Gentle-Firm — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

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Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

380 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$101.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$268

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-22 12:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Other

84% 99% +$127

Crypto

10% 93% +$2

Politics

4% 83% -$1

Tech

1% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will spy dip to 700 by june 29 2026	18	$4.3K	2,141	2,141	+0	No	+$4	07-02 20:06
will bitcoin reach 70k july 6 12 2026	13	$4.0K	2,026	2,026	+1	No	+$3	07-12 07:52
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	2	$3.0K	1,515	1,515	+0	No	+$9	05-21 02:30
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	1	$2.7K	2,737	0	+2,737	No	+$37	06-02 01:57
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$2.5K	2,503	0	+2,503	No	+$3	06-21 02:04
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	17	$2.1K	1,057	1,057	+0	No	+$1	05-16 02:14
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?	1	$2.1K	2,102	0	+2,102	No	+$2	06-15 07:34
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,003	1,003	+0	No	+$2	05-18 04:37
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,011	1,011	+0	No	+$1	05-21 03:45
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,002	1,002	+0	No	+$1	05-14 07:54
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	No	+$2	05-18 03:15
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	No	+$2	05-29 07:11
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$2	05-15 09:08
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$1.9K	934	934	+0	No	+$1	05-13 11:59
will wti crude oil wti hit high 125 in june	1	$1.8K	1,812	0	+1,812	No	+$2	06-28 03:32
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?	1	$1.8K	1,802	0	+1,802	No	+$2	06-01 02:05
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$1.8K	1,802	0	+1,802	No	+$2	05-29 07:12
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	2	$1.8K	902	902	+0	No	-$14	05-29 06:15
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	2	$1.8K	880	880	+0	No	+$1	05-24 15:01
will spy dip to 715 by july 6 2026	7	$1.6K	813	812	+0	No	+$7	07-09 09:00
bitcoin above 60k on july 4 2026	2	$1.6K	809	809	+0	Yes	+$2	07-04 08:39
will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	2	$1.6K	802	802	+0	No	+$1	06-25 05:11
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?	1	$1.5K	1,530	0	+1,530	No	+$2	06-15 07:34
will spy dip to 710 by june 15 2026	9	$1.5K	779	779	+0	No	+$5	06-15 22:42
bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 10pm et	2	$1.5K	1,506	0	+1,506	Up	+$6	07-04 02:59
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	4	$1.2K	602	602	+0	No	+$1	05-14 15:20
nflx above 20 on july 10 2026	1	$1.1K	1,101	0	+1,101	Yes	+$1	07-06 06:09
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	3	$1.0K	501	501	+0	No	+$1	05-24 08:05
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$1.0K	502	502	+0	No	+$1	05-24 08:10
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	No	+$1	05-24 02:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-22 12:37:48	will bitcoin dip to 62k august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	350	100¢	$350	0x2b5dd0…
07-31 18:14:06	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xa57400…
07-30 04:23:33	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31?	No	BUY	280	100¢	$280	0xef631c…
07-30 04:22:50	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd2fff2…
07-30 04:21:50	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 27 – Jul 31?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xe45daa…
07-21 03:52:25	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?	No	BUY	244	100¢	$244	0xbf31d4…
07-21 03:52:01	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?	No	BUY	237	100¢	$237	0x8f9447…
07-21 03:51:25	nflx above 100 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xd3b503…
07-21 03:50:58	nflx above 40 on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x5bf04e…
07-14 03:39:02	will wti dip to 45 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xb3c598…
07-14 03:27:16	will wti dip to 45 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0x9aff77…
07-14 03:22:53	will bitcoin reach 74k july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0x9ec914…
07-13 13:19:10	will wti dip to 45 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	155	100¢	$155	0xcbbade…
07-13 12:42:55	will wti dip to 45 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xb684c4…
07-13 12:29:11	will bitcoin reach 74k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x646a54…
07-12 07:52:32	will bitcoin reach 70k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	1,002	100¢	$1,001	0x93f9ce…
07-12 07:10:43	will bitcoin reach 70k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0xf066ea…
07-12 06:39:25	will bitcoin reach 70k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xa6ac39…
07-12 06:35:31	will bitcoin reach 70k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcd5619…
07-12 05:59:23	will bitcoin reach 70k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xa9869d…
07-12 05:48:31	will bitcoin reach 70k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	384	100¢	$384	0xb7f4f9…
07-12 05:29:47	will bitcoin reach 70k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1b013e…
07-12 05:26:13	will bitcoin reach 70k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x20802c…
07-12 05:20:41	will bitcoin reach 70k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x6c5f4e…
07-12 04:58:55	will bitcoin reach 70k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xf977f5…
07-12 01:35:11	will wti dip to 40 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	138	100¢	$138	0x227fae…
07-12 01:11:13	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?	No	SELL	220	100¢	$220	0xad1183…
07-12 01:11:07	will wti dip to 40 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x77471d…
07-12 01:00:58	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xfb013e…
07-11 14:29:19	will wti dip to 40 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x07396d…
07-11 12:35:47	will wti dip to 40 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x609319…
07-11 04:53:38	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x7b152a…
07-11 04:17:04	will bitcoin reach 70k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,000	0x983a96…
07-11 04:16:47	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	674	100¢	$673	0x7514ed…
07-11 04:15:05	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?	No	BUY	282	100¢	$281	0x0abe30…
07-11 04:13:25	will wti dip to 45 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	490	100¢	$488	0xf5556e…
07-11 04:13:01	will wti dip to 40 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	264	100¢	$263	0x0a020e…
07-11 04:10:53	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$56	0x7f1c32…
07-11 04:07:34	will bitcoin reach 70k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	1,024	100¢	$1,021	0x0c0ba2…
07-11 04:06:29	will bitcoin dip to 56k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	918	100¢	$917	0x028508…
07-11 04:04:50	will bitcoin reach 72k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xebfe8d…
07-09 09:07:17	will wti reach 95 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xf05f68…
07-09 09:03:52	will wti dip to 50 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	497	100¢	$497	0x588cea…
07-09 09:02:14	will wti reach 95 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x6d34f9…
07-09 09:00:07	will spy dip to 715 by july 6 2026	No	SELL	479	100¢	$479	0x253b39…
07-08 13:25:22	will spy dip to 715 by july 6 2026	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xb4b3b6…
07-07 13:50:13	will spy dip to 715 by july 6 2026	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x434abb…
07-07 13:34:38	will spy dip to 715 by july 6 2026	No	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0x2672c7…
07-07 13:07:44	nflx above 40 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x792b10…
07-06 06:09:29	nflx above 20 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	1,101	100¢	$1,100	0xd8d583…
07-06 06:05:41	will spy dip to 715 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0xe5f6a2…
07-06 06:05:22	will spy dip to 715 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0xd059c8…
07-06 06:05:14	will spy dip to 715 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	667	99¢	$661	0x329c3a…
07-06 05:59:08	will wti dip to 40 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	451	100¢	$450	0x005fba…
07-06 05:58:11	will wti dip to 35 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	350	100¢	$350	0xa4de57…
07-06 05:57:55	will wti reach 100 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x170036…
07-06 05:56:47	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 6	No	BUY	82	100¢	$81	0xdf85f3…
07-06 05:56:23	will bitcoin reach 71k on july 6	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6208c4…
07-04 08:39:46	bitcoin above 60k on july 4 2026	Yes	SELL	809	100¢	$807	0x061241…
07-04 02:59:44	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x637d3e…
07-04 02:59:13	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	1,205	100¢	$1,200	0x775435…
07-04 02:55:37	bitcoin above 60k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	809	99¢	$805	0xf378af…
07-04 02:50:46	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	684	100¢	$683	0x2600c7…
07-04 02:47:44	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xfd68bf…
07-04 02:47:37	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xb0fffa…
07-04 02:46:47	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xf171ef…
07-04 02:46:02	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$0 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?	No	BUY	521	100¢	$520	0x2ad964…
07-04 02:43:16	nflx above 120 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x68c8f8…
07-04 02:40:50	will wti reach 100 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	515	99¢	$510	0xdc7eeb…
07-04 02:40:08	will wti dip to 35 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	515	99¢	$510	0xaf0cee…
07-02 20:06:26	will spy dip to 700 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	83	100¢	$82	0x7edd8c…
07-02 20:03:14	will spy dip to 700 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x4c0df0…
07-02 20:00:37	will spy dip to 700 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd0424b…
07-02 20:00:34	will spy dip to 700 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x11e214…
07-02 15:46:14	will spy dip to 700 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x355782…
07-02 15:31:49	will spy dip to 700 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x68e507…
07-02 15:11:52	will spy dip to 700 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x94d411…
07-02 10:59:53	will spy dip to 700 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8a82ca…
07-02 10:40:50	will spy dip to 700 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x492dfe…
07-02 10:16:50	will spy dip to 700 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xcd6262…
07-02 08:30:59	will spy dip to 700 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x37a359…
07-02 07:47:53	will spy dip to 700 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x939ba8…
07-02 07:40:59	will spy dip to 700 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x605d69…
07-02 04:40:22	will spy dip to 700 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	900	100¢	$899	0x23ea65…
07-02 02:52:40	will wti dip to 45 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xaf3645…
07-02 02:52:23	will wti dip to 40 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0xf88142…
07-02 02:51:28	will spy dip to 705 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	830	100¢	$829	0x468d7b…
07-02 02:38:14	will spy dip to 700 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	144	100¢	$144	0x3fec49…
07-01 14:28:19	nflx above 30 on july 3 2026	Yes	SELL	244	100¢	$243	0x615a48…
07-01 07:01:10	nflx above 30 on july 3 2026	Yes	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x33085c…
07-01 02:31:58	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?	No	BUY	330	100¢	$330	0x182518…
07-01 02:30:38	will spy dip to 700 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	1,438	100¢	$1,435	0x7a4076…
07-01 02:29:17	will wti reach 105 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x159b09…
07-01 02:29:02	will wti reach 105 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xb64b54…
07-01 02:27:58	will wti reach 105 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	344	100¢	$344	0xceaa42…
07-01 02:26:34	nflx above 100 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xd7dd24…
07-01 02:26:22	nflx above 110 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xd90407…
07-01 02:26:14	nflx above 120 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xfe5ee1…
07-01 02:25:44	nflx above 100 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0xc4dd7b…
07-01 02:25:28	nflx above 110 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	214	100¢	$214	0x73f5c1…