Naive-Experience — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.4%

Resolved (7d)

112

Trades (7d)

206

6,320 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$303

$13.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 11-01 13:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 178 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 49% -$42

Other

29% 40% -$110

Politics

0% 100% +$12

Sports

0% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 163 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 16	6	$327	238	238	+0	England	+$20	07-16 17:45
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants	23	$303	352	352	+0	Chennai Super Kings	+$8	05-10 14:08
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians	22	$251	222	222	+0	Royal Challengers Bangalore	-$7	05-10 18:06
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants	23	$234	328	328	+0	Rajasthan Royals	+$3	05-19 17:10
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	16	$205	184	184	+0	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$20	05-18 18:29
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals	16	$141	195	195	+0	Delhi Capitals	+$27	05-11 17:51
crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 19	12	$138	179	166	+13	England	-$4	07-19 17:24
crichundredw lon sou 2026 08 01	8	$132	112	112	+0	Southern Brave	-$2	08-01 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	18	$102	148	148	+0	Up	+$42	05-13 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8AM ET	8	$100	117	117	+0	Down	+$12	06-02 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1AM ET	18	$98	200	200	+0	Down	+$20	05-19 05:59
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals	7	$97	72	72	+0	Rajasthan Royals	+$15	05-24 14:04
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	6	$90	125	55	+70	Gujarat Titans	-$24	05-12 16:22
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians	8	$85	73	73	+0	Mumbai Indians	+$17	05-14 18:31
crichundred sou bir 2026 07 30	7	$85	81	37	+44	Southern Brave	-$26	07-30 19:15
crichundredw mi lon 2026 07 29	5	$81	90	90	+0	cancelled	+$15	07-29 16:13
crichundred lon sou 2026 08 01	4	$80	44	44	+0	Southern Brave	+$5	08-01 18:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 13:30 UTC	13	$79	64	64	+0	Up	+$30	08-19 13:39
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals	5	$76	133	133	+0	Rajasthan Royals	-$17	05-27 16:50
bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	16	$73	113	104	+9	Up	-$1	06-06 04:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-07 13:30 UTC	5	$72	79	79	+0	Up	+$8	07-07 13:41
crichundred sun man 2026 07 28	7	$65	55	55	+0	Sunrisers Leeds	+$22	07-28 19:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 13:30 UTC	2	$64	44	44	+0	Up	+$24	08-12 13:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:30 UTC	2	$60	40	40	+0	Down	+$19	08-24 13:33
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders	5	$60	90	50	+40	Royal Challengers Bangalore	-$9	05-13 17:12
crichundredw wel sou 2026 08 03	10	$58	61	61	+0	Welsh Fire	+$12	08-03 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	8	$55	40	40	+0	Down	+$19	09-08 13:31
crichundred mi lon 2026 07 29	10	$51	60	60	+0	London Spirit	+$10	07-29 20:06
crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 07	4	$51	40	40	+0	England	+$10	07-07 19:10
crichundred tre lon 2026 07 26	3	$50	60	30	+30	Trent Rockets	+$10	07-27 02:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 14:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$2	0x1d9a8f…
11-01 14:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x17b88b…
11-01 14:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xca5a58…
11-01 13:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0x6a9978…
11-01 13:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x02e81d…
11-01 13:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xfcbb71…
11-01 13:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xf752b3…
11-01 13:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8a2066…
11-01 13:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3b4322…
10-31 04:52:42	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Cheuk Ying Shek	Cheuk Ying Shek	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x1dfb92…
10-30 20:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xa662d9…
10-30 19:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc63429…
10-30 19:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe3752f…
10-30 19:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x969df8…
10-30 19:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0345d1…
10-30 19:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xfdcb06…
10-30 19:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6d35ca…
10-30 17:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x5aa06c…
10-30 17:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa82c4b…
10-30 16:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x867a4c…
10-30 14:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb49f75…
10-30 14:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x330c0f…
10-30 14:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5c624a…
10-30 14:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5ad868…
10-30 13:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	89¢	$4	0x88342d…
10-30 13:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x457924…
10-30 13:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xf85721…
10-30 13:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xdd17b3…
10-30 13:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x174ea0…
10-30 13:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x61da46…
10-30 13:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0xdcd81e…
10-30 13:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x663586…
10-30 13:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0xa6f06b…
10-30 13:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xab2993…
10-30 13:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x54daed…
10-30 13:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xa37202…
10-30 13:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x71b1aa…
10-30 13:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x7a2c08…
10-30 13:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xfa01de…
10-30 10:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x75738f…
10-30 10:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xc728a3…
10-30 10:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd6a47b…
10-30 10:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x48092e…
10-30 06:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x8e3420…
10-30 06:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x086bd2…
10-30 06:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x95f2e6…
10-30 05:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x139ddf…
10-30 05:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x19b051…
10-30 05:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xafde4d…
10-30 05:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x8cbdab…
10-30 05:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x180588…
10-30 04:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xd35f1f…
10-30 04:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc0db41…
10-30 04:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0xd62575…
10-30 04:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xdfb211…
10-30 04:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xdba132…
10-30 04:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xcd949e…
10-30 04:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb659e9…
10-30 03:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xabfd34…
10-29 16:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x01c046…
10-29 16:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1cacd6…
10-29 16:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7ece6c…
10-29 16:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xa83f98…
10-29 16:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa9ad08…
10-29 15:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x69bc54…
10-29 15:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x59c55d…
10-29 15:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0xc7d81b…
10-29 15:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x31284c…
10-29 15:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x9bdb5b…
10-29 14:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8ba2d7…
10-29 14:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x25462e…
10-29 14:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x33afd1…
10-29 14:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6f59fb…
10-29 14:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x05f662…
10-29 13:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x7a740b…
10-29 13:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x51e8d1…
10-29 13:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x519369…
10-29 11:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7b0a2e…
10-29 11:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x91e885…
10-29 04:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfa773b…
10-29 04:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7f906f…
10-29 04:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x850df9…
10-29 04:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9118e5…
10-29 02:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x94e617…
10-29 02:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xfb779c…
10-28 18:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd29e6b…
10-28 18:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0xf91d3c…
10-28 18:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x970a64…
10-28 18:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x822e6b…
10-28 17:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xfc451b…
10-28 17:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x75cb68…
10-28 17:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc92d29…
10-28 16:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0xba96d0…
10-28 16:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xaf6e6e…
10-28 16:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x8c1070…
10-28 16:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x043cc7…
10-28 16:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x78cdfe…
10-28 16:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x4e4443…
10-28 16:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xda3467…
10-28 16:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x4305be…