Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$545

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.8%

Resolved

491

Trades

1,942

lifetime

Volume

$25.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 03-31 11:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Politics

43% 51% -$24

Other

42% 63% -$408

Crypto

14% 41% -$93

Tech

1% 44% -$19

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-31).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	18	$1.4K	2,416	2,416	+0	No	-$43	03-30 20:01
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	23	$1.3K	840	849	-8	Yes	+$18	03-26 06:38
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	23	$1.3K	956	956	-0	No	+$41	03-30 19:49
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	10	$1.3K	656	656	+0	No	-$27	03-30 20:14
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	26	$1.2K	1,652	1,652	+0	Yes	-$92	03-30 19:52
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	21	$810	785	785	+0	Yes	+$19	03-30 03:25
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	14	$789	714	714	+0	Yes	-$27	03-30 19:58
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	11	$784	658	658	+0	Yes	+$7	03-27 16:42
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	19	$778	1,474	1,474	+0	No	+$20	03-30 16:23
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	23	$685	499	499	+0	Yes	+$17	03-30 12:14
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	14	$615	668	668	+0	Yes	+$1	03-30 19:55
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	12	$544	785	785	+0	Yes	-$8	03-29 06:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 18:45 UTC	37	$488	531	491	+40	Up	-$16	03-23 18:56
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	18	$474	324	324	-0	Yes	+$3	03-27 14:58
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 19:25 UTC	40	$415	472	358	+115	Down	-$5	03-23 19:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 19:25 UTC	31	$406	495	375	+119	Down	+$82	03-23 19:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 19:00 UTC	38	$365	560	435	+124	Down	-$19	03-23 19:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 18:55 UTC	17	$297	329	263	+66	Up	+$15	03-23 18:56
will they will kill you opening weekend box office be less than 5m	2	$268	281	506	-225	Yes	-$159	03-26 02:08
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$262	152	152	+0	No	+$0	03-25 22:44
meta close above 630 on march 16 2026	5	$261	151	151	+0	No	-$12	03-16 19:14
will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 734	4	$250	3,590	65	+3,525	Yes	-$131	03-22 12:54
will they will kill you score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	8	$242	346	340	+7	Yes	+$173	03-28 18:09
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	10	$234	248	248	+0	No	-$2	03-30 20:08
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	8	$206	244	244	+0	No	-$35	03-30 20:42
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	11	$206	255	255	+0	No	+$88	03-29 11:25
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 19:15 UTC	37	$190	208	152	+57	Up	-$9	03-23 19:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 19:00 UTC	40	$176	328	259	+69	Down	-$23	03-23 19:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 19:15 UTC	18	$172	451	54	+397	Up	-$23	03-23 19:27
highest temperature in nyc on march 16 2026 58 59f	7	$170	275	174	+101	No	-$6	03-16 18:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-31 11:02:23	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	16	4¢	$1	0xc256cb…
03-31 11:02:13	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0xec47ee…
03-31 11:02:07	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0xb8f8eb…
03-30 23:14:23	will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	Yes	SELL	18	15¢	$3	0xdbd83c…
03-30 23:14:09	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$5	0x9b215d…
03-30 23:14:03	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0xdb2bb3…
03-30 23:13:55	will 20 24 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	No	SELL	11	42¢	$5	0xa18505…
03-30 22:22:35	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x57f6b3…
03-30 22:22:27	will hoppers 4th weekend box office be between 12m and 13m	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xbe6350…
03-30 22:22:13	will otto ritter win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 232	Yes	SELL	21	30¢	$6	0x9464fa…
03-30 22:22:07	will usd reach 1pt6m iranian rials by march 31	No	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0xfab00d…
03-30 22:22:03	will turnout in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65 and 70	No	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0x37d8f6…
03-30 22:21:57	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	18	48¢	$9	0x75379b…
03-30 21:51:45	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	14	58¢	$8	0x0c6f23…
03-30 21:44:59	chatgpt outage by april 3	No	SELL	13	80¢	$10	0x7c78c6…
03-30 21:15:55	will hoppers 4th weekend box office be between 12m and 13m	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x0fd4b1…
03-30 20:42:33	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x835073…
03-30 20:42:09	will luis fernando camacho win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 723	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x9d860f…
03-30 20:32:47	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13	94¢	$13	0xed8023…
03-30 20:32:27	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	45	32¢	$14	0x09b1b0…
03-30 20:31:51	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	No	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0x692a25…
03-30 20:23:11	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	19	89¢	$17	0x3a9f83…
03-30 20:17:01	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	19	91¢	$17	0x3d7c6f…
03-30 20:15:51	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	SELL	24	75¢	$18	0xaaa498…
03-30 20:15:43	will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	Yes	SELL	45	33¢	$15	0x97ad7c…
03-30 20:14:47	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	27	94¢	$26	0x37619a…
03-30 20:14:27	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	22	97¢	$22	0x34c1f9…
03-30 20:11:25	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	55	71¢	$39	0x17433f…
03-30 20:08:03	Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	91	58¢	$53	0x0ad385…
03-30 20:06:49	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	No	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0xbd74e4…
03-30 20:06:01	will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0x5a2aae…
03-30 20:05:55	Will Bad Bunny have a #1 hit in April?	No	SELL	30	78¢	$24	0x114481…
03-30 20:05:43	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	Yes	SELL	88	31¢	$27	0xffa300…
03-30 20:02:19	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	54	81¢	$43	0xc9d25c…
03-30 20:01:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,025	6¢	$62	0x065e37…
03-30 19:58:09	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	SELL	183	45¢	$83	0x413c9a…
03-30 19:55:13	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	258	57¢	$148	0x8048de…
03-30 19:52:41	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	995	22¢	$219	0xebc7bc…
03-30 19:51:25	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	99	22¢	$22	0xf08f99…
03-30 19:49:33	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	466	68¢	$317	0xd16882…
03-30 19:48:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	273	93¢	$254	0xd299f4…
03-30 19:46:11	Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	SELL	157	40¢	$63	0x6173c6…
03-30 16:45:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	342	6¢	$21	0xec3300…
03-30 16:23:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	28	94¢	$26	0x65f15a…
03-30 12:14:58	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	23	18¢	$4	0x475218…
03-30 11:56:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	101	6¢	$6	0x33f789…
03-30 09:52:44	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x648a35…
03-30 09:49:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	41	86¢	$35	0x291fc8…
03-30 09:44:52	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xf959f7…
03-30 06:52:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0xac7285…
03-30 03:30:52	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x9ee142…
03-30 03:25:48	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	56	69¢	$39	0x75cf8a…
03-30 02:02:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xe5ae8c…
03-29 23:21:14	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x8af3ff…
03-29 23:07:28	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	13	71¢	$9	0x21c773…
03-29 21:43:54	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0xe2f04b…
03-29 20:26:46	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0xf0d273…
03-29 20:17:00	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	22	70¢	$15	0x3b24f3…
03-29 12:05:56	will spacex file for an ipo by april 3 2026	No	SELL	31	59¢	$18	0xcedc5b…
03-29 11:25:06	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	SELL	34	45¢	$15	0x3a1457…
03-29 10:55:06	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x97c8f7…
03-29 09:58:50	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	228	72¢	$164	0xfa249e…
03-29 09:41:18	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	42	28¢	$12	0xec7b14…
03-29 08:47:52	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	60	59¢	$35	0xbf5919…
03-29 08:13:30	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	11	81¢	$9	0x6186d5…
03-29 07:57:18	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xab1adb…
03-29 07:40:52	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	30	62¢	$18	0x50743c…
03-29 07:12:42	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	26	81¢	$21	0xfda135…
03-29 07:04:46	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	29	81¢	$24	0xf75f96…
03-29 06:33:26	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	19	81¢	$15	0x300dcb…
03-29 06:20:26	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	143	91¢	$130	0x635fe3…
03-29 06:09:22	will hoppers 4th weekend box office be between 11m and 12m	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0xa08c35…
03-29 06:08:44	will hoppers 4th weekend box office be between 11m and 12m	Yes	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0x10c014…
03-29 05:51:08	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	19	89¢	$17	0xe1ccb7…
03-29 05:01:38	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x106289…
03-29 03:37:24	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	16	80¢	$13	0xf49365…
03-29 03:35:36	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	SELL	53	75¢	$40	0x0a6c28…
03-29 02:26:06	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	SELL	53	76¢	$40	0x8d8358…
03-29 02:09:06	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	SELL	60	44¢	$26	0x7463e2…
03-29 02:08:56	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	SELL	46	47¢	$22	0xa8ceec…
03-29 00:57:02	will hoppers 4th weekend box office be between 12m and 13m	Yes	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x1090d0…
03-29 00:56:22	will hoppers 4th weekend box office be between 12m and 13m	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$3	0x3dd5fd…
03-29 00:42:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0x5dab79…
03-29 00:30:36	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	150	33¢	$50	0xc43f43…
03-29 00:01:22	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	90	80¢	$72	0x416957…
03-28 23:58:46	will hoppers 4th weekend box office be between 11m and 12m	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0x9b84cf…
03-28 23:58:24	will hoppers 4th weekend box office be between 11m and 12m	Yes	BUY	142	14¢	$20	0x113e25…
03-28 23:41:48	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6b559a…
03-28 22:33:52	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x4d0c75…
03-28 22:27:58	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	26	71¢	$18	0xc88c2b…
03-28 22:27:16	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	46	62¢	$28	0x23feab…
03-28 21:58:12	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	666	13¢	$87	0x849f80…
03-28 21:57:02	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xe256a0…
03-28 21:55:22	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x12a3f1…
03-28 21:50:34	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	167	14¢	$23	0x2d4541…
03-28 21:32:16	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	74	7¢	$5	0xb02119…
03-28 21:28:44	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0xb44cbf…
03-28 21:27:22	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	87	32¢	$28	0xec3b8e…
03-28 20:41:58	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xc7ea93…
03-28 20:31:28	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	719	10¢	$72	0x75e53a…