Elastic-Happening — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.6%

Resolved

120

Trades

237

lifetime

Volume

$1.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 10-17 14:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

59% 46% -$16

Politics

28% 36% -$31

Sports

9% 80% +$17

Crypto

5% 59% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	9	$121	145	145	+0	No	-$43	10-04 22:17
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?	3	$98	59	59	+0	Yes	+$20	06-14 00:54
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	4	$93	60	60	+0	No	+$9	03-23 17:54
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	7	$79	80	80	+0	No	-$1	10-04 20:10
Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	3	$74	40	40	+0	No	+$5	05-31 19:02
Will CR Flamengo vs. Independiente del Valle end in a draw?	2	$66	62	62	+0	Yes	+$26	09-18 02:17
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$65	40	40	+0	No	+$1	06-13 02:45
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?	2	$64	36	36	+0	Yes	+$8	09-20 14:52
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	1	$60	88	0	+88	No	-$60	06-15 21:08
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	1	$58	96	0	+96	Yes	+$37	06-14 00:57
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	3	$57	71	71	+0	No	-$26	06-13 23:50
Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?	3	$46	100	0	+100	Yes	+$54	10-02 06:33
Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?	2	$43	50	50	+0	No	-$13	09-30 12:46
fif usa bel 2026 03 28 bel	3	$42	30	30	+0	Yes	+$18	03-28 21:36
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	11	$40	200	100	+100	No	-$4	10-04 19:58
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame	4	$37	26	26	+0	Moise Kouame	+$2	05-28 14:08
Will São Paulo FC vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?	3	$37	28	28	+0	Yes	+$20	09-16 02:35
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5	$36	128	120	+8	Yes	+$2	10-17 14:53
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$31	43	0	+43	No	-$31	09-19 15:19
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	2	$30	23	23	+0	Yes	+$16	06-12 21:57
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$30	28	28	+0	Yes	+$5	10-04 14:48
Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	4	$27	40	40	+0	No	-$5	09-27 16:06
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$25	15	15	+0	Yes	+$5	06-26 12:13
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	3	$21	39	0	+39	Yes	+$17	03-15 02:46
fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 2pt5	2	$18	10	10	+0	South Africa	+$2	06-11 21:11
fif can isl 2026 03 28 isl	2	$17	24	24	+0	No	-$13	03-28 18:56
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	2	$17	10	10	+0	Yes	+$3	06-11 21:11
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$17	10	10	+0	No	+$3	06-25 20:47
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?	2	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	+$4	10-10 21:55
Vikings vs. Bears	2	$15	10	10	+0	Vikings	+$5	09-20 20:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 14:53:35	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x6984c3…
10-11 15:27:09	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x77374d…
10-11 15:26:52	SE Palmeiras vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x295819…
10-11 15:26:01	Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x20352b…
10-11 15:23:33	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x2afb9f…
10-10 21:55:21	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x06163b…
10-10 20:15:15	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x575fca…
10-10 20:13:24	Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xe018e3…
10-10 14:21:18	Will FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0xac58cf…
10-10 11:38:39	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xad1fac…
10-10 11:38:24	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x7b8e9d…
10-10 11:37:06	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x2be4a6…
10-05 00:00:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x790504…
10-05 00:00:05	Will Benedita da Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x6b16a8…
10-04 22:17:59	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	SELL	95	2¢	$1	0x5aaed6…
10-04 21:46:49	Will Marina Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	Yes	SELL	92	0¢	$0	0x901ff0…
10-04 21:00:38	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x3e4601…
10-04 20:27:56	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	22	57¢	$13	0x90d694…
10-04 20:10:55	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	51	45¢	$23	0x7a86c5…
10-04 19:59:20	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x737d67…
10-04 19:58:47	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	26	16¢	$4	0xba43e5…
10-04 19:52:46	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	15	17¢	$3	0xe16639…
10-04 19:09:47	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0xf88ac1…
10-04 18:45:01	Will Benedita da Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xa70b3e…
10-04 18:16:16	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	17	54¢	$9	0x275a85…
10-04 14:49:41	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0x5dbc6e…
10-04 14:48:43	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	28	62¢	$17	0x283e0f…
10-04 14:45:58	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x71338b…
10-04 14:34:58	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0xf26d49…
10-04 14:28:20	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0x3b91fb…
10-04 14:28:17	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	22	18¢	$4	0x62a260…
10-04 14:25:26	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x7a6bc4…
10-04 12:27:08	Will Marina Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$2	0x69bbb0…
10-04 12:26:23	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xaaa130…
10-04 12:22:35	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x049f15…
10-02 06:33:24	Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x5a1950…
10-02 06:28:23	Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?	Yes	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x1302bd…
09-30 12:46:30	Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x9d6a0a…
09-27 20:56:45	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x14d929…
09-27 20:53:33	Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x8ed45b…
09-27 20:52:53	Will Marina Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5a92b3…
09-27 20:42:08	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0x4b9007…
09-27 19:33:11	Will Marina Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	Yes	BUY	70	11¢	$8	0xbb56b1…
09-27 19:30:00	Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x2d5a8b…
09-27 18:29:23	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	12	59¢	$7	0x31ee50…
09-27 16:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa3ebcd…
09-27 16:10:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x01f48c…
09-27 16:06:09	Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x643d73…
09-25 00:05:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x26b343…
09-25 00:05:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x555c46…
09-23 16:02:02	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x84f602…
09-23 14:21:31	Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	11	39¢	$4	0x4bcf94…
09-23 10:49:04	Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x4a4059…
09-22 15:32:25	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x158eaa…
09-22 12:13:57	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x73778d…
09-21 00:32:40	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x4c6e4a…
09-21 00:31:32	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xae9633…
09-20 21:00:32	LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7d5155…
09-20 21:00:19	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x38c862…
09-20 20:20:02	Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x467a84…
09-20 20:16:41	Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x1d39b7…
09-20 20:16:26	Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x72d14c…
09-20 20:15:56	LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x5b4eb6…
09-20 20:13:34	Packers vs. Jets	Packers	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xe7ed39…
09-20 20:13:23	Vikings vs. Bears	Vikings	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x40c204…
09-20 19:52:10	Packers vs. Jets	Packers	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x36a65d…
09-20 19:41:47	LoL: paiN Gaming vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	RED Canids	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x22fb15…
09-20 19:23:29	Exact Score: SC Corinthians Paulista 2 - 0 Fluminense FC?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x4651dc…
09-20 19:13:10	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x0d1308…
09-20 19:10:58	Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x2b5ebc…
09-20 19:10:58	Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2144a0…
09-20 19:10:35	Exact Score: SC Corinthians Paulista 1 - 0 Fluminense FC?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x064d08…
09-20 19:04:29	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xcf38ec…
09-20 19:03:25	Vikings vs. Bears	Vikings	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x11ba5d…
09-20 19:01:41	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xf0de02…
09-20 17:13:43	LoL: paiN Gaming vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	RED Canids	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xab9953…
09-20 14:52:42	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x13f90b…
09-20 14:35:01	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	36	78¢	$28	0xa9cbbc…
09-19 15:19:48	Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x25c0d5…
09-19 15:00:35	Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x2f5732…
09-19 02:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xe2d194…
09-19 02:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa0eac6…
09-19 01:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x179340…
09-18 18:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9c1944…
09-18 18:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xdef974…
09-18 02:20:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 02:15 UTC	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xa8b285…
09-18 02:18:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x473921…
09-18 02:18:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa0395e…
09-18 02:17:34	Will CR Flamengo vs. Independiente del Valle end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	62	74¢	$46	0x0bc40d…
09-18 01:10:57	Will CR Flamengo vs. Independiente del Valle end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x05f02c…
09-17 16:39:37	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x8a6a58…
09-17 00:09:16	SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: SC Corinthians Paulista 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x102ac2…
09-17 00:09:01	SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Second half draw?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x2f4520…
09-16 23:31:51	Will LDU de Quito vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8a61fd…
09-16 23:30:07	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xc1668b…
09-16 02:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x3d5016…
09-16 02:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3e9edd…
09-16 02:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8f9c76…
09-16 02:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8e8343…
09-16 02:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0x28ea6c…