Shady-Guitarist — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.2%

Resolved (90d)

892

Trades (90d)

919

991 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.09K

$1.16K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 10-14 12:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% -$33

Other

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 19:00 UTC	1	$5	8	+8	Down	-$5	07-24 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$3	7	+7	Down	-$3	10-12 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$3	7	+7	Down	-$3	10-07 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$3	7	+7	Up	+$4	10-06 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$3	7	+7	Down	+$4	10-06 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$3	7	+7	Down	-$3	10-08 15:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC	1	$3	7	+7	Down	-$3	10-13 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$3	7	+7	Up	-$3	10-06 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	1	$3	7	+7	Down	+$4	10-06 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$3	7	+7	Down	+$4	10-08 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$3	7	+7	Up	-$3	10-12 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	1	$3	7	+7	Down	-$3	10-06 14:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$3	7	+7	Up	-$3	10-08 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	2	$3	7	+7	Down	+$4	10-08 12:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 14:15 UTC	1	$3	7	+7	Down	-$3	10-04 14:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$3	7	+7	Up	-$3	10-08 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$3	7	+7	Down	+$4	10-07 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$3	7	+7	Down	-$3	10-11 13:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	1	$3	7	+7	Down	-$3	10-12 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	1	$3	7	+7	Down	+$4	10-02 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$3	7	+7	Up	+$4	10-04 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$3	7	+7	Up	+$4	10-08 14:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 15:45 UTC	1	$3	7	+7	Up	+$4	10-03 15:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	1	$3	7	+7	Down	+$4	10-12 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	1	$3	7	+7	Down	+$4	10-02 13:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 14:15 UTC	1	$3	7	+7	Down	+$4	10-05 14:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	1	$3	7	+7	Down	+$4	10-05 15:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$3	7	+7	Down	-$3	10-06 13:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 15:00 UTC	1	$3	7	+7	Up	-$3	10-03 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	1	$3	7	+7	Down	+$4	10-05 15:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 12:58:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xf0c42d…
10-14 12:28:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xf6d820…
10-13 12:32:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x3b5694…
10-13 12:24:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xd33622…
10-12 15:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x466eec…
10-12 15:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x83dedb…
10-12 15:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x68b3be…
10-12 15:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x74f9b3…
10-12 15:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xd1c0ce…
10-12 14:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x00fd68…
10-12 14:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x147e7c…
10-12 13:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xe29323…
10-12 13:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x798951…
10-12 13:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa5276f…
10-12 13:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x95d6a3…
10-12 13:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x079345…
10-12 12:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xc73aaf…
10-11 13:46:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-11 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x01971c…
10-11 13:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x278d5c…
10-11 13:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0xadd9f9…
10-11 13:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x679283…
10-11 13:02:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-11 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xd3deec…
10-11 12:31:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-11 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	37¢	$2	0x54db41…
10-10 15:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xad1585…
10-10 14:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x580eab…
10-10 14:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa8ad09…
10-10 14:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x78f940…
10-10 14:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x0e8839…
10-10 13:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x51cc13…
10-10 12:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x07c458…
10-10 12:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xe43a58…
10-10 12:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x474458…
10-09 12:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x49809b…
10-09 12:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xcf0044…
10-09 12:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xeb29a4…
10-08 15:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x60df17…
10-08 15:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x00c4f4…
10-08 14:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xb349bc…
10-08 14:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0x1a54c3…
10-08 14:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x97d5ba…
10-08 14:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x0332b7…
10-08 13:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xd62c61…
10-08 13:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x5e3538…
10-08 13:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x386faa…
10-08 13:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x04e44c…
10-08 13:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xa903ab…
10-08 12:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0x46b21c…
10-08 12:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x40f0b9…
10-08 12:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xf23973…
10-08 12:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0x6166bf…
10-08 12:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x517715…
10-07 13:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x896609…
10-07 13:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7de712…
10-07 13:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x925fef…
10-07 13:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3107ef…
10-07 13:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x9c5070…
10-07 13:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x81bb48…
10-07 12:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x78502c…
10-06 15:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0xf2638f…
10-06 15:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7c5e77…
10-06 15:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0x659775…
10-06 15:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x3b9e5c…
10-06 15:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xdcf0ba…
10-06 15:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0xd195b0…
10-06 15:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x66d81e…
10-06 14:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x8e3ddd…
10-06 14:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xcdca17…
10-06 14:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xa5ac9c…
10-06 14:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa99c5e…
10-06 14:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xb48a82…
10-06 13:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xbc5dfd…
10-06 13:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x8fa02c…
10-06 13:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xffcdaf…
10-06 13:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x4ed3ee…
10-06 13:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xc92821…
10-06 12:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0xcafef5…
10-06 12:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x55a32d…
10-06 12:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x50d607…
10-06 12:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xc81221…
10-06 12:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xb38460…
10-05 15:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x63533c…
10-05 15:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x4bd6e6…
10-05 15:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x20843d…
10-05 15:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x56b04c…
10-05 14:16:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x456b5c…
10-05 14:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x66b019…
10-05 13:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x8e7740…
10-05 13:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe971f3…
10-05 13:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa5405e…
10-05 13:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xd29af2…
10-05 13:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xdd3a0a…
10-05 12:46:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb22e71…
10-05 12:46:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x33f582…
10-04 14:16:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x280fba…
10-04 13:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x59b64c…
10-04 13:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x8cdbad…
10-04 13:01:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x297859…
10-04 12:45:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xdbcc78…
10-04 12:32:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xb79222…
10-04 12:16:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x56368d…