Substantial-Rider — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.9%

Resolved

Trades

195

lifetime

Volume

$1.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 07-01 18:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 90% $-30

Other

7% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2300 on april 14	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-14 15:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	05-09 15:01
bitcoin above 68k on april 4	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-04 15:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	05-26 15:00
bitcoin above 70k on april 6	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	04-06 15:25
bitcoin above 68k on april 5	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	04-05 15:34
ethereum above 2400 on april 14	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	04-14 15:02
xrp above 1pt1 on june 11 2026	1	$18	20	+20	open	—	06-11 15:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$15	16	+16	Up	+$1	05-10 03:45
eth updown 4h 1775203200	1	$15	16	+16	open	—	04-03 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$15	16	+16	Down	+$1	05-13 07:01
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 8	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-08 15:09
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$15	15	+15	Up	+$0	05-11 11:35
xrp updown 4h 1775548800	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-07 11:22
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	1	$15	15	+15	Down	+$0	05-09 15:01
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	1	$15	15	+15	Up	+$0	05-10 15:11
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$15	15	+15	Up	+$0	05-07 19:42
eth updown 4h 1775404800	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-05 19:00
sol updown 4h 1775548800	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-07 11:22
will xrp dip to 1 in june 2026	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	07-01 03:00
Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 9?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	05-10 03:03
btc updown 4h 1775606400	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-08 03:27
will ethereum dip to 1700 on june 17	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	06-18 03:01
btc updown 4h 1775433600	1	$15	16	+16	open	—	04-06 03:40
eth updown 4h 1775376000	1	$15	16	+16	open	—	04-05 11:05
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 14	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-14 15:02
sol updown 4h 1782633600	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	06-28 11:06
xrp updown 4h 1775404800	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-05 19:00
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-28 07:11
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 14	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	04-14 15:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 22:58:50	eth updown 15m 1782945900	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5e674b…
07-01 20:12:22	btc updown 15m 1782936000	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2a6923…
07-01 18:53:11	solana up or down july 1 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4ba70c…
07-01 18:44:28	sol updown 15m 1782930600	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0d64d0…
07-01 15:10:14	bnb up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x160bd4…
07-01 15:10:13	xrp up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe49ed9…
07-01 14:27:52	sol updown 15m 1782915300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc83a1b…
07-01 03:00:19	will ethereum dip to 1550 on june 30	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x717001…
07-01 03:00:16	will bitcoin reach 60k on june 30	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xabddd9…
07-01 03:00:13	eth updown 4h 1782864000	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb5d3c7…
07-01 03:00:11	btc updown 4h 1782864000	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xd40d44…
07-01 03:00:10	sol updown 4h 1782864000	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc733de…
07-01 03:00:07	will xrp dip to 1 in june 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x190eaf…
07-01 02:42:37	xrp updown 15m 1782873000	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5043a1…
06-30 20:51:26	ethereum up or down june 30 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x89bf1a…
06-29 19:12:31	btc updown 4h 1782748800	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xce4210…
06-29 16:57:01	ethereum up or down june 29 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x17cda9…
06-29 09:50:34	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xac01c9…
06-29 02:54:01	xrp up or down june 28 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x4cc358…
06-28 11:06:02	sol updown 4h 1782633600	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa5ee87…
06-27 20:12:13	xrp updown 15m 1782590400	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x43898a…
06-27 13:51:29	bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x504e94…
06-27 07:57:28	eth updown 15m 1782546300	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2c9387…
06-26 20:28:01	eth updown 15m 1782504900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x17ddb7…
06-26 10:29:20	eth updown 15m 1782468900	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfd365f…
06-25 07:55:23	bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe03462…
06-25 07:13:05	sol updown 15m 1782370800	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x589284…
06-25 06:50:50	bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x51d631…
06-25 02:50:20	solana up or down june 24 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xa8676c…
06-25 02:50:17	bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8562cb…
06-24 10:28:32	btc updown 15m 1782296100	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xeb2d6a…
06-23 23:26:20	btc updown 4h 1782244800	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x78dd27…
06-23 23:13:19	sol updown 15m 1782255600	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x62a048…
06-23 21:14:16	btc updown 15m 1782248400	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x63024c…
06-23 20:59:19	btc updown 5m 1782248100	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd34b8f…
06-23 20:59:16	eth updown 5m 1782248100	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x24a2ca…
06-23 17:57:34	xrp updown 15m 1782236700	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbd89e0…
06-23 17:57:32	eth updown 15m 1782236700	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8a4ba7…
06-18 03:01:53	will ethereum dip to 1700 on june 17	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xba1f86…
06-17 03:04:07	btc updown 5m 1781665200	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x819e3d…
06-15 20:49:15	btc updown 5m 1781556300	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc330e9…
06-13 08:58:34	eth updown 15m 1781340300	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1a85e0…
06-13 06:50:51	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x565f2d…
06-12 11:12:52	btc updown 15m 1781262000	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x24fd49…
06-12 10:43:13	btc updown 15m 1781260200	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x30d62b…
06-12 03:59:18	eth updown 15m 1781235900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf50edf…
06-12 03:59:16	btc updown 15m 1781235900	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd32195…
06-11 15:02:57	xrp above 1pt1 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x197193…
06-11 11:28:36	btc updown 15m 1781176500	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x289267…
06-09 02:28:24	eth updown 15m 1780971300	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x213cb8…
06-08 15:28:57	btc updown 15m 1780931700	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbea30c…
06-08 10:54:55	solana up or down june 8 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1db78a…
06-07 21:42:18	sol updown 15m 1780867800	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1e84c0…
05-26 15:00:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x89b9e5…
05-25 14:58:27	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4a54df…
05-13 20:11:09	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x3ea881…
05-13 20:11:05	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 13?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3b611b…
05-13 20:11:04	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd75d28…
05-13 20:11:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 13?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2527b9…
05-13 20:11:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 13?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xafa739…
05-13 20:10:57	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc0dc65…
05-13 07:58:22	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x241404…
05-13 07:58:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x12b3b0…
05-13 07:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xe96949…
05-12 19:43:08	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x856518…
05-12 13:14:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd77861…
05-12 13:14:26	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdefa0b…
05-12 02:51:17	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2c59cd…
05-11 18:50:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x774d5e…
05-11 15:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x4af091…
05-11 11:35:18	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x944ec4…
05-11 11:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xa5840e…
05-11 03:50:06	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbf4a57…
05-10 21:51:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x58adbc…
05-10 19:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x0cc958…
05-10 15:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x996b7e…
05-10 15:11:05	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2712cd…
05-10 15:11:02	Solana Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4d24e9…
05-10 15:11:00	Ethereum Up or Down on May 10?	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc6e469…
05-10 12:13:19	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9923e8…
05-10 07:57:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5a7215…
05-10 06:53:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd2d5b9…
05-10 03:45:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x8f8d58…
05-10 03:03:33	Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 9?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xcfb292…
05-09 18:57:54	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8199f2…
05-09 15:01:23	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x44364a…
05-09 15:01:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x070c57…
05-09 14:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf5479d…
05-09 14:54:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb0fce0…
05-09 11:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x9d4c02…
05-09 10:28:20	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x098af4…
05-09 08:57:09	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x03b669…
05-09 08:57:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x902740…
05-09 03:50:33	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0b2a20…
05-08 03:12:24	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd7b597…
05-07 21:13:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc57419…
05-07 19:51:38	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xe00c8f…
05-07 19:50:11	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa700a8…
05-07 19:42:02	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe79007…
05-06 20:50:36	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x868b14…