Realized P&L
-$56
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
14.8%
Resolved
14
Trades
151
lifetime
Volume
$1.34K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$601
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-07
last 11-10 04:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
76% 20% -$49
Politics
14% 0% -$6
Tech
7% 0% -$1
Crypto
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by November 30, 2026? Yes +80 $50 82¢ $65 +$15 11-01 15:41
Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30? No +60 $55 96¢ $58 +$3 10-10 10:51
Will Shas be in the next Israeli government? No +60 $49 74¢ $45 -$4 10-30 22:13
Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +58 $32 64¢ $37 +$5 11-09 05:33
Will US gas hit $4.30 (High) in November? No +32 $24 94¢ $30 +$5 11-04 13:07
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 7? No +30 $27 97¢ $29 +$2 11-09 12:54
Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government? No +58 $28 36¢ $20 -$8 11-08 21:22
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026? No +33 $24 60¢ $20 -$5 11-08 17:29
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 19, 2026? No +20 $19 97¢ $19 +$1 11-05 03:11
Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings? No +20 $16 96¢ $19 +$3 11-06 02:50
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 26, 2026? Yes +40 $15 48¢ $19 +$4 10-29 12:14
Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by November 30, 2026? No +100 $38 18¢ $18 -$19 11-01 18:30
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 26? No +20 $12 90¢ $18 +$6 10-31 00:48
Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +20 $14 80¢ $16 +$2 11-08 20:26
Will Shas be in the next Israeli government? Yes +60 $17 26¢ $15 -$2 10-30 18:57
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.37T by November 30? No +20 $16 76¢ $15 -$1 11-07 17:38
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.825T by November 30? No +20 $19 75¢ $15 -$4 11-06 16:37
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%? No +20 $14 74¢ $15 +$0 11-06 22:17
North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +17 $12 82¢ $14 +$2 10-12 11:59
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026? Yes +33 $9 40¢ $13 +$4 11-07 22:29
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30? No +20 $13 66¢ $13 +$0 11-01 02:55
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? No +15 $12 85¢ $13 +$1 10-09 19:34
Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government? No +20 $14 65¢ $13 -$1 11-09 22:01
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 25, 2026? Yes +26 $24 49¢ $13 -$11 10-30 07:32
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 25, 2026? No +20 $14 51¢ $10 -$4 10-28 19:10
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +16 $8 56¢ $9 +$1 11-07 21:15
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? No +20 $8 37¢ $7 -$1 11-10 04:10
Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +20 $14 35¢ $7 -$7 11-09 17:28
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +16 $9 44¢ $7 -$2 11-06 12:37
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30? Yes +20 $7 34¢ $7 $0 11-01 03:01