Dead-Pseudoscience — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$93

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

1,371

Trades

2,302

lifetime

Volume

$4.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 11-13 22:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 83 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% -$93

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	16	$32	80	+80	Up	+$43	05-12 15:05
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 13:00 UTC	15	$30	60	+60	Down	-$5	08-28 13:14
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	13	$28	65	+65	Up	+$32	05-12 15:05
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	12	$24	60	+60	Up	+$31	05-12 15:05
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	11	$21	45	+45	Up	-$11	08-21 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	8	$16	35	+35	Down	+$9	05-12 15:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 13:00 UTC	7	$15	30	+30	Down	+$0	08-28 13:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	11	$15	45	+45	Up	-$5	05-17 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	8	$14	30	+30	Down	+$6	05-17 03:49
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 16:15 UTC	6	$14	30	+30	Down	+$1	08-28 16:21
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 22:00 UTC	5	$12	25	+25	Up	+$8	06-22 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	5	$12	25	+25	Down	-$2	11-11 14:08
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 13:00 UTC	3	$11	15	+15	Up	-$1	08-28 13:05
solana up or down august 21 2026 8am et	4	$10	20	+20	Up	-$5	08-21 12:04
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	4	$10	20	+20	Up	$0	05-03 14:32
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	4	$10	19	+19	Down	$0	05-19 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	4	$10	20	+20	Up	-$5	05-11 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	4	$10	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-19 10:32
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 10:15 UTC	4	$10	20	+20	Up	+$0	08-22 10:27
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	4	$10	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-12 15:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	4	$10	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-02 23:22
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	5	$9	20	+20	Down	+$1	05-12 15:50
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	3	$9	15	+15	Up	+$1	05-25 11:35
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	4	$9	20	+20	Down	-$9	05-03 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	5	$9	21	+21	Up	+$1	05-25 14:46
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	4	$9	20	+20	Down	+$1	11-12 10:04
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	5	$9	20	+20	Down	+$1	06-01 21:55
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	4	$9	20	+20	Up	-$4	05-03 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	4	$9	20	+20	Up	-$4	05-02 20:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	4	$9	20	+20	Up	-$4	05-17 03:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 22:19:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x10c3f4…
11-13 22:17:49	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x08b2b2…
11-13 22:17:43	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb28c51…
11-13 22:17:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x0de785…
11-13 22:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x148564…
11-13 22:17:01	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xffb4d8…
11-13 22:16:57	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf2cf03…
11-13 22:04:57	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x4624b0…
11-13 22:03:16	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xdee6db…
11-13 22:03:04	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x60801e…
11-13 22:02:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xaf3ead…
11-13 22:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x3b7371…
11-13 22:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa99013…
11-13 20:47:10	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x366bb7…
11-13 20:34:43	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x52531f…
11-13 20:19:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x06afa4…
11-13 20:16:57	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x420c1c…
11-13 20:10:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd47920…
11-13 20:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x79b285…
11-13 20:03:07	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x510f23…
11-13 16:47:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x141412…
11-13 16:46:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4399c6…
11-13 16:32:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb3285b…
11-13 16:32:34	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xf2c9f7…
11-13 16:32:24	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7aac39…
11-13 16:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x298ae1…
11-13 16:31:42	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x118358…
11-13 16:31:15	Bitcoin above 68,800 on November 13, 12PM ET?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x796b1b…
11-13 16:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1b444a…
11-13 16:19:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc1df6f…
11-13 16:18:25	Bitcoin above 68,600 on November 13, 12PM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x94dd60…
11-13 16:17:18	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x110f0a…
11-13 16:17:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x31d53b…
11-13 16:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x0834d3…
11-13 16:12:00	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x46acfe…
11-13 16:10:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xacbbc6…
11-13 16:10:37	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x190f0d…
11-13 16:02:25	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x2731f9…
11-13 16:02:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x7fd8fa…
11-13 16:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x97ed48…
11-13 16:01:46	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xd5b723…
11-13 07:46:57	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x720650…
11-13 07:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa9fa3b…
11-13 07:43:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xbdb4da…
11-13 07:34:27	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0xddb8bc…
11-13 07:34:25	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x801e96…
11-13 07:32:25	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xd7a98c…
11-13 07:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x98d36f…
11-13 07:32:12	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x01211e…
11-13 07:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x1bb489…
11-13 07:17:54	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x02ed50…
11-13 07:17:52	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x9cf7d9…
11-13 07:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x18aa6d…
11-13 07:17:33	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xfd7868…
11-13 07:16:52	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x828a3e…
11-13 07:04:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x5ad4b6…
11-13 07:04:18	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x2faa6e…
11-13 07:02:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xef39a4…
11-13 07:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0x598816…
11-13 07:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xf931bd…
11-13 07:02:09	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x2f5cea…
11-13 07:02:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xa68de8…
11-12 10:17:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf7e516…
11-12 10:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x3e475d…
11-12 10:16:06	Solana Up or Down - November 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe0073b…
11-12 10:16:00	Solana Up or Down - November 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x75a1f3…
11-12 10:07:06	Solana Up or Down - November 12, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf55d05…
11-12 10:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x57709f…
11-12 10:04:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x6c25dc…
11-12 10:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd68415…
11-12 10:04:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7b7976…
11-12 10:03:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x980a42…
11-12 10:03:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x5d8d9d…
11-12 10:02:40	Solana Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x30e0f6…
11-12 10:02:34	XRP Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa76ef1…
11-12 10:01:36	XRP Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbe9dc9…
11-12 02:52:45	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x9d96a8…
11-12 02:51:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x962fe8…
11-12 02:49:42	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7acae1…
11-12 02:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x221a9d…
11-12 02:46:18	XRP Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x107bba…
11-12 02:35:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xefcb92…
11-12 02:33:46	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x680618…
11-12 02:33:43	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x59ed22…
11-12 02:33:42	XRP Up or Down - November 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x3c1263…
11-12 02:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc219ca…
11-12 02:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x2fccf9…
11-12 02:21:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x04c91c…
11-12 02:17:58	XRP Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x6e76af…
11-12 02:17:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe2cb5a…
11-12 02:17:39	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf886ec…
11-12 02:16:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa4a67e…
11-12 02:16:18	XRP Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x53d027…
11-12 02:15:58	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3339f6…
11-12 02:07:04	XRP Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa154c9…
11-12 02:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9ec061…
11-12 02:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf9ba18…
11-12 02:04:39	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8f5821…
11-12 02:04:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6f4b7f…
11-12 02:04:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xbaed8a…