Rural-Equation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

70.3%

Resolved

365

Trades

810

lifetime

Volume

$9.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-25 17:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 96 days

Categories

Other

75% 74% +$0

Crypto

18% 79% +$0

Politics

3% 78% +$0

Tech

2% 60% +$0

Sports

1% 73% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	$0	10-25 17:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 88°F or higher on August 6?	4	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-06 11:14
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on July 19?	5	$89	45	45	+0	No	$0	07-19 10:20
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	4	$86	43	43	+0	No	+$0	07-17 20:53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 28?	4	$82	41	41	+0	No	$0	07-28 12:39
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 22?	5	$78	39	39	+0	No	+$0	07-22 05:43
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 27?	4	$72	36	36	+0	No	+$0	08-27 19:27
ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	3	$66	42	24	+18	Yes	+$0	07-25 10:04
Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	08-30 00:44
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on August 9?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	08-08 23:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 9?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-09 12:08
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 17?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-16 19:08
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on July 27?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-26 16:26
Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 13?	4	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	08-13 05:09
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 11?	4	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-10 15:06
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-24 01:17
Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on August 26?	2	$56	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	08-26 16:40
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C or below on July 31?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-30 18:58
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-17 03:08
netanyahu out by july 31	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-29 16:08
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 11?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-11 15:03
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 1?	3	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-01 11:46
Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 10 minutes long?	2	$53	27	27	+0	Yes	+$0	08-27 19:23
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 27?	3	$53	26	26	+0	No	$0	08-26 22:17
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 38°C or higher on August 11?	3	$53	26	26	+0	No	$0	08-10 20:06
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	08-24 16:49
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	08-23 20:17
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or below on July 23?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-22 09:41
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 29?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-29 12:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 25?	2	$52	26	26	+0	Yes	$0	08-25 14:09
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 18m?	4	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-13 02:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 17:45:32	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x57b526…
09-01 13:16:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xee0c93…
09-01 11:16:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8cea61…
09-01 05:40:43	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 1?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x003243…
09-01 04:52:09	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x38582c…
09-01 04:49:28	Will Trump meet with Miguel Díaz-Canel in August 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x496d47…
09-01 04:47:58	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.00 on August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x76eea4…
09-01 03:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 1?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x529b82…
08-31 21:55:40	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x3e998a…
08-31 20:53:06	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x77d344…
08-31 19:29:09	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.00 on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x19d998…
08-31 14:11:57	Will Trump meet with Miguel Díaz-Canel in August 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xadf8d6…
08-31 03:21:10	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in August?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x0b78aa…
08-31 01:44:04	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $108 in August?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x211dfa…
08-31 01:19:12	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $108 in August?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0bbc7c…
08-30 22:32:31	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0411c3…
08-30 19:33:07	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in August?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb47c38…
08-30 16:42:15	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $108 in August?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xdb9b39…
08-30 13:21:49	bitcoin above 82k on august 30 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xc93a36…
08-30 12:44:36	bitcoin above 82k on august 30 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xad6199…
08-30 10:03:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 30?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb3f441…
08-30 01:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 30?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x95c86d…
08-30 01:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x001e93…
08-30 00:47:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 30?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x07b445…
08-30 00:44:18	Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x79dfba…
08-29 21:37:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x5f30b5…
08-29 16:58:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x5c4983…
08-29 15:49:58	Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa102ef…
08-28 10:43:27	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 225M by August 31?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$21	0x0a27d0…
08-28 08:37:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 29?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x023405…
08-28 06:33:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 29?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x946837…
08-28 03:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on August 28?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4df5e9…
08-27 23:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on August 28?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x86e5db…
08-27 23:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or higher on August 28?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x22050e…
08-27 22:15:57	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 225M by August 31?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x93f768…
08-27 21:16:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or higher on August 28?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x777056…
08-27 19:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 27?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x5ece5d…
08-27 19:23:58	Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 10 minutes long?	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$26	0x24d4d0…
08-27 16:41:01	Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 10 minutes long?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0x346fbb…
08-27 12:02:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on August 27?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x8d23e2…
08-27 12:02:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on August 27?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x458afe…
08-27 11:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on August 28?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x431be5…
08-27 10:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 27?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x262439…
08-27 10:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb92f53…
08-27 07:39:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x87a506…
08-27 05:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x71ca70…
08-27 03:42:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 27?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x968971…
08-27 03:37:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 27?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf1d97a…
08-27 03:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 27?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xff9231…
08-27 03:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 27?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf5e445…
08-27 02:12:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 27?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2537f3…
08-27 00:27:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x64cc6f…
08-26 22:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 27?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xc6ac5a…
08-26 21:40:07	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 27?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2c964b…
08-26 20:52:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 27?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xae8ba2…
08-26 18:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x4975e7…
08-26 16:40:10	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on August 26?	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x90070e…
08-26 08:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on August 26?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x7eee0f…
08-25 14:09:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x8e56fc…
08-25 13:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 25?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x79b21c…
08-25 13:53:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 25?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xe2fef6…
08-25 13:22:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x081a9a…
08-25 11:35:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 25?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb6e927…
08-25 09:42:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 25?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc655a2…
08-24 16:49:34	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x4e1040…
08-24 02:09:16	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x566d05…
08-24 01:52:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x050111…
08-23 20:29:52	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf05b89…
08-23 20:17:03	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xa67e83…
08-23 15:08:57	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x0d9c4f…
08-23 10:58:33	Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x6e6c02…
08-14 23:14:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 15?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x9fc5a2…
08-14 19:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 15?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xabb69b…
08-14 14:04:07	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x1f6471…
08-14 13:45:07	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd9c213…
08-14 13:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 14?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe6895b…
08-14 13:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 14?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x9d5bbc…
08-14 13:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 14?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x30d5ca…
08-14 06:50:15	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x77e792…
08-14 04:59:27	ethereum above 1600 on august 14 2026	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x13e806…
08-14 01:22:21	ethereum above 1600 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa11e52…
08-13 21:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2163b8…
08-13 21:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or below on August 14?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x5f3acd…
08-13 21:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or below on August 14?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$12	0x1572cd…
08-13 19:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or below on August 14?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0x21296f…
08-13 18:50:54	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf0c981…
08-13 10:13:42	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc27df3…
08-13 09:53:36	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 13?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xfedfa9…
08-13 09:37:55	bitcoin above 58k on august 14 2026	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x87e6b9…
08-13 09:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on August 13?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x10624d…
08-13 09:35:22	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	24	100¢	$23	0xb3448a…
08-13 09:04:34	bitcoin above 58k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x183e20…
08-13 06:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on August 13?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x258d0a…
08-13 05:09:37	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 13?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x296ac2…
08-13 04:46:24	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 13?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x447819…
08-13 04:30:09	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 13?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x9debff…
08-13 04:26:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 14?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x3494b2…
08-13 04:21:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 14?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa087ca…
08-13 04:12:34	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54d776…
08-13 04:07:22	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x93c70b…