Silly-Swing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$49

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

625

Trades

1,225

lifetime

Volume

$2.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-26

last 08-28 16:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 60% -$26

Other

46% 67% -$17

Sports

2% 69% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes		-3	-$1	8¢	$-0	+$1	05-16 16:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
msft up or down on august 11 2026	12	$21	12	12	+0	Down	$0	08-11 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	8	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-27 17:49
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 12?	8	$12	7	7	+0	Down	$0	06-12 19:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	4	$11	9	8	+0	Up	+$0	05-21 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	4	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-22 19:15
abnb up or down on august 10 2026	6	$11	6	6	+0	Up	$0	08-10 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-23 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-23 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-23 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-23 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-23 16:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-23 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-23 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-23 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-23 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-23 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-23 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-23 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-23 19:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-23 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-23 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	4	$10	7	7	+0	Up	+$3	05-27 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-23 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-23 18:27
pltr up or down on june 12 2026	7	$10	7	5	+2	Down	$0	06-12 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-23 18:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-23 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-23 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	$0	05-23 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	$0	05-23 18:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-28 16:31:12	hood up or down on august 28 2026	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xe0a81f…
08-28 15:12:48	googl up or down on august 28 2026	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x3afe1e…
08-28 15:01:03	meta up or down on august 28 2026	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x5fb10e…
08-28 14:54:01	spy up or down on august 28 2026	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xb38c16…
08-28 14:52:39	nflx up or down on august 28 2026	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x692422…
08-28 14:29:25	hood up or down on august 28 2026	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x616ce8…
08-28 14:25:33	amzn up or down on august 28 2026	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x42f958…
08-28 14:23:16	googl up or down on august 28 2026	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xbc5ca4…
08-28 14:01:16	nflx up or down on august 28 2026	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xf21d7e…
08-28 14:01:12	meta up or down on august 28 2026	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x66c84b…
08-28 14:01:10	amzn up or down on august 28 2026	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xdc1b59…
08-27 20:02:00	hood up or down on august 27 2026	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd97a29…
08-27 20:01:57	msft up or down on august 27 2026	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf0517f…
08-27 15:34:40	spy up or down on august 27 2026	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x747bb9…
08-27 14:58:24	hood up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xdfdb19…
08-27 14:41:21	tsla up or down on august 27 2026	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x00ce93…
08-27 14:39:57	coin up or down on august 27 2026	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x2eacf9…
08-27 14:30:10	msft up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x1b19e4…
08-27 14:27:43	coin up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x009396…
08-27 14:25:52	spy up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x7e0d5c…
08-27 14:16:57	tsla up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x3c98c5…
08-27 14:10:40	meta up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xe5ed91…
08-26 19:36:06	nflx up or down on august 26 2026	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x94a6c2…
08-26 18:53:13	amzn up or down on august 26 2026	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x8ed52c…
08-26 18:48:54	aapl up or down on august 26 2026	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x84be66…
08-26 18:38:52	tsla up or down on august 26 2026	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x2fafb9…
08-26 17:14:42	nflx up or down on august 26 2026	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x6ec8a7…
08-26 17:02:07	hood up or down on august 26 2026	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x202fb6…
08-26 16:07:07	amzn up or down on august 26 2026	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x8b0348…
08-26 15:55:28	hood up or down on august 26 2026	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x67a53c…
08-26 15:08:49	aapl up or down on august 26 2026	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x58c08b…
08-26 14:54:40	tsla up or down on august 26 2026	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x2b72ce…
08-26 14:37:40	googl up or down on august 26 2026	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x42faf4…
08-26 14:31:30	googl up or down on august 26 2026	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xbf08e1…
08-25 16:06:24	spy up or down on august 25 2026	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x1445c6…
08-25 16:04:19	spy up or down on august 25 2026	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x61a131…
08-25 15:57:52	meta up or down on august 25 2026	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x5cdcdd…
08-25 15:56:46	meta up or down on august 25 2026	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x70f271…
08-25 15:31:00	tsla up or down on august 25 2026	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xf863a5…
08-25 15:29:52	tsla up or down on august 25 2026	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x6d7604…
08-25 14:29:54	coin up or down on august 25 2026	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$2	0x789d0d…
08-25 14:28:51	coin up or down on august 25 2026	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x0565bc…
08-25 14:15:49	nflx up or down on august 25 2026	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x16547d…
08-24 17:29:06	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24?	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x1244b7…
08-24 17:27:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24?	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xa5cd94…
08-23 15:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on August 23?	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x15a037…
08-23 14:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on August 23?	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x8049e3…
08-21 19:24:16	pltr up or down on august 21 2026	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x60d8de…
08-21 18:01:04	spy up or down on august 21 2026	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1cb2d5…
08-21 15:03:31	pltr up or down on august 21 2026	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x5e26c0…
08-21 14:57:13	spy up or down on august 21 2026	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x6fdf7e…
08-21 14:56:03	googl up or down on august 21 2026	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x3dc424…
08-21 14:42:39	tsla up or down on august 21 2026	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x14affb…
08-20 20:01:13	amzn up or down on august 20 2026	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x64a0c2…
08-20 20:01:12	tsla up or down on august 20 2026	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc2bc3d…
08-20 19:57:30	open up or down on august 20 2026	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3cfd59…
08-20 19:44:18	rklb up or down on august 20 2026	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7f91ea…
08-20 14:15:19	open up or down on august 20 2026	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0xdface5…
08-20 14:07:46	amzn up or down on august 20 2026	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x47a5df…
08-20 14:06:16	rklb up or down on august 20 2026	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x45496d…
08-20 14:04:43	tsla up or down on august 20 2026	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x782d04…
08-19 20:01:42	abnb up or down on august 19 2026	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd46b48…
08-19 19:53:21	coin up or down on august 19 2026	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf03c04…
08-19 18:17:13	tsla up or down on august 19 2026	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfd1514…
08-19 18:05:49	amzn up or down on august 19 2026	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x042d11…
08-19 15:22:03	amzn up or down on august 19 2026	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x08de70…
08-19 15:02:21	bitcoin up or down on august 19 2026	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x27411a…
08-19 14:31:27	tsla up or down on august 19 2026	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x7beb58…
08-19 14:12:04	bitcoin up or down on august 19 2026	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x4293d4…
08-19 14:03:33	coin up or down on august 19 2026	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x4c16b4…
08-19 14:01:03	abnb up or down on august 19 2026	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0xd4cc1b…
08-18 20:00:21	open up or down on august 18 2026	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb57ada…
08-18 20:00:19	hood up or down on august 18 2026	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4d067d…
08-18 15:17:55	open up or down on august 18 2026	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x378d91…
08-18 14:26:37	hood up or down on august 18 2026	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0xd7ef34…
08-18 13:58:36	rklb up or down on august 18 2026	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x93c589…
08-18 13:57:31	coin up or down on august 18 2026	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x1bb744…
08-18 13:53:04	coin up or down on august 18 2026	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xbc5311…
08-18 13:52:39	amzn up or down on august 18 2026	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x5fa1e3…
08-18 13:47:33	rklb up or down on august 18 2026	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x9310df…
08-18 13:36:01	nvda up or down on august 18 2026	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x36c10c…
08-18 13:35:58	spy up or down on august 18 2026	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xf12837…
08-18 12:47:52	meta up or down on august 18 2026	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x90a232…
08-18 12:38:42	meta up or down on august 18 2026	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x0991ce…
08-18 12:38:34	nvda up or down on august 18 2026	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x9be011…
08-18 12:01:07	spy up or down on august 18 2026	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x729afa…
08-17 15:54:36	spy up or down on august 17 2026	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x659f11…
08-17 15:36:07	spy up or down on august 17 2026	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xe73d8b…
08-17 15:09:43	aapl up or down on august 17 2026	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x374626…
08-17 14:57:46	googl up or down on august 17 2026	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x385054…
08-17 14:52:03	aapl up or down on august 17 2026	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xdfddc7…
08-17 14:50:27	abnb up or down on august 17 2026	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xecc3d4…
08-17 14:24:52	googl up or down on august 17 2026	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x6fdf44…
08-17 14:03:58	meta up or down on august 17 2026	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x73882a…
08-17 14:02:57	abnb up or down on august 17 2026	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x58c65c…
08-17 13:57:52	msft up or down on august 17 2026	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xade556…
08-17 13:51:49	nflx up or down on august 17 2026	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xe1672a…
08-17 13:43:39	nflx up or down on august 17 2026	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xf1aa9e…
08-17 13:43:33	meta up or down on august 17 2026	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x2da79e…
08-17 13:43:21	tsla up or down on august 17 2026	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x5197ea…