Dead-Pseudoscience — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$97

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.7%

Resolved

1,341

Trades

2,261

lifetime

Volume

$4.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 11-13 07:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 83 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% -$97

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	16	$32	80	+80	Up	+$43	05-12 15:05
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 13:00 UTC	15	$30	60	+60	Down	-$5	08-28 13:14
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	13	$28	65	+65	Up	+$32	05-12 15:05
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	12	$24	60	+60	Up	+$31	05-12 15:05
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	11	$21	45	+45	Up	-$11	08-21 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	8	$16	35	+35	Down	+$9	05-12 15:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 13:00 UTC	7	$15	30	+30	Down	+$0	08-28 13:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	11	$15	45	+45	Up	-$5	05-17 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	8	$14	30	+30	Down	+$6	05-17 03:49
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 16:15 UTC	6	$14	30	+30	Down	+$1	08-28 16:21
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 22:00 UTC	5	$12	25	+25	Up	+$8	06-22 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	5	$12	25	+25	Down	-$2	11-11 14:08
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 13:00 UTC	3	$11	15	+15	Up	-$1	08-28 13:05
solana up or down august 21 2026 8am et	4	$10	20	+20	Up	-$5	08-21 12:04
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	4	$10	20	+20	Up	$0	05-03 14:32
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	4	$10	19	+19	Down	$0	05-19 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	4	$10	20	+20	Up	-$5	05-11 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	4	$10	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-19 10:32
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 10:15 UTC	4	$10	20	+20	Up	+$0	08-22 10:27
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	4	$10	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-12 15:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	4	$10	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-02 23:22
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	5	$9	20	+20	Down	+$1	05-12 15:50
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	3	$9	15	+15	Up	+$1	05-25 11:35
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	4	$9	20	+20	Down	-$9	05-03 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	5	$9	21	+21	Up	+$1	05-25 14:46
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	4	$9	20	+20	Down	+$1	11-12 10:04
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	5	$9	20	+20	Down	+$1	06-01 21:55
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	4	$9	20	+20	Up	-$4	05-03 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	4	$9	20	+20	Up	-$4	05-02 20:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	4	$9	20	+20	Up	-$4	05-17 03:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 07:46:57	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x720650…
11-13 07:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa9fa3b…
11-13 07:43:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xbdb4da…
11-13 07:34:27	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0xddb8bc…
11-13 07:34:25	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x801e96…
11-13 07:32:25	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xd7a98c…
11-13 07:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x98d36f…
11-13 07:32:12	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x01211e…
11-13 07:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x1bb489…
11-13 07:17:54	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x02ed50…
11-13 07:17:52	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x9cf7d9…
11-13 07:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x18aa6d…
11-13 07:17:33	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xfd7868…
11-13 07:16:52	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x828a3e…
11-13 07:04:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x5ad4b6…
11-13 07:04:18	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x2faa6e…
11-13 07:02:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xef39a4…
11-13 07:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0x598816…
11-13 07:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xf931bd…
11-13 07:02:09	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x2f5cea…
11-13 07:02:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xa68de8…
11-12 10:17:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf7e516…
11-12 10:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x3e475d…
11-12 10:16:06	Solana Up or Down - November 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe0073b…
11-12 10:16:00	Solana Up or Down - November 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x75a1f3…
11-12 10:07:06	Solana Up or Down - November 12, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf55d05…
11-12 10:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x57709f…
11-12 10:04:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x6c25dc…
11-12 10:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd68415…
11-12 10:04:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7b7976…
11-12 10:03:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x980a42…
11-12 10:03:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x5d8d9d…
11-12 10:02:40	Solana Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x30e0f6…
11-12 10:02:34	XRP Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa76ef1…
11-12 10:01:36	XRP Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbe9dc9…
11-12 02:52:45	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x9d96a8…
11-12 02:51:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x962fe8…
11-12 02:49:42	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7acae1…
11-12 02:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x221a9d…
11-12 02:46:18	XRP Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x107bba…
11-12 02:35:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xefcb92…
11-12 02:33:46	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x680618…
11-12 02:33:43	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x59ed22…
11-12 02:33:42	XRP Up or Down - November 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x3c1263…
11-12 02:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc219ca…
11-12 02:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x2fccf9…
11-12 02:21:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x04c91c…
11-12 02:17:58	XRP Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x6e76af…
11-12 02:17:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe2cb5a…
11-12 02:17:39	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf886ec…
11-12 02:16:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa4a67e…
11-12 02:16:18	XRP Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x53d027…
11-12 02:15:58	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3339f6…
11-12 02:07:04	XRP Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa154c9…
11-12 02:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9ec061…
11-12 02:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf9ba18…
11-12 02:04:39	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8f5821…
11-12 02:04:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6f4b7f…
11-12 02:04:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xbaed8a…
11-12 02:04:15	XRP Up or Down - November 11, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2b6d48…
11-12 02:04:01	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x2ec35d…
11-12 02:02:48	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2f430c…
11-11 23:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x1f4c3e…
11-11 23:05:22	XRP Up or Down - November 11, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x78051a…
11-11 23:02:06	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc235f6…
11-11 23:01:43	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x966e0e…
11-11 14:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbb20af…
11-11 14:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xf9f4e6…
11-11 14:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xa06d2d…
11-11 14:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x022312…
11-11 14:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x67fb76…
11-11 14:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x66105e…
11-11 14:06:36	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6e26df…
11-11 14:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6dca97…
11-11 14:06:31	XRP Up or Down - November 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5bb3d4…
11-11 14:06:12	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xac9f83…
11-11 14:06:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x06889a…
11-11 14:03:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5c444f…
11-10 21:03:06	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x866d07…
11-10 21:02:39	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x9916b9…
11-10 21:02:06	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x21b7b8…
10-29 14:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf4d227…
09-25 14:51:57	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x508dda…
09-25 14:47:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x4ea62f…
09-25 14:46:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0023c6…
09-25 14:46:42	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf5a294…
09-25 14:38:24	bitcoin up or down september 25 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3a62ae…
09-25 14:38:11	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xa68159…
09-25 14:34:15	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xe9f538…
09-25 14:32:11	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x6a04c4…
09-25 14:32:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xee763e…
09-25 14:32:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc12007…
09-25 14:31:41	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x5df225…
09-25 14:17:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x2c89a7…
09-25 14:16:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xdc208a…
09-25 14:08:20	ethereum up or down september 25 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xa6cc7c…
09-25 14:03:41	ethereum up or down september 25 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xca01ca…
09-25 14:03:41	ethereum up or down september 25 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2359a1…
09-25 14:02:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xca1c0b…
09-25 14:02:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x38cf13…