Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.10K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

15.9%

Resolved

401

Trades

4,688

lifetime

Volume

$38.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-09-15

last 10-27 10:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

68% 15% -$847

Politics

18% 15% -$123

Sports

7% 24% -$48

Tech

4% 23% -$50

Crypto

2% 14% -$24

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 387 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	—	+33	$3	9¢	$3	$0	09-19 06:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?	14	$212	190	190	+0	open	—	10-14 04:58
Will the US federal government take a stake in Unusual Machines?	19	$200	187	187	+0	open	—	10-17 11:40
Will Cameron Ward have 18.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	16	$153	129	149	-20	open	—	10-14 22:42
will anthropics frontier output token price be at or above 50 in 2026	13	$144	125	125	+0	open	—	10-15 01:14
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Attorney General election?	15	$139	120	120	+0	open	—	10-05 21:48
Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $60 in 2026?	10	$128	100	100	+0	open	—	10-09 14:52
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?	11	$114	116	116	+0	open	—	10-12 22:55
Will Jordan Love have 4,049.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	13	$110	102	102	+0	open	—	10-16 06:47
Will Ján Forgáč win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?	11	$108	100	100	+0	Yes	-$9	10-06 12:12
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?	6	$107	90	90	+0	open	—	10-08 18:57
Will Jordan Mason have 449.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	11	$101	100	100	+0	open	—	10-17 01:49
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	8	$101	80	80	+0	open	—	10-13 23:58
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	8	$100	90	90	+0	open	—	10-11 19:55
Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2028?	10	$97	100	100	+0	open	—	10-14 10:12
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?	13	$94	96	96	+0	open	—	10-18 04:04
Will Kyle Monangai have 849.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	8	$91	80	80	+0	open	—	10-15 03:21
Will Tyler Shough finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?	8	$91	80	80	+0	open	—	10-15 12:38
Will Codex launch a token by March 31, 2027?	6	$91	90	90	+0	open	—	10-09 09:26
Will Kyren Williams have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	11	$88	80	80	+0	open	—	10-06 17:42
Will Chase Brown have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	9	$87	80	80	+0	open	—	10-08 09:15
Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or below $15 in 2026?	8	$86	72	72	+0	open	—	10-11 10:24
Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Indonesia this month?	11	$86	100	100	+0	open	—	10-16 00:27
Will Veda launch a token by September 30, 2027?	9	$86	99	99	+0	open	—	10-07 13:02
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving yards?	14	$85	67	67	+0	open	—	10-16 10:16
Will HNK Gorica be relegated from the 2026-27 Croatian HNL?	8	$85	80	80	+0	open	—	10-14 20:49
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.25 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	12	$85	80	80	+0	open	—	10-11 15:07
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q3 investment banking revenue be above $2.3B?	8	$83	80	80	+0	No	-$14	10-13 10:48
Will Jonathan Taylor finish as a top-12 FLEX in the 2026-27 NFL season?	8	$82	80	80	+0	open	—	10-12 16:00
Will Evan McPherson finish as a top-5 K in the 2026-27 NFL season?	8	$82	65	65	+0	open	—	10-16 09:54
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 50%-55%?	7	$82	60	60	+0	open	—	10-13 10:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 10:37:44	Will Jameson Williams have 899.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	7	22¢	$2	0xd40f2c…
10-26 18:56:08	Will Omar Cooper Jr. have 499.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0x3f180e…
10-26 08:00:50	Will Justin Jefferson have 6.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x4a566d…
10-24 09:30:48	Will Zach Hyman record 30+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xa3bf69…
10-23 08:16:00	Will Anderlecht finish 9th-24th in UEL league phase?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x568756…
10-23 07:59:50	Will Manchester City reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	No	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x77b7a9…
10-23 04:58:27	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Philippines this month?	No	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0xceaf41…
10-22 20:30:42	Will Lugano finish 9th-24th in UECL league phase?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x0a44e3…
10-22 14:13:02	Will Kyren Williams have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0xe90f15…
10-22 09:24:33	Will Lamar Jackson have 3,249.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	15	44¢	$7	0xbf2218…
10-22 03:07:59	Will Macklin Celebrini record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x3d3d9d…
10-21 21:02:26	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	25	27¢	$7	0xb70f1e…
10-20 21:21:15	Will Trey McBride have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	9	37¢	$4	0x6ff453…
10-20 20:48:48	Will Trey McBride have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x69f052…
10-20 17:02:47	Will Jake Guentzel record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x440fd1…
10-19 10:22:35	Will Derrick Henry finish as a top-5 FLEX in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xf91aea…
10-19 08:31:50	Will Bucky Irving have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x04362c…
10-19 05:56:32	Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xd71463…
10-19 04:03:09	Will Estoril Praia be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga?	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x053766…
10-19 02:44:47	Will Jacksonville Jaguars advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0x970729…
10-19 00:05:54	Will James Cook have 1,249.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	9	49¢	$5	0x974bdb…
10-18 23:24:30	Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x4b3461…
10-18 23:05:27	Will Seagate (STX) Q1 hard drive exabyte shipments be above 230?	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xa35119…
10-18 23:05:08	Will Lamar Jackson have 3,249.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x0cb3d0…
10-18 21:59:05	Will Lionel Messi score 5+ goals during the 2027 MLS Sprint Season window?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xf7eff6…
10-18 18:59:08	Will Davante Adams have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x1a926a…
10-18 17:24:44	Will Nico Collins have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xd356d5…
10-18 16:39:26	Will UTC Cajamarca be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	No	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x924db5…
10-18 16:28:30	Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Cloud revenue be above $62B?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x3faf45…
10-18 15:10:59	Will Drake Maye have 3,549.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	11	28¢	$3	0x7795a4…
10-18 14:05:39	Will the Jacksonville Jaguars have more than 11.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x9f2041…
10-18 12:13:42	Will Genoa be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xbb66d7…
10-18 11:21:38	Will FlyQuest qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x04a21d…
10-18 11:18:47	Will Brock Purdy have 4,049.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	19	25¢	$5	0xe19c01…
10-18 11:18:47	Will Brock Purdy have 4,049.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0xd3327f…
10-18 10:27:06	Will Drake Maye have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0xdb5e8d…
10-18 07:12:08	Will Xavier Worthy have 449.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	19	44¢	$8	0x1acce2…
10-18 05:59:51	Benedict Wong as Wong?	No	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x65add3…
10-18 04:59:51	Will Deportivo Moquegua be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x9c6ecc…
10-18 04:04:50	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	39¢	$1	0x1af748…
10-18 04:04:08	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xccdcaa…
10-18 01:56:03	Will "Clayface" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0xb05050…
10-18 01:21:53	Will Tyler Shough have 3,649.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xbfece3…
10-18 00:49:35	Will Jacksonville Jaguars advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	No	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0xd6a468…
10-17 23:54:05	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x012532…
10-17 23:39:15	Will UTC Cajamarca be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	No	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0xc75285…
10-17 22:52:02	will qualcomm qcom q4 qct chip revenue be above 20261008120131000 8pt75b	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x515703…
10-17 22:48:39	Will "Clayface" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	21	47¢	$10	0x4c27d1…
10-17 22:48:36	Will "Clayface" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xf5b087…
10-17 22:21:06	Will the Anaheim Ducks record 90+ points?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xc7bdbe…
10-17 19:34:24	Will Jack Hughes record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x0c2a59…
10-17 19:29:36	Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0xed5a7b…
10-17 17:52:41	Will Michael Wilson have 924.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	13	29¢	$4	0x52f895…
10-17 17:45:44	Will Michael Wilson have 924.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0x760b33…
10-17 17:30:03	Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0xbf4129…
10-17 17:07:17	Benedict Wong as Wong?	No	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x3c1388…
10-17 16:51:54	will synopsys q4 design automation revenue be above 2pt0b	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xfce75d…
10-17 16:21:53	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	30	57¢	$17	0x7b5ce8…
10-17 16:11:54	Benedict Wong as Wong?	No	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0xa00aee…
10-17 15:59:41	Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x1ed670…
10-17 15:14:48	Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPad revenue be above $6B?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xeeef37…
10-17 14:24:30	Will Aston Villa reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x1ea6c1…
10-17 13:25:56	Will Matthew Stafford have 3,999.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0xa92f02…
10-17 13:21:15	Will Matthew Stafford have 3,999.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x65ef19…
10-17 13:21:15	Will Matthew Stafford have 3,999.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x20f491…
10-17 13:18:32	Will Aaron Rodgers have 30+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x98ed98…
10-17 13:18:05	Will Borussia Mönchengladbach be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x87c66e…
10-17 13:08:42	Will a player from the Big Ten win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xc9faae…
10-17 12:45:47	Will Kyren Williams have 999.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0xec0111…
10-17 12:31:48	Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x95b76a…
10-17 11:52:50	will abbvie q3 global skyrizi net revenues be above 20261008120114000 5pt75b	No	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0x00df07…
10-17 11:45:12	Will Jordan Love have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	18	42¢	$8	0xaea2ce…
10-17 11:40:45	Will the US federal government take a stake in Unusual Machines?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x3b1a56…
10-17 11:40:30	Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?	No	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x48144d…
10-17 11:37:26	Will the US federal government take a stake in Unusual Machines?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xbcbbc4…
10-17 11:20:00	Will FC Altai be relegated from the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League?	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x37f72b…
10-17 11:12:48	Will Borussia Mönchengladbach be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x7ca774…
10-17 11:10:59	Will Deportivo Moquegua be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xe5f7ff…
10-17 10:36:48	Will OXY play for Sentinels in 2027?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x27bebb…
10-17 10:32:59	Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 YouTube ads revenue be above $11.4B?	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xf8eab2…
10-17 10:26:30	Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?	No	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x8c623a…
10-17 10:04:41	Will the Anaheim Ducks record 90+ points?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x3ac252…
10-17 09:53:06	will qualcomm qcom q4 qct chip revenue be above 20261008120131000 8pt75b	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xde1a7e…
10-17 09:39:54	Will Jordan Love have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x2f5eaf…
10-17 09:27:26	Will OXY play for Sentinels in 2027?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xf5e719…
10-17 09:16:36	Will Syracuse have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x46a596…
10-17 09:14:05	Will Syracuse have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x40909f…
10-17 09:08:50	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Philippines this month?	No	SELL	18	66¢	$12	0xc603c0…
10-17 09:05:32	Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q3 total service revenues be above $19.3B?	No	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0xdf0bb2…
10-17 09:02:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 60%-65%?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xd9e067…
10-17 08:53:30	Will 100 Thieves win VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x836cc2…
10-17 08:46:26	Will 100 Thieves win VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	BUY	15	58¢	$8	0xd887c5…
10-17 08:46:26	Will 100 Thieves win VALORANT Champions 2026?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb085c1…
10-17 08:37:38	Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPad revenue be above $6B?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xdf0aa7…
10-17 08:35:59	will synopsys q4 design automation revenue be above 2pt0b	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x4bbbc8…
10-17 07:48:08	Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x249421…
10-17 07:39:30	Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q3 total service revenues be above $19.1B?	No	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x87f123…
10-17 07:08:26	Will Chris Godwin have 699.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0xe29fdf…
10-17 07:08:17	Will Chris Godwin have 699.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xe9be7c…
10-17 07:04:53	Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Cloud revenue be above $62.5B?	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x66fe7a…