Misguided-Gather — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

2.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$345

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 06-14 07:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

66% 57% -$3

Sports

33% 0% —

Crypto

1% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	3	$2.2K	1,099	1,099	+0	No	+$0	03-25 00:18
Will Justin Sourdif win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?	2	$2.2K	1,090	1,090	+0	No	+$0	03-25 01:10
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,018	1,018	+0	No	+$0	03-25 00:38
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 10 2026 22c	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	04-10 01:42
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$37	21	21	+0	Yes	-$3	04-09 02:36
highest temperature in panama city on april 9 2026 28c	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	04-09 03:07
aapl close above 245 on april 7 2026	1	$28	28	0	+28	Yes	+$0	04-07 00:58
bitcoin up or down april 8 2026 10pm et	1	$25	25	0	+25	Up	+$0	04-09 02:52
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 00:30 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	04-07 00:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 01:40 UTC	1	$11	11	0	+11	Down	+$0	04-08 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-19 03:51
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	06-14 07:11
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or higher on June 14?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	06-14 07:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 08:00 UTC	1	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	03-24 08:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 07:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or higher on June 14?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x516276…
06-14 07:11:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb925ef…
05-19 03:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x907f20…
04-10 01:42:55	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 10 2026 22c	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xe1f5f8…
04-09 03:07:33	highest temperature in panama city on april 9 2026 28c	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x722ee0…
04-09 02:52:39	bitcoin up or down april 8 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf14a47…
04-09 02:36:05	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	21	81¢	$17	0x0605b3…
04-08 01:53:39	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xe40fb4…
04-08 01:44:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xe9c30c…
04-07 00:58:49	aapl close above 245 on april 7 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xab9c1e…
04-07 00:34:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x462d00…
03-25 01:10:45	Will Justin Sourdif win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?	No	SELL	1,090	100¢	$1,089	0x736176…
03-25 01:04:09	Will Justin Sourdif win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?	No	BUY	1,090	100¢	$1,089	0x4bfff5…
03-25 00:38:17	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,018	96¢	$978	0x06bc68…
03-25 00:32:49	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,018	96¢	$978	0x9611d2…
03-25 00:18:35	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x9c5c33…
03-25 00:16:39	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	SELL	1,066	99¢	$1,060	0x5aef94…
03-25 00:14:23	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	BUY	1,099	99¢	$1,092	0x46ab97…
03-24 08:03:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x1f9d7f…