Dead-Pseudoscience — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$91

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.6%

Resolved

1,427

Trades

2,386

lifetime

Volume

$4.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 11-14 14:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% -$91

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	16	$32	80	+80	Up	+$43	05-12 15:05
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 13:00 UTC	15	$30	60	+60	Down	-$5	08-28 13:14
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	13	$28	65	+65	Up	+$32	05-12 15:05
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	12	$24	60	+60	Up	+$31	05-12 15:05
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	11	$21	45	+45	Up	-$11	08-21 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	8	$16	35	+35	Down	+$9	05-12 15:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 13:00 UTC	7	$15	30	+30	Down	+$0	08-28 13:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	11	$15	45	+45	Up	-$5	05-17 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	8	$14	30	+30	Down	+$6	05-17 03:49
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 16:15 UTC	6	$14	30	+30	Down	+$1	08-28 16:21
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 22:00 UTC	5	$12	25	+25	Up	+$8	06-22 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	5	$12	25	+25	Down	-$2	11-11 14:08
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 13:00 UTC	3	$11	15	+15	Up	-$1	08-28 13:05
solana up or down august 21 2026 8am et	4	$10	20	+20	Up	-$5	08-21 12:04
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	4	$10	20	+20	Up	$0	05-03 14:32
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	4	$10	19	+19	Down	$0	05-19 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	4	$10	20	+20	Up	-$5	05-11 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	4	$10	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-19 10:32
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 10:15 UTC	4	$10	20	+20	Up	+$0	08-22 10:27
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	4	$10	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-12 15:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	4	$10	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-02 23:22
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	5	$9	20	+20	Down	+$1	05-12 15:50
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	3	$9	15	+15	Up	+$1	05-25 11:35
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	4	$9	20	+20	Down	-$9	05-03 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	5	$9	21	+21	Up	+$1	05-25 14:46
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	4	$9	20	+20	Down	+$1	11-12 10:04
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	5	$9	20	+20	Down	+$1	06-01 21:55
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	4	$9	20	+20	Up	-$4	05-03 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	4	$9	20	+20	Up	-$4	05-02 20:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	4	$9	20	+20	Up	-$4	05-17 03:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 14:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xfa70de…
11-14 14:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0x51b91d…
11-14 14:47:05	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xc803d6…
11-14 14:47:01	Solana Up or Down - November 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x595f79…
11-14 14:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x2ddeb0…
11-14 14:46:05	Bitcoin above 66,200 on November 14, 10AM ET?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0e8653…
11-14 14:45:23	Bitcoin above 66,000 on November 14, 10AM ET?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x89cfc1…
11-14 14:35:34	Bitcoin above 66,200 on November 14, 10AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0d371c…
11-14 14:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xeea3f6…
11-14 14:33:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa26973…
11-14 14:32:22	XRP Up or Down - November 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x359e73…
11-14 14:32:02	Solana Up or Down - November 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xe8bc35…
11-14 14:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xbbfc61…
11-14 14:31:43	Solana Up or Down - November 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x079fb1…
11-14 14:31:38	Ethereum above 1,860 on November 14, 10AM ET?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x093277…
11-14 14:30:35	Ethereum above 1,860 on November 14, 10AM ET?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe617ac…
11-14 14:17:26	Solana Up or Down - November 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8bc8cf…
11-14 14:17:20	Solana Up or Down - November 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x55f509…
11-14 14:17:16	XRP Up or Down - November 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3c4f5f…
11-14 14:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x19bdbd…
11-14 14:16:56	XRP Up or Down - November 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xbdf29b…
11-14 14:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x8b6b2c…
11-14 14:16:56	XRP Up or Down - November 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x406d22…
11-14 14:03:04	XRP Up or Down - November 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd04fad…
11-14 14:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x822041…
11-14 09:36:53	Solana Up or Down - November 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf19903…
11-14 09:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x8baa60…
11-14 09:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xc4ab0f…
11-14 09:31:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x3e8e2a…
11-14 09:31:37	Solana Up or Down - November 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x13bca8…
11-14 09:17:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-14 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x87a48f…
11-14 09:03:38	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x85cf5d…
11-14 09:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x045c67…
11-14 09:02:02	Solana Up or Down - November 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xb480a2…
11-14 09:01:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x0ed89e…
11-14 08:51:47	Solana Up or Down - November 14, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc4ecea…
11-14 08:51:47	Solana Up or Down - November 14, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x701e94…
11-14 08:51:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x1b9de0…
11-14 08:47:10	Solana Up or Down - November 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x59dcb9…
11-14 08:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x280548…
11-14 08:46:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x8abbab…
11-14 08:46:41	XRP Up or Down - November 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4450e5…
11-14 08:46:38	XRP Up or Down - November 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x240b27…
11-14 08:42:16	Solana Up or Down - November 14, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xcb4117…
11-14 08:37:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc0b1f0…
11-14 08:25:32	Solana Up or Down - November 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x0a66b4…
11-14 08:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2e6b4f…
11-14 08:17:02	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xaee2c3…
11-14 08:17:02	Solana Up or Down - November 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x497dec…
11-14 08:07:44	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x9393d2…
11-14 08:07:44	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x4839eb…
11-14 08:03:52	Solana Up or Down - November 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xac5102…
11-14 08:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x5025b2…
11-14 08:02:05	Solana Up or Down - November 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xabcaa0…
11-14 08:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2f7211…
11-14 08:01:47	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x678921…
11-14 07:47:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x8fcd09…
11-14 07:47:37	Solana Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x5584f9…
11-14 07:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x9fe2ee…
11-14 07:47:14	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb9c5ea…
11-14 07:34:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x6f8d1b…
11-14 07:33:11	Solana Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xdb574a…
11-14 07:33:10	XRP Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x111018…
11-14 07:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xb5609b…
11-14 07:31:55	Solana Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x9a9d2e…
11-14 07:31:53	XRP Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x191d74…
11-14 07:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4f8dd9…
11-14 07:17:19	XRP Up or Down - November 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x09f649…
11-14 07:17:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb27f03…
11-14 07:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x41fef1…
11-14 07:06:20	Solana Up or Down - November 14, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5cf84b…
11-14 07:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x47c1d3…
11-14 07:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x66dbad…
11-14 07:05:08	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb6c17c…
11-14 07:03:17	XRP Up or Down - November 14, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x131974…
11-14 07:02:19	XRP Up or Down - November 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd9ac26…
11-14 07:02:05	XRP Up or Down - November 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf82e68…
11-14 00:17:33	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x90f97f…
11-14 00:17:01	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x1e973d…
11-14 00:05:34	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x595a21…
11-14 00:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xdb20bb…
11-14 00:02:31	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x087404…
11-14 00:02:13	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x747b37…
11-14 00:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xebd1b3…
11-13 22:19:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x10c3f4…
11-13 22:17:49	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x08b2b2…
11-13 22:17:43	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb28c51…
11-13 22:17:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x0de785…
11-13 22:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x148564…
11-13 22:17:01	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xffb4d8…
11-13 22:16:57	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf2cf03…
11-13 22:04:57	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x4624b0…
11-13 22:03:16	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xdee6db…
11-13 22:03:04	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x60801e…
11-13 22:02:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xaf3ead…
11-13 22:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x3b7371…
11-13 22:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa99013…
11-13 20:47:10	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x366bb7…
11-13 20:34:43	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x52531f…
11-13 20:19:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x06afa4…