Hollow-Resident — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

37.8%

Resolved

Trades

2,326

lifetime

Volume

$43.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$32

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 15:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

89% 33% $-2

Politics

10% 0% $-20

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	+54	$15	29¢	$15	+$0	06-03 08:51
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	+444	$20	2¢	$11	$-9	06-05 09:06
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+38	$5	15¢	$6	+$1	06-05 09:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 520 539	10	$2.6K	1,642	2,207	-565	open	—	01-20 17:05
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 165 189	11	$1.3K	971	971	+0	open	—	01-17 17:04
elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 90 114	8	$1.2K	1,147	1,147	+0	open	—	01-19 17:17
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 115 139	8	$1.0K	2,001	0	+2,001	open	—	01-20 17:27
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 140 164	8	$841	2,989	0	+2,989	open	—	01-20 17:26
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	10	$714	650	650	+0	open	—	03-20 17:33
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 540 559	6	$685	605	605	+0	open	—	01-16 17:05
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	17	$679	1,115	1,115	+0	open	—	03-10 17:22
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	14	$664	556	556	+0	open	—	03-13 16:20
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 115 139	6	$636	510	510	+0	open	—	01-14 17:27
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 540 559	5	$551	412	492	-80	open	—	01-13 17:12
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	8	$499	453	453	+0	open	—	03-17 17:15
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 380 399	4	$488	339	339	+0	open	—	01-27 18:14
aus mac auc 2026 01 05 draw	2	$484	385	385	+0	open	—	01-05 10:59
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 540 559	16	$483	2,970	0	+2,970	open	—	01-20 16:53
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 65 89	4	$442	272	272	+0	open	—	01-28 17:54
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	5	$436	380	365	+15	open	—	04-10 18:15
epl ful liv 2026 01 04 draw	2	$423	333	333	+0	open	—	01-04 17:35
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	5	$413	309	309	+0	open	—	02-03 16:07
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 90 114	6	$409	336	336	+0	open	—	02-04 16:16
spl ahl nsr 2026 01 02 ahl	3	$397	247	247	+0	open	—	01-02 20:09
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379	10	$391	347	347	+0	open	—	03-24 16:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	3	$388	272	193	+79	open	—	05-05 14:15
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	6	$381	335	335	+0	open	—	02-06 16:57
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 560 579	5	$367	671	831	-160	open	—	01-09 11:43
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$362	265	265	+0	open	—	04-20 07:26
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	5	$358	298	298	+0	open	—	02-02 17:56
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 500 519	1	$317	0	317	-317	open	—	01-02 18:49
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$304	298	298	+0	open	—	05-05 13:56
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 520 539	5	$303	644	644	+0	open	—	01-16 15:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 15:51:13	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x8fcc4a…
06-09 15:35:22	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xe6c5c4…
06-08 07:15:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	111	24¢	$27	0x345292…
06-07 20:01:58	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	21	34¢	$7	0x234736…
06-07 20:00:54	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xa3c90f…
06-07 19:53:45	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x30f58a…
06-07 19:51:15	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xa971ef…
06-07 19:49:31	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xe4c5e3…
06-06 10:16:28	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	66	30¢	$20	0x688e1f…
06-05 19:20:40	bitcoin above 56k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	32	9¢	$3	0xb119ff…
06-05 09:06:18	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	444	5¢	$20	0x661530…
06-05 09:04:43	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x50adc8…
06-05 09:04:40	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xdb7f6d…
06-04 17:25:19	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x6ce2d9…
06-03 09:05:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?	No	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0x41c9d3…
06-03 08:55:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	BUY	166	79¢	$131	0xb67f32…
06-03 08:51:33	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0xda20b5…
05-06 10:30:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	104	17¢	$18	0xe7fdab…
05-06 10:24:22	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	158	2¢	$3	0xad977e…
05-06 09:47:56	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$2	0x9076b8…
05-06 09:47:50	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	89	17¢	$15	0x7c15be…
05-05 14:15:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	79	76¢	$60	0xb83a71…
05-05 14:01:56	Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?	No	BUY	267	15¢	$40	0x26b447…
05-05 13:58:20	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x67d53c…
05-05 13:57:44	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xa3cb61…
05-05 13:56:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	52	61¢	$32	0x1737a2…
05-05 13:56:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	123	37¢	$46	0xa2ad23…
05-05 13:54:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	123	38¢	$47	0x5633c6…
05-05 09:33:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	No	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0x0766f7…
05-05 09:31:18	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x14ba79…
05-05 09:29:30	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x1dde06…
05-05 09:28:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	59	42¢	$25	0x5ecf23…
05-04 17:26:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0xca3fbf…
05-04 17:25:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	52	39¢	$20	0xbdc2d4…
05-04 17:17:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	59	37¢	$22	0x0afdd8…
05-04 16:59:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	246	65¢	$160	0x6da9ba…
05-04 16:58:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	193	87¢	$168	0x024850…
05-04 16:57:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	59	39¢	$23	0x18e4d0…
05-04 16:56:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	41	58¢	$24	0xd96bec…
05-03 20:13:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xe9434e…
05-03 20:08:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xe7aedb…
05-03 08:37:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xa35111…
05-03 08:34:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	72	1¢	$1	0x354451…
05-02 14:20:46	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x95cf0d…
05-02 14:20:20	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x5bf692…
05-02 14:12:50	50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0xd618c5…
05-01 21:16:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xee1ffb…
05-01 21:13:40	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	167	92¢	$153	0x2f078a…
05-01 18:56:16	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	148	74¢	$110	0xb090d1…
05-01 18:55:20	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0x293402…
05-01 14:39:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	235	55¢	$130	0xf62e0f…
05-01 14:38:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	169	81¢	$137	0xf511c6…
04-30 19:03:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	193	83¢	$160	0xab87a4…
04-30 18:25:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x4bfc22…
04-30 17:58:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x6e4777…
04-30 17:58:36	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	157	99¢	$156	0x8fefee…
04-30 17:58:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	No	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0x22d1e5…
04-30 16:49:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xaca308…
04-30 16:25:08	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	BUY	122	9¢	$11	0xd6be33…
04-29 09:19:20	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	157	89¢	$140	0xdc5d4c…
04-29 08:45:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xec7e11…
04-29 08:39:02	Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?	No	SELL	67	88¢	$59	0x782fcb…
04-28 13:47:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x598324…
04-28 13:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x19f4f4…
04-28 13:32:48	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x8c0d09…
04-28 13:32:40	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	SELL	355	3¢	$12	0x2061f2…
04-28 13:15:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0x7d82db…
04-28 13:08:22	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	355	3¢	$11	0xd083f1…
04-27 20:13:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x286577…
04-27 19:48:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa71ee9…
04-27 19:48:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x87c03e…
04-27 19:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x106d15…
04-27 19:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x2f2fea…
04-27 19:43:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 29?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x487ff5…
04-27 19:42:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0xed2145…
04-27 19:42:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x489f5b…
04-27 19:41:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	SELL	36	24¢	$9	0xbbfbda…
04-27 19:38:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xa80881…
04-27 19:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	159	1¢	$1	0xca533d…
04-27 19:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0ff90d…
04-27 19:09:18	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x7bd8a6…
04-27 19:09:10	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x3835c7…
04-27 19:09:04	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xeef416…
04-27 18:47:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	218	0¢	$1	0x4ed53c…
04-27 18:47:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	173	1¢	$1	0x6b3e78…
04-27 18:47:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x837cf1…
04-27 18:46:34	Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	17	67¢	$11	0xda9521…
04-25 18:08:44	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xf6d51f…
04-25 18:03:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	308	65¢	$200	0x9393a0…
04-25 18:01:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	145	96¢	$140	0x76deb0…
04-25 17:58:38	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x034d1f…
04-25 17:58:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x63c507…
04-25 17:46:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xc94263…
04-25 17:43:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	93	9¢	$9	0x728fd0…
04-25 17:36:38	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xf951dd…
04-25 17:36:00	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	67	3¢	$2	0x2c7589…
04-25 15:21:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb17d14…
04-24 21:11:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	62¢	$30	0x8c767c…
04-24 19:41:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0xa1d9c0…
04-24 19:38:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	29¢	$18	0x440e85…