Fatherly-Incubation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$652

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.7%

Resolved

271

Trades

766

lifetime

Volume

$94.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$124

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 07-07 15:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Other

88% 51% +$693

Sports

10% 50% +$51

Politics

1% 35% -$49

Crypto

1% 33% -$35

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$8

Tech

0% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul	2	$4.2K	2,198	2,198	+0	Ignacio Buse	+$196	05-23 16:02
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-24?	2	$3.9K	2,516	2,516	+0	No	-$517	05-23 17:26
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Emma Navarro	2	$3.7K	2,048	2,048	+0	Emma Navarro	+$346	05-23 15:02
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-24?	2	$3.7K	1,875	1,875	+0	Yes	+$73	05-24 13:13
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Jaqueline Cristian	2	$3.5K	1,784	1,784	+0	Victoria Mboko	+$52	05-22 18:50
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarro	2	$3.2K	1,616	1,616	+0	Emma Navarro	+$15	05-21 16:23
Roland Garros ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	3	$2.9K	2,034	1,044	+990	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	-$8	05-26 17:37
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	2	$2.6K	1,366	1,366	+0	Yes	+$149	06-20 01:46
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	2	$2.2K	1,359	1,359	+0	Yes	+$245	06-18 03:29
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09?	2	$2.1K	1,105	1,105	+0	Yes	-$72	06-09 17:58
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	2	$2.1K	1,109	1,109	+0	Chicago Cubs	+$132	05-29 01:49
Will Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?	2	$2.1K	1,198	1,198	+0	Yes	+$310	05-14 19:13
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-07?	2	$2.1K	1,190	1,190	+0	Yes	+$60	06-08 00:03
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	2	$2.0K	1,054	1,054	+0	Yes	+$63	06-14 21:11
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	2	$2.0K	1,731	1,731	+0	No	-$662	06-21 01:43
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	2	$2.0K	1,010	1,010	+0	Joao Fonseca	+$9	05-31 22:48
Will Brazil win on 2026-05-31?	2	$2.0K	1,010	1,010	+0	Yes	+$9	06-01 00:04
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Lois Boisson	2	$1.9K	1,003	1,003	+0	Anna Kalinskaya	+$119	05-26 16:57
atp donski duran 2026 06 05	2	$1.8K	948	948	+0	Alexander Donski	+$47	06-05 10:53
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	2	$1.8K	1,034	1,034	+0	Detroit Tigers	-$187	06-02 01:43
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	2	$1.8K	1,225	1,225	+0	Yes	+$208	06-17 01:55
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm	2	$1.8K	890	890	+0	Seattle Storm	+$20	05-25 00:19
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-05-17?	2	$1.8K	883	883	+0	Yes	+$13	05-17 15:17
Will PSV win on 2026-05-17?	2	$1.7K	867	867	+0	Yes	+$16	05-17 14:28
Prostejov: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Hynek Barton	2	$1.7K	906	906	+0	Hynek Barton	+$95	06-02 18:29
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	1	$1.6K	1,719	0	+1,719	Atlanta Braves	+$69	05-22 00:45
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, Qualification: Fiona Ferro vs Elina Avanesyan	2	$1.6K	835	835	+0	Fiona Ferro	+$34	05-17 13:45
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Magdalena Frech vs Leylah Fernandez	1	$1.6K	1,619	0	+1,619	Leylah Fernandez	+$19	05-19 16:09
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs	1	$1.6K	1,613	0	+1,613	Milwaukee Brewers	+$13	05-21 01:34
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	2	$1.6K	947	947	+0	Yes	+$94	05-17 13:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 15:40:19	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	919	74¢	$680	0xef05d8…
07-04 22:35:40	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	SELL	740	93¢	$688	0xad6391…
07-04 21:05:59	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	740	81¢	$599	0x51131c…
07-04 18:40:28	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	SELL	906	67¢	$607	0xc6d198…
07-04 16:57:17	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	906	53¢	$480	0xb8c74d…
06-23 17:04:49	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	2,099	4¢	$76	0x342094…
06-21 17:17:23	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	964	70¢	$675	0xb60a1e…
06-21 01:43:13	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	SELL	1,731	40¢	$688	0x2ac2d9…
06-21 00:31:28	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	1,731	78¢	$1,350	0xd6000b…
06-20 01:46:08	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	SELL	1,366	100¢	$1,365	0x4585a4…
06-19 23:34:44	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	1,366	89¢	$1,216	0x04a777…
06-18 03:29:58	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	SELL	1,359	90¢	$1,223	0x888320…
06-18 01:01:19	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	1,359	72¢	$978	0xf43afe…
06-17 01:55:25	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	1,225	81¢	$992	0x210a07…
06-17 00:54:35	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	1,225	64¢	$784	0x5fa11c…
06-16 23:29:38	Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	925	86¢	$796	0xbe8541…
06-16 21:46:02	Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	925	80¢	$740	0xcf6fce…
06-16 21:27:11	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	735	100¢	$735	0x185ece…
06-16 16:00:16	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	735	68¢	$500	0x60af61…
06-15 17:44:03	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	SELL	1,087	49¢	$533	0x9861b3…
06-15 00:40:21	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	1,087	92¢	$1,000	0x9517b3…
06-14 21:11:55	Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	SELL	1,054	100¢	$1,053	0x3b92c1…
06-13 13:49:27	Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	1,054	94¢	$990	0x22a25b…
06-10 09:56:57	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,250	6¢	$80	0x0135cf…
06-09 18:34:43	Will Belarus vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	123	99¢	$122	0x6b8c49…
06-09 18:18:57	Will Belarus vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x835d34…
06-09 17:58:10	Will Chile win on 2026-06-09?	Yes	SELL	1,105	93¢	$1,028	0x5915ca…
06-09 17:51:00	Will Chile win on 2026-06-09?	Yes	BUY	1,105	100¢	$1,100	0x7efdc5…
06-08 00:03:18	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-07?	Yes	SELL	1,190	89¢	$1,060	0x8b0f19…
06-07 23:03:58	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-07?	Yes	BUY	1,190	84¢	$1,000	0x14fde2…
06-06 21:29:03	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-06?	Yes	BUY	1,078	88¢	$949	0x711a74…
06-05 10:53:07	atp donski duran 2026 06 05	Alexander Donski	SELL	948	100¢	$947	0x7b11c7…
06-05 10:35:57	atp donski duran 2026 06 05	Alexander Donski	BUY	948	95¢	$900	0x77f150…
06-02 18:29:05	Prostejov: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Hynek Barton	Hynek Barton	SELL	906	100¢	$905	0x7a0dc9…
06-02 16:30:04	Prostejov: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Hynek Barton	Hynek Barton	BUY	906	89¢	$810	0xb62da9…
06-02 01:43:04	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Detroit Tigers	SELL	1,034	79¢	$813	0x94fc0a…
06-02 01:09:09	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Detroit Tigers	BUY	1,034	97¢	$1,000	0xbc9fb7…
06-01 18:14:43	T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs West Indies	West Indies	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0xfab82c…
06-01 00:04:02	Will Brazil win on 2026-05-31?	Yes	SELL	1,010	100¢	$1,009	0x801396…
05-31 22:49:17	Will Brazil win on 2026-05-31?	Yes	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0xfc331b…
05-31 22:48:26	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	SELL	1,010	100¢	$1,009	0x15a63c…
05-31 22:20:37	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0x6685bc…
05-30 22:29:31	Will EC Bahia vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	187	2¢	$4	0x630d0d…
05-30 22:16:55	Will EC Bahia vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	187	53¢	$100	0xabd026…
05-29 01:49:46	Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Chicago Cubs	SELL	1,109	100¢	$1,108	0x4ae410…
05-29 00:18:36	Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Chicago Cubs	BUY	1,109	88¢	$976	0x59ba76…
05-28 23:30:18	Will Club Cerro Porteño vs. CS Cristal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x8b1c2e…
05-26 17:37:20	Roland Garros ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	990	98¢	$970	0xad21d9…
05-26 17:17:28	Roland Garros ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	SELL	1,044	93¢	$972	0x704edb…
05-26 16:59:51	Roland Garros ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	1,044	96¢	$1,000	0xa3dbea…
05-26 16:57:05	Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Lois Boisson	Anna Kalinskaya	SELL	1,003	100¢	$1,002	0xb141cd…
05-26 15:42:13	Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Lois Boisson	Anna Kalinskaya	BUY	1,003	88¢	$883	0x7ba6a1…
05-26 11:16:44	Vicenza: Stefano Travaglia vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Stefano Travaglia	BUY	885	95¢	$840	0x870f5a…
05-25 23:10:05	Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians	Washington Nationals	BUY	842	95¢	$800	0xd6532f…
05-25 16:21:01	Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Aleksandar Vukic	Aleksandar Vukic	SELL	1,085	1¢	$9	0x016490…
05-25 15:09:49	Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Aleksandar Vukic	Aleksandar Vukic	BUY	1,085	9¢	$100	0x805dc8…
05-25 00:19:27	Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm	Seattle Storm	SELL	890	100¢	$890	0x0e1575…
05-24 23:31:37	Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm	Seattle Storm	BUY	890	98¢	$870	0x2afe41…
05-24 13:13:01	Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	SELL	1,875	100¢	$1,873	0x3b65cb…
05-24 12:39:24	Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	1,875	96¢	$1,800	0x57320e…
05-23 17:59:27	Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	257	99¢	$254	0x4c8228…
05-23 17:48:55	Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	257	77¢	$197	0x640bb6…
05-23 17:26:56	Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	SELL	2,516	67¢	$1,683	0xdecba9…
05-23 17:18:07	Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	2,516	87¢	$2,200	0xfa4219…
05-23 17:16:56	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	SELL	222	100¢	$222	0x39a1b5…
05-23 16:26:04	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x585f85…
05-23 16:02:05	Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul	Ignacio Buse	SELL	2,198	100¢	$2,196	0xf3c107…
05-23 15:41:00	Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul	Ignacio Buse	BUY	2,198	91¢	$2,000	0x86655c…
05-23 15:02:53	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Emma Navarro	Emma Navarro	SELL	2,048	100¢	$2,046	0x4cfd44…
05-23 14:06:39	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Emma Navarro	Emma Navarro	BUY	2,048	83¢	$1,700	0x9efa36…
05-23 13:52:04	Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	SELL	206	100¢	$206	0x2382da…
05-23 13:26:29	Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	BUY	206	80¢	$165	0x58e6b8…
05-23 13:26:03	Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	323	19¢	$61	0xc48d5a…
05-23 13:18:01	Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	328	61¢	$200	0x6a5ca4…
05-23 13:17:25	Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	260	100¢	$259	0x42e524…
05-23 12:50:43	Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0x79c5ad…
05-22 18:50:37	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Jaqueline Cristian	Victoria Mboko	SELL	1,784	100¢	$1,782	0x1b6f1d…
05-22 17:26:46	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Jaqueline Cristian	Victoria Mboko	BUY	1,784	97¢	$1,730	0x6c4968…
05-22 00:45:27	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Atlanta Braves	BUY	1,719	96¢	$1,650	0xa991ae…
05-21 16:23:21	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarro	Emma Navarro	SELL	1,616	100¢	$1,615	0x7bce0d…
05-21 16:02:33	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarro	Emma Navarro	BUY	1,616	99¢	$1,600	0x6d7abc…
05-21 01:34:50	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	1,613	99¢	$1,600	0x47ef07…
05-19 16:09:59	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Magdalena Frech vs Leylah Fernandez	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	1,619	99¢	$1,600	0xe3f6f2…
05-17 15:18:53	Will Hannover 96 vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,623	54¢	$869	0xb74802…
05-17 15:17:48	Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	883	100¢	$882	0xa7c97b…
05-17 14:28:34	Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	883	98¢	$869	0x70de74…
05-17 14:28:04	Will PSV win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	867	100¢	$866	0x2b27a8…
05-17 13:51:23	Will PSV win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	867	98¢	$850	0x09f7da…
05-17 13:45:52	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, Qualification: Fiona Ferro vs Elina Avanesyan	Fiona Ferro	SELL	835	100¢	$834	0x9ffafb…
05-17 13:40:51	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, Qualification: Fiona Ferro vs Elina Avanesyan	Fiona Ferro	BUY	835	96¢	$800	0x21c214…
05-17 13:19:37	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	947	87¢	$823	0xbf4dd8…
05-17 12:27:56	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	947	77¢	$729	0x6ddde8…
05-16 21:55:40	Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xd5359e…
05-16 21:19:02	Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	24	81¢	$19	0x34d5a7…
05-15 21:43:54	Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	730	100¢	$729	0xe847da…
05-15 18:42:27	Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	730	57¢	$413	0x7ba355…
05-15 18:24:38	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	1,341	25¢	$335	0x9200d7…
05-15 17:37:23	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	1,341	82¢	$1,100	0xd80e14…
05-14 19:13:39	Will Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1,198	100¢	$1,197	0xd9e53b…
05-14 18:46:56	Will Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,198	74¢	$886	0xcbbf11…