Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

53.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$169

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-20

last 10-27 06:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

82% 35% +$9

Crypto

16% 58% -$4

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes		+83	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	10-26 13:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 8?	2	$20	38	0	+38	Yes	+$18	10-07 09:57
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 8?	2	$12	39	0	+39	No	-$12	10-07 09:58
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	1	$8	9	0	+9	No	+$1	09-04 14:28
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 3?	1	$7	16	0	+16	Yes	+$9	10-02 14:10
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 3?	1	$7	16	0	+16	No	-$7	10-02 14:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 26?	1	$6	9	0	+9	No	-$6	10-26 14:08
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 3?	2	$6	5	5	+0	No	$0	09-03 10:51
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 25?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	09-26 02:23
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 22?	2	$3	7	0	+7	Yes	+$4	09-22 02:52
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 21?	1	$3	7	0	+7	Yes	+$4	08-21 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Down	+$1	10-06 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Up	+$0	10-06 09:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Up	+$0	10-06 09:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	10-06 09:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	10-06 09:41
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 28?	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	+$3	09-27 15:23
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 30?	1	$2	6	0	+6	Yes	+$4	09-29 07:36
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	+$3	10-26 13:47
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	-$2	10-26 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	10-06 09:02
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 8?	1	$2	54	0	+54	No	-$2	10-07 09:58
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 30?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	-$2	09-29 07:35
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or higher on September 22?	2	$2	11	0	+11	No	-$2	09-22 02:52
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 22?	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	$0	09-21 02:41
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 3?	2	$2	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	09-03 10:51
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$2	10	10	+0	open	—	10-26 13:43
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 21?	2	$2	6	6	+0	No	$0	08-21 10:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 26?	1	$1	32	0	+32	No	-$1	10-26 14:07
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 27?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	10-26 11:29
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 29?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	09-28 15:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 06:42:41	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc491ed…
10-27 06:42:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x03183e…
10-26 14:08:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xf9ecd9…
10-26 14:07:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf2ba5e…
10-26 14:07:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x4bbf61…
10-26 13:53:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x36e1c1…
10-26 13:53:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa1e5f6…
10-26 13:53:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x41ae79…
10-26 13:47:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x35b96b…
10-26 13:43:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xb9c8fd…
10-26 13:41:56	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7303a2…
10-26 13:41:47	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x5031a7…
10-26 11:36:56	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x850907…
10-26 11:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb6f575…
10-26 11:35:41	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x945e13…
10-26 11:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x874fa0…
10-26 11:34:56	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x39ea7a…
10-26 11:34:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x462cb6…
10-26 11:34:08	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x670203…
10-26 11:33:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7c14c8…
10-26 11:33:06	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x26092a…
10-26 11:32:56	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x431721…
10-26 11:32:29	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb49077…
10-26 11:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x576497…
10-26 11:31:45	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8121ec…
10-26 11:31:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x459866…
10-26 11:30:32	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb41a56…
10-26 11:30:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xbcd6ce…
10-26 11:29:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe5accf…
10-26 11:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8b5dd1…
10-26 11:28:53	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb5b575…
10-26 11:28:44	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc6a898…
10-26 11:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x55fe4b…
10-26 11:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1fc3ea…
10-26 11:27:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x40bb09…
10-26 11:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1b1672…
10-26 11:27:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcf5ce0…
10-26 11:27:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfb99f1…
10-07 09:58:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on October 8?	Yes	BUY	136	1¢	$1	0xc1ecbf…
10-07 09:58:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0x7fb327…
10-07 09:58:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x6d359c…
10-07 09:57:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	32	53¢	$17	0x4fde44…
10-07 08:08:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xfedd17…
10-07 08:08:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xbddc84…
10-06 10:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x869ba8…
10-06 09:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x19b378…
10-06 09:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb16337…
10-06 09:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x06e716…
10-06 09:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x347ea3…
10-06 09:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8ad3f3…
10-06 09:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xda7005…
10-06 09:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x31ff27…
10-06 09:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x1456a9…
10-06 09:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xbfd1c3…
10-06 09:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0f6128…
10-06 09:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7cb0ce…
10-04 11:22:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf8fe0a…
10-02 14:10:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	16	42¢	$7	0x43d82f…
10-02 14:10:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x9dac70…
09-29 07:36:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xd740cb…
09-29 07:35:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x182f61…
09-28 15:48:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd69f75…
09-28 15:48:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x72fe37…
09-27 15:23:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x50be67…
09-27 15:23:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb654c3…
09-26 02:23:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6567ac…
09-25 11:54:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0ff6fa…
09-24 13:26:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1fa099…
09-24 13:26:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5a4bf1…
09-22 02:52:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or higher on September 22?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x71b2ac…
09-22 02:52:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xb67d96…
09-22 02:51:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2aa087…
09-22 02:51:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or higher on September 22?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd28458…
09-21 02:43:05	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x816567…
09-21 02:41:46	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 22?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xf472b1…
09-21 02:40:44	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xef3116…
09-21 02:39:44	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x79ca9e…
09-21 02:39:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x686623…
09-21 02:38:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa6faea…
09-21 02:37:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x645622…
09-21 02:21:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe5f6a8…
09-04 14:28:13	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x9fdfdd…
09-04 14:26:16	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x45e6f6…
09-03 10:51:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 3?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xa69c6d…
09-03 10:51:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 3?	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x2a5e4e…
09-03 10:51:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8b6935…
09-03 10:51:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xcfa2a0…
08-27 18:31:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf8673d…
08-26 09:06:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x40a333…
08-26 09:06:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x310693…
08-26 09:06:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x1bc465…
08-21 10:27:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 21?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x571bd3…
08-21 10:26:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xaebaf4…
08-21 08:38:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xaa2d85…
08-21 08:38:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9367a9…
08-20 07:14:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x242198…
08-20 07:14:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5d55bf…