Ringed-Reflection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$74

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

70.5%

Resolved

383

Trades

901

lifetime

Volume

$2.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$16

1 position

First seen

2026-03-10

last 10-27 02:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 63% +$3

Sports

26% 51% -$66

Other

5% 38% -$10

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes		+16	$10	96¢	$16	+$6	10-23 04:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Avalanche vs. Kings	2	$52	27	27	+0	Avalanche	+$2	04-26 23:34
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	13	$50	33	33	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	+$6	10-13 00:28
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers	5	$48	71	53	+18	Ducks	-$26	04-27 14:33
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?	10	$41	52	52	+0	No	-$3	03-31 18:42
bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 11am et	2	$40	20	20	+0	Up	+$0	03-31 16:00
Avalanche vs. Kings	3	$35	20	20	+0	Avalanche	+$5	04-26 23:34
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	3	$34	33	33	+0	No	-$6	07-12 02:41
nhl lak col 2026 04 19	4	$32	17	17	+0	Avalanche	+$2	04-19 22:08
bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 6pm et	4	$31	17	16	+0	Down	+$2	03-31 23:00
bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 10am et	3	$30	16	16	+0	Up	+$2	04-10 15:04
nhl col lak 2026 04 23	5	$28	17	17	+0	Avalanche	+$6	04-24 04:36
bitcoin up or down april 8 2026 11am et	2	$26	17	16	+1	Up	+$7	04-08 15:54
bitcoin up or down march 15 12am et	6	$26	14	14	+0	Up	+$2	03-15 04:52
bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 5pm et	5	$25	17	12	+4	Up	-$3	03-31 22:00
bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 6pm et	4	$24	21	20	+1	Down	+$0	04-01 23:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 18:40 UTC	3	$24	16	12	+4	Down	+$0	03-31 18:45
bitcoin up or down april 11 2026 2am et	3	$22	13	13	+0	Up	+$4	04-11 07:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 15:20 UTC	3	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	08-21 15:25
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	2	$20	33	0	+33	Golden Knights	-$20	05-22 22:43
nhl lak col 2026 04 21	5	$19	12	11	+0	Avalanche	+$4	04-22 06:05
bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 7pm et	5	$18	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	03-16 00:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 15:35 UTC	4	$17	31	12	+19	Up	-$13	08-21 15:38
bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 1pm et	3	$17	13	12	+1	Up	+$8	04-10 18:14
bitcoin up or down august 11 2026 11pm et	4	$16	27	17	+11	Up	-$3	08-12 03:44
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 3pm et	5	$16	13	13	+0	Up	-$2	03-27 20:02
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 8pm et	7	$15	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	03-17 01:02
bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 4pm et	4	$15	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	03-31 20:55
nhl car ott 2026 04 23	3	$15	8	8	+0	Hurricanes	+$1	04-24 02:12
bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 5pm et	5	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	03-15 22:01
bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 11am et	3	$14	10	9	+0	Down	+$5	04-10 15:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 02:54:30	Maple Leafs vs. Flames	Maple Leafs	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x962665…
10-27 02:53:54	Red Wings vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x240e52…
10-24 22:53:50	Maple Leafs vs. Flames	Maple Leafs	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xaffc45…
10-24 22:48:54	Red Wings vs. Flames	Red Wings	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3d753e…
10-24 22:48:29	Rangers vs. Senators	Rangers	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xec98d4…
10-24 22:48:03	Maple Leafs vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x132b6b…
10-24 22:47:00	Hurricanes vs. Blues	Hurricanes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd482ba…
10-24 22:46:47	Red Wings vs. Flames	Red Wings	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0fccae…
10-24 22:46:17	Lightning vs. Utah	Lightning	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xad8dc8…
10-24 22:45:56	Hurricanes vs. Blues	Hurricanes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x497e3c…
10-24 02:55:44	Lightning vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6679f1…
10-24 02:54:59	Golden Knights vs. Blue Jackets	Golden Knights	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x8202da…
10-24 02:53:30	Lightning vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x9ce5e1…
10-24 01:17:00	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0xc79dfe…
10-24 01:16:44	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x3bba12…
10-23 04:05:03	Hurricanes vs. Oilers	Oilers	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe533b3…
10-23 04:04:42	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x9f045b…
10-23 03:41:08	Hurricanes vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x617562…
10-16 03:05:10	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xfd8fa5…
10-16 00:59:46	nhl van fla 2026 10 15	Canucks	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x68526a…
10-16 00:59:40	nhl van fla 2026 10 15	Canucks	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd732f7…
10-16 00:59:31	nhl van fla 2026 10 15	Canucks	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x8b5d61…
10-16 00:22:27	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc58d31…
10-16 00:14:45	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xb9c301…
10-16 00:13:06	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0678f4…
10-16 00:12:55	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x32cc46…
10-16 00:10:36	nhl wpg chi 2026 10 15	Jets	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x234566…
10-16 00:09:25	Utah vs. Oilers	Oilers	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x5d8436…
10-16 00:08:55	Sharks vs. Predators	Predators	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7b163f…
10-16 00:07:31	nhl stl min 2026 10 15	Wild	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xa43e5f…
10-14 03:39:11	Maple Leafs vs. Utah	Maple Leafs	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x643a61…
10-14 02:57:32	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x50df9c…
10-14 02:36:10	Wild vs. Jets	Wild	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0xe2220c…
10-14 02:13:38	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf5f613…
10-14 01:28:56	Kraken vs. Flyers	Kraken	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x566442…
10-13 16:35:28	Maple Leafs vs. Utah	Maple Leafs	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x979611…
10-13 16:35:04	Golden Knights vs. Predators	Golden Knights	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9ece12…
10-13 04:15:51	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5c5690…
10-13 03:15:59	Wild vs. Jets	Wild	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc8fddd…
10-13 03:15:38	Kraken vs. Flyers	Kraken	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb8a195…
10-13 03:15:12	Panthers vs. Blue Jackets	Panthers	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xb526a1…
10-13 03:14:26	Stars vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x919518…
10-13 03:13:59	Oilers vs. Kings	Oilers	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x93261c…
10-13 03:12:08	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xdd3442…
10-13 03:11:59	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x15591c…
10-13 02:35:38	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	3	16¢	$1	0x0d1dca…
10-13 00:28:05	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x21610f…
10-13 00:09:38	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xac04b8…
10-12 23:54:56	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x5626b1…
10-12 23:45:02	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x29389d…
10-12 23:44:54	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xb76121…
10-12 23:32:51	Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xe224fd…
10-12 23:19:20	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x95ded0…
10-12 23:08:51	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xb22037…
10-12 23:03:36	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x251a46…
10-12 23:01:50	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0xd0c030…
10-12 22:50:38	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4a9212…
10-12 22:45:29	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x675a5e…
10-12 22:19:33	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe357ec…
10-12 22:18:36	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x14c388…
10-12 22:01:08	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x161678…
10-11 19:50:54	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xe33198…
10-11 19:46:31	Bears vs. Packers	Packers	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5a9f51…
10-11 19:22:09	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x5c0cf5…
10-11 19:17:21	Bears vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xce96c4…
10-11 19:04:06	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x6aadcb…
08-30 00:15:30	Toronto Argonauts vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders	Toronto Argonauts	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x978665…
08-23 21:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x74af26…
08-23 21:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x714f43…
08-21 16:17:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xaa60d7…
08-21 16:16:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xf357a4…
08-21 16:13:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 16:10 UTC	Down	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0x3dc339…
08-21 16:12:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xcf168a…
08-21 16:07:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xdf403c…
08-21 15:41:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 15:40 UTC	Up	SELL	13	57¢	$7	0xe068e5…
08-21 15:40:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x30ccc4…
08-21 15:38:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf8d175…
08-21 15:37:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 15:35 UTC	Up	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0x7c4f83…
08-21 15:37:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x05c134…
08-21 15:37:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7a82d3…
08-21 15:25:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 15:20 UTC	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x19a921…
08-21 15:24:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x6a4302…
08-21 15:24:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x2e7c7f…
08-20 04:27:28	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x291de0…
08-20 04:26:19	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x399fa1…
08-20 04:23:37	bitcoin up or down august 20 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x749857…
08-12 03:44:15	bitcoin up or down august 11 2026 11pm et	Down	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0xc6b555…
08-12 03:44:01	bitcoin up or down august 11 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe4be3d…
08-12 03:44:00	bitcoin up or down august 11 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x54f562…
08-12 03:32:33	bitcoin up or down august 11 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x913375…
07-16 01:54:55	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x5270a3…
07-16 01:54:50	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x8bc3a7…
07-12 03:02:44	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x672786…
07-12 03:01:17	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x1dc864…
07-12 02:50:52	Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x9c8bcc…
07-12 02:41:55	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	SELL	33	43¢	$14	0xbbeb7b…
07-12 01:41:56	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xa97c89…
07-11 23:36:59	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x3f479c…
07-11 23:35:56	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x7e6c17…
07-08 01:02:19	Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xe46af6…