Ornery-Glasses — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.1%

Resolved

225

Trades

243

lifetime

Volume

$322

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 05-10 23:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 77% $-27

Other

4% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$13	27	+27	Up	$-13	05-10 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$10	24	+24	Up	$-10	05-10 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$10	18	+18	Down	+$8	05-10 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$8	21	+21	Up	$-8	05-10 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$8	15	+15	Up	$-8	05-10 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$6	11	+11	Down	+$5	05-10 21:10
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 15 2026 27c	2	$6	6	+6	open	—	04-16 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$4	8	+8	Up	$-4	05-10 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$4	8	+8	Down	+$4	05-10 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$4	7	+7	Up	$-4	05-10 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$4	9	+9	Down	+$5	05-10 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$4	7	+7	Up	$-4	05-10 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	4	$4	5	+5	Down	+$1	05-07 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Up	$-3	05-10 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Down	+$2	05-10 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Up	$-2	05-10 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Down	+$2	05-10 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Up	$-2	05-10 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Down	+$2	05-10 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Up	$-2	05-10 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$2	4	+4	Up	$-2	05-07 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$2	4	+4	Down	+$0	05-07 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Down	+$2	05-10 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$2	4	+4	Up	$-2	05-10 22:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-08 00:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-07 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-07 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-07 23:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-07 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	Down	+$0	05-07 23:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 23:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4fb5b6…
05-10 23:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	49¢	$13	0xbe4f42…
05-10 23:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x201a4a…
05-10 23:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0x61c2f2…
05-10 22:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x73db1a…
05-10 22:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xb3a32f…
05-10 22:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xacbdab…
05-10 22:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf2d874…
05-10 22:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xf752fb…
05-10 22:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x7bd6c6…
05-10 22:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x996cae…
05-10 22:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x72cb33…
05-10 22:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xf4f3f6…
05-10 22:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x6dd271…
05-10 22:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xe416c0…
05-10 22:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x8073f0…
05-10 21:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf89ed7…
05-10 21:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x261ce8…
05-10 21:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x18c16d…
05-10 21:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x309a2e…
05-10 21:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x08a285…
05-10 21:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc6edb4…
05-10 21:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd822b9…
05-10 21:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x25c190…
05-10 21:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x467058…
05-10 21:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x5e00a4…
05-10 21:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xd8426b…
05-10 21:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4d27c0…
05-10 20:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf495d2…
05-10 20:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x597d93…
05-10 20:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xa9cbba…
05-10 20:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1d66e6…
05-10 20:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7f5747…
05-10 20:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8a04ba…
05-10 20:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7e2672…
05-10 20:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6e1e45…
05-10 19:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x11ab1e…
05-10 19:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe66d74…
05-10 19:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa4cb8a…
05-10 19:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7aecb8…
05-10 19:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x872a61…
05-10 19:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xc19ea0…
05-10 19:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5f9a95…
05-10 19:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x63e6d3…
05-10 19:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf5d7b7…
05-10 19:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcc94ab…
05-10 18:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4d0e60…
05-10 18:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x12b3fd…
05-10 18:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x049c99…
05-10 18:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x693cac…
05-10 18:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd0f4a1…
05-10 17:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc346aa…
05-10 17:49:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x83aa77…
05-10 16:14:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc9e5be…
05-10 16:09:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x342cae…
05-10 16:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x098ef8…
05-10 16:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xaa26f7…
05-10 15:54:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc4cce4…
05-10 15:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2a407b…
05-10 14:24:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x46fb37…
05-10 13:59:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf14bfd…
05-10 13:44:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd8e392…
05-10 13:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x851d76…
05-10 13:29:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe2ff07…
05-10 13:24:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x123572…
05-10 12:19:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6a9934…
05-10 11:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x39f419…
05-10 09:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x20486c…
05-10 09:39:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2fc576…
05-10 09:34:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x228e2d…
05-10 07:44:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x009b03…
05-10 06:29:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xad2cee…
05-10 04:14:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd6269a…
05-10 03:59:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x147b8b…
05-10 03:19:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9de1f3…
05-10 03:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x76efea…
05-10 01:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x529f5c…
05-10 01:29:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdb7442…
05-10 01:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x12a3bd…
05-10 01:19:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4d3c6a…
05-10 01:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe99927…
05-10 00:59:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x464e5f…
05-10 00:29:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x25d4e6…
05-10 00:09:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcfb308…
05-09 23:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xeb951f…
05-09 23:04:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd60a1e…
05-09 20:44:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x825207…
05-09 18:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xcf9103…
05-09 17:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb534ee…
05-09 17:19:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa8a939…
05-09 17:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x76f510…
05-09 16:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x551d69…
05-09 16:49:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xddacad…
05-09 14:39:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x81082c…
05-09 10:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9537f9…
05-09 10:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1000c1…
05-09 09:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x7f9a05…
05-09 09:09:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xfec97e…
05-09 04:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2f3874…
05-09 04:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x187d54…