Silly-Earmuffs — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

45.7%

Resolved

Trades

125

lifetime

Volume

$229

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-21

last 07-01 21:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 31% -$15

Other

27% 30% +$13

Tech

2% 33% -$1

Sports

1% 0% -$3

Politics

1% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-01).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes		+26	$5	8¢	$2	-$3	05-21 01:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-22 06:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	Down	+$0	05-22 06:38
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	1	$10	20	0	+20	Yes	+$10	06-17 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	3	$8	110	10	+100	Down	+$4	05-22 06:40
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	3	$8	19	17	+3	Down	+$4	05-26 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$8	20	0	+20	Down	-$8	05-22 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	4	$8	21	3	+19	Down	-$4	05-26 04:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	4	$7	9	3	+6	Up	-$3	05-21 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	05-26 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	4	$6	6	5	+1	Up	+$2	05-21 02:02
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 21?	1	$6	22	0	+22	Down	-$6	05-21 17:26
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	1	$5	17	0	+17	Yes	+$12	06-20 20:57
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	-$5	05-21 02:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$5	29	0	+29	Down	-$5	05-22 06:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$5	30	0	+30	Up	+$25	05-22 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	-$5	05-22 06:26
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	1	$5	26	0	+26	open	—	05-21 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-22 06:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	3	$4	85	0	+85	Up	-$4	05-22 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$4	11	0	+11	Down	-$1	05-21 21:42
fifwc che can 2026 06 24 team total home 1pt5	2	$4	3	3	+0	Over	+$2	06-24 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$4	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-21 01:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-21 02:18
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	3	$3	5	2	+4	Down	-$1	05-21 02:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	05-22 06:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	3	$3	8	3	+6	Down	-$1	05-22 06:54
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$2	39	0	+39	Down	-$2	05-22 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$2	12	0	+12	Down	-$2	05-21 21:32
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	1	$2	10	0	+10	Yes	-$2	05-28 14:20
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$2	17	0	+17	Up	-$2	05-26 04:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 21:12:22	Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x930c1a…
07-01 21:12:02	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5571ec…
06-30 02:49:05	Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4a1959…
06-29 18:51:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc342e9…
06-29 18:49:47	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc10ac8…
06-29 18:48:52	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 goals vinicius junior gte1	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7ea1a0…
06-28 20:50:58	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x05ed01…
06-24 22:09:11	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 goals neymar jr gte2	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbd6836…
06-24 22:03:01	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8be37e…
06-24 20:58:34	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 team total home 1pt5	Over	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x4755f7…
06-24 20:31:29	Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Canada?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x082c62…
06-24 20:11:05	Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Canada?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xdd8496…
06-24 20:01:43	will the announcers say crossbar during the switzerland vs canada fifa world cup match 20260623164646398	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1cc2e4…
06-24 19:50:59	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x33657b…
06-24 19:43:40	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 first half team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x89ffff…
06-24 18:27:52	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1df686…
06-24 18:21:37	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x01801a…
06-20 21:06:32	Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6ceaa0…
06-20 21:02:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc43c00…
06-20 20:57:22	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x35b029…
06-20 20:55:46	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf38521…
06-18 19:58:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 19:55 UTC	Up	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0xfe40fb…
06-18 19:58:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1a1ebf…
06-18 19:55:44	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf8e269…
06-18 19:54:55	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa98612…
06-18 19:54:13	Qatar to score first vs. Canada?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x989d2c…
06-18 19:50:20	Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0dee7f…
06-17 20:55:10	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf649b5…
06-17 20:48:22	England vs. Croatia: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x1c6ebd…
06-17 20:47:59	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 goals harry kane gte3	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc5635c…
05-30 19:03:41	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4dc1d2…
05-30 19:03:27	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x35c1dc…
05-29 22:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x572436…
05-29 22:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb0d1bf…
05-29 22:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5c69ca…
05-28 14:20:34	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xcbab78…
05-28 14:15:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x692341…
05-26 13:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x3d0fe0…
05-26 13:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x56cc22…
05-26 04:32:36	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x2f0c34…
05-26 04:29:59	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5b55a3…
05-26 04:24:19	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbb365c…
05-26 04:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x20f996…
05-26 04:19:18	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa0f245…
05-26 04:19:08	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0xe2e4c8…
05-26 04:18:52	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xdd587b…
05-26 04:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5512e7…
05-26 04:14:59	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	98	2¢	$2	0x1873d2…
05-26 04:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xde36b7…
05-26 04:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x3d028e…
05-26 04:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x63750a…
05-26 04:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x3b5bfe…
05-22 16:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd5a981…
05-22 06:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9c447c…
05-22 06:56:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xbf3f72…
05-22 06:54:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc7e1f0…
05-22 06:52:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x97e3b1…
05-22 06:51:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbb0e64…
05-22 06:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xdbf1f1…
05-22 06:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x9b9f52…
05-22 06:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xd404be…
05-22 06:43:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x3e47ac…
05-22 06:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x68e299…
05-22 06:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x7d37bc…
05-22 06:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc8a9d2…
05-22 06:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x6d5366…
05-22 06:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x54aebd…
05-22 06:38:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0x1b034c…
05-22 06:36:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x23d6fa…
05-22 06:34:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	52	1¢	$1	0x5252e0…
05-22 06:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0x3d40ff…
05-22 06:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xbb87c0…
05-22 06:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x3955af…
05-22 06:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x090946…
05-22 06:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x6fc597…
05-22 06:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x693e07…
05-22 06:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xba25fd…
05-22 06:14:30	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x544995…
05-22 06:12:02	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9040cf…
05-22 06:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x443c38…
05-22 00:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7ecdf0…
05-21 21:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa2abb6…
05-21 21:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xebc9f7…
05-21 21:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3e49aa…
05-21 21:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x75461d…
05-21 21:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0xcc803a…
05-21 21:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x8cf5e7…
05-21 21:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe228ee…
05-21 21:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7e1a4d…
05-21 17:26:38	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0xfed481…
05-21 06:41:40	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xbee95d…
05-21 02:36:12	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x43c2de…
05-21 02:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa3d97c…
05-21 02:32:13	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfdb588…
05-21 02:30:49	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x6e6458…
05-21 02:30:22	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xcaca41…
05-21 02:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x9c16cb…
05-21 02:24:46	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xed9080…
05-21 02:18:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x34802a…
05-21 02:16:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xee10ce…