Discrete-Penicillin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

102

lifetime

Volume

$1.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-26 04:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 100% +$1

Other

13% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	3	$115	81	63	+19	open	—	01-25 03:58
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$110	60	60	+0	open	—	01-25 03:46
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	3	$69	22	48	-25	open	—	03-08 03:01
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	2	$57	32	28	+3	open	—	03-08 03:01
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	04-02 01:25
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-05 09:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-05 09:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 7?	1	$26	26	0	+26	Yes	+$0	05-05 09:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 21?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	05-18 06:18
will xrp dip to 0pt2 in june 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	06-10 05:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	05-05 09:37
will ethereum reach 2900 march 16 22	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-20 06:51
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in May?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	05-05 09:37
Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	01-25 03:57
will solana dip to 10 in june 2026	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	06-10 05:44
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 22	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-20 06:51
Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	05-05 09:36
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	06-10 05:44
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 20	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-20 06:51
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	02-05 10:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 15?	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	05-12 08:47
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	02-05 10:47
bitcoin above 62k on march 21	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	03-20 06:50
will solana dip to 50 january 26 1	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	01-31 01:14
will xrp dip to 0pt4 in march 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-28 01:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-05 09:38
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	05-28 05:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-18 06:17
bitcoin above 76k on march 29	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-28 01:50
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 240plus	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-02 01:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 04:51:40	bitcoin above 72k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x121390…
06-26 04:51:28	bitcoin above 72k on june 28 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xac5842…
06-26 04:51:13	bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2e96a5…
06-26 04:50:58	bitcoin above 64k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0622a6…
06-10 05:45:18	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x797c35…
06-10 05:44:57	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in june 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xea08f6…
06-10 05:44:21	will solana dip to 10 in june 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x8a9d16…
06-10 05:44:03	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x3fa1c3…
06-10 05:43:48	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x01158b…
05-28 06:00:49	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa539b8…
05-28 06:00:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 May 25-31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcadd23…
05-28 05:59:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xff4033…
05-18 06:18:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1f0363…
05-18 06:18:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc8974d…
05-18 06:18:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3350a9…
05-18 06:17:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcbfb7a…
05-12 08:47:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa2e4c5…
05-05 09:38:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb699b6…
05-05 09:37:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x628d84…
05-05 09:37:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x72fa30…
05-05 09:37:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8b6ac7…
05-05 09:37:08	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in May?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x18ac94…
05-05 09:36:32	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf34763…
05-05 09:35:50	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa10ab3…
05-05 09:35:08	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x81d94a…
04-09 02:57:37	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 215 239	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2fc657…
04-09 02:57:27	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 540 559	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7a49f0…
04-09 02:57:07	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 460 479	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2aaccd…
04-08 01:01:03	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x623e84…
04-08 01:00:47	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x952d19…
04-08 01:00:33	bitcoin above 56k on april 10	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5321fd…
04-08 01:00:23	bitcoin above 56k on april 9	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xaceba0…
04-08 01:00:01	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe768e9…
04-02 01:27:07	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 240plus	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xefd9ce…
04-02 01:26:33	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 580plus	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x60fa00…
04-02 01:26:23	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 580plus	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7f1390…
04-02 01:25:57	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd923b9…
04-02 01:25:37	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x058dcb…
04-02 01:25:19	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xd5d0c5…
03-28 01:52:09	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 580plus	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x14d8c8…
03-28 01:52:01	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 500 519	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc50548…
03-28 01:51:37	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 30	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf71be5…
03-28 01:51:31	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 29	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x235c96…
03-28 01:51:21	will xrp dip to 0pt4 in march 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x247da0…
03-28 01:51:13	will bitcoin reach 82k march 23 29	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2bc159…
03-28 01:51:05	will bitcoin reach 69k on march 27	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf1b825…
03-28 01:50:55	bitcoin above 76k on march 29	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2d6cf1…
03-28 01:50:55	bitcoin above 72k on march 28	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1c0af5…
03-20 06:52:07	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa13d7d…
03-20 06:51:51	will ethereum reach 2900 march 16 22	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x22ba0f…
03-20 06:51:37	will bitcoin reach 88k march 16 22	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9c2c01…
03-20 06:51:15	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 22	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xbffafc…
03-20 06:51:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 20	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xead4ae…
03-20 06:50:47	bitcoin above 62k on march 21	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x866bdd…
03-20 06:50:03	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x198125…
03-08 03:03:55	elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 215 239	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf773c5…
03-08 03:03:45	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 580plus	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfc2b9b…
03-08 03:03:35	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 580plus	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x047e28…
03-08 03:03:27	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 460 479	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe160e5…
03-08 03:03:17	will ethereum dip to 1500 march 2 8	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x36dbde…
03-08 03:03:01	will bitcoin dip to 64000 on march 7	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb17db1…
03-08 03:02:45	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 8	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2330d4…
03-08 03:02:29	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 8	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc1ddbc…
03-08 03:02:19	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xec8e01…
03-08 03:02:11	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x237a43…
03-08 03:02:03	ethereum above 2200 on march 8	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x53c87c…
03-08 03:01:53	bitcoin above 60k on march 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x91bc7f…
03-08 03:01:31	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$19	0xf15fbe…
03-08 03:01:29	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0x1bc9da…
03-03 01:31:39	will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on march 3	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1df5b4…
03-03 01:31:09	will bitcoin dip to 52k march 2 8	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x09af3f…
03-03 01:30:41	solana above 60 on march 3	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x98e371…
03-03 01:30:23	will the price of bitcoin be less than 56000 on march 3	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0ac67e…
03-03 01:29:55	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x86f3b5…
03-03 01:29:31	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x13ee34…
03-03 01:29:07	ethereum above 1500 on march 3	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6f1a2d…
02-05 10:48:59	Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xda4c48…
02-05 10:48:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on february 5	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x28d24f…
02-05 10:47:55	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x0626ab…
02-05 10:47:35	will solana reach 200 in february 2026	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x34c054…
02-05 10:47:21	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5f1d09…
01-31 01:14:16	will solana dip to 50 january 26 1	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7cf61b…
01-31 01:13:52	will bitcoin reach 102k january 26 1	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc32f6e…
01-31 01:13:24	bitcoin above 92k on january 31	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa4f284…
01-25 03:58:06	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0x4c44d5…
01-25 03:57:30	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xa8b9d4…
01-25 03:57:10	Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xdd8718…
01-25 03:46:22	Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	60	92¢	$55	0x8ba5ca…
01-20 03:20:26	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 20	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbc2cf0…
01-20 03:20:04	will ethereum reach 3900 january 19 25	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x839730…
01-20 03:19:42	will bitcoin reach 106k january 19 25	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x08ed3f…
01-20 03:19:22	bitcoin above 96k on january 20	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x6f819f…
01-20 03:15:14	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0x2c7825…
01-15 04:54:32	Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	17	78¢	$13	0x6d554f…
01-15 04:54:22	xrp above 1pt9 on january 15	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2aae0…
01-15 04:53:52	will the price of xrp be between 2pt40 2pt50 on january 15	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e6528…
01-15 04:53:46	will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on january 15	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcd2cf1…
01-15 04:53:34	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in january 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1b2b8f…
01-15 04:45:34	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	63	81¢	$51	0xf7f24f…
01-03 01:20:39	Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	60	92¢	$55	0x876467…