Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

54.5%

Resolved

100

Trades

109

lifetime

Volume

$186

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-07-24

last 10-27 10:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

90% 58% +$14

Politics

9% 22% -$6

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No		+1	$1	94¢	$1	+$0	10-27 10:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	07-31 07:47
yum quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt56	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	07-25 02:14
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	-$2	09-12 00:30
will warsh say integrity during jackson hole speech on august 28	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-22 11:45
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-24 15:02
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	9	+9	Yes	-$2	09-12 08:32
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-13 04:01
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	09-12 16:53
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-21 15:28
spy up or down on august 6 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Down	+$4	08-06 05:06
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-06 13:07
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-05 03:49
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on August 31?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-17 12:53
will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	-$2	08-12 07:10
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-20 14:44
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-22 20:01
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-09 15:02
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in July?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-20 22:55
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-07 05:24
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	+$8	08-12 15:11
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-15 05:08
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-13 15:42
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	7	+7	No	+$5	08-07 21:26
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	08-23 04:04
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-29 10:36
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-02 19:42
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-03 14:41
spy up or down on august 20 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Down	+$4	08-20 06:08
will trump say zohran or mamdani during remarks in new york 20260811183234694	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-13 07:40
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-22 00:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 10:00:29	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf99db9…
10-27 00:35:47	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x260c5e…
10-24 15:01:09	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x60bf0f…
10-24 06:50:39	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc50482…
10-23 16:56:03	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xed1361…
10-23 08:23:18	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8f5137…
10-23 00:22:44	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x0b9c7e…
10-22 16:22:15	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x021232…
10-22 08:21:57	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 22?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbb61a7…
10-21 23:30:02	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8705dd…
10-21 15:16:02	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xad22e7…
10-21 07:15:36	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd1f55f…
10-20 23:15:20	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe72c31…
10-20 14:54:09	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x314ca2…
10-20 06:54:05	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa5d4b4…
10-18 22:53:53	Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1ed530…
10-18 14:52:45	United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1f8b13…
10-18 06:52:12	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7c9cf1…
10-15 18:26:31	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x055ee6…
10-15 10:22:19	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb75e7c…
10-10 13:13:34	Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x60a1fa…
10-09 02:19:23	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc19504…
10-08 06:17:04	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xbd53e9…
10-07 22:14:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x990350…
10-07 02:13:53	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa2603a…
09-24 17:34:54	Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf232f8…
09-13 04:01:57	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x747b3a…
09-12 16:53:39	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x892309…
09-12 08:32:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x54a6e3…
09-12 00:30:34	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xd84287…
09-07 21:41:01	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x8a1d86…
09-07 12:45:06	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xf8b9fe…
09-03 14:41:00	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x0a5744…
09-02 21:13:06	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x8ef583…
09-02 12:53:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0f8120…
09-01 14:51:19	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $182 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xabd7fd…
09-01 06:48:18	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $172.50 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x523af1…
08-29 10:36:46	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xc6777a…
08-28 19:45:22	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x934a97…
08-27 11:39:27	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in August?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xa92622…
08-27 03:39:06	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xe4f4c8…
08-26 19:34:30	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xac9b7d…
08-24 23:03:34	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x0bc49d…
08-24 15:02:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xc74b37…
08-24 06:49:48	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xd177db…
08-23 22:48:22	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x034530…
08-23 14:13:27	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x0b0f3a…
08-23 04:04:46	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd3b618…
08-22 20:01:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x557183…
08-22 11:45:30	will warsh say integrity during jackson hole speech on august 28	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x262d7a…
08-22 00:37:34	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xbc9c88…
08-21 15:28:37	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xd23a2f…
08-21 06:59:45	will trump say barack hussein obama during his rally with darline graham	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x46149d…
08-20 22:55:10	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in July?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x4d96e2…
08-20 14:44:13	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xd90340…
08-20 06:08:01	spy up or down on august 20 2026	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xac93a4…
08-19 21:47:30	will lambdas valuation hit high 8b by august 31 20260730182857552	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x1d9ce4…
08-19 12:58:36	will nvda dip to 216 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xdb4398…
08-18 21:21:03	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x183ec6…
08-17 12:53:39	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on August 31?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x7012c1…
08-17 04:48:43	will nflx reach 80 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x6ad6de…
08-16 20:46:45	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x289b90…
08-16 12:41:27	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xf81aa9…
08-16 03:02:55	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xe3fdbe…
08-15 16:34:12	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x5f4b81…
08-15 05:08:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x1030ad…
08-14 19:45:42	wsm quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 26 2026 2pt05	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xb52b07…
08-13 23:44:31	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xcb1e92…
08-13 15:42:19	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x63b5e0…
08-13 07:40:51	will trump say zohran or mamdani during remarks in new york 20260811183234694	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x868d87…
08-12 23:40:36	will trump say barack hussein obama during remarks in new york 20260811183234695	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4d9373…
08-12 15:11:57	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xaf83e7…
08-12 07:10:42	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x1c65a0…
08-11 23:10:34	Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x059b42…
08-11 15:08:13	will aapl dip to 300 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x628659…
08-11 07:06:27	grok 4pt6 released by august 11 2026	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x870736…
08-09 23:03:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x084e8c…
08-09 15:02:15	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xf4fc82…
08-09 06:50:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x412906…
08-07 21:26:46	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xca5bba…
08-07 13:24:42	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x28e1ca…
08-07 05:24:03	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x22fc1f…
08-06 21:23:20	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x95be0a…
08-06 13:07:03	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xc671ab…
08-06 05:06:47	spy up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x62ab1a…
08-05 19:50:39	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x869d01…
08-05 11:50:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xb63897…
08-05 03:49:32	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5f4156…
08-02 19:42:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xaf6d3c…
08-02 11:30:44	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xa98595…
08-02 02:33:11	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xc8551f…
08-01 18:32:09	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x868018…
08-01 10:31:41	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x2ae593…
08-01 00:29:12	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x0824b9…
07-31 16:29:00	Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x5e7ab5…
07-31 07:47:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x8f5a66…
07-30 18:15:17	another pandemic before gta vi	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd23b93…
07-29 20:44:05	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe18dbb…
07-28 21:26:34	will warsh say independence during july press conference 20260720204109033	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x98fb34…
07-28 19:04:44	will xagusd dip to 56 by july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x38f8fd…