Putrid-Biosphere — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

67.3%

Resolved

Trades

291

lifetime

Volume

$2.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 06-11 03:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

34% 33% $-2

Crypto

25% 75% +$16

Sports

21% 69% +$4

Politics

18% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes		+16	$5	8¢	$1	$-4	06-08 19:54
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes		+93	$10	0¢	$0	$-10	06-08 19:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$130	76	76	+0	open	—	05-01 18:51
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	3	$103	60	60	+0	open	—	04-22 03:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	05-04 02:04
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	3	$95	54	54	+0	open	—	05-13 15:32
will wti reach 95 in june 2026 from june 10	1	$60	71	0	+71	open	—	06-11 02:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$60	80	0	+80	open	—	05-08 15:08
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	2	$50	59	0	+59	open	—	04-16 19:25
wti up or down on june 8 2026	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	06-08 21:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	2	$40	65	0	+65	open	—	06-08 01:26
gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	4	$31	74	14	+60	open	—	04-23 17:55
btc updown 5m 1776365700	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	04-16 18:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$30	35	0	+35	open	—	06-08 01:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	2	$30	38	0	+38	open	—	05-04 20:30
btc updown 5m 1776366300	1	$30	33	0	+33	open	—	04-16 19:08
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 2?	1	$30	33	0	+33	open	—	06-02 19:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	3	$27	32	7	+24	open	—	04-26 14:09
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	1	$25	69	0	+69	open	—	05-21 16:31
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on June 3?	1	$25	29	0	+29	open	—	06-03 15:04
Sabres vs. Canadiens	2	$25	34	0	+34	open	—	05-17 02:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	2	$25	30	0	+30	Yes	+$5	05-09 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	Down	$-25	05-13 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$25	27	0	+27	Down	+$2	05-12 21:33
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	3	$22	42	26	+16	open	—	05-29 15:28
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	05-21 16:28
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	05-13 15:12
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	04-26 14:14
Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	05-05 04:14
Sabres vs. Canadiens	1	$20	35	0	+35	Sabres	$-20	05-12 14:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	1	$20	30	0	+30	open	—	05-06 23:03
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	1	$20	28	0	+28	open	—	05-24 21:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 03:04:37	mlb mil oak 2026 06 10	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	19	72¢	$14	0x95e552…
06-11 02:15:24	wti closes above 91 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xa3bf9c…
06-11 02:13:18	will wti reach 95 in june 2026 from june 10	Yes	BUY	71	85¢	$60	0x487eab…
06-10 18:03:21	wti closes above 91 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xc6fdd5…
06-09 21:11:39	btc updown 5m 1781039400	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x55eb3b…
06-09 04:00:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x181dd0…
06-09 02:26:22	btc updown 5m 1780971900	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf15c21…
06-08 21:19:25	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xe08710…
06-08 21:16:37	btc updown 5m 1780953300	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xaa2d53…
06-08 21:13:39	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x40026a…
06-08 21:12:33	wti up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x7c7fd8…
06-08 19:54:57	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x86d460…
06-08 19:35:15	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0x5bc224…
06-08 01:42:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xf79ce4…
06-08 01:27:57	wti up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x31bbda…
06-08 01:26:57	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x2904b1…
06-05 00:34:46	nhl las car 2026 06 04 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x374daf…
06-05 00:34:03	mlb tor atl 2026 06 04	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x0a7747…
06-04 18:49:28	wti closes above 93 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf8feaa…
06-04 16:12:43	wti closes above 91 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xb60cb5…
06-04 16:12:16	wti closes above 92 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x190cb3…
06-03 20:38:09	wti closes above 96 on june 3 2026	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xcbb58b…
06-03 17:40:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x4a4b05…
06-03 15:06:03	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xd7916e…
06-03 15:04:25	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xee9bd1…
06-03 15:04:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xf5af2d…
06-02 21:03:23	New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x72cff8…
06-02 19:05:45	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x766df4…
06-02 19:04:56	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x7d7534…
06-02 18:59:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x75d03f…
06-02 18:58:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xe45881…
06-02 02:17:28	Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury	Minnesota Lynx	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xe4cc96…
06-02 02:17:08	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	Colorado Rockies	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x2bc2c4…
06-01 19:40:58	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x170dbc…
06-01 19:37:02	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x007ddc…
05-31 20:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x9fc6e6…
05-31 20:10:39	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x49646b…
05-31 20:07:58	Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox	Detroit Tigers	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x683f1b…
05-30 18:45:05	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	24	74¢	$18	0xd7d23d…
05-30 01:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5b79d1…
05-29 15:28:34	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x184bda…
05-29 15:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x9011b9…
05-28 21:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x2f49b2…
05-28 21:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xab26f6…
05-28 20:58:20	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x9d39b1…
05-28 20:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf74055…
05-28 20:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xf0260f…
05-28 20:13:31	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x6a26f4…
05-28 20:11:14	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x7c4ed3…
05-28 19:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x0fa1d6…
05-28 18:11:39	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xfcf63f…
05-28 01:24:56	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	SELL	26	28¢	$7	0xa76840…
05-27 20:31:24	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x161322…
05-27 20:31:14	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x846b47…
05-27 18:30:34	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xee3747…
05-27 18:30:08	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xffb23d…
05-27 01:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x208864…
05-27 01:17:08	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x845b72…
05-26 23:56:17	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xbe546a…
05-26 23:55:00	Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5c4ada…
05-26 04:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x782b3b…
05-26 03:09:03	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Hurricanes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x0e246c…
05-25 21:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x255323…
05-25 21:09:09	T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Thailand	Thailand	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x3ce722…
05-25 21:07:59	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xfc54af…
05-25 20:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe8a11a…
05-25 19:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7677f6…
05-24 21:35:30	Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x0ad157…
05-24 21:27:34	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Hurricanes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xcd4599…
05-24 21:27:27	Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	Avalanche	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xfb3f9d…
05-24 21:25:56	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xc7bc09…
05-22 19:22:49	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xcb56b7…
05-22 19:22:02	Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xb96a62…
05-22 19:21:55	Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Texas Rangers	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xafa16b…
05-21 16:31:27	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x1b4107…
05-21 16:28:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0x9df48e…
05-21 00:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc859c0…
05-21 00:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa13e7a…
05-20 20:52:25	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x86183c…
05-20 20:51:52	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xeb44ed…
05-20 16:53:36	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xa20b85…
05-20 03:37:49	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	Athletics	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xe5b0da…
05-20 03:32:08	San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	San Francisco Giants	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x0c2154…
05-20 03:31:38	ITF Changwon: Jia-Jing Lu vs Ya Yi Yang	Jia-Jing Lu	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x8df3d6…
05-20 03:30:46	Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x5dc55b…
05-20 03:30:32	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	Athletics	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x6b1ae6…
05-20 03:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4dad69…
05-20 03:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe73d17…
05-19 14:32:16	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Lucia Bronzetti vs Varvara Lepchenko	Lucia Bronzetti	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x1508b2…
05-19 14:32:04	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Kayla Cross	Rebecca Sramkova	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x9f44a3…
05-19 14:31:31	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants	Lucknow Super Giants	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x16fc29…
05-19 14:31:17	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x487c00…
05-19 14:29:04	Istanbul: Lucas Poullain vs Mili Poljicak	Mili Poljicak	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x41274d…
05-19 14:27:22	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xd64dfa…
05-19 14:18:27	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x6627b2…
05-19 14:18:11	Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xd739c6…
05-19 14:17:08	New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	New York Mets	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x07161c…
05-19 14:16:21	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x07a1c4…
05-19 14:15:16	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xcdd9d5…
05-19 14:15:07	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x0b6350…