Flowery-Confusion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$298

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.3%

Resolved

341

Trades

704

lifetime

Volume

$12.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 08-02 15:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Other

52% 16% -$72

Crypto

46% 38% -$1

Politics

2% 0% -$224

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 75% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	10	$586	619	483	+136	Up	-$11	05-04 18:34
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 90 114	4	$485	394	321	+73	No	-$25	03-21 11:46
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	11	$465	1,474	1,474	+0	Yes	+$49	02-20 14:14
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 280 299	5	$417	1,457	1,314	+143	No	-$21	02-19 03:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	6	$400	457	457	+0	Up	+$54	05-04 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	6	$396	480	369	+111	Down	+$90	05-08 16:19
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 260 279	5	$361	1,475	1,315	+160	No	+$5	02-19 03:17
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	9	$351	1,469	1,461	+7	No	-$16	02-20 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	4	$335	415	415	+0	Down	-$5	05-08 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	4	$315	307	307	+0	Up	+$85	05-08 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	4	$300	535	218	+317	Down	-$60	05-08 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	4	$298	244	244	+0	Up	+$58	05-04 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$282	249	249	+0	Down	+$28	05-08 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	4	$228	247	247	+0	Down	-$12	05-04 17:36
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 340 359	5	$217	1,256	1,256	+0	No	-$37	02-20 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$208	133	133	+0	Down	+$38	05-04 18:43
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 240 259	5	$205	1,548	1,548	+0	No	-$1	02-19 03:16
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 320 339	13	$204	560	192	+368	No	-$18	02-27 16:39
will trump say hell 2 times during newsnation interview	7	$203	63,160	0	+63,160	Yes	-$203	01-24 17:53
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	4	$202	186	186	+0	Yes	+$167	02-17 16:54
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 360 379	5	$178	1,276	1,276	+0	No	-$32	02-20 13:07
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 220 239	4	$168	1,488	1,030	+458	No	-$24	02-18 01:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$165	112	112	+0	Up	+$45	05-04 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	7	$149	155	128	+28	Down	+$9	04-30 21:44
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 380 399	6	$146	238	238	+0	Yes	+$98	01-30 16:21
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 380 399	2	$139	1,003	1,003	+0	No	-$9	02-14 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	4	$137	117	117	+0	Up	+$17	05-04 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$123	88	88	+0	Up	+$28	05-08 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$120	118	118	+0	Down	$0	05-04 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$119	119	119	+0	Up	-$1	04-30 22:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 15:03:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	45	16¢	$7	0xf6d9c1…
08-02 15:03:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:00 UTC	Down	SELL	18	75¢	$14	0x2d72b7…
08-02 15:01:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	37¢	$7	0xbf85aa…
08-02 14:59:38	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0x2043bc…
08-02 14:58:56	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3ba807…
08-02 14:58:35	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd7c0b8…
08-02 14:58:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x627a76…
08-02 14:57:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x90da4c…
05-08 18:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3829f3…
05-08 18:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7b68f8…
05-08 18:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3b864f…
05-08 18:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x66a576…
05-08 18:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x48bf14…
05-08 18:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x68b095…
05-08 18:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfa1f29…
05-08 18:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7fc6c3…
05-08 18:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xee2000…
05-08 18:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x299afc…
05-08 18:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2eb5b6…
05-08 18:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x8d3150…
05-08 18:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0xe26d2c…
05-08 18:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	57	51¢	$29	0x99e84c…
05-08 18:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	159	20¢	$32	0xc9152d…
05-08 18:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	159	45¢	$72	0x515143…
05-08 18:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	88	86¢	$76	0x04d0dc…
05-08 18:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xc7466d…
05-08 18:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xfcb5dd…
05-08 18:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x2a65be…
05-08 18:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	162	6¢	$10	0x6cb052…
05-08 18:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	156	55¢	$85	0x2ccc86…
05-08 18:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	218	55¢	$120	0x420ca6…
05-08 18:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	218	39¢	$85	0x927144…
05-08 17:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0x49875a…
05-08 17:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	249	62¢	$155	0xdb51b4…
05-08 17:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	249	51¢	$127	0x3c2929…
05-08 17:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	83	21¢	$17	0x6f8110…
05-08 17:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0x38a1f4…
05-08 17:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	159	6¢	$10	0x4ee3c8…
05-08 17:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	163	52¢	$85	0xfeb0de…
05-08 17:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	59	19¢	$11	0xe67f0e…
05-08 17:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x7e0315…
05-08 17:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xf86098…
05-08 17:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	89	14¢	$12	0xec9b19…
05-08 17:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	89	34¢	$30	0x421d75…
05-08 17:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8357d0…
05-08 16:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xfb4ffe…
05-08 16:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	202	53¢	$107	0x22231b…
05-08 16:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	202	42¢	$85	0x677072…
05-08 16:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	212	27¢	$57	0x518f55…
05-08 16:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	212	40¢	$85	0xf94d6f…
05-08 16:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	239	62¢	$149	0x864e10…
05-08 16:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	239	36¢	$85	0x8bc649…
05-08 16:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	68	74¢	$50	0xc545d6…
05-08 16:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0xf4d118…
05-08 16:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	111	7¢	$8	0x28cacf…
05-08 16:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	68	43¢	$29	0x8b4eda…
05-08 16:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0xaedd05…
05-08 16:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	301	71¢	$214	0x57f725…
05-08 16:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	236	36¢	$85	0x5852c1…
05-08 16:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x4a02b6…
05-08 16:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x0063de…
05-04 18:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	133	93¢	$123	0x5a4c2e…
05-04 18:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	133	64¢	$85	0x5626a0…
05-04 18:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x5dd3e2…
05-04 18:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	136	63¢	$85	0xf6a98e…
05-04 18:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	131	48¢	$62	0xd5c61f…
05-04 18:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	131	65¢	$85	0xd6a9ee…
05-04 18:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	144	45¢	$64	0x12eeba…
05-04 18:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	48	43¢	$21	0x3616a4…
05-04 18:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	144	59¢	$85	0xb7fa2b…
05-04 18:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0xa1f489…
05-04 18:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0x7fa203…
05-04 18:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	148	45¢	$67	0x9b7104…
05-04 18:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	112	94¢	$105	0x0ad9f5…
05-04 18:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	161	51¢	$82	0xb5d93f…
05-04 18:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	112	54¢	$60	0xa84fa0…
05-04 18:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x8a990e…
05-04 18:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0x820cb6…
05-04 18:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xd38b52…
05-04 18:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	130	20¢	$26	0x36d86d…
05-04 18:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	130	23¢	$30	0xf3d868…
05-04 18:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	227	71¢	$160	0x2ffc3a…
05-04 18:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	227	50¢	$113	0x421661…
05-04 18:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	125	94¢	$118	0x80e189…
05-04 18:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	120	51¢	$61	0x4f6ceb…
05-04 17:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	125	48¢	$60	0xcfd575…
05-04 17:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	119	50¢	$60	0xa64a1c…
05-04 17:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	119	50¢	$60	0x39f58c…
05-04 17:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	118	51¢	$60	0xcf8528…
05-04 17:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	118	51¢	$60	0x1a0ea4…
05-04 17:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	69	73¢	$50	0x86559f…
05-04 17:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	69	53¢	$36	0x50cb6f…
05-04 17:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0x39d0b8…
05-04 17:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	56	86¢	$48	0x52894a…
05-04 17:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0xcc8401…
05-04 17:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	120	46¢	$56	0x2038db…
05-04 17:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0x5a3f53…
05-04 17:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	127	42¢	$53	0xfe1105…
05-04 17:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	127	47¢	$60	0x7ab1cf…
05-04 17:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0x98ef1c…