Beloved-Pint — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.93K

Unrealized P&L

-$73

Hit rate

84.7%

Resolved

131

Trades

1,385

lifetime

Volume

$74.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

$33

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-01 02:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Politics

66% 84% +$3,101

Other

33% 72% +$1,828

Sports

0% 67% -$2

Crypto

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		+22,000	$106	0¢	$33	-$73	09-08 12:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike israel on march 10	35	$4.6K	2,515	2,715	-200	Yes	-$30	03-15 02:04
us seizes an iran linked oil tanker by feb 28	70	$3.4K	1,958	2,705	-747	Yes	+$1,148	02-24 12:40
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	44	$3.3K	1,951	1,865	+86	No	+$222	04-03 21:31
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	17	$3.1K	1,622	1,800	-178	No	+$87	03-23 15:35
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	132	$2.7K	1,696	1,717	-21	No	+$0	02-03 01:12
netanyahu out by march 31 854	8	$2.4K	1,240	1,240	+0	No	+$37	03-26 14:25
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	6	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$8	09-19 01:28
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	13	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$73	03-31 17:57
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	24	$1.5K	1,376	1,007	+369	Yes	+$232	01-30 01:33
will the us seize an iranian oil tanker by feb 28	34	$1.5K	862	917	-55	Yes	+$161	02-15 15:01
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	17	$1.5K	760	760	+0	No	+$46	08-29 20:02
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	9	$1.3K	762	762	+0	Yes	+$159	11-01 02:04
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	23	$1.3K	829	829	+0	No	+$13	03-09 22:04
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	14	$1.2K	731	731	+0	Yes	+$36	09-08 12:35
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	20	$1.2K	831	831	+0	No	+$326	03-22 17:19
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	18	$1.2K	1,130	330	+800	No	+$90	03-29 01:51
another critical cloudflare incident by january 31	19	$1.2K	710	760	-50	No	+$21	01-18 22:24
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	17	$1.2K	759	659	+100	No	+$117	07-03 12:42
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	5	$1.1K	600	600	+0	Yes	-$16	04-29 12:15
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	25	$1.1K	753	672	+81	Yes	+$214	02-13 22:40
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	26	$1.1K	1,071	1,071	+0	No	+$368	07-31 19:34
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	17	$1.1K	800	800	+0	open	—	09-19 22:24
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	13	$1.1K	760	641	+119	No	+$48	08-29 20:49
Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?	17	$1.0K	600	600	+0	No	+$74	09-26 12:18
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	2	$963	602	602	+0	Yes	+$181	08-30 03:50
will israel strike lebanon on january 16 2026	18	$915	472	482	-10	No	+$14	01-21 01:18
will trump shake hands with emmanuel macron at the world economic forum	11	$882	448	448	+0	No	+$10	01-23 02:47
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	18	$857	595	535	+60	Yes	+$77	02-06 22:54
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	9	$846	500	500	+0	No	+$20	08-29 19:20
will trump meet with jensen huang in january 2026	43	$827	534	376	+158	Yes	+$25	01-22 00:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 02:04:42	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x353a57…
11-01 01:53:46	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	SELL	737	99¢	$730	0x0f4f9a…
11-01 01:28:00	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0xc6608b…
11-01 01:19:00	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x2993e6…
11-01 01:18:52	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x0af1bb…
11-01 01:18:04	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	BUY	12	77¢	$10	0x8f1ae8…
11-01 01:18:00	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	BUY	12	76¢	$10	0x185e79…
11-01 01:15:52	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	BUY	172	77¢	$132	0x514012…
11-01 01:15:30	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	Yes	BUY	500	77¢	$385	0xb6a437…
10-10 23:05:16	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	Yes	BUY	95	45¢	$42	0xe8e14a…
10-10 22:15:31	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?	Yes	SELL	88	57¢	$50	0xc9a675…
10-10 22:15:25	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?	Yes	SELL	30	58¢	$17	0x2a778e…
10-10 22:15:12	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?	Yes	SELL	63	59¢	$37	0x037bbe…
10-10 21:08:43	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?	Yes	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x870161…
10-10 19:55:39	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0xf7859a…
10-10 19:55:27	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x378946…
10-10 19:55:25	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x72facb…
10-10 19:55:01	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	Yes	BUY	69	51¢	$35	0x41ba49…
10-10 19:54:43	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?	Yes	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0x31c2a2…
10-10 17:06:07	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?	Yes	SELL	109	80¢	$88	0x16f1f6…
10-09 23:38:26	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?	Yes	BUY	48	50¢	$24	0x0f9d78…
10-09 23:32:23	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xaae040…
10-09 23:32:23	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8bf217…
10-09 23:32:20	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x689260…
10-09 23:24:31	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xdd57d1…
10-09 23:18:26	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x190c7b…
10-09 23:17:37	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?	Yes	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0x07c485…
10-09 23:17:35	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?	Yes	BUY	73	43¢	$31	0xb97d92…
10-09 23:17:35	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb5b576…
10-09 23:17:19	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?	Yes	BUY	52	43¢	$22	0x8cb195…
10-09 23:17:02	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x0fa5e2…
10-09 23:15:56	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0xc96e40…
09-26 12:18:42	Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?	No	SELL	200	97¢	$194	0x2f7fc2…
09-19 22:24:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	494	71¢	$351	0xc6206c…
09-19 20:29:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x7b31ab…
09-19 05:44:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0xa77cd1…
09-19 01:28:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	No	SELL	420	100¢	$419	0x9720d1…
09-18 21:11:09	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	No	SELL	580	100¢	$580	0xf2272a…
09-18 14:33:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	98	72¢	$71	0x4794ad…
09-17 21:57:37	Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?	No	SELL	43	95¢	$41	0x33484b…
09-17 21:47:03	Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x7ba66f…
09-17 21:46:33	Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0xfcf996…
09-17 21:46:24	Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x8af632…
09-17 21:46:24	Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x52865e…
09-17 21:46:21	Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?	No	SELL	53	95¢	$50	0x923362…
09-17 21:46:21	Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2ed1b6…
09-15 15:20:46	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	43	71¢	$31	0xb7bd46…
09-10 05:10:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x598173…
09-09 15:47:22	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	36	71¢	$26	0xdf895e…
09-09 13:56:07	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0xb59531…
09-09 09:49:22	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	8	71¢	$5	0x771a58…
09-08 12:50:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x5f6600…
09-08 12:49:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0xd52a01…
09-08 12:44:48	Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x6951f3…
09-08 12:40:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x0320f0…
09-08 12:39:58	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	No	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0xf26717…
09-08 12:39:45	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0xf2fcf2…
09-08 12:38:24	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	85	68¢	$58	0xeca586…
09-08 12:38:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x62c6f1…
09-08 12:35:24	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	SELL	431	87¢	$375	0x40b00d…
09-08 12:35:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	250	78¢	$195	0xc70a1c…
09-08 08:06:19	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	200	79¢	$158	0x1928d6…
09-04 23:59:51	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	SELL	200	39¢	$78	0x460ddd…
09-04 22:54:37	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xffd2ac…
09-04 22:54:33	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xeecf9c…
09-04 21:24:54	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	85	58¢	$49	0x222b9e…
09-04 20:38:33	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb271a8…
09-04 20:31:07	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xffd59a…
09-04 20:30:30	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6316c6…
09-04 20:29:36	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x073b03…
09-04 20:23:30	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x438fce…
09-04 20:23:27	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x50837d…
09-01 12:26:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	SELL	45	88¢	$39	0x55de84…
09-01 12:26:19	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	SELL	124	88¢	$109	0x643b17…
09-01 08:43:01	Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?	No	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0x37726f…
08-31 20:48:46	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x68364f…
08-31 20:47:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xd00a77…
08-31 03:03:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x6c868e…
08-31 02:38:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	SELL	71	88¢	$62	0xbcaaed…
08-31 02:38:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	SELL	61	88¢	$53	0x23af5d…
08-31 02:09:40	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	90	84¢	$75	0x839934…
08-31 01:46:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$9	0xd3ea73…
08-31 01:29:52	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	205	11¢	$22	0x84d105…
08-31 01:24:48	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xa5667f…
08-31 01:20:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x0c91f6…
08-31 01:19:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	84	77¢	$65	0xfce17d…
08-31 01:18:52	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xe41c15…
08-31 00:11:48	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0xf9a741…
08-30 23:46:18	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x82887e…
08-30 23:21:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	92	73¢	$67	0x39af26…
08-30 22:53:24	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x355c2c…
08-30 22:48:03	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	47¢	$59	0x6ed38f…
08-30 22:45:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	27	79¢	$22	0xf531fa…
08-30 22:34:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through november 30	Yes	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x474544…
08-30 22:33:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through november 30	Yes	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0x622b8e…
08-30 22:32:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through november 30	Yes	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0xb1496b…
08-30 22:30:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through november 30	Yes	BUY	200	68¢	$135	0x62fb7d…
08-30 22:27:48	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0xfe733d…
08-30 22:25:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x541012…
08-30 22:24:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	268	79¢	$212	0x094824…