Concerned-Mussel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$137

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.4%

Resolved

2,042

Trades

4,160

lifetime

Volume

$23.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 08-31 11:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 76% +$153

Other

0% 25% -$14

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 07:15 UTC	63	$273	276	276	-0	Down	$0	02-22 07:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 04:50 UTC	16	$95	108	0	+108	Down	+$13	04-03 04:52
bitcoin above 76k on april 17	2	$71	54	52	+2	Yes	+$34	04-17 14:42
bitcoin above 72k on april 9	6	$70	164	153	+11	Yes	+$55	04-09 15:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 15:00 UTC	4	$65	36	36	+0	Down	+$3	02-22 15:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 08:00 UTC	9	$54	63	63	+0	Down	-$3	02-22 08:10
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$50	7,143	0	+7,143	No	-$50	06-02 15:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 07:45 UTC	18	$44	106	103	+3	Down	-$14	02-22 07:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 04:00 UTC	5	$37	26	26	+0	Down	-$3	02-23 04:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 13:45 UTC	4	$37	54	45	+9	Down	+$7	07-23 13:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 18?	2	$27	22	22	+0	Yes	+$17	06-18 16:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 13:30 UTC	5	$26	17	16	+0	Up	+$7	02-25 13:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 11:10 UTC	4	$26	14	14	+0	Down	+$2	02-27 11:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 05:55 UTC	5	$24	12	12	+0	Up	+$0	02-26 06:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 09:00 UTC	4	$24	23	23	+0	Up	-$1	03-02 09:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 13:15 UTC	4	$24	12	12	+0	Up	+$0	02-25 13:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 04:15 UTC	3	$23	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	03-01 04:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 09:20 UTC	4	$23	15	15	+0	Up	+$1	03-31 09:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 08:40 UTC	3	$22	13	13	+0	Down	+$2	03-03 08:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 13:50 UTC	4	$22	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	03-31 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 14:25 UTC	4	$21	13	13	+0	Up	$0	03-31 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 13:20 UTC	5	$21	14	14	+0	Up	-$2	02-25 13:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 03:30 UTC	4	$20	16	16	+0	Up	+$0	02-23 03:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17?	1	$20	24	0	+24	Yes	+$4	06-17 11:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 16:00 UTC	4	$20	14	14	+0	Up	-$2	03-03 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 14:55 UTC	4	$19	15	14	+0	Down	-$3	03-31 14:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 08:45 UTC	2	$19	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	03-02 08:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 09:50 UTC	3	$18	13	6	+6	Down	+$1	02-27 09:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 17:30 UTC	4	$17	13	13	+0	Down	-$4	03-31 17:34
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	3	$16	27	27	+0	No	+$2	06-16 02:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 11:43:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 11:40 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbece7b…
08-31 11:42:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x0dca29…
07-24 06:20:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 06:15 UTC	Up	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0xee924c…
07-24 06:17:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc7fdbc…
07-24 06:17:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1d5c02…
07-23 15:20:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x852894…
07-23 15:18:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe64515…
07-23 15:13:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe08f68…
07-23 15:08:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb81031…
07-23 15:06:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0xade088…
07-23 15:06:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3867cc…
07-23 15:05:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1166b9…
07-23 15:04:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x809822…
07-23 15:02:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa48b6a…
07-23 14:55:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1cd79a…
07-23 14:48:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb6d7e6…
07-23 14:48:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x72d36e…
07-23 14:18:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3d4781…
07-23 14:18:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9ea2d6…
07-23 14:12:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xcd8fce…
07-23 14:04:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x850e41…
07-23 14:04:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x11fea5…
07-23 14:03:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	10	57¢	$5	0xdee33e…
07-23 14:03:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 14:15 UTC	Up	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xe1ae39…
07-23 14:00:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xea31b2…
07-23 14:00:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2956be…
07-23 13:55:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x4aaf0b…
07-23 13:54:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	45	48¢	$22	0x028ae3…
07-23 13:48:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x739ae8…
07-23 13:46:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xce81e0…
07-23 13:45:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x736ee6…
07-23 13:44:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 13:30 UTC	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xd581e3…
07-23 13:41:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xb0f0b6…
06-19 12:24:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 19?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xb06853…
06-18 16:00:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 18?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x611a94…
06-18 00:36:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 18?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x6c245b…
06-17 11:47:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 17?	Yes	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xc1f68c…
06-17 11:47:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 17?	Yes	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0xd66aac…
06-17 08:24:02	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x823d49…
06-16 03:03:21	Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdc12b3…
06-16 03:01:37	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0x380667…
06-16 02:36:03	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2f4ca9…
06-16 02:35:54	Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x252b0c…
06-16 02:35:49	Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xa816ab…
06-16 02:33:04	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	SELL	27	35¢	$9	0xde70e5…
06-16 02:32:30	Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xff6368…
06-16 02:31:39	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x6e7a28…
06-16 02:25:15	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xb783f8…
06-16 02:14:54	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x871c34…
06-15 15:10:19	Egypt to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xb855b0…
06-15 15:08:37	Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	57	4¢	$2	0x60a78a…
06-15 15:07:54	Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 3 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	154	1¢	$2	0xfa7a6f…
06-15 15:07:42	Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 3 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	158	2¢	$3	0x15a072…
06-15 15:06:52	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xee602e…
06-08 12:06:22	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x53b809…
06-02 15:45:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,143	1¢	$50	0x431f68…
05-07 14:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x15012c…
05-07 14:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xb45ffb…
05-07 13:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xaddcf5…
05-07 13:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x4296e4…
05-07 13:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x1e378a…
05-07 13:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xe0c14d…
05-06 14:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x193b8f…
05-06 14:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x28d81f…
05-06 12:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$6	0x971bfb…
05-06 12:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xed03f2…
05-05 22:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xeaade7…
05-05 22:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x629a0e…
05-05 14:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x21cbb1…
05-05 14:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x33d4bb…
05-05 14:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x16ed23…
05-05 14:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xd8e3d3…
05-05 14:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xa0a735…
05-05 14:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x7bdf81…
05-05 14:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x78cf1b…
05-05 14:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x044e60…
05-05 14:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x2b0a00…
05-05 14:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x3b65f6…
05-05 14:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x39222a…
05-05 14:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	70¢	$5	0x6b12c2…
05-05 14:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0xaf2b50…
05-05 14:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xad934b…
05-05 14:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0xe00d1b…
05-05 14:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xe94be9…
05-05 14:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x42b2f6…
05-05 14:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x3cb72a…
05-05 14:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0x5d61ae…
05-05 14:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x0e1728…
05-05 13:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x5475f6…
05-05 13:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x20bebd…
05-05 13:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x0a9330…
05-05 13:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xba6b21…
05-05 13:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x884755…
05-05 13:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xc4b601…
05-05 13:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0x5920bc…
05-05 13:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x7c755a…
05-05 13:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x186be6…
05-05 13:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x191b90…
05-05 13:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0xd13b98…
05-05 13:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xad4dfc…