Tricky-Friction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$249

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.4%

Resolved

587

Trades

2,530

lifetime

Volume

$8.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 10-16 20:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

100% 51% +$249

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 3?	5	$224	151	151	+0	No	+$0	06-03 13:03
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on May 27?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	05-27 07:50
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on June 6?	2	$91	85	85	+0	Yes	+$78	06-06 17:58
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 13?	11	$91	120	120	+0	Yes	+$13	06-13 07:27
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 15?	7	$85	96	96	+0	Yes	-$2	05-15 07:38
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on May 12?	11	$59	90	90	+0	Yes	+$10	05-12 10:02
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 7?	7	$55	85	85	+0	Yes	+$19	05-07 11:31
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 11?	17	$53	60	60	+0	Yes	+$13	06-11 20:29
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 11?	7	$50	60	60	+0	Yes	+$6	06-11 15:24
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13?	2	$49	60	60	+0	Yes	+$10	06-12 13:08
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11?	7	$49	60	45	+15	No	+$3	06-11 06:50
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on May 16?	11	$49	87	87	+0	No	+$4	05-16 16:01
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on May 29?	8	$48	114	114	+0	No	+$32	05-29 08:18
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 7?	8	$48	60	60	+0	Yes	+$15	06-07 18:00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 18?	3	$47	60	60	+0	Yes	+$2	06-18 10:44
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 3?	10	$47	63	63	+0	No	+$1	06-03 17:46
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on June 14?	15	$46	60	60	+0	Yes	+$5	06-14 13:18
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on May 3?	10	$46	73	73	+0	No	+$10	05-02 17:43
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 16?	4	$44	60	60	+0	Yes	+$10	06-15 15:04
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 2?	11	$43	69	69	+0	No	$0	06-02 12:34
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on May 7?	12	$43	47	47	+0	Yes	+$1	05-07 11:27
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on April 26?	5	$43	61	59	+1	Yes	+$11	04-26 20:43
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on June 19?	9	$43	90	90	+0	No	+$6	06-18 18:23
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 11?	10	$43	60	60	+0	Yes	-$2	06-11 08:44
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C or higher on May 5?	4	$42	23	23	+0	Yes	+$2	05-05 00:16
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on May 31?	5	$42	80	50	+30	No	-$10	05-31 09:18
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 15?	11	$42	51	51	+0	Yes	+$17	06-15 13:32
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 2?	4	$42	50	50	+0	Yes	+$7	06-02 08:28
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 15?	23	$41	60	60	+0	No	+$9	06-15 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 1?	8	$38	62	62	+0	No	+$7	04-30 14:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 20:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on October 17?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xb1d647…
10-16 20:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on October 17?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x188669…
10-16 20:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on October 17?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x43e54a…
10-16 20:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 17?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x020c0b…
10-16 20:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xab4edc…
10-16 20:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 17?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xa66c98…
10-16 20:31:11	highest temperature in chicago on october 18 2026 60 61f	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb3279e…
10-16 20:26:17	highest temperature in milan on october 18 2026 16c	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x0dc436…
10-16 20:26:15	highest temperature in paris on october 18 2026 13c	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9aa71a…
10-16 20:26:15	highest temperature in paris on october 18 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2f235b…
10-16 20:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 17?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc13ad1…
10-16 20:15:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 17?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xafc7de…
10-16 20:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 17?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x077551…
10-16 20:09:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x674f80…
10-16 20:09:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 17?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x2ec840…
10-16 20:02:50	highest temperature in chengdu on october 18 2026 20c	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd31fcf…
10-16 20:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xd54f02…
10-16 20:00:23	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 17?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe43f57…
10-16 19:49:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 18?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd612e4…
10-16 19:46:08	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 18?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa8eb4e…
10-16 19:39:49	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on October 16?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xeb27e7…
10-16 19:33:02	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on October 16?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xdfe5dd…
10-16 19:32:44	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on October 16?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3c16a8…
10-16 19:31:23	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 17?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xc17f13…
10-16 19:31:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 17?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x7120a3…
10-16 19:29:16	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on October 16?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xfd10c8…
10-16 19:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 18?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0x72cd48…
10-16 19:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 17?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa72eac…
10-16 19:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 17?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xf2a76d…
10-16 19:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 17?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x924176…
10-16 19:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 17?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4148bc…
10-16 19:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x073575…
10-16 18:57:44	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on October 16?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd3ee3a…
10-16 18:57:26	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on October 16?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x31a576…
10-16 18:56:22	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on October 16?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x331a33…
10-16 18:53:28	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 18?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xbdb24c…
10-16 18:49:07	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 18?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x708098…
10-16 18:46:04	highest temperature in miami on october 18 2026 80 81f	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc38f6c…
10-16 18:44:11	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 18?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x8c1729…
10-16 18:42:24	highest temperature in warsaw on october 18 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe829c7…
10-16 18:42:22	highest temperature in munich on october 18 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8c27d1…
10-16 18:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x1e38e1…
10-16 18:28:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf9c77a…
10-16 18:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 17?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9415d7…
10-16 18:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x590dc5…
10-16 18:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4945f1…
10-16 18:12:27	highest temperature in los angeles on october 17 2026 96forhigher	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xce9e10…
10-16 18:08:15	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 100°F or higher on October 16?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xaf7650…
10-16 18:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 100°F or higher on October 16?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3b601e…
10-16 18:06:02	highest temperature in kuala lumpur on october 18 2026 31c	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x2b3014…
10-16 18:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 16?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x59fff7…
10-16 18:02:36	highest temperature in denver on october 18 2026 78 79f	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x6c995d…
10-16 18:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x0149eb…
10-16 18:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 16?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8eac3e…
10-16 18:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 16?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2fc769…
10-16 18:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 16?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x07dda3…
10-16 18:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 16?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1e6af8…
10-16 17:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 16?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x825f98…
10-16 17:44:26	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on October 16?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xdf97ef…
10-16 17:43:23	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x709abf…
10-16 17:33:33	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 16?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x760c0f…
10-16 17:33:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 17?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x32194e…
10-16 17:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on October 18?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x213238…
10-16 17:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 16?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x1d9106…
10-16 17:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xc0620d…
10-16 17:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8c2dca…
10-16 16:56:46	highest temperature in lucknow on october 18 2026 32c	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9ce54e…
10-16 16:56:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc703cc…
10-16 16:56:45	highest temperature in paris on october 18 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8d3106…
10-16 16:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 17?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb4b35b…
10-16 16:51:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on October 17?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x64ea57…
10-16 16:51:34	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on October 17?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4a9a98…
10-16 16:51:33	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on October 17?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xcc0d9a…
10-16 16:51:33	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 17?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x55d54d…
10-16 16:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 17?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb68b6e…
10-16 16:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 17?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x86aa84…
10-16 16:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 17?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7883ef…
10-16 16:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x17fcdb…
10-16 16:51:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x230985…
10-16 16:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7bb527…
10-16 16:46:24	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 17?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9ad9d4…
10-16 16:46:24	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5c0b6c…
10-16 16:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 17?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc1c483…
10-16 16:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x22d948…
10-16 16:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xfaf30a…
10-16 16:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x07674c…
10-16 16:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 17?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xba8e89…
10-16 16:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on October 17?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xa257db…
10-16 16:36:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 17?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0xc23dfc…
09-13 19:50:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 15?	Yes	SELL	18	49¢	$9	0xb2b7b7…
09-13 19:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 14?	Yes	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0x2f12dc…
09-13 19:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0xf249eb…
09-13 19:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0xa69e88…
09-13 19:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0xa910bf…
09-13 14:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0xc03099…
09-13 14:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	21	40¢	$8	0xe5d49f…
09-11 17:33:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	SELL	21	50¢	$10	0xff7c21…
09-11 12:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x72cd98…
09-11 05:25:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 11?	Yes	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xc40e1d…
09-11 05:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 11?	Yes	SELL	21	37¢	$8	0x587bc6…