Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$753

Unrealized P&L

+$132

Hit rate

91.6%

Resolved

Trades

208

lifetime

Volume

$24.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$119

Open exposure

$1.04K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 11-03 07:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

94% 81% +$816

Politics

4% 67% -$16

Sports

2% 0% -$46

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	No		+500	$405	92¢	$457	+$52	11-03 07:05
Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No		+357	$35	66¢	$236	+$201	11-02 10:09
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		-10,000	-$100	2¢	$-175	-$75	09-27 03:11
Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	—	+257	$214	66¢	$168	-$46	10-12 10:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	22	$2.9K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$258	10-30 22:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	10	$2.0K	1,000	1,200	-200	No	+$169	04-23 01:55
fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	6	$1.5K	780	780	+0	No	+$18	03-07 23:25
will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	10	$1.5K	800	800	+0	No	+$63	02-21 21:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	8	$1.4K	800	1,000	-200	No	+$174	04-30 14:42
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	10	$1.4K	800	800	+0	No	+$134	03-30 18:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	7	$1.1K	455	800	-345	Yes	+$57	03-20 13:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	11	$1.0K	550	550	+0	No	+$6	10-23 07:55
Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?	1	$970	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$30	08-28 09:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	8	$948	500	500	+0	No	+$28	10-21 12:01
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	6	$930	500	500	+0	No	+$60	02-20 16:44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$890	1,085	0	+1,085	Yes	+$195	07-29 05:58
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	3	$869	500	500	+0	No	+$94	03-22 21:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	5	$798	0	800	-800	Yes	-$2	06-17 13:49
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$720	400	400	+0	No	+$18	03-30 11:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	3	$574	299	299	+0	No	+$23	05-28 21:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	2	$543	300	300	+0	No	+$51	04-23 01:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$471	300	300	+0	No	+$39	05-28 17:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	3	$405	500	0	+500	open	—	11-03 07:05
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	2	$400	323	323	+0	Yes	+$0	10-14 12:14
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	9	$370	500	0	+500	Yes	-$370	05-15 20:53
Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	14	$369	556	199	+357	open	—	11-02 10:09
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	5	$356	200	200	+0	No	+$32	03-24 20:34
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	14	$324	500	500	+0	No	-$24	06-28 05:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$284	400	0	+400	No	-$284	08-21 11:06
Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	3	$214	257	0	+257	open	—	10-12 10:58
si hit 70 low jan 2026 929 537 842	3	$198	200	0	+200	No	+$2	01-30 14:37
will silver si hit high 130 by end of january 314 277 552 989	5	$192	200	0	+200	No	+$8	01-29 20:02
si hit 150 high jan 2026	1	$190	200	0	+200	No	+$10	01-26 17:30
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	6	$165	500	500	+0	open	—	09-17 16:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 07:05:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	No	BUY	138	81¢	$112	0xe0dee0…
11-03 07:04:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	No	BUY	181	81¢	$147	0x8b0690…
11-03 06:53:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	No	BUY	181	81¢	$147	0x2547b2…
11-02 10:09:16	Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0xe50092…
11-02 00:22:06	Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0xd61f38…
10-30 22:01:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	1,353	100¢	$1,352	0x1e3389…
10-30 20:02:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe910ce…
10-30 20:02:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7e2749…
10-30 19:41:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xbc98ee…
10-30 19:41:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x1b112d…
10-30 17:46:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	222	100¢	$222	0xf3f50d…
10-23 09:23:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	357	77¢	$275	0x600b2d…
10-23 08:15:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	43	77¢	$33	0x08ac3e…
10-23 07:55:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	SELL	539	93¢	$502	0x2b5591…
10-23 07:43:15	Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x777a84…
10-23 06:53:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x1e6c45…
10-22 12:20:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	195	81¢	$158	0x386f11…
10-22 08:54:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x6b1cb1…
10-22 07:06:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xfb9745…
10-22 07:06:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xb9d90b…
10-22 07:06:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x2e84b6…
10-22 07:06:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x1973f5…
10-22 07:06:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0xefc7c8…
10-21 23:42:47	Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x45d8d0…
10-21 20:10:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x60c357…
10-21 12:13:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	167	85¢	$142	0xd7bfd5…
10-21 12:01:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	No	SELL	488	97¢	$476	0xbd6d72…
10-21 08:43:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xede806…
10-21 08:43:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x83d495…
10-21 08:42:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$2	0xf6d2bf…
10-21 08:42:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x5700bb…
10-21 08:42:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x3e504d…
10-21 08:42:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x653e2b…
10-20 13:42:06	Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0x5ea736…
10-18 09:34:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xdab08b…
10-17 21:35:12	Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0x1269df…
10-16 13:59:58	Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x6dfbfe…
10-15 16:26:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xefb84a…
10-15 14:14:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xc85992…
10-15 01:17:37	Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	SELL	27	84¢	$23	0x8aa94a…
10-14 12:14:53	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	323	62¢	$200	0x270827…
10-12 13:49:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	97	90¢	$87	0x469bf8…
10-12 13:26:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	183	90¢	$165	0xed1043…
10-12 10:58:27	Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0xdd1771…
10-06 20:13:41	Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	180	36¢	$65	0xfc96da…
10-06 19:55:17	Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xa98ea1…
10-03 14:22:15	Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	156	36¢	$56	0xc8ec1d…
10-02 17:00:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	47	92¢	$43	0xbe2b0c…
10-02 16:39:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	116	92¢	$107	0xdf921c…
10-02 15:59:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	60	92¢	$55	0x47b43e…
10-02 15:59:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	150	92¢	$138	0xc903e8…
10-02 15:59:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	35	92¢	$32	0x1bd117…
10-02 15:59:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x169740…
10-02 10:31:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xb39486…
10-02 10:31:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	60	92¢	$55	0x61ec89…
10-02 05:58:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x197860…
10-02 04:29:05	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	128	6¢	$7	0xe8396e…
10-02 03:43:23	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xcdb64b…
10-01 20:05:57	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xb614f8…
10-01 18:12:33	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xc0973e…
10-01 12:58:09	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	136	6¢	$8	0xd2ab17…
10-01 10:00:38	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	126	6¢	$7	0x5ba72e…
09-30 09:31:18	Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x64a862…
09-28 21:14:14	Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	80	37¢	$30	0x93d978…
09-28 21:13:30	Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x22cb9a…
09-28 15:47:26	will wti reach 120 in october 2026	No	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0x300c52…
09-28 10:51:06	Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x3f5cf4…
09-28 10:50:48	Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	157	83¢	$130	0x9591b8…
09-27 03:11:53	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	4,840	1¢	$48	0xe94725…
09-27 01:17:44	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x20dde8…
09-26 23:54:29	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	323	62¢	$200	0x0ab3e1…
09-26 21:39:09	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x7a6dac…
09-26 15:17:11	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	5,142	1¢	$51	0xe6c51d…
09-17 16:35:46	Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Yes	SELL	500	12¢	$60	0x11c558…
08-28 09:24:43	Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$970	0x533af9…
08-21 11:06:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	71¢	$284	0x5a26fa…
08-07 14:14:12	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	303	21¢	$64	0xce8314…
08-07 13:09:43	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	60	21¢	$13	0x92bded…
08-07 10:31:25	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x502e6c…
08-07 10:31:09	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x43cee5…
08-07 08:04:06	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	127	21¢	$27	0xaa3c81…
07-29 05:58:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	385	78¢	$300	0x00073b…
07-14 06:14:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x8c20e5…
06-28 05:10:43	Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	23	30¢	$7	0x3376b4…
06-28 04:31:52	Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0xb8d100…
06-28 04:31:50	Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x36d2f3…
06-28 04:29:26	Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	28	30¢	$8	0x50144e…
06-28 04:21:13	Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xf79ed9…
06-28 04:20:34	Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	32	30¢	$10	0x86c4b3…
06-28 04:19:23	Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	34	30¢	$10	0x76655e…
06-28 04:06:38	Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	198	30¢	$59	0xfa9f46…
06-28 03:53:05	Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x0f5315…
06-28 03:01:41	Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xbb0d2b…
06-28 03:01:40	Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x2d896f…
06-28 02:32:31	Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x2585b8…
06-28 01:36:26	Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x969e57…
06-17 13:49:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	392	100¢	$391	0x554c5a…
06-17 13:35:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0xa6a8e0…
06-17 13:20:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xbf047c…
06-17 13:11:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0x02099e…