Delightful-Sister — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.18K

Unrealized P&L

-$25

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved

310

Trades

406

lifetime

Volume

$10.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$47

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 15:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Sports

57% 41% +$924

Crypto

23% 38% -$217

Other

11% 36% -$94

Politics

10% 25% +$567

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes		+200	$72	24¢	$47	-$25	04-29 17:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	5	$927	736	736	+0	Yes	+$7	04-21 12:53
Cavaliers vs. Hawks	1	$534	1,027	0	+1,027	Hawks	+$493	10-29 15:15
will trump say unbelievable or fantastic or incredible 10 times during panthers visit	2	$524	527	527	+0	Yes	+$514	01-16 09:46
Heat vs. Hawks	1	$440	978	0	+978	Heat	+$538	10-28 15:34
Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?	3	$428	500	0	+500	Yes	+$72	05-24 23:25
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$268	200	200	+0	Yes	+$16	05-20 07:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$257	965	965	+0	No	+$37	01-11 16:41
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	2	$220	894	0	+894	No	-$220	04-27 11:43
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	2	$204	145	145	+0	Yes	+$4	04-17 19:33
Will Powell say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during April press conference?	2	$188	158	158	+0	Yes	+$128	04-29 21:02
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	2	$139	1,120	1,120	+0	No	+$16	04-29 09:05
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	5	$137	354	354	+0	Yes	+$19	02-04 20:52
Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?	2	$129	104	104	+0	Yes	+$79	04-29 21:02
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	1	$116	0	180	-180	No	+$116	04-29 09:04
Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026?	2	$106	56	56	+0	Yes	+$6	01-20 18:44
nba dal nyk 2026 01 19	2	$102	91	91	+0	Mavericks	+$62	01-19 23:26
over 200m hyperliquid buybacks in q1	1	$100	1,003	0	+1,003	No	-$100	02-10 15:20
Pistons vs. Knicks	1	$100	250	0	+250	Knicks	-$100	10-27 13:53
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by January 31, 2026?	1	$100	1,471	0	+1,471	No	-$100	01-06 21:51
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	1	$90	200	0	+200	Trail Blazers	+$110	10-27 13:49
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	2	$86	1,255	1,255	+0	No	+$6	01-12 10:44
nba dal nyk 2026 01 19 spread home 9pt5	2	$73	52	52	+0	Mavericks	+$23	01-19 23:27
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$72	200	0	+200	open	—	04-29 17:10
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 13 19	2	$61	112	0	+112	No	-$61	01-16 13:25
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	2	$56	112	112	+0	Yes	+$15	04-16 16:33
will megaeth perform an airdrop by january 31 933 879 443	1	$50	396	0	+396	No	-$50	01-15 21:59
will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	25	$50	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$50	01-26 14:03
nba mia chi 2026 01 08	2	$47	62	62	+0	Heat	+$7	01-29 11:32
will melania say president trump during ai talk on friday	1	$41	100	0	+100	No	-$41	01-16 14:41
nba chi hou 2026 01 13 spread home 12pt5	2	$40	78	0	+78	Bulls	+$38	01-13 12:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 15:15:40	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	1,027	52¢	$534	0x09080a…
10-28 15:34:22	Heat vs. Hawks	Heat	BUY	978	45¢	$440	0xc28f1c…
10-27 13:53:29	Pistons vs. Knicks	Pistons	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x91f1b8…
10-27 13:49:29	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Trail Blazers	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0x1efd77…
10-11 08:37:55	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xd03971…
08-06 02:54:29	Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x8f734c…
07-23 21:56:31	will intel say chip during earnings call 20260717163650077	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x0e4658…
07-23 21:37:12	will intel say income 10 times during earnings call 20260717163650070	Yes	BUY	188	3¢	$6	0xd9d7cc…
07-23 20:08:31	will intel say income 10 times during earnings call 20260717163650070	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xb58f59…
07-20 17:27:10	will intel say government during earnings call 20260717163650079	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xc43867…
07-20 17:12:42	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	27¢	$0	0xf57d23…
07-20 17:12:30	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xe68526…
07-20 17:09:21	will intel say government during earnings call 20260717163650079	Yes	BUY	18	68¢	$12	0xe147d9…
07-20 17:08:48	will intel say income 10 times during earnings call 20260717163650070	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x72b463…
06-12 12:07:04	will the announcers say trump during the usa vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260609202955332	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe3b2b9…
05-26 16:28:42	Makina FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x7a9b31…
05-26 16:28:32	Makina FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	105	12¢	$12	0x19fb1c…
05-24 23:25:24	Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	278	84¢	$233	0xa64df9…
05-20 07:58:48	Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	22	84¢	$19	0x8ada3a…
05-20 07:58:22	Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	200	71¢	$142	0xc3de0d…
05-03 16:06:34	Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x4129f5…
05-03 03:10:46	Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x96c689…
04-30 09:52:10	Will JD Vance say "Pakistan" on the Will Cain Show?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x2b7a94…
04-30 09:30:30	Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in April?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x4e1cba…
04-29 23:39:12	Will Trump say "NASA" 5+ times during astronaut greeting?	Yes	BUY	68	3¢	$2	0xbe246e…
04-29 21:11:02	Will Trump say "NASA" 5+ times during astronaut greeting?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0xacc355…
04-29 21:10:32	Will Trump say "Apollo" during astronaut greeting?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf7eaeb…
04-29 21:10:22	Will Trump say "Mars" 2+ times during astronaut greeting?	Yes	BUY	86	2¢	$2	0x70e27b…
04-29 21:09:30	Will Trump say "Lunar" during astronaut greeting?	Yes	BUY	91	2¢	$2	0xebbd52…
04-29 21:09:16	Will Trump say "Record" during astronaut greeting?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe153d0…
04-29 21:09:04	Will Trump say "Zero" during astronaut greeting?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x0bf030…
04-29 21:08:54	Will Trump say "Baby" during astronaut greeting?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xe6cf9f…
04-29 21:08:42	Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during astronaut greeting?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0xfcb528…
04-29 21:02:22	Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x9b87b6…
04-29 21:02:04	Will Powell say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	158	100¢	$158	0xb4d744…
04-29 17:51:58	Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	95	10¢	$10	0x335ee4…
04-29 17:51:36	Will Powell say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	158	19¢	$30	0x7c9641…
04-29 17:51:08	Will Powell say "Luck" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x4a36b5…
04-29 17:50:52	Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x0f2071…
04-29 17:50:14	Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xcb3a6f…
04-29 17:10:22	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0xd29f6f…
04-29 09:05:08	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,120	7¢	$77	0x8e32be…
04-29 09:04:54	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Yes	SELL	180	65¢	$116	0x578993…
04-27 11:43:54	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	Yes	BUY	600	20¢	$120	0xa98873…
04-27 11:29:34	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,120	6¢	$62	0x5db8b0…
04-27 09:46:34	Will Google say "Banana" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x338c9e…
04-27 08:38:54	Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x3e562b…
04-27 07:02:08	Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	24	74¢	$18	0xd2b808…
04-27 04:02:04	Will Google say "Banana" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc86e15…
04-27 03:58:20	Will Google say "Banana" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0x07a223…
04-27 01:02:16	Will Google say "Banana" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x3d9200…
04-26 18:58:50	Will Google say "Banana" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x5d9fdc…
04-26 12:50:54	Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in April?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x38be25…
04-26 11:17:48	Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in April?	Yes	BUY	39	16¢	$6	0x369982…
04-23 21:25:06	nba cle tor 2026 04 23 spread away 2pt5	Raptors	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x8cf14b…
04-23 21:23:14	nba cle tor 2026 04 23 spread away 2pt5	Raptors	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x88b702…
04-21 12:53:34	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	SELL	736	63¢	$467	0x4f6b69…
04-17 19:33:26	Will Kris Dunn win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4d25ba…
04-17 19:33:08	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	145	72¢	$104	0x18206c…
04-16 16:33:40	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	SELL	112	31¢	$35	0x3e47c3…
03-01 13:24:21	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x0108c6…
03-01 13:24:05	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0xfc24de…
02-20 19:45:32	nba mil nop 2026 02 20	Bucks	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x74bf6a…
02-20 19:45:20	nba bkn okc 2026 02 20	Nets	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xb0b003…
02-20 19:45:06	nba mia atl 2026 02 20	Hawks	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x24f34a…
02-20 19:44:54	nba dal min 2026 02 20 spread home 14pt5	Mavericks	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xc469f1…
02-20 19:44:46	nba dal min 2026 02 20	Mavericks	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x183921…
02-20 19:44:24	nba lac lal 2026 02 20 spread home 8pt5	Clippers	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x5dd30f…
02-20 19:44:14	nba lac lal 2026 02 20	Clippers	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x027167…
02-20 19:43:38	nba cle cha 2026 02 20 spread away 6pt5	Hornets	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xa0d13d…
02-20 19:43:28	nba cle cha 2026 02 20	Hornets	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x44bee8…
02-18 20:25:20	nba phx sas 2026 02 19 spread home 7pt5	Suns	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x75c865…
02-18 20:25:06	nba phx sas 2026 02 19	Suns	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xad66bc…
02-18 20:24:50	nba tor chi 2026 02 19 spread away 6pt5	Bulls	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x6de69f…
02-18 20:24:36	nba tor chi 2026 02 19	Bulls	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x5851a6…
02-12 11:34:47	nba mil okc 2026 02 12 spread home 12pt5	Bucks	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x77d094…
02-12 11:34:37	nba mil okc 2026 02 12	Bucks	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x91bbaf…
02-12 11:34:21	nba dal lal 2026 02 12 spread home 7pt5	Mavericks	BUY	52	50¢	$26	0x43458c…
02-12 11:34:11	nba dal lal 2026 02 12	Mavericks	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x7e182d…
02-12 11:33:51	nba por uta 2026 02 12 spread away 8pt5	Jazz	BUY	48	54¢	$26	0xb9e042…
02-12 11:33:39	nba por uta 2026 02 12	Jazz	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x8313a2…
02-11 11:34:59	nba sas gsw 2026 02 11 spread away 6pt5	Warriors	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xe58205…
02-11 11:34:45	nba sas gsw 2026 02 11	Warriors	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xc5cbb4…
02-11 11:34:27	nba sac uta 2026 02 11 spread home 6pt5	Kings	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xfe3b22…
02-11 11:34:13	nba sac uta 2026 02 11	Kings	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x408582…
02-11 11:33:57	nba okc phx 2026 02 11 spread away 7pt5	Suns	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x95c4a6…
02-11 11:33:43	nba okc phx 2026 02 11	Suns	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xbf4d4f…
02-11 11:31:25	nba por min 2026 02 11 spread home 7pt5	Trail Blazers	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xad1fc8…
02-11 11:31:07	nba por min 2026 02 11	Trail Blazers	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xe7050c…
02-11 11:30:47	nba lac hou 2026 02 11 spread home 8pt5	Clippers	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xf7c5dd…
02-11 11:30:33	nba lac hou 2026 02 11	Clippers	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x669e0d…
02-11 11:30:13	nba ind bkn 2026 02 11 spread home 5pt5	Pacers	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xbaa6f4…
02-11 11:29:59	nba ind bkn 2026 02 11	Pacers	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x199730…
02-11 11:29:43	nba chi bos 2026 02 11 spread home 14pt5	Bulls	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xb64c1a…
02-11 11:29:21	nba chi bos 2026 02 11	Bulls	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x3c08bf…
02-11 11:28:57	nba mil orl 2026 02 11 spread home 10pt5	Bucks	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x09c282…
02-11 11:28:43	nba mil orl 2026 02 11	Bucks	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x49dd6e…
02-11 11:28:27	nba atl cha 2026 02 11 spread home 6pt5	Hawks	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x1cba1e…
02-11 11:28:13	nba atl cha 2026 02 11	Hawks	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x3d7d53…
02-11 11:27:57	nba was cle 2026 02 11 spread home 17pt5	Wizards	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x803f4f…