Smoggy-Ornament — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$142

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.3%

Resolved

4,671

Trades

5,321

lifetime

Volume

$91.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 05-25 17:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 94% +$142

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 10:00 UTC	2	$54	43	43	+1	Up	-$26	02-25 10:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 02:30 UTC	2	$50	55	0	+55	Up	+$5	02-28 02:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 20:15 UTC	4	$41	44	5	+39	Up	-$39	04-15 20:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 07:00 UTC	1	$40	42	0	+42	Up	+$2	02-25 07:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 09:00 UTC	1	$40	43	0	+43	Up	+$3	02-25 09:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 10:30 UTC	1	$40	41	0	+41	Up	+$1	02-25 10:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 13:15 UTC	1	$40	42	0	+42	Up	+$2	02-25 13:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 07:15 UTC	1	$40	42	0	+42	Up	+$2	02-25 07:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 08:00 UTC	1	$40	42	0	+42	Down	+$2	02-25 08:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 10:30 UTC	1	$40	42	0	+42	Up	+$2	02-25 10:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 07:15 UTC	1	$40	43	0	+43	Up	+$3	02-25 07:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 07:30 UTC	1	$40	43	0	+43	Down	+$3	02-25 07:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 11:45 UTC	1	$40	43	0	+43	Up	-$40	02-25 11:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 11:00 UTC	1	$40	43	0	+43	Down	+$3	02-25 11:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 12:00 UTC	1	$40	43	0	+43	Up	+$3	02-25 12:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 12:30 UTC	1	$40	43	0	+43	Up	+$3	02-25 12:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 06:15 UTC	1	$40	41	0	+41	Up	+$1	02-25 06:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 09:15 UTC	1	$40	41	0	+41	Down	+$1	02-25 09:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 07:00 UTC	1	$40	41	0	+41	Up	+$1	02-25 07:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 08:45 UTC	1	$40	41	0	+41	Up	+$1	02-25 08:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 06:30 UTC	1	$40	41	0	+41	Up	+$1	02-25 06:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 10:45 UTC	1	$40	41	0	+41	Down	+$1	02-25 10:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 10:45 UTC	1	$40	41	0	+41	Down	+$1	02-25 10:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 09:00 UTC	1	$40	41	0	+41	Up	+$1	02-25 09:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 07:45 UTC	1	$40	41	0	+41	Up	+$1	02-25 07:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 17:00 UTC	2	$40	42	0	+42	Up	+$2	02-24 17:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 12:00 UTC	1	$40	42	0	+42	Up	+$2	02-25 12:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 09:30 UTC	1	$40	42	0	+42	Down	+$2	02-25 09:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 08:45 UTC	1	$40	42	0	+42	Up	+$2	02-25 08:57
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 07:45 UTC	1	$40	42	0	+42	Up	+$2	02-25 07:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 17:41:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x205dd3…
05-25 17:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xdda7b5…
05-25 16:56:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf6b597…
05-25 16:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x39e4df…
05-25 16:26:04	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x08d722…
05-25 16:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x843d62…
05-25 15:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x4e3310…
05-25 15:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x66fbe5…
05-25 15:26:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x978199…
05-25 15:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0xaced66…
05-25 15:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x10c8ac…
05-25 15:11:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0xc0e562…
05-25 14:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xe8e7d8…
05-25 14:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x1070d0…
05-25 14:11:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0b450a…
05-25 12:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x6ba1a3…
05-25 11:42:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x000e78…
05-25 11:42:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8e015b…
05-25 11:42:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd5a554…
05-25 11:41:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2a134f…
05-25 11:41:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4d487c…
05-25 11:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xf35c9d…
05-25 10:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe8486e…
05-25 10:26:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x2767d7…
05-25 10:11:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x2324f2…
05-25 10:11:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xe7696e…
05-25 09:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x14d35c…
05-25 09:11:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x367f26…
05-25 08:56:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x658154…
05-25 08:41:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x835a1e…
05-25 07:56:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x80a259…
05-25 07:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x02dbb4…
05-25 07:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf8609c…
05-25 07:26:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x713b0b…
05-25 07:11:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3bff4e…
05-25 06:56:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x9bddf3…
05-25 06:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xba67d3…
05-25 06:26:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x68998a…
05-25 05:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x4168b5…
05-25 05:56:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x4815a5…
05-25 05:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x804c89…
05-25 05:11:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x54a55c…
05-25 04:56:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xee796e…
05-25 04:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc0e12a…
05-25 04:26:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xda445e…
05-25 04:26:03	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x6817fc…
05-25 01:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x1d51fe…
05-25 01:41:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x9a7572…
05-25 01:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xba775b…
05-25 01:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xc72d8d…
05-24 23:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3b6bd9…
05-24 23:41:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbe2907…
05-24 23:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xdca3e4…
05-24 22:41:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4739eb…
05-24 22:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x09fde8…
05-24 21:57:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xff395f…
05-24 21:57:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x2683bc…
05-24 21:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x2f8e26…
05-24 21:56:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	82¢	$11	0x18b32e…
05-24 21:56:04	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8cf796…
05-24 21:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x961a3a…
05-24 21:26:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x20f12f…
05-24 21:11:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x118d86…
05-24 20:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x18750a…
05-24 19:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa43311…
05-24 19:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x57278b…
05-24 19:41:05	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x58f506…
05-24 19:41:03	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$2	0x29f5fc…
05-24 19:11:04	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x62c19e…
05-24 18:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x9154ad…
05-24 18:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x0add41…
05-24 17:56:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xea7039…
05-24 17:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xd355bc…
05-24 17:41:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x029697…
05-24 16:56:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbf175b…
05-24 16:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x41e3e5…
05-24 16:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x86a955…
05-24 14:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x78ec51…
05-24 13:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa7dfc7…
05-24 13:26:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xb6a589…
05-24 13:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xf4b621…
05-24 13:11:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xd3e00c…
05-24 12:41:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x328e40…
05-24 12:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x30d478…
05-24 12:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc98978…
05-24 12:11:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xee436f…
05-24 11:41:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$0	0xd53240…
05-24 11:41:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	85¢	$14	0x9a2006…
05-24 11:41:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x36171f…
05-24 11:29:53	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc73733…
05-24 11:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x9febf9…
05-24 11:11:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x9091f9…
05-24 10:41:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x677931…
05-24 10:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x261f00…
05-24 10:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb38a16…
05-24 09:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xcfcea5…
05-24 09:11:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xe83c97…
05-24 08:26:03	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd05e02…
05-24 08:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x246ebc…
05-24 07:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x14ae4e…