Lighthearted-Bassinet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$317

Unrealized P&L

+$19

Hit rate

41.9%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

4,015 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$924

$51.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$140

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 10-28 09:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 234 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 57% -$350

Other

17% 55% -$352

Sports

16% 48% -$379

Politics

1% 62% +$23

Tech

0% 100% +$4

Pop-Culture

0% 57% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	+112	$90	99¢	$111	+$21	10-23 16:48
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	+13	$10	84¢	$11	+$1	07-16 09:01
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+67	$10	14¢	$9	-$1	09-11 11:40
Ledger IPO before 2027?	No	-7	-$6	96¢	$-7	-$1	06-23 19:38
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+91	$1	1¢	$1	+$0	09-11 11:39
Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+500	$1	0¢	$1	$0	09-07 09:40
Will Galatasaray win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+333	$1	0¢	$0	$0	09-07 09:31
Will Porto win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+200	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	09-07 09:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 17:00 UTC	4	$998	924	880	+44	Down	+$22	04-11 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$905	510	510	+0	Down	+$105	05-25 10:26
nhl las car 2026 06 04	1	$610	1,034	0	+1,034	Hurricanes	+$424	06-04 14:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 11:30 UTC	2	$600	984	0	+984	Down	+$384	04-10 11:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 12:30 UTC	2	$548	359	359	+0	Down	+$148	09-28 12:42
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 09:00 UTC	1	$530	1,073	0	+1,073	Up	-$530	04-07 09:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 19:35 UTC	2	$502	434	427	+7	Up	+$48	03-07 19:35
bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 11am et	1	$500	905	0	+905	Down	+$405	04-10 14:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 17:15 UTC	1	$460	826	0	+826	Down	+$366	04-08 16:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 04:45 UTC	1	$430	742	0	+742	Down	-$430	03-31 04:43
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 08:45 UTC	3	$420	671	0	+671	Up	-$420	04-07 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	3	$400	626	0	+626	Up	+$226	06-02 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	3	$397	262	262	+0	Up	+$117	05-30 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$368	270	270	+0	Down	+$168	05-26 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$350	660	0	+660	Up	+$310	05-08 19:29
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs	1	$300	517	0	+517	Houston Astros	-$300	05-23 13:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 04:30 UTC	1	$300	531	0	+531	Down	-$300	03-31 04:29
solana up or down march 27 2026 7am et	1	$300	541	0	+541	Up	+$241	03-27 10:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 12:30 UTC	2	$290	480	0	+480	Up	-$290	06-22 12:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 06:40 UTC	2	$270	232	228	+4	Up	+$20	03-07 06:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 11:25 UTC	1	$270	506	0	+506	Up	-$270	04-10 11:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 12:15 UTC	2	$265	467	0	+467	Up	-$265	06-22 12:16
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	1	$250	417	0	+417	Golden Knights	-$250	06-02 15:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 12:15 UTC	2	$241	147	144	+3	Down	+$44	04-11 12:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 06:35 UTC	1	$240	471	0	+471	Up	+$231	03-07 06:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-21 11:15 UTC	3	$230	322	0	+322	Down	+$92	06-21 11:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 16:45 UTC	2	$220	399	0	+399	Down	+$179	04-11 16:45
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	4	$219	131	131	+0	Up	+$39	06-02 06:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 17:00 UTC	1	$200	345	0	+345	Up	-$200	04-08 16:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 13:30 UTC	1	$200	345	0	+345	Up	-$200	02-25 13:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 09:39:38	Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)	AC Monza	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x5fbf2c…
10-28 09:38:47	Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf81b94…
10-28 09:38:16	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: 1. FC Nürnberg O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x09d25b…
10-28 09:37:38	SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x99cc93…
10-28 09:37:16	FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: 1. FC Magdeburg O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x299f66…
10-28 09:36:32	Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)	Holstein Kiel	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xe40499…
10-28 09:35:55	Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)	SC Paderborn 07	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x231a03…
10-28 09:35:17	SG Dynamo Dresden vs. FC Schalke 04: FC Schalke 04 O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x08a79a…
10-28 09:33:40	Spread: Hertha BSC (-1.5)	SSV Jeddeloh II	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xff8789…
10-27 18:18:59	Torino FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x8089e8…
10-27 18:18:33	Torino FC vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x2d4696…
10-27 15:10:26	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x3ea915…
10-27 15:04:44	Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)	Rot-Weiss Essen	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x6ec655…
10-27 14:59:05	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Fleetwood Town FC	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xee7dfe…
10-27 14:54:27	US Sassuolo Calcio vs. SS Lazio: SS Lazio O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe5347e…
10-26 11:52:41	Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)	CD Santa Clara	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xac280a…
10-26 11:52:18	CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x0b2982…
10-26 11:51:00	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Olympique Lyonnais O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x26c692…
10-26 11:50:35	Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x10659d…
10-26 11:50:09	Beşiktaş JK vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: Rams Başakşehir FK O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x85696e…
10-26 11:49:06	NK Istra 1961 vs. HNK Hajduk Split: HNK Hajduk Split O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x8aa427…
10-26 11:48:06	Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6079ab…
10-25 04:36:30	FC Thun vs. FC Lugano: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x116b2e…
10-25 04:31:05	PSV vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xf800b3…
10-25 04:28:15	SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x173ca7…
10-25 04:25:56	PFK CSKA Moskva vs. FK Spartak Moskva: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x668623…
10-25 04:20:26	Will Angers SCO vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xd1f5aa…
10-25 04:16:42	Will Hull City AFC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x217a91…
10-25 04:03:35	Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xb997bd…
10-25 04:00:18	FK Zenit vs. FK Dinamo Makhachkala: FK Dinamo Makhachkala O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1e345a…
10-25 03:58:36	FC Internazionale Milano vs. ACF Fiorentina: ACF Fiorentina O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xa48932…
10-25 03:56:24	FK Rostov vs. FK Lokomotiv Moskva: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xc34cdc…
10-25 03:48:54	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Bayer 04 Leverkusen O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xe4e126…
10-25 03:46:51	Udinese Calcio vs. AC Milan: AC Milan O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x8510d0…
10-25 03:41:38	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Betis Balompié: Real Betis Balompié O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x43ac3d…
10-25 03:36:35	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x95fdba…
10-25 03:29:29	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x2ff61e…
10-24 15:53:11	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xfebfb2…
10-24 04:01:41	FC Utrecht vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x9a0a5a…
10-24 03:59:45	Willem II Tilburg vs. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x49a80b…
10-24 03:59:29	Willem II Tilburg vs. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x8f7be0…
10-24 03:51:48	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xed15ab…
10-24 03:50:39	1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xd75892…
10-24 03:47:21	RB Leipzig vs. SV 07 Elversberg: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x0adfca…
10-24 03:38:51	Servette Geneva vs. FC Vaduz: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x47bb2f…
10-24 03:38:33	FC Zurich vs. FC Luzern: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xfa9292…
10-24 03:34:27	1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SV Werder Bremen: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xdad755…
10-24 03:17:36	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x80dee3…
10-24 03:14:15	Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x84b813…
10-24 03:12:02	FK Krasnodar vs. FK Baltika Kaliningrad: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xb3ba1d…
10-24 03:08:39	Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris FC: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xd27425…
10-24 03:06:29	SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x2d9bb0…
10-24 03:04:14	Cagliari Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe4ebfe…
10-24 02:59:51	FK Rubin Kazan vs. PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x2f25cd…
10-24 02:50:26	SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: AS Roma O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf7cb31…
10-23 16:48:21	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x2d17f2…
10-23 16:47:14	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	124	2¢	$2	0x6df21d…
10-23 14:41:47	Go Ahead Eagles vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x4643fe…
10-23 12:37:45	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x455185…
10-23 12:28:17	Go Ahead Eagles vs. Telstar 1963: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x1ef318…
10-23 12:27:12	VfB Stuttgart vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xeb965d…
10-23 11:32:59	VfB Stuttgart vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Borussia Mönchengladbach O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x08f95c…
10-23 11:28:03	Ipswich Town FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xe8eb0b…
10-23 09:13:29	Stade Brestois 29 vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xd925cd…
10-23 09:01:26	Ipswich Town FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xbe779c…
10-23 08:57:05	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0xa6893e…
10-23 08:56:50	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xd5a87a…
10-22 18:53:14	AS Monaco FC vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x7c9dc5…
10-22 18:52:08	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0x31e7fb…
10-22 18:49:59	AFC Ajax vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	118	68¢	$80	0x509f3c…
10-22 18:48:11	AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	103	58¢	$60	0x9bc985…
10-22 18:47:05	Beşiktaş JK vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0xd5c6c6…
10-22 18:44:53	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 2nd Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xb79345…
10-22 10:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	16	92¢	$15	0xb68f46…
10-22 10:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xc3d655…
10-22 09:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0xef8354…
10-22 08:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x2666d9…
10-22 08:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe214ba…
10-22 08:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xf7c8ec…
10-22 08:17:09	AS Monaco FC vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xb54119…
10-22 08:15:45	AFC Ajax vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xce5dd4…
10-22 08:13:48	FK Crvena zvezda vs. FC København: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x4dab39…
10-22 08:01:57	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x61313e…
10-22 07:30:14	Trabzonspor vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x9cc704…
10-22 07:18:32	AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x53cb5a…
10-22 07:16:39	Beşiktaş JK vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x20d085…
10-22 07:11:18	SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0x0d3d31…
10-22 06:59:59	Ararat-Armenia FA vs. AZ: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0x88cd57…
10-21 18:48:35	Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	87	69¢	$60	0x2303dc…
10-21 18:46:54	Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x401976…
10-21 18:46:18	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x8229c5…
10-21 18:43:17	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x81a58e…
10-21 06:19:11	KHL: Spartak Moscow vs. CSKA Moscow	CSKA Moscow	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x35465e…
10-21 06:17:57	KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Salavat Yulaev Ufa	Metallurg Magnitogorsk	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x67d1e8…
10-21 06:15:23	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x93bb0f…
10-20 21:34:14	Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	123	65¢	$80	0x95a835…
10-20 18:00:17	SSC Napoli vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x4cb9ce…
10-20 08:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x1e859b…
10-20 07:44:52	Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	66	61¢	$40	0xecd82d…
10-20 07:43:19	FC Porto vs. PSV: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xd0a3f9…