Murky-Wallaby — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,383

lifetime

Volume

$1.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 06-02 22:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 79% +$7

Other

41% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 155 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	5	$33	19	19	+0	open	—	04-22 09:15
btc updown 5m 1776346200	78	$28	15	15	+0	open	—	04-16 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	7	$27	57	15	+42	open	—	05-21 14:09
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 3pm et	7	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	04-21 19:52
btc updown 5m 1776756600	10	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	04-21 07:35
highest temperature in tokyo on april 9 2026 19c	17	$23	11	11	+0	open	—	04-09 14:47
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 1pm et	6	$22	15	7	+8	open	—	04-20 17:52
bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 3pm et	5	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-15 19:57
highest temperature in taipei on april 11 2026 33c	3	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	04-11 10:01
btc updown 5m 1776625200	4	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	04-19 19:02
btc updown 15m 1776370500	17	$15	15	1	+14	open	—	04-16 20:24
highest temperature in paris on april 6 2026 21c	5	$15	13	3	+10	open	—	04-06 21:41
btc updown 5m 1776500400	3	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-18 08:23
btc updown 5m 1776522000	5	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	04-18 14:24
btc updown 15m 1776625200	6	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	04-19 19:12
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 7 2026 30c	4	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	04-07 23:45
btc updown 5m 1776418200	4	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	04-17 09:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?	3	$13	11	11	+0	open	—	05-23 11:55
highest temperature in london on april 9 2026 23c	4	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	04-09 18:04
btc updown 15m 1776778200	2	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	04-21 13:40
btc updown 5m 1776281700	5	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	04-15 19:36
btc updown 5m 1776499800	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	04-18 08:14
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	13	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	04-12 02:26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 17?	1	$12	17	0	+17	open	—	05-15 19:44
highest temperature in ankara on april 12 2026 9c	3	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-12 21:04
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 6 2026 29c	4	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-07 00:49
highest temperature in ankara on april 8 2026 11c	9	$12	8	4	+4	open	—	04-08 15:49
highest temperature in jakarta on april 7 2026 32c	3	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-07 16:01
highest temperature in ankara on april 12 2026 10c	7	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-12 21:04
Will Solana dip to $80 on May 23?	1	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	05-23 12:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 22:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x789ca0…
06-02 22:16:20	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x8a7de0…
06-02 22:07:17	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xa6d67e…
06-02 22:07:15	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xb8444e…
06-02 21:56:59	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x67fbe9…
06-02 21:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x8b4e6b…
06-02 21:45:56	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xefd02a…
06-02 21:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9811b4…
06-02 18:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x30f8be…
06-02 18:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xabf9f6…
06-02 18:37:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x121949…
06-02 18:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1406b2…
06-02 18:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xccbdc7…
06-02 18:26:23	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x54984c…
06-02 18:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x073616…
06-01 14:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x35e5d2…
06-01 14:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xdea1b9…
06-01 14:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x65ff6b…
06-01 14:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x1beffa…
06-01 14:32:25	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x0eeac6…
06-01 14:31:39	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8296e6…
06-01 14:31:36	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x72311a…
06-01 14:31:29	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8c02fb…
06-01 14:31:17	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7c588a…
06-01 14:31:15	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x984daf…
06-01 14:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x718705…
06-01 14:30:29	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd95873…
06-01 14:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x480c73…
06-01 13:56:53	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc2a414…
06-01 13:56:52	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xad5405…
06-01 13:56:50	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x43affb…
06-01 13:56:38	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x89365f…
06-01 13:56:34	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfb28e7…
06-01 13:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xea276f…
06-01 13:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x6f69c2…
06-01 13:48:00	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x057558…
06-01 13:47:56	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x2767f4…
06-01 13:47:51	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x40c1b3…
06-01 13:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x158961…
06-01 13:37:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xb0da25…
06-01 13:37:14	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x5c44c6…
06-01 13:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3932a4…
06-01 13:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x354571…
06-01 13:37:12	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x1b357b…
06-01 13:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x96d2a7…
06-01 13:37:02	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xe18343…
06-01 13:36:58	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xe01651…
06-01 13:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xd05b04…
06-01 13:26:25	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4562b4…
06-01 13:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa2b406…
06-01 13:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x96452c…
06-01 13:15:56	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x4423e6…
06-01 13:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x36f523…
06-01 13:10:43	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x80c38e…
06-01 13:10:40	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x59a8be…
06-01 13:10:31	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa9c19d…
06-01 13:05:14	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9a5749…
06-01 13:05:14	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x91c0cc…
06-01 13:05:14	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3668fc…
06-01 13:01:51	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x7a9b4b…
06-01 13:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xe80b07…
06-01 12:50:25	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd7ca79…
06-01 12:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x8961f1…
06-01 12:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbb01e7…
06-01 12:49:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x0d5039…
06-01 12:49:15	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xffd382…
06-01 12:49:12	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x3c33a6…
06-01 12:37:54	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xe43d1e…
06-01 12:37:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb10749…
06-01 12:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x287831…
06-01 12:20:21	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x94fcf6…
06-01 12:20:17	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa2a074…
06-01 12:19:58	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf34f16…
06-01 12:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x287a63…
06-01 12:07:22	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x575560…
06-01 12:07:19	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe07541…
06-01 12:07:05	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd3f6b9…
06-01 11:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x4b0bb6…
06-01 11:57:34	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa9ced3…
06-01 11:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x124afd…
06-01 11:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xd88115…
06-01 11:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x68eb24…
06-01 11:49:05	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x4bc610…
06-01 11:49:00	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x73b6f4…
06-01 11:48:51	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x6c8a3b…
06-01 11:42:56	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0x193674…
06-01 11:42:42	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xb8a86b…
06-01 11:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x02af24…
06-01 01:57:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x97d1b6…
06-01 01:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xee9021…
05-30 22:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x15ae18…
05-30 20:37:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x8a764e…
05-30 20:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9a50c5…
05-30 20:20:15	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc640cb…
05-30 20:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x5df53a…
05-30 20:06:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xed63f8…
05-30 19:52:29	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x44ecc7…
05-30 19:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9b1c6c…
05-30 19:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbc4006…
05-30 19:51:31	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xe400ee…