Concerned-Mussel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

Trades

4,107

lifetime

Volume

$22.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-17 08:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% $-7

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1771744500	63	$273	276	276	-0	open	—	02-22 07:19
btc updown 5m 1775191800	16	$95	108	0	+108	open	—	04-03 04:52
bitcoin above 76k on april 17	2	$71	54	52	+2	open	—	04-17 14:42
bitcoin above 72k on april 9	6	$70	164	153	+11	open	—	04-09 15:38
btc updown 15m 1771772400	4	$65	36	36	+0	open	—	02-22 15:13
btc updown 15m 1771747200	9	$54	63	63	+0	open	—	02-22 08:10
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$50	7,143	0	+7,143	open	—	06-02 15:45
btc updown 15m 1771746300	18	$44	106	103	+3	open	—	02-22 07:55
btc updown 5m 1771819200	5	$37	26	26	+0	open	—	02-23 04:05
btc updown 15m 1784814300	4	$37	54	45	+9	open	—	07-23 13:55
btc updown 5m 1772026200	5	$26	17	16	+0	open	—	02-25 13:35
btc updown 5m 1772190600	4	$26	14	14	+0	open	—	02-27 11:14
btc updown 5m 1772085300	5	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	02-26 06:00
btc updown 15m 1772442000	4	$24	23	23	+0	open	—	03-02 09:13
btc updown 5m 1772025300	4	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	02-25 13:19
btc updown 5m 1772338500	3	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	03-01 04:18
btc updown 5m 1774948800	4	$23	15	15	+0	open	—	03-31 09:24
btc updown 5m 1772527200	3	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	03-03 08:43
btc updown 5m 1774965000	4	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	03-31 13:54
btc updown 5m 1774967100	4	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	03-31 14:29
btc updown 5m 1772025600	5	$21	14	14	+0	open	—	02-25 13:25
btc updown 5m 1771817400	4	$20	16	16	+0	open	—	02-23 03:34
btc updown 5m 1772553600	4	$20	14	14	+0	open	—	03-03 16:04
btc updown 5m 1774968900	4	$19	15	14	+0	open	—	03-31 14:59
btc updown 15m 1772441100	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	03-02 08:54
btc updown 5m 1772185800	3	$18	13	6	+6	open	—	02-27 09:54
btc updown 5m 1774978200	4	$17	13	13	+0	open	—	03-31 17:34
btc updown 5m 1772527500	3	$16	13	6	+6	open	—	03-03 08:48
btc updown 15m 1784815200	5	$16	13	13	+0	open	—	07-23 14:12
btc updown 5m 1771917000	4	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	02-24 07:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 15:20:48	btc updown 15m 1784819700	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x852894…
07-23 15:18:58	btc updown 15m 1784819700	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe64515…
07-23 15:13:16	btc updown 15m 1784818800	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe08f68…
07-23 15:08:24	btc updown 15m 1784818800	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb81031…
07-23 15:06:48	btc updown 15m 1784818800	Up	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0xade088…
07-23 15:06:27	btc updown 15m 1784818800	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3867cc…
07-23 15:05:07	btc updown 15m 1784818800	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1166b9…
07-23 15:04:25	btc updown 15m 1784818800	Up	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x809822…
07-23 15:02:22	btc updown 15m 1784818800	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa48b6a…
07-23 14:55:36	btc updown 15m 1784817900	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1cd79a…
07-23 14:48:54	btc updown 15m 1784817900	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb6d7e6…
07-23 14:48:52	btc updown 15m 1784817900	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x72d36e…
07-23 14:18:57	btc updown 15m 1784816100	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3d4781…
07-23 14:18:52	btc updown 15m 1784816100	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9ea2d6…
07-23 14:12:21	btc updown 15m 1784815200	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xcd8fce…
07-23 14:04:09	btc updown 15m 1784815200	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x850e41…
07-23 14:04:07	btc updown 15m 1784815200	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x11fea5…
07-23 14:03:40	btc updown 15m 1784815200	Up	SELL	10	57¢	$5	0xdee33e…
07-23 14:03:09	btc updown 15m 1784816100	Up	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xe1ae39…
07-23 14:00:39	btc updown 15m 1784816100	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xea31b2…
07-23 14:00:39	btc updown 15m 1784816100	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2956be…
07-23 13:55:10	btc updown 15m 1784814300	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x4aaf0b…
07-23 13:54:55	btc updown 15m 1784814300	Up	SELL	45	48¢	$22	0x028ae3…
07-23 13:48:46	btc updown 15m 1784814300	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x739ae8…
07-23 13:46:07	btc updown 15m 1784814300	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xce81e0…
07-23 13:45:34	btc updown 15m 1784815200	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x736ee6…
07-23 13:44:46	btc updown 15m 1784813400	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xd581e3…
07-23 13:41:43	btc updown 15m 1784813400	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xb0f0b6…
06-17 08:24:02	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x823d49…
06-08 12:06:22	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x53b809…
06-02 15:45:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,143	1¢	$50	0x431f68…
05-07 14:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x15012c…
05-07 14:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xb45ffb…
05-07 13:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xaddcf5…
05-07 13:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x4296e4…
05-07 13:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x1e378a…
05-07 13:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xe0c14d…
05-06 14:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x193b8f…
05-06 14:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x28d81f…
05-06 12:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$6	0x971bfb…
05-06 12:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xed03f2…
05-05 22:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xeaade7…
05-05 22:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x629a0e…
05-05 14:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x21cbb1…
05-05 14:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x33d4bb…
05-05 14:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x16ed23…
05-05 14:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xd8e3d3…
05-05 14:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xa0a735…
05-05 14:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x7bdf81…
05-05 14:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x78cf1b…
05-05 14:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x044e60…
05-05 14:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x2b0a00…
05-05 14:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x3b65f6…
05-05 14:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x39222a…
05-05 14:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	70¢	$5	0x6b12c2…
05-05 14:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0xaf2b50…
05-05 14:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xad934b…
05-05 14:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0xe00d1b…
05-05 14:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xe94be9…
05-05 14:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x42b2f6…
05-05 14:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x3cb72a…
05-05 14:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0x5d61ae…
05-05 14:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x0e1728…
05-05 13:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x5475f6…
05-05 13:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x20bebd…
05-05 13:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x0a9330…
05-05 13:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xba6b21…
05-05 13:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x884755…
05-05 13:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xc4b601…
05-05 13:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0x5920bc…
05-05 13:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x7c755a…
05-05 13:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x186be6…
05-05 13:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x191b90…
05-05 13:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0xd13b98…
05-05 13:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xad4dfc…
05-05 13:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xc70f68…
05-05 13:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x850884…
05-05 13:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0xf67821…
05-05 13:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xdecc80…
05-05 13:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x4e5158…
05-05 13:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x22a72f…
05-05 13:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0xb4d17d…
05-05 13:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x4ebcae…
05-05 11:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$6	0x649522…
05-05 11:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x21ef30…
04-27 15:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x5c6df9…
04-27 15:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xb67007…
04-27 15:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xeab1e3…
04-27 15:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x1593aa…
04-27 15:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$6	0x44d9c5…
04-27 15:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x70147d…
04-27 05:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x88c1a6…
04-27 05:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xd0362c…
04-27 05:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xc532d7…
04-27 05:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x3700dc…
04-27 05:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x0fd889…
04-27 05:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xb09157…
04-27 01:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xf56aca…
04-27 01:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xc9018e…
04-27 00:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$6	0x3af385…