Fearless-Boatload — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,434

lifetime

Volume

$25.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 20:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

92% 100% +$21

Politics

5% — —

Crypto

3% 56% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 169 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 25?	4	$1.1K	573	573	+0	open	—	04-26 07:57
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 26?	1	$964	979	0	+979	open	—	04-26 08:04
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 27?	3	$936	473	472	+1	open	—	04-27 12:28
highest temperature in munich on april 24 2026 21corhigher	6	$593	315	314	+2	open	—	04-24 20:50
highest temperature in ankara on april 24 2026 15c	5	$548	279	278	+0	open	—	04-24 15:50
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 27?	4	$513	575	0	+575	open	—	04-27 14:32
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on April 26?	4	$504	511	0	+511	open	—	04-26 20:37
highest temperature in milan on april 24 2026 26c	9	$453	230	230	+0	open	—	04-24 20:49
highest temperature in paris on april 24 2026 21c	4	$428	219	218	+0	open	—	04-24 13:06
highest temperature in chicago on april 24 2026 72 73f	3	$404	205	205	+0	open	—	04-25 07:53
highest temperature in paris on april 24 2026 23c	4	$371	198	197	+1	open	—	04-24 20:52
italy nordio reform referendum passes	7	$286	216	216	+0	open	—	03-23 22:36
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on April 25?	4	$270	136	136	+0	open	—	04-25 17:33
highest temperature in san francisco on april 24 2026 64 65f	3	$233	124	123	+1	open	—	04-25 07:53
highest temperature in seattle on april 24 2026 64 65f	3	$227	118	117	+0	open	—	04-25 07:54
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 26?	3	$227	117	117	+0	open	—	04-27 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 25?	4	$227	115	115	+0	open	—	04-26 07:56
highest temperature in denver on april 24 2026 74 75f	3	$226	117	116	+0	open	—	04-25 07:54
highest temperature in helsinki on april 24 2026 13c	2	$225	114	113	+0	open	—	04-24 16:15
highest temperature in helsinki on april 24 2026 12c	3	$225	116	116	+0	open	—	04-24 15:11
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 25?	3	$224	115	114	+0	open	—	04-25 12:04
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 24 2026 25c	3	$222	112	112	+0	open	—	04-24 14:08
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on April 25?	3	$222	112	112	+0	open	—	04-25 21:50
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or higher on April 25?	3	$221	111	111	+0	open	—	04-25 21:47
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on April 25?	3	$221	111	111	+0	open	—	04-25 21:47
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on April 25?	3	$221	111	111	+0	open	—	04-25 21:46
highest temperature in toronto on april 23 2026 18c	9	$218	244	238	+5	open	—	04-23 21:42
highest temperature in cape town on april 24 2026 29c	3	$207	106	106	+0	open	—	04-24 20:51
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 26?	2	$205	106	105	+0	open	—	04-27 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on April 25?	2	$202	102	102	+0	open	—	04-25 10:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 20:01:51	ng up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x4824b9…
06-09 20:01:18	amzn up or down on june 9 2026	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6a685e…
06-09 20:01:03	nvda up or down on june 9 2026	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x133b1f…
06-09 17:06:52	abnb up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x866322…
06-09 17:06:19	nvda up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8f3aff…
06-09 17:05:15	amzn up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd1e1a5…
06-09 17:03:42	djia up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x9327f8…
06-09 17:02:55	wti up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xaa3c5e…
06-08 20:09:52	xagusd up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xa9982f…
06-08 20:09:31	wti up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x50a0c3…
06-08 20:08:57	xagusd up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x068450…
06-08 20:08:01	spx up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x2a6ef8…
06-08 20:07:49	ewy up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x063853…
06-08 17:37:13	ewy up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x05af5f…
06-08 17:36:19	nvda up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x516fe7…
06-08 17:35:45	spx up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xa66ac9…
06-08 17:34:33	spy up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x4789c8…
06-06 16:25:18	atp doubles baseoli pearput 2026 06 05	Basel/Oliveira	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x14a7ff…
06-05 16:54:54	msft up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0xece562…
06-05 16:53:01	wti up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf4006b…
06-05 16:52:21	djia up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xd37ef3…
06-04 20:54:52	xagusd up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x0f8987…
06-04 18:05:40	nvda up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0x60f9d6…
06-04 17:32:18	xauusd up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x5e4f53…
06-04 17:30:01	spy up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0xec8f1b…
06-03 21:25:57	wti up or down on june 3 2026	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd27791…
06-03 21:25:37	xauusd up or down on june 3 2026	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x919230…
06-03 20:16:39	djia up or down on june 3 2026	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x8420f6…
06-03 20:15:48	aapl up or down on june 3 2026	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x48ff2f…
06-03 20:06:45	spy up or down on june 3 2026	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xad26a5…
06-03 20:06:19	nvda up or down on june 3 2026	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa882ff…
06-03 19:59:09	spx up or down on june 3 2026	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x262e85…
06-03 17:50:43	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd7c0a5…
06-03 17:46:37	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x98b512…
06-03 17:29:36	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x820e38…
06-03 17:28:55	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x108550…
06-03 17:28:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x067cfa…
06-03 17:28:04	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6a83a8…
06-02 20:31:39	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf21aea…
06-02 20:23:04	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbdf4c9…
06-02 20:22:10	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa54895…
06-02 20:17:34	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x06c059…
06-02 20:17:07	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe55e8d…
06-02 20:17:02	Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbdcd5a…
06-02 20:10:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x3868d9…
06-02 20:07:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x62cf06…
06-02 20:06:11	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x73fed1…
06-02 19:57:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x12900c…
06-02 19:56:55	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1b6282…
06-02 19:54:33	Meta (META) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x30eb16…
06-02 19:32:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0x48edee…
06-02 19:29:12	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xc55e94…
06-02 19:18:02	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x880253…
06-02 19:12:59	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0xccd8ac…
06-02 19:10:02	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x881f1a…
06-02 19:10:02	Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x81c981…
06-02 19:09:10	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x11617e…
06-02 19:07:44	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x25b81d…
06-02 19:07:41	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x75f09c…
06-02 19:06:24	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x0f1883…
06-02 19:02:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x1ac69a…
06-02 18:59:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x01e1ae…
06-02 17:44:21	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa53a3d…
06-02 17:27:42	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb18c5e…
06-02 17:17:33	Meta (META) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0e89aa…
06-02 17:16:37	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xdfeffc…
06-02 17:15:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf23a13…
06-01 21:13:36	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3bfd5e…
06-01 19:58:21	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa00e7a…
05-29 21:03:10	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfe0736…
05-29 16:12:12	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x5691ee…
05-29 14:52:19	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xdde0f1…
05-28 21:00:19	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1bc01c…
05-28 21:00:00	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x644eba…
05-28 20:12:05	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x346067…
05-28 20:12:00	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x23b58c…
05-28 20:12:00	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x12f321…
05-28 17:37:25	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x2f889f…
05-28 17:36:32	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0d1dcc…
05-28 17:36:04	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa886c8…
05-28 17:35:33	Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2b0213…
05-28 17:34:42	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd69c8f…
05-28 17:34:16	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x3d7813…
05-28 17:33:21	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6d4eee…
05-28 17:32:34	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x9a13fa…
05-27 20:37:25	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x494558…
05-27 20:37:04	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x023c59…
05-27 20:20:49	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x86fe69…
05-27 20:20:44	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0d9d25…
05-27 20:20:38	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x83acf0…
05-27 20:20:33	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x02b1c6…
05-27 20:20:26	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1df93c…
05-27 20:20:16	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x922ce8…
05-27 20:19:53	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7a7b3b…
05-27 17:22:22	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1189d5…
05-27 17:20:41	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x04b921…
05-27 17:19:55	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa516cf…
05-27 17:19:22	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x36eca8…
05-27 17:18:26	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x176e37…
05-27 17:16:43	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xadf93b…