Weighty-Caftan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.01K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.9%

Resolved

1,105

Trades

3,341

lifetime

Volume

$22.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 09-28 20:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% +$4,007

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	32	$519	554	306	+248	Up	-$94	04-27 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 13:40 UTC	67	$147	286	0	+286	Up	-$6	06-22 13:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 19:55 UTC	67	$146	288	0	+288	Up	-$3	06-20 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 21:25 UTC	64	$141	521	0	+521	Down	-$141	07-19 21:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 19:20 UTC	49	$105	208	0	+208	Up	-$2	06-20 19:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	13	$103	86	75	+11	Down	+$27	05-09 20:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 17:20 UTC	46	$102	205	0	+205	Down	+$3	06-20 17:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 01:00 UTC	43	$100	276	0	+276	Down	-$15	06-20 01:05
Will Đuro Macut win the next Serbia presidential election?	2	$98	61	61	+0	open	—	07-16 09:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 18:25 UTC	35	$91	270	0	+270	Down	+$29	07-18 18:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	8	$85	72	50	+22	Down	+$14	05-09 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 22:05 UTC	31	$75	143	0	+143	Up	+$0	06-20 22:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 10:15 UTC	20	$72	150	0	+150	Down	+$3	06-20 10:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 19:50 UTC	30	$67	130	0	+130	Up	-$2	06-11 19:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 20:55 UTC	23	$60	160	0	+160	Up	-$60	07-19 20:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 12:15 UTC	28	$59	110	0	+110	Down	-$19	06-07 12:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:20 UTC	17	$57	150	0	+150	Down	+$93	07-18 17:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 12:00 UTC	27	$56	105	0	+105	Down	-$1	06-12 12:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:00 UTC	27	$55	118	0	+118	Down	-$10	06-03 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	24	$54	107	0	+107	Up	-$2	06-15 17:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 11:25 UTC	23	$54	105	0	+105	Down	+$1	06-12 11:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 12:40 UTC	26	$53	107	0	+107	Up	+$2	06-12 12:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:30 UTC	15	$52	120	0	+120	Up	-$52	07-18 19:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 12:50 UTC	25	$52	105	0	+105	Down	+$3	06-12 12:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 11:20 UTC	30	$52	123	0	+123	Up	+$11	06-04 11:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 12:15 UTC	23	$52	150	0	+150	Down	+$98	07-20 12:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 21:55 UTC	25	$52	102	0	+102	Down	+$0	06-12 21:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 22:50 UTC	27	$51	115	0	+115	Down	+$9	06-03 22:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 22:30 UTC	18	$50	158	0	+158	Down	+$20	07-19 22:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:35 UTC	18	$50	150	0	+150	Down	-$50	07-18 21:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 20:24:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	44	3¢	$1	0x223530…
09-28 20:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	416	2¢	$10	0x5bf404…
09-28 18:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x1e9101…
09-28 18:03:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x0cd99c…
09-28 17:39:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xbe722f…
09-28 17:34:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x1a022c…
09-28 17:24:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xa789f2…
09-28 17:04:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x546a15…
09-28 15:24:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x73a598…
09-28 15:04:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x43badb…
09-28 13:49:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	791	1¢	$10	0xec1f91…
09-28 13:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0xe83ee6…
09-28 13:23:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x3191c9…
09-28 12:58:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	41	3¢	$1	0x2d2a2b…
09-28 12:44:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x7a271c…
09-28 12:39:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x8030c3…
09-28 11:34:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x286f88…
09-28 11:24:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x328a57…
09-28 11:18:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x3982f7…
09-28 11:14:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0xb1a3b2…
09-28 11:04:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0xfe49e2…
09-28 10:59:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0xfbe13f…
09-28 10:38:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x80ceb9…
09-28 10:34:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0xcea86d…
09-28 10:24:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x1072ce…
09-28 09:19:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0xc35271…
09-28 08:59:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x23f38e…
09-28 08:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xccd64d…
09-28 08:48:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xd61ce8…
09-28 08:44:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xafed34…
09-28 08:38:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x845289…
09-28 08:29:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x38e14b…
09-28 08:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x3c0589…
09-28 08:18:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	296	3¢	$9	0xa7953f…
09-28 08:08:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	963	1¢	$10	0x4fff5f…
09-28 07:58:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x41e239…
09-28 07:44:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x1a6535…
09-28 07:39:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x110766…
09-28 06:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0xad134f…
09-28 06:24:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x6d0059…
09-28 06:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x848f7b…
09-28 06:13:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x678f44…
09-28 05:49:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x02bcfb…
09-28 05:29:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	794	1¢	$10	0x9ade2e…
09-28 05:14:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0xd89ea4…
09-28 05:09:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0xc407af…
09-28 04:47:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xc68ba9…
09-28 04:43:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xfbc472…
09-28 04:39:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x691212…
09-28 04:29:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xd01ad7…
09-28 04:04:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x946f43…
09-28 03:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x57f841…
09-28 03:54:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x721bbc…
09-28 03:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x836584…
09-28 02:59:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0xf56d60…
09-28 02:54:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x558c22…
09-28 02:44:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0xefb768…
09-28 02:39:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0xbe609f…
09-28 02:24:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x4e40ae…
09-28 02:09:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x68aa99…
09-28 01:44:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x6bf81e…
09-27 22:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0xcc5424…
09-27 22:44:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0xd35075…
09-27 22:08:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xbaaa38…
09-27 21:44:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	440	2¢	$10	0xa35ac6…
09-27 21:34:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x705e2a…
09-27 18:43:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	888	1¢	$10	0xd3d3ec…
09-27 18:23:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x9e5a89…
09-27 18:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x7e37c5…
09-27 18:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0x025d82…
09-27 17:19:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x7ea8b8…
09-27 16:54:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x3bec1d…
09-27 16:49:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0xbd0fca…
09-27 16:43:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	209	3¢	$6	0x30adb3…
09-27 16:07:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	305	3¢	$9	0xea35a7…
09-27 15:49:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0xe2406a…
09-27 15:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x02fbbf…
09-27 15:39:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0xd2bf76…
09-27 15:34:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0xaa70af…
09-27 15:24:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x93106e…
09-27 14:58:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	54	3¢	$2	0xe59498…
09-27 14:34:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x247759…
09-27 12:54:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	134	3¢	$4	0xc1723b…
09-27 12:49:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	971	1¢	$10	0x1cb56d…
09-27 12:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x4344e4…
09-27 12:29:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0xf98da0…
09-27 11:18:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x6943c8…
09-27 10:52:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xa7731b…
09-27 10:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0xdf187f…
09-27 10:08:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	201	3¢	$5	0x213d4c…
09-27 09:54:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x51e2e0…
09-27 09:44:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0xacd1b9…
09-27 09:39:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	350	3¢	$10	0x1538f0…
09-27 09:28:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	260	3¢	$7	0x15eb7f…
09-27 09:19:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0xcaccef…
09-27 09:14:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x3ede06…
09-27 08:53:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x00a7bd…
09-27 08:48:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xe011b0…
09-27 08:42:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x2c5afb…
09-27 08:34:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2,573	0¢	$10	0x0b4f5e…