03-09 14:05:07	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 400 419	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x647962…
03-09 13:59:17	ethereum above 2300 on march 9	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x90999e…
03-09 13:59:17	ethereum above 1700 on march 9	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x591ea6…
03-09 13:59:07	will bitcoin reach 75k on march 9	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x583947…
03-09 13:41:09	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xd5e9e9…
03-09 11:51:55	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd3576c…
03-09 09:13:47	elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 140 164	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x6a4acf…
03-09 08:51:27	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 9	Yes	BUY	367	0¢	$1	0x7ad80d…
03-09 08:44:59	bitcoin above 62k on march 9	No	BUY	183	1¢	$1	0x98d740…
03-09 08:30:09	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	220	0¢	$1	0x05718d…
03-08 16:24:27	Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xc3721d…
03-08 16:09:01	cs2 lgc ast10 2026 03 08 game1	Astralis	BUY	550	0¢	$1	0xe6e787…
03-08 15:56:35	bitcoin above 68k on march 8	Yes	BUY	1,100	0¢	$1	0x57cb14…
03-08 15:50:25	sea bol ver 2026 03 08 bol	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0x914ee0…
03-08 14:54:23	cs2 fut 3dmax 2026 03 08 game2	FUT Esports	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x0da5ec…
03-08 13:02:49	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on march 8	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xcb98f7…
03-08 12:58:11	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0xc518d1…
03-08 12:34:37	lol blg jdg 2026 03 08 game4	JD Gaming	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x91244b…
03-08 12:28:23	sea lec cre 2026 03 08 cre	Yes	BUY	73	2¢	$1	0xcf2b43…
03-08 12:20:17	will ethereum reach 2200 march 2 8	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x718a6b…
03-08 10:48:07	Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	157	1¢	$1	0xedafc6…
03-08 10:35:43	tur gfk kar 2026 03 08 kar	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x0f3e22…
03-08 08:05:19	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	550	0¢	$1	0x081ad1…
03-08 07:30:51	ethereum above 2100 on march 8	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xefc4ae…
03-08 05:23:59	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	183	1¢	$1	0x699a9e…
03-08 04:28:09	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	69	2¢	$1	0xa43a09…
03-08 04:21:21	ufc rei1 cai2 2026 03 07	Reinier de Ridder	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x59cd63…
03-08 03:55:33	nba gsw okc 2026 03 07	Warriors	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xa169a3…