Rotating-Barbecue-Cattle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$60

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

98.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$15.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$199

Open exposure

$13

1 position

First seen

2026-05-01

last 10-31 16:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

59% 78% -$88

Crypto

29% 100% +$24

Politics

13% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No		+13	$13	100¢	$13	$0	10-31 16:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	2	$2.7K	1,375	1,375	+0	No	+$0	05-06 12:46
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 5?	1	$1.4K	1,374	0	+1,374	No	+$21	05-05 02:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$1.3K	1,303	0	+1,303	No	+$3	05-11 09:27
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on May 6?	2	$1.3K	1,325	0	+1,325	Yes	+$25	05-06 15:38
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 4-10?	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	No	+$1	05-10 15:40
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on May 9?	1	$944	945	0	+945	No	+$1	05-09 13:10
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	1	$770	771	0	+771	Yes	+$1	05-02 15:30
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	1	$710	711	0	+711	Yes	+$1	05-04 17:08
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	1	$502	503	0	+503	No	+$1	05-02 15:30
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.50 Week of April 27 2026?	1	$428	429	0	+429	No	+$1	05-01 13:59
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	2	$314	344	0	+344	Yes	+$30	05-04 15:54
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.25 Week of April 27 2026?	1	$260	261	0	+261	No	+$1	05-01 13:59
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 4 above $450?	1	$250	251	0	+251	No	+$1	05-08 17:36
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $156 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$204	204	0	+204	No	+$0	05-08 17:32
Will Solana dip to $80 on May 9?	1	$185	185	0	+185	No	+$0	05-09 13:11
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $66 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$170	170	0	+170	No	+$0	05-08 17:33
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 4?	1	$160	160	0	+160	No	+$0	05-04 13:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 9?	1	$158	158	0	+158	No	+$0	05-09 13:12
Will XRP reach $1.50 on May 6?	1	$154	154	0	+154	No	+$0	05-07 01:44
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$151	151	0	+151	No	+$0	05-08 17:29
Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 4-10?	1	$149	149	0	+149	No	+$0	05-10 15:46
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 10?	1	$139	139	0	+139	No	+$0	05-10 15:40
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 4 above $6.50?	1	$121	121	0	+121	No	+$0	05-08 17:37
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on May 4?	3	$120	140	0	+140	No	+$19	05-03 09:13
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 4 above $470?	1	$114	115	0	+115	No	+$1	05-08 17:36
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	05-10 15:40
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $156 Week of April 27 2026?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	05-01 14:00
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	05-08 17:37
Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on May 9?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	05-09 13:12
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	05-08 17:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 16:46:31	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x54fd20…
09-29 18:03:33	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xbe96b8…
05-11 09:29:32	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x8bb203…
05-11 09:27:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1,303	100¢	$1,300	0x3b0c7d…
05-11 09:25:22	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 11?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x5283c6…
05-10 15:46:07	Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 4-10?	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0x21796f…
05-10 15:40:54	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9dbfc2…
05-10 15:40:45	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 4-10?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0xe4aa58…
05-10 15:40:07	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 10?	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0xaeab2a…
05-09 13:12:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0xa6d818…
05-09 13:12:11	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1b381c…
05-09 13:11:31	Will Solana dip to $80 on May 9?	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0x9243fb…
05-09 13:10:25	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	945	100¢	$944	0x817572…
05-08 17:37:35	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 4 above $6.50?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xcfceb0…
05-08 17:37:16	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc72537…
05-08 17:36:41	Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 4 above $470?	No	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0x59c020…
05-08 17:36:29	Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 4 above $450?	No	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0x1067e3…
05-08 17:34:40	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $705 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x3c8476…
05-08 17:33:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26d7d1…
05-08 17:33:34	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6cb8b3…
05-08 17:33:22	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $66 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0xb7faa1…
05-08 17:32:59	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xe333a5…
05-08 17:32:38	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $156 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	204	100¢	$204	0x7b31a3…
05-08 17:29:32	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0xb2dbf9…
05-08 17:29:08	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 4 above $200?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5f95f6…
05-07 01:44:08	Will XRP reach $1.50 on May 6?	No	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0x2b7713…
05-06 15:55:47	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc0a2bb…
05-06 15:47:52	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x9fbc92…
05-06 15:44:52	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	98	6¢	$6	0x85ec3c…
05-06 15:42:48	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $705 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0x55e6a4…
05-06 15:38:32	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $705 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x9ff03c…
05-06 15:38:13	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	492	100¢	$492	0x4c09f4…
05-06 12:47:50	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	833	97¢	$808	0x250e33…
05-06 12:46:52	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	SELL	1,375	100¢	$1,374	0xe3559c…
05-05 20:58:56	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1,375	100¢	$1,374	0xe2e9a5…
05-05 02:03:22	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 5?	No	BUY	1,374	98¢	$1,353	0x6c1362…
05-04 17:08:12	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	711	100¢	$710	0xfb5052…
05-04 16:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	506	0¢	$1	0x6e2c7a…
05-04 16:05:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	351	0¢	$1	0x8efc21…
05-04 16:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 21°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	575	0¢	$1	0x6731cb…
05-04 15:54:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	142	92¢	$130	0x769c0b…
05-04 15:52:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	202	91¢	$184	0xbacc2f…
05-04 13:53:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 4?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x7f60ad…
05-04 02:13:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	134	1¢	$1	0xf0f89d…
05-04 02:13:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C or below on May 4?	Yes	BUY	308	0¢	$1	0xe746ed…
05-03 09:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C or below on May 4?	Yes	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0x9ddf95…
05-03 09:18:26	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x1befa1…
05-03 09:17:52	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	108	7¢	$7	0x233d68…
05-03 09:17:32	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 4?	No	BUY	122	78¢	$95	0x7a9d02…
05-03 09:13:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on May 4?	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x21337b…
05-03 09:12:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on May 4?	No	BUY	34	86¢	$29	0xd01e2d…
05-03 09:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on May 4?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xc30394…
05-03 09:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	33	16¢	$5	0x512605…
05-03 09:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	66	10¢	$7	0x7cb27d…
05-03 09:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	229	4¢	$9	0x73b222…
05-03 09:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C or below on May 4?	Yes	BUY	122	1¢	$1	0x008aa4…
05-03 08:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	51	16¢	$8	0x8ffa64…
05-03 08:54:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	64	7¢	$4	0x183f7b…
05-03 08:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	231	2¢	$5	0x767a13…
05-03 08:53:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C or below on May 4?	Yes	BUY	314	1¢	$3	0x7e9ef0…
05-03 08:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 19°C on May 4?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe7df84…
05-03 08:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 18°C on May 4?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x866d31…
05-02 15:30:46	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	No	BUY	503	100¢	$502	0x6b941f…
05-02 15:30:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	771	100¢	$770	0x7d7290…
05-02 15:25:20	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x0eeb51…
05-02 15:24:34	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 2?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc07265…
05-01 14:10:06	Will Apple (AAPL) close at $250-$255 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xfc261b…
05-01 14:09:20	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $260 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	54	99¢	$54	0xe9d824…
05-01 14:08:52	Will Apple (AAPL) close at <$250 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x91e266…
05-01 14:07:40	Will Meta (META) close at $650-$660 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0x863fa7…
05-01 14:07:32	Will Meta (META) close at $660-$670 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x7241f3…
05-01 14:07:24	Will Meta (META) close at $670-$680 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x518d5b…
05-01 14:06:54	Will Meta (META) close at >$700 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0a7e56…
05-01 14:02:14	Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of April 27 above $245?	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x91e181…
05-01 14:01:30	Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 27 above $470?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x2a2c4b…
05-01 14:00:52	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $107.50 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x35f7c4…
05-01 14:00:34	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $156 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd07191…
05-01 13:59:26	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.25 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	261	100¢	$260	0x6eb863…
05-01 13:59:14	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.50 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	429	100¢	$428	0xe954a1…