Unfortunate-Chin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$326

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.0%

Resolved

Trades

264

lifetime

Volume

$3.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 07-04 05:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 63% +$327

Other

23% 0% $-1

Politics

9% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	9	$207	1,786	1,745	+40	open	—	05-26 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10AM ET	3	$107	63	63	+0	Up	+$20	05-13 15:01
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	3	$105	73	73	+0	open	—	06-15 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1AM ET	2	$99	60	60	+0	Down	+$22	05-13 06:41
over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	4	$86	513	0	+513	open	—	07-04 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	1	$73	99	0	+99	Down	+$26	05-12 04:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	4	$72	88	34	+54	open	—	05-22 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$70	87	0	+87	open	—	05-22 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12AM ET	2	$64	34	34	+0	Down	+$4	05-13 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	4	$61	75	23	+53	open	—	05-26 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$60	67	0	+67	Down	+$7	05-13 13:53
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$59	400	400	+0	open	—	05-13 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	3	$57	60	35	+25	Up	+$9	05-12 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11PM ET	2	$56	35	35	+0	Up	+$14	05-13 04:52
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	3	$55	159	159	+0	open	—	06-12 02:43
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$53	90	90	+0	open	—	05-13 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	4	$52	83	0	+83	open	—	05-26 02:07
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 corners total 8pt5	2	$48	30	30	+0	open	—	06-15 17:54
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$46	64	64	+0	open	—	05-24 03:35
fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 corners total 7pt5	2	$46	35	35	+0	open	—	06-15 01:07
over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	2	$45	109	0	+109	open	—	07-04 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	3	$44	117	0	+117	open	—	05-24 16:45
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	2	$39	55	55	+0	open	—	05-23 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$38	98	0	+98	open	—	05-22 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$37	38	38	+0	open	—	05-24 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12PM ET	1	$37	58	0	+58	open	—	05-23 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	1	$37	43	0	+43	open	—	05-25 16:49
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	1	$35	64	0	+64	open	—	06-15 06:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2AM ET	2	$34	24	24	+0	Down	+$14	05-13 07:12
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	4	$32	1,122	0	+1,122	open	—	05-26 15:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 15:02:40	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	No	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0x0cb1b4…
07-04 14:54:34	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	BUY	56	35¢	$20	0xdf7c4f…
07-04 13:52:52	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	No	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x1eba4c…
07-04 05:06:25	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	No	BUY	326	21¢	$70	0xe17ee6…
07-03 05:39:47	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0xa48c7f…
07-03 05:29:44	over 25m committed to the laso finance public sale 663 611 164	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xb1292b…
07-03 05:29:35	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x12cf32…
07-03 02:13:05	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	201	7¢	$15	0xe80115…
06-15 18:00:22	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	Belgium	BUY	72	37¢	$27	0x1d396a…
06-15 17:54:42	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 corners total 8pt5	Over	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0x29bf58…
06-15 06:22:57	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0xe2fdd9…
06-15 06:16:51	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	64	55¢	$35	0x569678…
06-15 05:04:15	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	SELL	73	75¢	$55	0x206f3d…
06-15 04:58:39	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x16bfa1…
06-15 04:58:09	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x57058b…
06-15 01:16:10	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x4b401a…
06-15 01:07:34	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 corners total 7pt5	Over	SELL	35	99¢	$34	0x5f3c9d…
06-15 00:05:37	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	35	33¢	$11	0x8a1115…
06-12 02:47:22	btc updown 5m 1781232300	Up	BUY	27	48¢	$13	0x742100…
06-12 02:43:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	159	8¢	$14	0xab0395…
06-12 01:44:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	59	26¢	$16	0xd9bc1b…
06-12 01:43:48	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xfad3f0…
06-09 14:56:49	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	32	2¢	$1	0x218417…
06-08 05:53:24	btc updown 15m 1780897500	Down	SELL	32	6¢	$2	0x39111c…
06-08 05:50:19	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x59e3e8…
06-08 05:49:33	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	217	5¢	$10	0x902c2d…
06-08 05:47:33	btc updown 15m 1780897500	Down	BUY	32	34¢	$11	0x3a28c3…
06-08 05:47:12	btc updown 5m 1780897500	Down	BUY	28	39¢	$11	0xdd1698…
06-01 04:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x45f543…
05-31 15:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	78	22¢	$17	0xbed152…
05-31 14:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0xfdd01a…
05-31 14:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xda69a1…
05-31 14:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xc4497d…
05-31 14:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x586a65…
05-31 14:14:47	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	229	11¢	$25	0xe3391f…
05-28 05:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x575918…
05-28 04:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x28f051…
05-28 04:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	13	45¢	$6	0x898aa2…
05-28 04:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x715f9e…
05-28 04:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x5f614a…
05-28 04:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xf21eb0…
05-28 04:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x82363b…
05-28 04:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0x75281a…
05-28 03:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	51¢	$12	0x3c233f…
05-28 03:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xe258d4…
05-28 02:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x60d103…
05-28 02:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x8389a7…
05-27 17:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x4c15cd…
05-27 01:56:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0xc5eb84…
05-26 15:26:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0x85d8bb…
05-26 15:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	76	0¢	$0	0xcf3cc3…
05-26 15:24:36	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xa8c653…
05-26 15:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	17	3¢	$1	0x4919ea…
05-26 14:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	39	48¢	$19	0x980add…
05-26 14:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	37	34¢	$12	0x68fc5d…
05-26 14:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x4ca22b…
05-26 14:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x38f525…
05-26 12:20:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	597	4¢	$21	0x6ff0f4…
05-26 11:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x47e827…
05-26 11:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xdc1107…
05-26 10:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	47	33¢	$16	0xe78ebd…
05-26 10:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	17	22¢	$4	0x5dd43a…
05-26 10:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x3809c5…
05-26 10:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0b9291…
05-26 10:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	44	36¢	$16	0x5b173d…
05-26 09:05:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	484	3¢	$14	0x03b413…
05-26 05:25:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x990dfe…
05-26 02:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x9ba4c5…
05-26 02:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x5ed028…
05-26 02:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xfe81ea…
05-26 02:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	38	64¢	$24	0xf97726…
05-26 01:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xbf2e03…
05-26 01:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	23	27¢	$6	0x111459…
05-26 01:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	46	76¢	$35	0xee614c…
05-26 01:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0xa41018…
05-25 17:59:29	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	BUY	59	22¢	$13	0xb4aae0…
05-25 17:58:58	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x890588…
05-25 17:58:42	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xeec8d7…
05-25 17:56:39	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0xaaa830…
05-25 17:50:06	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	BUY	800	4¢	$28	0x9bcc14…
05-25 17:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	16	20¢	$3	0xf6704c…
05-25 17:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x322600…
05-25 17:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x7cbbe2…
05-25 17:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x0385a2…
05-25 17:24:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	484	3¢	$15	0x845f25…
05-25 17:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xa7fdb4…
05-25 17:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0x77c4fd…
05-25 17:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x030eeb…
05-25 17:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	37¢	$10	0xa35df2…
05-25 16:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	43	86¢	$37	0xc0527d…
05-24 16:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0x78a719…
05-24 16:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x5debf5…
05-24 16:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0x2a319c…
05-24 16:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	38	24¢	$9	0x61ef8b…
05-24 16:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	38	73¢	$28	0x870a8b…
05-24 16:21:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	851	3¢	$29	0x36cd40…
05-24 03:35:14	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	64	32¢	$20	0x892fe3…
05-23 21:27:30	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	64	41¢	$26	0x2052d3…
05-23 21:19:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	Yes	SELL	55	47¢	$26	0xa6219b…
05-23 19:26:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	Yes	BUY	55	24¢	$13	0xdd8f8e…