Timely-Patina — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$920

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.1%

Resolved

4,295

Trades

5,492

lifetime

Volume

$19.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 05-15 16:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

80% 93% -$485

Crypto

20% 43% -$434

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 29?	4	$390	246	244	+1	No	-$41	04-29 14:54
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on April 29?	2	$307	155	155	+0	Yes	+$1	04-29 14:56
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 29?	4	$255	133	133	+1	No	+$10	04-29 14:55
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 29?	2	$180	206	0	+206	Yes	-$180	04-28 01:59
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 84°F or higher on April 26?	1	$165	176	0	+176	Yes	+$11	04-26 17:25
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 28?	2	$142	84	84	+1	No	+$1	04-27 20:56
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26?	1	$123	145	0	+145	Yes	-$123	04-26 11:12
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 27?	2	$121	136	0	+136	No	+$16	04-26 17:25
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on April 26?	3	$110	123	0	+123	No	+$14	04-24 14:19
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 27?	1	$110	123	0	+123	Yes	-$110	04-26 05:38
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on April 25?	3	$109	120	0	+120	No	+$10	04-24 14:19
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 29?	3	$107	122	0	+122	No	+$15	04-27 22:33
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on April 28?	1	$102	103	0	+103	Yes	+$1	04-28 01:59
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 27?	2	$99	115	0	+115	No	+$16	04-26 04:24
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on April 29?	2	$97	54	54	+0	No	+$0	04-29 14:55
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C or below on April 29?	3	$83	89	0	+89	No	+$6	04-28 00:49
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 27?	1	$83	88	0	+88	No	+$5	04-26 18:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 29?	3	$80	87	0	+87	Yes	-$80	04-27 22:33
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?	1	$78	91	0	+91	No	+$13	04-26 06:53
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on April 28?	2	$70	37	37	+0	No	$0	04-27 20:56
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 26?	2	$64	69	0	+69	No	+$5	04-26 04:42
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 28?	1	$64	71	0	+71	Yes	-$64	04-27 21:53
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on April 26?	2	$62	68	0	+68	No	+$6	04-26 09:39
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 25?	3	$61	65	0	+65	No	+$4	04-24 14:49
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 26?	3	$60	64	0	+64	No	+$4	04-24 14:19
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on April 26?	2	$59	63	0	+63	No	+$4	04-26 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 25?	3	$57	62	0	+62	No	+$5	04-24 14:19
highest temperature in mexico city on april 18 2026 26corhigher	1	$56	58	0	+58	Yes	+$2	04-16 14:20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 29?	2	$55	30	30	+0	No	+$5	04-29 14:55
highest temperature in denver on april 12 2026 68forhigher	1	$55	55	0	+55	Yes	+$1	04-11 02:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 16:20:49	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xb5b358…
05-15 16:11:15	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x2162c7…
05-15 16:05:22	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x086a24…
05-15 16:05:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x00a685…
05-15 16:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x0a556c…
05-15 16:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x9e4788…
05-15 16:01:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x354000…
05-15 15:02:43	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x5e7229…
05-15 15:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x8b63b4…
05-15 15:02:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x21f734…
05-15 15:01:10	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xd779fe…
05-15 15:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x1b1646…
05-15 15:00:42	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x1231f3…
05-15 15:00:40	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x93f8a2…
05-15 15:00:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x990b20…
05-15 14:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x873bcd…
05-15 14:02:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x9f2afc…
05-15 14:02:19	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x78eb3a…
05-15 14:02:17	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x6a9c22…
05-15 14:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xb472bb…
05-15 14:01:31	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x860e4a…
05-15 14:00:18	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x669f17…
05-15 14:00:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf39f56…
05-15 13:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x14d322…
05-15 13:00:30	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x214b8d…
05-15 13:00:29	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x0aec61…
05-15 12:45:08	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xcc50f1…
05-15 12:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xa06c82…
05-15 12:10:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x163f61…
05-15 12:02:09	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x1fa1b4…
05-15 12:02:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x757945…
05-15 12:02:05	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x93ead8…
05-15 12:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xb22b66…
05-15 12:01:06	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xded268…
05-15 11:45:07	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x624de1…
05-15 11:02:23	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x38d777…
05-15 11:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xe921d4…
05-15 11:01:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x390ecd…
05-15 11:01:51	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xe87ee9…
05-15 11:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x7361b2…
05-15 11:00:38	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xb43d8d…
05-15 11:00:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xa506c4…
05-15 10:08:52	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xee285a…
05-15 10:05:55	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x5e647f…
05-15 10:05:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x4d6897…
05-15 10:04:36	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x287054…
05-15 10:03:23	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x2acd3b…
05-15 10:03:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x0fa960…
05-15 10:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x474d62…
05-15 10:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x6f616f…
05-15 09:34:14	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xc357f2…
05-15 09:06:06	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x53ef95…
05-15 09:05:55	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x86932b…
05-15 09:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xa3801f…
05-15 09:04:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x64a35d…
05-15 09:02:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xc3491c…
05-15 09:02:43	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x9135c0…
05-15 09:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xd00bd1…
05-15 08:45:23	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xdf351a…
05-15 08:45:23	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x72a294…
05-15 08:45:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x084096…
05-15 08:43:42	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x9f5640…
05-15 08:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x3bb40d…
05-15 08:00:56	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x8ceae7…
05-15 08:00:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x945575…
05-15 07:09:36	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x32b35f…
05-15 07:09:01	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xeac723…
05-15 07:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x21ac89…
05-15 07:08:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xe8da06…
05-15 07:06:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xb0dd24…
05-15 07:05:40	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x5517db…
05-15 07:02:27	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x224c54…
05-15 07:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x135dfd…
05-15 06:45:10	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xc2d7bc…
05-15 06:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xe46020…
05-15 06:20:01	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xd9fcb4…
05-15 06:02:40	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x9531e2…
05-15 06:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xd5cc48…
05-15 06:00:50	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xf3bab3…
05-15 05:08:06	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xf7f28d…
05-15 05:07:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x14f400…
05-15 05:03:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x343323…
05-15 05:01:27	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x4843cb…
05-15 05:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x0c946a…
05-15 05:00:53	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xe4e038…
05-15 05:00:25	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x519c75…
05-15 04:45:07	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x4f55d1…
05-15 04:06:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x41e8d3…
05-15 04:06:03	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x0741b4…
05-15 04:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x095b48…
05-15 04:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x3402e4…
05-15 04:01:53	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xca884d…
05-15 04:01:22	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x1fc07e…
05-15 04:00:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xc8d61f…
05-15 03:45:19	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x8a39eb…
05-15 03:45:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x815fd2…
05-15 03:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x4646e9…
05-15 03:05:01	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x774233…
05-15 03:04:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xf39f6a…
05-15 03:03:56	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xf2b1fd…