Previous-Hubris — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$91

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

22.9%

Resolved

Trades

130

lifetime

Volume

$1.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 06-03 10:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 39% $-59

Other

4% 0% $-32

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$575	154,202	0	+154,202	open	—	06-03 10:18
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	11	$65	108	108	+0	open	—	05-19 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	5	$45	129	129	+0	open	—	05-18 05:59
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	8	$36	1,288	0	+1,288	Up	$-36	05-06 19:59
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	6	$29	42	22	+20	open	—	05-19 10:28
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$28	21	20	+1	open	—	05-20 23:26
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	7	$28	981	0	+981	Up	$-28	05-06 19:59
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$19	21	0	+21	open	—	05-20 11:56
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	6	$17	26	6	+20	open	—	05-19 10:28
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	1	$16	20	0	+20	open	—	05-20 06:41
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	05-20 15:57
BNB Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	3	$14	34	0	+34	Down	$-14	05-08 08:27
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	1	$12	20	0	+20	open	—	05-21 21:26
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	1	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	05-21 21:26
BNB Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	3	$11	44	0	+44	Up	$-11	05-08 08:27
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$9	31	0	+31	Up	$-9	05-08 12:42
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	5	$9	41	10	+31	Up	+$25	05-08 12:42
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$8	20	0	+20	open	—	05-21 21:26
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$8	21	0	+21	open	—	05-21 21:26
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 13:43
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	5	$7	31	0	+31	Up	$-7	05-07 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 04:03
BNB Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	3	$7	25	0	+25	Up	$-7	05-07 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	4	$6	30	0	+30	Up	$-2	05-13 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 14:55
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	3	$5	27	0	+27	Up	$-5	05-07 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	3	$5	61	0	+61	Up	+$1	05-13 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	$-0	05-07 03:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	$-0	05-07 04:10
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-07 18:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 10:18:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41,667	0¢	$125	0x0bf54a…
06-03 10:06:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57,652	0¢	$231	0xa391bb…
06-03 10:01:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54,882	0¢	$220	0xa77aec…
05-21 21:26:27	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xa88f1d…
05-21 21:26:27	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x7f7022…
05-21 21:26:07	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0xfa1ede…
05-21 21:26:07	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x9ac29b…
05-21 18:41:16	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xd60439…
05-21 18:41:15	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x1a4af3…
05-21 18:41:11	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x046ac7…
05-20 23:56:10	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0xacf11d…
05-20 23:56:05	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x85bcf3…
05-20 23:26:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x3e156e…
05-20 23:26:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xfcd240…
05-20 16:58:37	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x9a6e4b…
05-20 16:58:32	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x63940b…
05-20 15:57:36	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	66¢	$7	0x52c44f…
05-20 15:57:33	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x6757b9…
05-20 11:56:06	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	7¢	$2	0x5e8749…
05-20 11:56:04	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x48e894…
05-20 11:11:51	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x6d785a…
05-20 11:11:51	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x654bdb…
05-20 06:41:04	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xe6df5d…
05-20 06:41:04	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x3975f8…
05-19 10:30:01	BNB Up or Down - May 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	21¢	$3	0x7a0bb5…
05-19 10:28:56	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x96bbf5…
05-19 10:28:56	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x6cef99…
05-19 10:28:21	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xda6e4a…
05-19 10:28:21	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc4159e…
05-19 10:27:55	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	22	45¢	$10	0xa94355…
05-19 10:27:51	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x46a69a…
05-19 10:27:20	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xbe67f4…
05-19 10:27:20	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x0bb517…
05-19 10:26:43	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x60f753…
05-19 10:26:40	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x475a4a…
05-19 10:26:06	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb20b09…
05-19 10:26:05	XRP Up or Down - May 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x052d59…
05-19 09:59:46	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x5db687…
05-19 09:59:44	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x4875e4…
05-19 09:59:20	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0x7797b3…
05-19 09:59:15	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xb8273e…
05-19 09:58:31	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x91a060…
05-19 09:58:31	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0x862957…
05-19 09:58:24	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0x26207f…
05-19 09:57:49	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	24	29¢	$7	0x68e791…
05-19 09:57:45	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	30¢	$7	0xc9284a…
05-19 09:57:17	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	21	24¢	$5	0x693d94…
05-19 09:57:14	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	26¢	$5	0x87be74…
05-18 05:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	107	26¢	$28	0xf2a39a…
05-18 05:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xc6568f…
05-18 05:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xa739e5…
05-18 05:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x715415…
05-18 05:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	129	12¢	$15	0x32ff7a…
05-13 12:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0xfda344…
05-13 12:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x019d37…
05-13 12:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf3adf0…
05-13 12:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xe4e721…
05-13 12:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$1	0xb3de1e…
05-13 12:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xcbae09…
05-13 12:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x28cff6…
05-13 12:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x746f47…
05-13 12:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x64f2ef…
05-13 12:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x327d66…
05-13 12:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0x594aba…
05-13 12:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x3f46a9…
05-13 12:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0270e6…
05-13 11:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8a8d05…
05-13 11:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x0ada4a…
05-13 11:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb7aefd…
05-13 11:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x2d1b85…
05-13 10:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xb7a4ba…
05-13 10:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x534bb9…
05-13 06:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0xdd4f78…
05-13 06:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x5f0686…
05-08 13:43:55	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0x7cba2f…
05-08 13:41:31	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x3f2818…
05-08 12:42:42	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0x7274b6…
05-08 12:42:40	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x3245ce…
05-08 12:42:10	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x7428b6…
05-08 12:42:10	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x60fe58…
05-08 12:41:41	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	39¢	$3	0x4e358b…
05-08 12:41:41	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x23543e…
05-08 12:41:13	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xc0a5fb…
05-08 12:41:09	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xfd5db7…
05-08 08:27:14	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	30¢	$6	0x9ec5c7…
05-08 08:27:12	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd32e79…
05-08 08:26:40	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xfc8800…
05-08 08:26:40	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0x15fa0b…
05-08 08:26:09	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x8eeec9…
05-08 08:26:09	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0x77f562…
05-07 18:58:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xfd5351…
05-07 18:58:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x809a61…
05-07 14:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0x028ebd…
05-07 14:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x4eae40…
05-07 07:57:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x0cd324…
05-07 07:57:15	BNB Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x86b7d4…
05-07 07:57:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x441077…
05-07 07:57:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0x43ec10…
05-07 07:57:10	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x1e846d…
05-07 07:56:44	BNB Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x79373e…