Thorough-Paranoia — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

64.4%

Resolved

314

Trades

596

lifetime

Volume

$1.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-15 00:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Other

49% 44% +$67

Crypto

22% 55% -$27

Politics

17% 54% -$4

Sports

12% 44% -$44

Tech

0% 33% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 50% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	Yes		-5	-$1	2¢	$-0	+$1	05-17 02:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-06 13:00 UTC	2	$43	23	22	+0	Up	+$2	02-06 16:12
will israel strike lebanon on january 1 2026	2	$36	20	20	+0	No	+$1	01-01 13:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	7	$34	31	31	+0	No	+$8	05-17 12:39
us forces enter iran by march 7	4	$30	20	20	+0	No	+$8	03-07 07:41
will israel strike lebanon on january 2 2026	2	$28	30	10	+20	Yes	-$15	01-02 07:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	5	$26	27	23	+5	No	+$8	04-26 15:19
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-02 05:00 UTC	2	$20	11	11	+1	Up	+$1	02-02 08:48
elon musk 48h tweets january 1 january 3 140plus	3	$19	36	0	+36	Yes	-$19	01-03 00:24
ethereum up or down february 1 11pm et	2	$19	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	02-02 05:00
highest temperature in seoul on january 5 1c	3	$17	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	01-05 15:56
nhl wsh phi 2026 02 03 total 6pt5	2	$17	10	10	+0	Under	+$2	02-04 02:42
will israel strike gaza on january 2 2026	2	$17	10	10	+0	No	$0	01-01 23:29
nba phi gsw 2026 02 03 total 217pt5	4	$16	10	10	+0	Under	+$3	02-04 05:02
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	2	$16	10	10	+0	No	+$3	01-30 07:05
will eight die in stranger things season 5 g59m aapk	1	$16	0	20	-20	Yes	+$16	01-01 01:01
will trump say million or billion or trillion 20 times during miami address	3	$16	12	12	+0	No	+$7	03-09 21:54
earnings mentions google 2026 02 03 youtube shorts 1 times	2	$16	10	10	+0	No	$0	02-04 01:46
will gold gc hit high 6000 by end of february 957 635 788 121 773 745 586	2	$15	10	10	+0	No	+$2	02-02 04:38
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	7	$15	100	100	+0	Yes	+$11	03-04 14:37
tsla up or down on february 4 2026	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	02-04 16:08
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	6	$15	40	22	+18	Yes	-$1	03-28 12:09
highest temperature in seoul on january 2 neg 4c	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	01-02 07:20
highest temperature in seoul on march 16 2026 12corhigher	2	$14	8	8	+0	No	+$1	03-16 03:42
si above 110 jan 2026	3	$14	9	9	+0	No	+$2	01-30 15:46
Solana Up or Down on May 17?	1	$14	18	0	+18	Down	-$14	05-17 12:40
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$14	15	15	+0	Yes	+$4	03-02 20:07
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 100 119	5	$14	222	222	+0	No	+$10	03-04 14:34
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	6	$14	100	98	+2	No	+$11	03-05 03:59
will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 4	2	$13	9	9	+0	No	+$3	06-04 13:38
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 160 179	4	$13	130	98	+33	No	+$9	03-04 14:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 00:38:42	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xd8a2e5…
06-13 21:52:18	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x2152cf…
06-12 11:57:18	will ethereum dip to 1650 on june 12	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x219d2d…
06-06 08:18:24	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-06 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xbf1a41…
06-06 08:17:55	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-06 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x694e3f…
06-06 08:17:15	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-06 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xb6712d…
06-06 03:53:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-06 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xea4de1…
06-05 11:04:33	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-05 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xdfda5a…
06-05 10:05:43	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-05 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4405e3…
06-04 13:38:48	will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 4	No	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0xb3b000…
06-04 12:14:55	will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 4	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x00b7be…
06-04 02:16:27	will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 3	No	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0xe64a21…
06-04 02:15:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0xb0c189…
06-02 09:38:52	Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on June 2?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x642d72…
06-01 09:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x965c5a…
06-01 09:54:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xaa35d4…
05-31 13:03:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x99f781…
05-31 13:03:05	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x82ba1d…
05-30 14:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	Up	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0xf97e32…
05-30 14:19:38	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x163298…
05-30 14:11:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?	No	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x6bc157…
05-30 14:11:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5cd116…
05-30 13:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xaaa93f…
05-28 15:57:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0xe00cdd…
05-28 15:02:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xa68525…
05-24 13:01:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 24?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xd4c8eb…
05-24 02:52:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa08054…
05-24 02:52:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0xc682a0…
05-22 12:46:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x5e2656…
05-21 00:59:38	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 20?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xf413e5…
05-20 15:39:10	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 20?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xf2249f…
05-20 15:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x54d336…
05-18 15:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xa0334d…
05-18 00:11:54	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x572634…
05-18 00:11:49	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x3728d4…
05-18 00:11:43	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0x412170…
05-17 12:40:11	Solana Up or Down on May 17?	Up	BUY	18	80¢	$14	0x212dbe…
05-17 12:39:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0xf94bb1…
05-17 12:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	Up	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x4ae6ce…
05-17 12:39:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	8	66¢	$6	0x9570f1…
05-17 07:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x4e2b58…
05-17 02:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x488993…
05-17 02:19:43	Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x35eec6…
05-16 23:18:43	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0xd9b543…
05-16 23:18:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0xd6a587…
05-15 14:07:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x0a5b2a…
05-12 01:28:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x99be1c…
05-08 23:33:15	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x9d1cda…
05-08 23:32:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0xa85a73…
05-06 10:12:56	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$1	0xac6719…
05-06 10:12:26	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xccc6d0…
05-04 13:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x365301…
05-04 13:40:44	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x75f333…
05-04 02:14:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd5ff8d…
05-02 23:36:16	Flyers vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x5f27a6…
05-02 23:34:56	Flyers vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x66cb38…
05-02 12:25:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xa364ae…
05-02 12:24:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x3b0d2e…
05-02 12:24:24	Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xd32437…
05-02 12:11:38	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	1¢	$1	0xcb4c8c…
05-02 12:10:56	Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x47d184…
04-28 18:35:16	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x4a8967…
04-28 18:34:34	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x566aaa…
04-27 09:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x7cbae2…
04-27 09:25:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x55bdab…
04-27 09:23:20	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x154371…
04-27 06:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xfa6bb0…
04-27 02:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7b299c…
04-27 02:07:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x1397ad…
04-27 02:07:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x35e68c…
04-27 02:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x994f35…
04-27 02:05:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x58ed58…
04-27 02:04:10	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xaaee8e…
04-26 15:20:14	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xbcdab4…
04-26 15:20:06	Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x236734…
04-26 15:19:48	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0a4dd5…
04-26 15:19:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$4	0x4e3fdd…
04-26 14:40:28	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 26?	Yes	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0x44cfcc…
04-26 12:46:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x5ef406…
04-26 12:46:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x99601a…
04-26 07:16:16	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xc7ed6d…
04-26 07:14:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x59694e…
04-26 07:14:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x44b8b3…
04-26 07:13:14	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	2¢	$1	0x672f33…
04-22 14:18:10	bitcoin above 78k on april 23	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x62c518…
04-22 07:50:44	coin up or down on april 22 2026	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x41ebf1…
04-22 07:47:22	bitcoin above 78k on april 23	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x566b69…
04-22 06:20:28	bitcoin above 78k on april 23	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xda8848…
04-22 05:37:04	BNB Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-22 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x2ce5f8…
04-22 05:35:24	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	5¢	$2	0x541c22…
04-21 21:14:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x64715e…
04-21 21:13:20	nhl bos buf 2026 04 21	Bruins	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x3beea6…
04-21 05:40:48	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xda4fc5…
04-21 02:30:48	bitcoin up or down on april 21 2026	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4f096c…
04-21 02:30:22	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xd9d518…
04-21 02:28:54	nhl ana edm 2026 04 20 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xd1e5fc…
04-20 23:41:50	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x019473…
04-20 23:41:02	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xb9a226…
04-20 23:39:36	nhl phi pit 2026 04 20	Penguins	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x842c95…
04-19 00:12:56	ufc man17 jai2 2026 04 18	Mandel Nallo	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xd2d203…