Unfortunate-Chin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$326

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.0%

Resolved

Trades

350

lifetime

Volume

$4.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 07-17 17:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 63% +$327

Other

38% 0% $-1

Politics

10% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	9	$207	1,786	1,745	+40	open	—	05-26 09:05
over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	3	$153	109	109	+0	open	—	07-04 17:02
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 corners total 11pt5	2	$142	93	93	+0	open	—	07-06 03:04
over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	4	$116	68	68	+0	open	—	07-17 17:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10AM ET	3	$107	63	63	+0	Up	+$20	05-13 15:01
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	3	$105	73	73	+0	open	—	06-15 05:04
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 corners total 6pt5	2	$100	57	57	+0	open	—	07-06 02:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1AM ET	2	$99	60	60	+0	Down	+$22	05-13 06:41
will graham platner drop out by july 7	2	$97	59	59	+0	open	—	07-08 01:40
over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	4	$86	513	0	+513	open	—	07-04 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	1	$73	99	0	+99	Down	+$26	05-12 04:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	4	$72	88	34	+54	open	—	05-22 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$70	87	0	+87	open	—	05-22 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12AM ET	2	$64	34	34	+0	Down	+$4	05-13 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	4	$61	75	23	+53	open	—	05-26 01:58
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 corners total 7pt5	1	$60	87	0	+87	open	—	07-14 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$60	67	0	+67	Down	+$7	05-13 13:53
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$59	400	400	+0	open	—	05-13 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	3	$57	60	35	+25	Up	+$9	05-12 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11PM ET	2	$56	35	35	+0	Up	+$14	05-13 04:52
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	3	$55	159	159	+0	open	—	06-12 02:43
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$53	90	90	+0	open	—	05-13 14:29
will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145717	8	$53	291	291	+0	open	—	07-15 23:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	4	$52	83	0	+83	open	—	05-26 02:07
will graham platner drop out by july 9	2	$51	98	98	+0	open	—	07-08 01:45
israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	5	$50	227	0	+227	open	—	07-13 12:45
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 corners total 8pt5	2	$48	30	30	+0	open	—	06-15 17:54
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$46	64	64	+0	open	—	05-24 03:35
fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 corners total 7pt5	2	$46	35	35	+0	open	—	06-15 01:07
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 corners total 6pt5	1	$46	59	0	+59	open	—	07-15 01:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 17:01:39	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xbf1464…
07-17 17:01:36	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xfc7557…
07-17 13:51:03	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0xf71179…
07-17 13:50:27	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0xf4797a…
07-17 12:06:00	btc updown 5m 1784289900	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x48adcf…
07-17 11:51:19	btc updown 5m 1784289000	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x0699c9…
07-17 11:43:09	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	SELL	68	2¢	$1	0x09ee7c…
07-17 11:23:31	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	BUY	68	7¢	$5	0xc52008…
07-16 16:35:47	btc updown 5m 1784219700	Up	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0xf85cb9…
07-16 14:33:41	btc updown 5m 1784212500	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x347010…
07-16 14:28:17	btc updown 15m 1784211300	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xb4c413…
07-16 14:16:43	btc updown 15m 1784211300	Up	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0xb1cc11…
07-16 14:11:38	btc updown 5m 1784211000	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x4f2193…
07-15 23:16:28	will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145717	No	SELL	291	3¢	$10	0xf1abf8…
07-15 23:01:25	btc updown 5m 1784156400	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x2fa197…
07-15 23:00:28	btc updown 5m 1784156100	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x94d3a2…
07-15 22:57:52	btc updown 5m 1784156100	Down	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0xc76f91…
07-15 22:56:46	btc updown 15m 1784155500	Up	SELL	38	32¢	$12	0xe3c8c9…
07-15 22:52:46	btc updown 15m 1784155500	Up	BUY	38	72¢	$27	0x51f357…
07-15 22:52:32	btc updown 5m 1784155800	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x9a4201…
07-15 01:11:10	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	59	77¢	$46	0xfba2e7…
07-15 01:10:41	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0xfd04f9…
07-14 18:46:11	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x4d4942…
07-14 18:44:31	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	87	69¢	$60	0x3332fa…
07-14 10:11:05	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	181	3¢	$6	0x5e0f5a…
07-14 09:56:14	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	80	25¢	$20	0x73674a…
07-13 15:01:25	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	66	9¢	$6	0x3c6285…
07-13 15:01:17	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x3efd72…
07-13 14:44:55	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	115	9¢	$11	0x373204…
07-13 12:45:07	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	No	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0x83b827…
07-13 12:10:26	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	No	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x976791…
07-13 11:24:22	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	No	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0x2efeba…
07-13 10:16:56	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	No	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x0f40d8…
07-13 10:16:17	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	No	BUY	54	26¢	$14	0xe3b683…
07-12 02:59:32	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	26	27¢	$7	0x178292…
07-12 02:57:08	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	63	25¢	$16	0x671b67…
07-12 00:06:25	will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145717	No	BUY	104	10¢	$10	0x648a2d…
07-11 07:37:11	btc updown 5m 1783755300	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x8276cb…
07-11 01:32:02	will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145717	No	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0x6a5e7b…
07-10 11:49:04	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	No	SELL	58	0¢	$0	0x82fc4d…
07-10 11:05:23	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	No	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0x064656…
07-10 11:04:17	will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145717	No	BUY	117	12¢	$14	0xb4c94c…
07-09 15:49:16	will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145716	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x061e12…
07-09 12:13:14	will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145717	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x79ce0f…
07-09 12:09:31	will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145716	No	BUY	600	0¢	$2	0x55e21d…
07-09 12:08:29	will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145717	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x98455a…
07-09 12:08:10	will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145717	No	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x89649e…
07-09 11:54:55	will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145717	No	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x8204cf…
07-09 11:48:23	will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145716	No	BUY	187	0¢	$1	0x0db3ea…
07-09 11:36:34	will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145716	No	BUY	413	0¢	$1	0x97cb05…
07-09 08:22:46	will jd vance attend nato summit	Yes	SELL	922	0¢	$1	0xdc355a…
07-09 06:07:31	will jd vance attend nato summit	Yes	SELL	342	0¢	$0	0x621982…
07-09 03:56:10	btc updown 15m 1783568700	Up	BUY	48	54¢	$26	0x8a3250…
07-09 03:53:16	btc updown 5m 1783569000	Up	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x85ca18…
07-08 10:12:44	btc updown 5m 1783508400	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xfcd19d…
07-08 01:45:25	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	SELL	98	32¢	$31	0xd71816…
07-08 01:40:16	will graham platner drop out by july 7	No	SELL	59	98¢	$58	0xb697ab…
07-07 11:09:56	will graham platner drop out by july 7	No	BUY	59	65¢	$39	0x7e46f0…
07-07 09:35:34	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	BUY	98	20¢	$20	0xfacf0b…
07-07 01:36:37	btc updown 5m 1783388100	Up	BUY	87	9¢	$8	0x45c71b…
07-07 01:31:34	btc updown 5m 1783387800	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x2c293d…
07-07 01:31:05	btc updown 15m 1783386900	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x02faed…
07-07 01:26:01	btc updown 15m 1783386900	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x55817a…
07-07 01:25:44	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	SELL	52	5¢	$3	0x199417…
07-06 11:24:22	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	BUY	52	54¢	$28	0x41c91b…
07-06 03:04:40	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 corners total 11pt5	Over	SELL	93	99¢	$92	0x616737…
07-06 02:57:11	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 corners total 11pt5	Over	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xffe54b…
07-06 02:40:31	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 corners total 7pt5	Over	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa108f4…
07-06 02:40:29	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 corners total 7pt5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbec443…
07-06 02:40:29	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 corners total 7pt5	Over	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x442fa2…
07-06 02:02:14	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 corners total 6pt5	Over	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0x2901d8…
07-05 23:34:53	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	57	77¢	$44	0x44fedd…
07-05 12:05:59	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	18	59¢	$11	0x36ef1d…
07-05 03:19:22	will jd vance attend nato summit	Yes	BUY	526	2¢	$10	0x171033…
07-05 03:18:29	will jd vance attend nato summit	Yes	BUY	211	2¢	$4	0xe453c1…
07-05 03:17:17	will jd vance attend nato summit	Yes	BUY	528	2¢	$10	0x25aaaf…
07-04 18:05:20	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x7a8a38…
07-04 18:02:16	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x41d1a5…
07-04 18:01:23	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xdabfa7…
07-04 17:16:41	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xf8f753…
07-04 17:15:58	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xdc1657…
07-04 17:02:04	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	SELL	109	100¢	$108	0xc2169b…
07-04 15:02:40	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	No	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0x0cb1b4…
07-04 14:54:34	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	BUY	56	35¢	$20	0xdf7c4f…
07-04 13:52:52	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	No	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x1eba4c…
07-04 05:06:25	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	No	BUY	326	21¢	$70	0xe17ee6…
07-03 05:39:47	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0xa48c7f…
07-03 05:29:44	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xb1292b…
07-03 05:29:35	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x12cf32…
07-03 02:13:05	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	201	7¢	$15	0xe80115…
06-15 18:00:22	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	Belgium	BUY	72	37¢	$27	0x1d396a…
06-15 17:54:42	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 corners total 8pt5	Over	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0x29bf58…
06-15 06:22:57	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0xe2fdd9…
06-15 06:16:51	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	64	55¢	$35	0x569678…
06-15 05:04:15	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	SELL	73	75¢	$55	0x206f3d…
06-15 04:58:39	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x16bfa1…
06-15 04:58:09	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x57058b…
06-15 01:16:10	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x4b401a…
06-15 01:07:34	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 corners total 7pt5	Over	SELL	35	99¢	$34	0x5f3c9d…
06-15 00:05:37	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	35	33¢	$11	0x8a1115…