Similar-Hardcover — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.3%

Resolved

475

Trades

535

lifetime

Volume

$1.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 09-14 06:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 91% -$6

Other

10% 83% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 238 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on July 29?	2	$28	15	15	+0	No	+$2	07-29 20:06
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 28?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	07-29 04:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 12:00 UTC	5	$16	25	20	+5	Down	+$0	07-17 12:04
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 24?	2	$15	8	8	+0	No	+$1	07-25 04:09
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 27?	2	$14	8	8	+0	No	+$2	07-28 03:50
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 26?	2	$13	7	7	+0	No	+$1	07-27 04:03
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 30?	1	$13	15	0	+15	Yes	-$13	07-29 20:11
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 25?	2	$13	7	7	+0	No	+$1	07-26 05:23
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 23?	2	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$1	07-24 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$8	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	09-12 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$8	8	0	+8	Up	+$0	09-12 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$8	8	0	+8	Up	+$0	09-12 07:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 14:30 UTC	4	$7	8	6	+2	Down	+$2	04-15 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$7	7	0	+7	Up	-$4	09-12 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 05:45 UTC	3	$7	10	5	+5	Down	+$1	07-18 05:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 06:50 UTC	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	07-21 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	6	$6	24	9	+15	Down	-$1	05-13 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	8	$6	20	4	+16	Up	-$2	05-13 12:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 11:30 UTC	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$4	07-17 11:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 11:00 UTC	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$4	07-17 11:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 11:10 UTC	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	07-17 11:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 06:15 UTC	5	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	07-18 06:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 05:55 UTC	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	07-18 05:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 11:15 UTC	2	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$3	07-17 11:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 06:00 UTC	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$3	07-18 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 11:45 UTC	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$3	07-17 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 14:55 UTC	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$0	04-15 14:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 11:40 UTC	3	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$3	07-17 11:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 13:20 UTC	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$3	07-17 13:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 06:35 UTC	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	07-21 06:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 06:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x05c7a4…
09-14 06:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1a87aa…
09-14 05:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5a881f…
09-14 05:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe6ce84…
09-14 05:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xea4ae6…
09-14 05:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xbb3310…
09-14 05:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x79b740…
09-14 05:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xeb74b4…
09-14 05:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x58d15f…
09-14 05:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf69d3a…
09-14 05:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5f05c2…
09-14 04:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x88c2d4…
09-14 04:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0958a2…
09-14 04:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2d5ff9…
09-14 04:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x8eea23…
09-14 04:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf59fa6…
09-14 04:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x210d5d…
09-14 04:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4daa9e…
09-14 03:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xab7ff8…
09-14 03:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf2286b…
09-14 03:49:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe9bbab…
09-14 03:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd4ec8f…
09-14 03:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7ef235…
09-14 03:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x286808…
09-14 03:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x96226f…
09-14 03:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfa78e4…
09-14 03:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x4909b4…
09-13 12:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x985b9a…
09-13 12:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xca8c5d…
09-13 12:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe596f2…
09-13 12:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8b22f9…
09-13 12:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe93445…
09-13 11:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x42f098…
09-13 11:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3b87b8…
09-13 11:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x471d0c…
09-13 11:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdd4295…
09-13 11:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6a35f1…
09-13 11:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xcc9b97…
09-13 11:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6f0752…
09-13 11:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x78982c…
09-13 11:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x248820…
09-13 11:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xff8f72…
09-13 11:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0bc531…
09-13 10:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9b1193…
09-13 10:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdb025e…
09-13 10:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7b09b5…
09-13 10:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5fe7f6…
09-13 10:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa11d7e…
09-13 10:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9b32ed…
09-13 10:19:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x46aedf…
09-13 10:14:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb00b5a…
09-13 10:04:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2f460f…
09-13 09:59:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd0a87d…
09-13 09:43:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x372a9e…
09-13 09:36:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x354348…
09-13 09:33:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x03e876…
09-13 09:28:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x63de78…
09-13 09:24:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xaca12e…
09-13 09:14:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-13 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1ddb68…
09-13 08:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x99387a…
09-13 08:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xecbc43…
09-13 08:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x71feca…
09-13 08:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xad7c9a…
09-13 08:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x68924e…
09-13 08:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x72aa7c…
09-13 08:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4a8e27…
09-13 08:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfda0f3…
09-13 08:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x995579…
09-13 08:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x886ee9…
09-13 07:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x39b15c…
09-13 07:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x74bb2b…
09-13 07:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x20d711…
09-13 07:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4a0429…
09-13 07:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5e6dd3…
09-13 07:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x34bbd4…
09-13 07:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x765b0f…
09-13 06:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x623fb5…
09-13 06:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x30a0dc…
09-13 06:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2f2735…
09-13 06:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd6eb47…
09-13 06:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0ed4ef…
09-13 06:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x779419…
09-13 06:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2ba75b…
09-13 06:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xffdb5b…
09-13 06:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xad0104…
09-13 06:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf5a5a6…
09-13 06:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd497ec…
09-13 06:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x95bcca…
09-13 05:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x5cf1ec…
09-13 05:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5372a6…
09-13 05:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x34adff…
09-13 05:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x994d1c…
09-13 05:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6c3a92…
09-13 05:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xebf56b…
09-13 05:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x93f73b…
09-13 05:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x2f2bda…
09-13 05:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd25f4e…
09-13 05:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf920c9…
09-13 04:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5c85c5…
09-13 04:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc2575d…