Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$286

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

35.9%

Resolved

Trades

181

lifetime

Volume

$4.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$145

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 10-26 18:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 56% -$105

Politics

43% 33% -$116

Other

3% 0% -$65

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+307	$89	28¢	$84	-$5	10-23 23:21
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes		+207	$62	30¢	$61	-$1	10-26 18:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	20	$1.4K	1,652	1,652	+0	Yes	-$104	03-08 21:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 22:00 UTC	4	$365	264	262	+2	Down	-$35	03-05 22:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 23:25 UTC	6	$257	166	164	+2	Down	+$51	03-07 23:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:30 UTC	5	$249	167	165	+2	Down	+$43	03-07 22:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:45 UTC	3	$209	221	151	+70	Down	-$69	03-08 18:49
bitcoin above 72k on march 4	7	$184	200	200	+0	Yes	+$15	03-04 15:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 22:20 UTC	3	$122	169	90	+79	Up	-$37	03-05 22:24
iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 15	3	$115	309	309	+0	No	-$65	03-08 19:06
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$104	97	97	+0	No	+$4	03-07 15:19
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$89	307	0	+307	open	—	10-23 23:21
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$82	68	68	+0	Yes	+$2	03-06 13:57
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$80	79	79	+0	open	—	10-23 23:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 22:05 UTC	3	$76	53	32	+21	Up	-$3	03-05 22:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 22:15 UTC	2	$75	52	51	+1	Up	+$16	03-05 22:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:25 UTC	2	$68	53	52	+1	Down	+$9	03-08 18:29
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	2	$67	95	95	+0	No	-$13	03-08 19:06
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$66	110	110	+0	Yes	+$6	03-05 20:03
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$63	60	60	+0	No	-$7	03-08 19:06
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$62	207	0	+207	open	—	10-26 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:35 UTC	2	$61	39	39	+0	Down	+$2	03-08 18:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:45 UTC	4	$59	45	44	+1	Up	+$14	03-05 20:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:50 UTC	2	$59	132	130	+2	Up	-$41	03-08 18:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 22:10 UTC	2	$51	61	60	+1	Up	-$29	03-05 22:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 21:20 UTC	5	$48	30	30	+0	Up	+$12	03-05 21:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 21:45 UTC	4	$38	23	23	+0	Up	+$3	03-05 21:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:55 UTC	3	$34	56	28	+28	Down	-$6	03-08 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 21:25 UTC	3	$32	26	26	+0	Up	+$16	03-05 21:29
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$27	50	50	+0	No	-$1	03-06 13:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 21:25 UTC	3	$27	34	17	+17	Down	-$9	03-08 21:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:40 UTC	2	$24	23	23	+0	Down	+$4	03-05 20:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 18:24:57	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	207	30¢	$62	0x46d0d7…
10-23 23:21:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	134	29¢	$39	0x1786a6…
10-23 23:07:47	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	79	50¢	$40	0xbff742…
10-23 20:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x70c5fc…
10-23 20:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xe750db…
10-23 18:56:50	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	79	51¢	$40	0x3544e7…
10-23 18:55:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x12da28…
03-13 20:44:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x8bd8ae…
03-13 20:44:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 20:40 UTC	Up	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x1797bf…
03-13 20:43:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1dfa6e…
03-08 21:27:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x62c350…
03-08 21:27:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 21:25 UTC	Down	SELL	17	53¢	$9	0xdba193…
03-08 21:25:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xaa89f2…
03-08 21:24:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 21:20 UTC	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x6e1843…
03-08 21:20:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x74386f…
03-08 21:19:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 21:15 UTC	Up	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xe2fde8…
03-08 21:18:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x9ffbb6…
03-08 21:13:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 21:10 UTC	Down	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0xeec2ff…
03-08 21:12:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x4f77b0…
03-08 21:12:29	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	471	1¢	$4	0xa0b8e3…
03-08 20:08:25	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	115	28¢	$32	0x4f0863…
03-08 19:07:13	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	356	24¢	$84	0xae8f4f…
03-08 19:06:25	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	Yes	SELL	95	28¢	$27	0xbe770e…
03-08 19:06:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	60	47¢	$28	0x1ccd9c…
03-08 19:06:17	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 15	Yes	SELL	309	8¢	$25	0x3dc795…
03-08 19:01:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 19:00 UTC	Down	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x937b31…
03-08 19:00:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x97171a…
03-08 18:59:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xdd7ce8…
03-08 18:59:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:55 UTC	Down	SELL	28	48¢	$14	0xfbbaf9…
03-08 18:55:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x16bdbd…
03-08 18:54:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:50 UTC	Down	SELL	130	7¢	$9	0x3aa321…
03-08 18:52:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0xb9732b…
03-08 18:49:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	68	59¢	$40	0xf5f84d…
03-08 18:49:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:45 UTC	Down	SELL	151	46¢	$69	0xbf0dd1…
03-08 18:45:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	153	65¢	$100	0xde1fce…
03-08 18:42:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x65d10b…
03-08 18:38:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:35 UTC	Down	SELL	39	80¢	$31	0x7d05d6…
03-08 18:37:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0xf85b4f…
03-08 18:34:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:30 UTC	Down	SELL	25	32¢	$8	0x33ee1b…
03-08 18:32:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x78796c…
03-08 18:29:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:25 UTC	Down	SELL	52	72¢	$38	0x79a240…
03-08 18:28:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:25 UTC	Down	BUY	53	56¢	$30	0x16a2fa…
03-08 15:15:33	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	60	58¢	$35	0xfd6255…
03-08 08:42:45	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 15	Yes	BUY	122	33¢	$40	0xa9c875…
03-08 08:42:15	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 15	Yes	BUY	188	27¢	$50	0xd01498…
03-08 07:24:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 07:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xbbc9c6…
03-08 07:23:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x562f84…
03-08 07:17:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 07:15 UTC	Up	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0xdbe638…
03-08 07:17:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x6619a8…
03-08 07:14:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 07:10 UTC	Up	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0xdd14ff…
03-08 07:11:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x29e256…
03-08 07:10:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xe8cb35…
03-08 07:04:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 07:00 UTC	Up	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0xea1bb8…
03-08 07:04:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x6e7e70…
03-08 07:02:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x00fb5c…
03-07 23:30:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 23:25 UTC	Down	SELL	147	99¢	$146	0x668470…
03-07 23:28:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x426ebb…
03-07 23:28:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 23:25 UTC	Up	SELL	17	40¢	$7	0x5c34d7…
03-07 23:27:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x2a99c8…
03-07 23:26:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xeeccd8…
03-07 23:25:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x2fef4a…
03-07 23:17:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 23:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0xa3d393…
03-07 23:17:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xc3b1cd…
03-07 23:15:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 23:10 UTC	Up	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xf9bc00…
03-07 23:14:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 23:10 UTC	Up	SELL	12	67¢	$8	0xcef901…
03-07 23:13:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0xbf33f5…
03-07 23:13:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0x961dbc…
03-07 23:10:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc2197a…
03-07 23:04:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0x90ccd9…
03-07 23:03:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xc44d67…
03-07 23:02:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xf3eda6…
03-07 23:02:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x39ec6c…
03-07 22:59:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:55 UTC	Down	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0xb35db8…
03-07 22:59:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x2c2e00…
03-07 22:57:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:55 UTC	Down	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0xae4506…
03-07 22:55:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xa48fe4…
03-07 22:54:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:50 UTC	Down	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0xca240d…
03-07 22:54:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x6463f2…
03-07 22:52:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:50 UTC	Up	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x53d7fb…
03-07 22:51:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x675658…
03-07 22:49:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:45 UTC	Down	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0xf9b670…
03-07 22:47:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa3b7d0…
03-07 22:45:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x9649f8…
03-07 22:43:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:40 UTC	Up	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x0cba08…
03-07 22:40:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x3f8516…
03-07 22:34:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:30 UTC	Up	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x5f49b4…
03-07 22:34:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:30 UTC	Down	SELL	159	91¢	$145	0xd518b7…
03-07 22:33:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x05c3a0…
03-07 22:31:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x4a2668…
03-07 22:30:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xfaad3f…
03-07 22:29:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:25 UTC	Up	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xfc2c48…
03-07 22:26:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x07eb69…
03-07 21:55:59	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	Yes	BUY	95	42¢	$40	0xc9f946…
03-07 20:12:07	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	379	51¢	$194	0xd5f7fa…
03-07 17:50:29	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	379	53¢	$200	0x96a4b3…
03-07 17:47:51	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	327	54¢	$177	0xca8d05…
03-07 17:22:27	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	327	61¢	$200	0x32023d…
03-07 17:20:47	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	87	38¢	$33	0x0d912a…
03-07 15:20:51	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	87	58¢	$50	0xb5bc68…
03-07 15:19:13	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	97	56¢	$54	0x489202…