Awkward-Carry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$542

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.1%

Resolved

2,178

Trades

3,744

lifetime

Volume

$11.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 08-21 03:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 45% -$374

Other

26% 36% -$157

Politics

2% 0% -$10

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours	19	$732	800	400	+400	Yes	-$68	08-21 03:53
will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours	23	$609	1,301	302	+999	No	-$20	08-21 02:00
will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 8 hours	14	$381	757	0	+757	No	-$8	08-20 22:19
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	6	$354	643	643	+0	Yes	-$6	08-20 15:33
will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 14 hours	10	$164	143	141	+2	Yes	-$22	08-21 03:53
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-19 16:00 UTC	7	$96	100	100	+0	Up	-$4	08-19 17:45
Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?	8	$95	140	60	+80	Yes	-$5	08-21 01:05
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?	5	$72	60	60	+0	No	+$1	08-19 02:47
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	3	$70	50	50	+0	No	-$3	08-19 16:16
Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	8	$62	122	2	+120	open	—	08-21 02:51
will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 16 hours	4	$42	60	20	+40	Yes	-$1	08-20 23:51
Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?	4	$37	60	20	+40	Yes	-$4	08-21 02:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4PM ET	13	$32	66	0	+66	Down	-$22	05-18 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12PM ET	13	$31	73	0	+73	Up	+$7	05-18 16:55
lol wge tung 2026 08 19	7	$30	56	10	+46	Tung Tung Bogi	-$1	08-19 20:31
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 4PM ET	10	$24	50	0	+50	Down	-$9	05-18 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11AM ET	7	$21	35	0	+35	Up	-$16	05-18 15:55
Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?	2	$21	40	0	+40	No	-$1	08-20 20:22
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 12PM ET	12	$17	165	0	+165	Up	-$7	05-18 16:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	5	$17	25	0	+25	Up	+$8	05-19 22:40
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 11AM ET	6	$17	75	0	+75	Up	-$17	05-18 15:55
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	2	$16	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	08-21 02:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1PM ET	4	$16	20	0	+20	Up	+$4	05-20 17:45
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 4PM ET	7	$16	35	0	+35	Down	-$1	05-18 20:45
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 5PM ET	4	$15	20	0	+20	Up	-$1	05-19 21:45
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	4	$15	24	0	+24	Up	+$9	05-19 15:10
Will Nkosindiphile Xhakaza be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	08-20 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4PM ET	6	$15	30	0	+30	Down	-$5	05-18 20:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	4	$15	28	0	+28	Up	+$1	05-18 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11AM ET	4	$14	20	0	+20	Up	+$6	05-19 15:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 03:53:27	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours	No	SELL	40	37¢	$15	0xd586cb…
08-21 03:53:24	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours	Yes	SELL	60	41¢	$25	0x2b4b0f…
08-21 03:53:22	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 14 hours	No	SELL	65	34¢	$22	0x0c2ae0…
08-21 03:48:42	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 14 hours	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xae48e2…
08-21 03:48:42	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x7d7eb4…
08-21 03:48:39	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 14 hours	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xd9d744…
08-21 03:48:39	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x41372c…
08-21 03:48:36	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 14 hours	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xd44517…
08-21 03:48:34	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x94c686…
08-21 03:48:25	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 14 hours	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x3de00c…
08-21 03:48:24	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 14 hours	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe3760f…
08-21 03:46:07	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x3bdae4…
08-21 03:46:00	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xc4c12e…
08-21 03:39:40	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours	No	SELL	200	58¢	$116	0xfb01a9…
08-21 03:36:37	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 14 hours	No	SELL	56	71¢	$40	0x5ad456…
08-21 03:34:42	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x2b0636…
08-21 03:34:34	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x55ab97…
08-21 03:31:54	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours	No	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0x9cfb42…
08-21 03:31:33	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 14 hours	No	BUY	56	78¢	$44	0x76b5d3…
08-21 03:26:51	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xacef18…
08-21 02:54:27	Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x59fa99…
08-21 02:52:06	Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?	No	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xc8f52c…
08-21 02:51:33	Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xca6b7b…
08-21 02:51:00	Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	23	47¢	$11	0x78db0c…
08-21 02:50:03	Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	No	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x72a2ce…
08-21 02:48:39	Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x38e9fb…
08-21 02:47:54	Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	No	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0xbb1643…
08-21 02:47:54	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x2ac21c…
08-21 02:45:52	Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x7ba037…
08-21 02:44:21	Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0xc325cd…
08-21 02:43:34	Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x1bce29…
08-21 02:43:07	Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x7564d0…
08-21 02:42:51	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x23f00f…
08-21 02:00:04	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x8b3823…
08-21 01:58:51	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours	Yes	BUY	102	11¢	$11	0xdab02a…
08-21 01:55:52	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xa2fe0d…
08-21 01:53:39	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xd0442a…
08-21 01:52:54	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xd2a47b…
08-21 01:51:46	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x4ba53c…
08-21 01:51:00	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x4bae70…
08-21 01:05:06	Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?	No	SELL	60	42¢	$25	0x17055f…
08-21 01:02:09	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours	Yes	SELL	300	15¢	$45	0x5f0cb5…
08-21 01:01:37	Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x43407b…
08-21 01:01:36	Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x5beceb…
08-21 01:00:52	Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xd14b62…
08-21 01:00:28	Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x2af9a1…
08-21 01:00:21	Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf2d6cc…
08-21 01:00:19	Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xdd0715…
08-21 00:58:33	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x9757f6…
08-21 00:58:12	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xcc0a35…
08-21 00:57:06	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xa8b61b…
08-20 23:51:27	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 16 hours	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x623cd2…
08-20 23:46:24	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 16 hours	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x9afe42…
08-20 23:45:30	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 16 hours	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x751326…
08-20 23:44:43	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 16 hours	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x1feb6c…
08-20 23:44:28	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x4c3e63…
08-20 23:43:25	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x18301b…
08-20 23:19:13	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 14 hours	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x6eb323…
08-20 23:17:55	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x180ce2…
08-20 23:17:13	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x83d687…
08-20 23:15:07	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x3612b3…
08-20 23:14:12	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 14 hours	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x3b9215…
08-20 23:13:28	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours	No	BUY	31	72¢	$22	0xe3ef52…
08-20 23:12:57	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xf6fb41…
08-20 23:12:46	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xac2047…
08-20 23:12:40	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x348947…
08-20 23:11:48	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x39bcbf…
08-20 23:11:01	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x379ef2…
08-20 23:10:16	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x6d0455…
08-20 23:09:28	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x7bfd6c…
08-20 23:01:49	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours	Yes	BUY	66	31¢	$20	0xe94665…
08-20 23:01:34	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours	No	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x55f375…
08-20 23:00:55	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xb23e58…
08-20 22:59:42	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xbbb66e…
08-20 22:59:03	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0xf2fce7…
08-20 22:58:57	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0xf96f99…
08-20 22:19:28	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 8 hours	Yes	BUY	172	15¢	$26	0xae51fa…
08-20 22:14:45	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 8 hours	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x8332d4…
08-20 22:11:34	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 8 hours	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x39e7a5…
08-20 22:11:21	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 8 hours	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x601d55…
08-20 22:11:18	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 8 hours	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xdeb24c…
08-20 22:10:01	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 8 hours	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xefa3ac…
08-20 22:09:49	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 8 hours	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xf1a95c…
08-20 22:08:39	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 8 hours	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xdf790f…
08-20 22:07:39	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 8 hours	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x650a05…
08-20 22:06:10	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 8 hours	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x92877d…
08-20 22:05:24	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 8 hours	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0xc497ad…
08-20 22:04:27	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 8 hours	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x647924…
08-20 22:03:39	will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 8 hours	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xc77317…
08-20 21:51:01	Will Reinaldo Azambuja win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x5687e8…
08-20 21:45:58	Will Reinaldo Azambuja win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xbae458…
08-20 20:29:40	Will Nkosindiphile Xhakaza be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?	No	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x805687…
08-20 20:22:54	Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x5f9b27…
08-20 20:17:48	Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xd86d0f…
08-20 20:17:48	Will Nkosindiphile Xhakaza be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xc16ddb…
08-20 15:33:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	214	27¢	$58	0x5aad81…
08-20 15:31:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	214	28¢	$60	0xad6dd0…
08-20 15:28:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	214	27¢	$58	0x6d48ef…
08-20 15:28:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	214	28¢	$60	0x6e92e6…
08-20 15:25:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	214	27¢	$58	0xb92c58…