Velvety-Doorknob — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$4.73K

Unrealized P&L

+$49

Hit rate

71.9%

Resolved (90d)

906

Trades (90d)

2,942

9,024 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$588.6K

$1.05M lifetime

Avg / trade

$116

Open exposure

$203

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-29 22:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 251 days

Categories

Other

87% 69% -$5,906

Sports

8% 63% +$2,142

Politics

4% 66% -$1,750

Crypto

1% 70% +$649

Tech

0% 50% -$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner	Karmine Corp	—	+100	$97	100¢	$100	+$3	10-29 20:30
LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner	Karmine Corp	—	+100	$48	99¢	$99	+$51	10-29 21:55
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+100	$9	4¢	$4	-$5	05-09 07:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 lg6 3dmax 2026 09 23	79	$14.4K	37,112	11,936	+25,176	3DMAX	-$3,280	09-23 23:25
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	42	$8.8K	5,610	5,610	+0	Yes	+$88	04-27 14:35
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	30	$8.5K	5,500	5,500	+0	Yes	+$990	09-13 19:00
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	11	$5.2K	5,000	2,000	+3,000	Yes	+$59	07-06 03:17
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova	14	$5.0K	3,500	3,500	+0	Aryna Sabalenka	+$29	09-08 18:09
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	9	$4.8K	4,500	4,500	+0	No	-$2,877	10-13 20:49
lol tsw tes 2026 07 04 game4	10	$4.7K	5,100	4,000	+1,100	Team Secret Whales	-$663	07-05 06:17
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	22	$4.7K	4,412	4,412	+0	Yes	+$77	03-04 21:39
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 4 Winner	19	$4.6K	3,000	3,000	+0	LYON	-$379	10-04 00:04
lol ig1 jdg 2026 09 19	10	$4.0K	3,004	3,004	+0	Invictus Gaming	-$400	09-19 12:29
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner	11	$3.9K	2,300	2,300	+0	Invictus Gaming	+$128	09-17 12:03
Will Denmark win on 2026-10-01?	18	$3.9K	3,500	1,000	+2,500	No	+$380	10-01 19:58
Will Uruguay win on 2026-09-28?	2	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$58	09-28 12:27
Will Vissel Kobe win on 2026-10-14?	9	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$57	10-14 11:49
lol bro2 fox1 2026 08 28	8	$3.9K	3,500	3,500	+0	BNK FEARX	-$517	08-28 12:21
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	1	$3.8K	4,000	0	+4,000	Yes	+$160	07-07 01:36
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	1	$3.8K	4,000	0	+4,000	Spain	+$200	07-06 20:53
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-12?	3	$3.7K	3,500	500	+3,000	Yes	+$105	10-12 20:40
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	13	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$90	09-18 02:38
LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner	8	$3.6K	2,300	2,300	+0	LOS	-$35	10-26 20:37
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-09-19?	5	$3.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$391	09-20 06:35
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19?	2	$3.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$438	09-19 13:43
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16?	3	$3.4K	4,000	0	+4,000	Yes	+$560	09-16 20:28
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-18?	7	$3.3K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$40	09-18 20:25
atp zverev shelton 2026 09 13	7	$3.3K	4,000	0	+4,000	Alexander Zverev	+$705	09-13 21:29
lol tes ig1 2026 09 17	9	$3.2K	4,000	2,000	+2,000	Top Esports	+$70	09-17 12:21
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik	5	$3.2K	4,000	2,000	+2,000	Alexander Zverev	+$160	10-13 12:16
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	21	$3.1K	2,996	996	+2,000	Spain	+$158	07-19 21:49
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?	5	$3.1K	2,400	1,400	+1,000	Yes	+$150	10-10 20:50
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-11?	8	$3.1K	3,400	1,400	+2,000	Yes	-$608	10-11 17:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 22:21:55	Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Jerome Kym	Ben Shelton	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0xf5bad2…
10-29 22:01:36	Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Jerome Kym	Ben Shelton	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x362bb9…
10-29 21:55:33	LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner	Karmine Corp	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xc18309…
10-29 20:30:24	LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner	Karmine Corp	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xc44a56…
10-29 15:21:05	Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor	Alexander Zverev	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0xf9a8b3…
10-29 15:20:23	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Novak Djokovic	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x300bf6…
10-29 03:46:47	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	1,000	96¢	$960	0xcdedff…
10-29 03:33:01	Spurs vs. Jazz	Spurs	BUY	2,000	98¢	$1,960	0xa2ec69…
10-29 03:32:41	Spurs vs. Jazz	Jazz	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x58cb4a…
10-29 03:27:10	Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xae7686…
10-29 03:27:08	Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x03d7ee…
10-29 03:21:52	Spurs vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x7c0ad2…
10-29 03:21:20	Spurs vs. Jazz	Spurs	SELL	122	73¢	$89	0x801553…
10-29 03:21:20	Spurs vs. Jazz	Spurs	SELL	78	73¢	$57	0x440ed0…
10-29 03:12:53	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0xcc1cab…
10-29 03:08:37	Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x728348…
10-29 03:07:05	Spurs vs. Jazz	Spurs	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0xcae067…
10-29 03:06:58	Spurs vs. Jazz	Spurs	BUY	22	70¢	$16	0x41a8f7…
10-29 03:06:56	Spurs vs. Jazz	Spurs	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x9f851b…
10-29 02:58:11	Spurs vs. Jazz	Spurs	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x2d3e23…
10-29 01:49:50	Flyers vs. Capitals	Capitals	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x18b1d7…
10-29 01:26:52	76ers vs. Pacers	76ers	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x4ff8a2…
10-29 01:22:23	76ers vs. Pacers	76ers	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xba8145…
10-29 01:03:02	76ers vs. Pacers	76ers	SELL	200	37¢	$74	0xcb1f0f…
10-29 00:58:02	Flames vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xa35107…
10-29 00:48:16	76ers vs. Pacers	76ers	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0x99769e…
10-29 00:48:16	76ers vs. Pacers	76ers	BUY	60	68¢	$41	0x7d3018…
10-29 00:44:37	76ers vs. Pacers	76ers	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x481cf8…
10-29 00:11:53	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	SELL	400	93¢	$372	0x0a977b…
10-28 23:55:58	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x388eeb…
10-28 23:42:53	Flames vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	300	64¢	$192	0xde356f…
10-28 22:57:49	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 2 Winner	Invictus Gaming	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x91aa85…
10-28 22:56:40	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 2 Winner	Invictus Gaming	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x6dda9d…
10-28 22:03:28	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Invictus Gaming	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xb409ec…
10-28 21:56:47	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	300	65¢	$195	0xa22af6…
10-28 21:32:56	Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0x066a74…
10-28 21:15:44	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	T1	BUY	300	80¢	$241	0x292834…
10-28 20:52:41	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	999	96¢	$959	0x66d73d…
10-28 20:42:17	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	T1	SELL	400	92¢	$368	0x165648…
10-28 20:37:37	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	300	80¢	$240	0xab43a8…
10-28 20:28:02	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	834	94¢	$788	0x7fd041…
10-28 20:28:01	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	82	94¢	$77	0x380472…
10-28 20:27:55	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	83	94¢	$79	0xfda115…
10-28 20:26:58	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	T1	BUY	400	85¢	$340	0x7c2096…
10-28 20:22:05	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	T1	SELL	400	60¢	$240	0xceb4ca…
10-28 20:15:34	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	T1	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xcfc788…
10-28 20:14:44	LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	T1	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x663c88…
10-28 17:10:41	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	Novak Djokovic	BUY	95	59¢	$56	0xcd2bcc…
10-28 16:30:31	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	Novak Djokovic	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xd8393c…
10-28 15:29:01	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	Novak Djokovic	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x52599a…
10-28 14:17:53	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	Novak Djokovic	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0xcd5c46…
10-28 05:52:29	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Trail Blazers	BUY	2,000	97¢	$1,940	0x37d043…
10-28 03:29:00	Sabres vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x407089…
10-28 02:48:08	Sabres vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0xbcc2c0…
10-28 02:46:39	Canucks vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x89442f…
10-28 02:31:45	Bruins vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x7773ee…
10-28 02:23:20	Bruins vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	300	86¢	$258	0x9be25a…
10-28 01:58:36	Bruins vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	300	76¢	$229	0xfeca03…
10-28 01:24:32	Bruins vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	77	56¢	$43	0xcca230…
10-28 01:24:32	Bruins vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	223	56¢	$125	0x9681d4…
10-28 01:18:18	Devils vs. Stars: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x1ac204…
10-28 01:17:20	Blue Jackets vs. Flyers	Flyers	SELL	300	5¢	$15	0xe91dd5…
10-28 01:12:29	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x10a7e4…
10-28 01:11:48	Devils vs. Stars	Devils	SELL	300	85¢	$255	0x67631a…
10-28 01:04:51	Devils vs. Stars	Devils	BUY	300	81¢	$243	0xd99a4b…
10-28 01:03:42	Blue Jackets vs. Flyers	Flyers	BUY	300	7¢	$21	0x207c0c…
10-27 22:22:08	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	300	61¢	$183	0xfed0d9…
10-27 22:12:14	Sabres vs. Sharks	Sabres	BUY	500	58¢	$290	0x47391f…
10-27 22:11:57	Sabres vs. Sharks	Sabres	BUY	500	58¢	$290	0x8a90ae…
10-27 21:54:05	Will Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x3f59f5…
10-27 20:43:18	Arsenal FC leading at halftime?	No	BUY	548	97¢	$532	0xa19620…
10-27 20:43:18	Arsenal FC leading at halftime?	No	BUY	1,452	97¢	$1,408	0x9061fd…
10-27 20:41:33	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	SELL	503	37¢	$186	0x9a0e04…
10-27 20:29:32	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xcd2552…
10-27 20:27:53	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	79	69¢	$55	0x8fe0de…
10-27 20:27:45	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	21	69¢	$14	0x61f06f…
10-27 20:27:21	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x52cfd4…
10-27 20:27:17	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xf23e3a…
10-27 20:27:12	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xea90c0…
10-27 20:27:06	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	63	30¢	$19	0xae5906…
10-27 20:26:44	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	300	31¢	$93	0xd6cb3b…
10-27 20:19:15	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0xd9885b…
10-27 20:17:23	Swiss Indoors Basel: Stan Wawrinka vs Jiri Lehecka	Stan Wawrinka	BUY	500	17¢	$85	0xf0a1b6…
10-27 19:10:17	Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Martin Landaluce	Alexander Zverev	BUY	400	72¢	$288	0x5edbaf…
10-27 19:05:42	Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Martin Landaluce	Alexander Zverev	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xf66802…
10-27 17:34:42	Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Martin Landaluce	Alexander Zverev	BUY	500	85¢	$425	0xa02af0…
10-27 12:51:08	Will Jeonbuk FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	184	74¢	$136	0x7687a4…
10-27 12:51:08	Will Jeonbuk FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	116	74¢	$86	0x1bbcb2…
10-27 12:44:36	Swiss Indoors Basel: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	300	74¢	$222	0x063977…
10-27 12:35:48	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergs	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	1,000	70¢	$696	0x3a225e…
10-27 12:35:35	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergs	Zizou Bergs	SELL	434	31¢	$135	0x36dc29…
10-27 12:31:24	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergs	Zizou Bergs	BUY	434	70¢	$304	0x5db9ae…
10-27 04:43:14	Pan Pacific Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Maria Sakkari	Maria Sakkari	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0x5622d4…
10-27 04:16:18	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x70ca66…
10-27 03:29:21	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0xa32c6e…
10-27 03:25:41	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x1e3677…
10-27 03:25:39	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	128	52¢	$67	0xdef579…
10-27 03:25:39	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	49	52¢	$25	0x8f666d…
10-27 03:25:39	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x0193cb…
10-27 03:16:27	Pan Pacific Open: Ann Li vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Ekaterina Alexandrova	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x06504a…